Friday Service Plays

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Golden State -5 at MIAMI

NBA tonight, as while the Warriors are coming to Miami off a straight up loss at Charlotte, we feel Golden State is certainly capable of bouncing-back and covering this road impost against the Heat.

Golden State is on a money-burning 3-9 spread nose dive, but keep in mind the Warriors are fighting hard for playoff positioning in the west, while Miami is just trying to close out this lost season.

Not much use in talking about Miami's straight up wins this season because they are few-and-far-between. With the points, the Heat isn't much better, as they have gone just 3-8 against the spread their last 11 games.

At home this year, Miami is a woeful 8-21 versus the number. We just don't see Miami being able to fend off this Golden State team that is desperate for wins, as they try to secure a playoff spot in the Western Conference.

Play on Golden State.

4* GOLDEN STATE

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Chuck Franklin

Chicago at BOSTON (-11)

The Bulls certainly surprised me last night with a decisive home win over Cleveland. My Free Picks are still 5-2 the last seven and I've given you Free Pick winners 9 of the last 12... Huge Profits!

Now the Bulls are in a back-to-back, home-and-away situation that will be a disaster. Boston has protected their home court as well as anyone in this league and have won nine straight at home. The Celtics will win their seventh overall game in a row. They have already clinched a playoff spot, but now will be looking to remain the top-seed throughout the postseason.

The Bulls have won two in a row, but haven't won three in a row all season. They have already lost twice this year to the Celtics and will lose for the third time against them. The favorite has covered five of the last six in this series and the Celtics have covered five of the last six versus the NBA Central Division. Chicago is 7-19 ATS the last 26 versus the Atlantic Division and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 games played after a win.

This will be an absolute blowout!

3* BOSTON

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Bobby Maxwell

San Antonio (+2) at DENVER

Free play on the NBA hardwood tonight as we side with the Spurs who visit the Nuggets in Denver.

Red-hot Spurs have won 11 straight and 15 of 16 overall and they head to Denver tonight for a matchup with a Nuggets' squad that finds itself on the outside of the playoff listings.

San Antonio got a big home win over the Pacers on Thursday, 108-97 as 13-point chalk. And now they go to Denver where they are one of the few teams to have success. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in the Mile High City.

The Spurs have won six straight on the road and just swept a two-game road trip to Milwaukee, 96-94, and at New Jersey, 93-83 as 4 1/2-point favorites.

San Antonio has won five of the last six against the Nuggets and the Spurs know how to tighten up the defense. In the last five, the Spurs are holding the opposition to 83 points a game and 37.7 percent field goal shooting.

Denver has struggled against the good teams all season, let's grab the points and play the Spurs tonight.

3* SAN ANTONIO

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Michael Cannon

Towson vs.Hofstra -4 at Richmond

Stanford pending last night, but looking good up by 12 at the half.

Take Hofstra minus the points over Towson in the first round of the CAA tournament.

Hofstra has been jelling down the stretch as head coach Tom Pecora has been able to provide high-scoring Antoine Agudio with some other options on offense, most notably freshman guard Charles Jenkins, who is averaging 17.7 ppg over his last four games.

The Pride have won four of their last five and six of nine, while going 4-0-1 ATS in the last five.

Towson has lost 13 straight away from the Towson Center, as well as going 1-6 ATS in its last seven away from home.

Take Hofstra minus the points as they grab the win and cover.

3* HOFSTRA

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Scott Rickenbach

Pick on Utah Jazz (+) @ Phoenix

Short but sweet and a Winner (that's the plan!) with our Free Pick write-up on Friday. Note that the write-ups on our star-rated picks are more detailed. In the case of this particular free pick opinion play, this is simply the classic example of getting solid line value by fading a home team that is facing an undervalued road team. There have been changes here for Phoenix and that's why Utah's long-term road struggles are actually just serving to give us line value here. It's been a down stretch for the Suns since their trade for Shaquille O'Neal and we're going to continue to fade Phoenix as a result. However, as Phoenix and at home, they still have to get respect from both the odds maker and the betting public. That's great news for us.

Of course the home vs road dichotomies of these teams will be factored in by most bettors. However, for us, the key is that that Utah is 23-6 since January 1st while the Suns have nearly that many losses just since acquiring Shaq. Since the trade for O'Neal, the Suns are just 3-5. We have seen Utah improve their level of play on the road since the calendar turned to 2008. Also, the Suns defense has been a major problem recently and Steve Nash is going to have trouble keeping up with Deron Williams tonight in our opinion. This is going to result in continued defensive breakdowns for Phoenix. They may be at home but the Suns don't deserve to be laying any points against the Jazz right now. Utah just crushed them at home in their most recent meeting and, even though this game is in Phoenix, it's a tough match-up for the Suns. Play Utah plus the points.

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Lou Diamond

Bradley and Creighton.
Take "Over".

Bradley Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 8-0 in Braves last 8 overall. Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games following a ATS win. Over is 7-0 in Braves last 7 vs. Missouri Valley. Over is 7-2-2 in Braves last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 36-15-1 in Braves last 52 games following a S.U. loss. Creighton Over is 4-0-1 in Bluejays last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 4-1 in Bluejays last 5 neutral site games. Over is 6-2-1 in Bluejays last 9 vs. Missouri Valley. Over is 5-2 in Bluejays last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 19-8-1 in Bluejays last 28 overall. Over is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings

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Jim Kruger

Take Northeastern over James Madison

It has not been a good year for the Dukes of James Madison. Coach Dean Keener he resigned on Feb. 22 effective at the end of the season. What started out as a promising season is not looking very good, 13-16 and the #11 seed in the Colonial Tournament.

JMU faces the #6 seed, Northeastern, who will be looking for revenge from a December 1 loss on their home court to the Dukes.

The Huskies, who start a junior, three sophomores and a freshman, have matured as the season has progressed. After entering the beginning of nearly full-time conference play with a 4-7 record, the Huskies won eight of their first 13 CAA games, including five straight from Jan. 30 to Feb. 13.

Northeastern is led by Matt Janning, last year’s CAA Rookie of the Year. He is the league’s third-leading scorer with 16.4 ppg and also grabs 3.4 rpg along with dishing out 2.4 assists per game. The Huskies’ strength is their defense. In conference games, Northeastern is second in the league in scoring defense, allowing just 61.1 points per game. Playing a variety of zones, Northeastern has held four conference opponents under 50 points and four more under 60.

Take Northeastern!

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LT Profits Sports Group

San Antonio Spurs, Denver Nuggets to stay Under 200½

The Under is a perfect 10-0 the last 10 meetings between the Spurs and Nuggets, and none of the last 15 meetings have reached 200 points. Go Under this high-ish total.

Although the Denver Nuggets like to play at a fast pace, this is an awfully high total for any game involving the San Antonio Spurs and we look for the Spurs to control the tempo here.

After all, the Spurs have always been able to slow down Carmello Anthony & Co., as the Under now an amazing 13-2 in the last 15 head-to-head meetings between these clubs including a perfect 10-0 in the last 10 encounters! Furthermore, none of those 15 meetings reached the 200-point plateau. San Antonio has now won 11 consecutive games, and as usual the Spurs are winning with defense, allowing just 87.1 points per game during this streak with the games averaging a combined 182.7 points, about 18 points less than this posted total.

Yes, the Nuggets are averaging 107.6 points per game overall this season including a whopping 109.7 points at home, and they are coming off of a 126-113 shootout win vs. the Phoenix Suns. Still, the last two times that the Nuggets have played teams that play any defense, they scored just 89 points at Houston and 93 points here at home vs. Detroit, and we have already mentioned their past difficulties scoring against the Spurs, including both games this season where they scored just 80 points here and 91 points at San Antonio.

We actually feel that these clubs will have a tough time reaching 190 points here, let alone going over 200.

Spurs, Nuggets Under 200½

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Northcoast

Scott Spreitzer 3* Murray St.
Billy Coleman 3* Seattle


ER Sports

20* Playmaker: New Jersey +10

Portland +2.5 

San Antonio +2.5


Chris James Sports
3* Hofstra

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Dave Price

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks

1 Unit on Milwaukee Bucks -2.5

Just when it looked like the Blazers could maybe get things turned around, they have lost back-to-back games and are reeling again. We'll take the Bucks at home laying a small number. The Bucks are 8-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more this season and 10-2 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. Milwaukee has been at its best this season in high scoring games. The Bucks have covered the spread in 6 of their last 9 contests and scored over the century mark in 5 of those covers. The Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. The Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Western Conference. Take the Bucks at home against the struggling Blazers.

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Jeff Alexander

Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers

LA Clippers +15

The Clippers are getting a few too many points on their home floor tonight against the Lakers. The Lakers' interior defense has hardly been tested at all during its run, but Chris Kaman will test it tonight. The Lakers are 3-12 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons and 8-18 ATS in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Lakers are also 8-20 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are going to make this a halfcourt basketball game and they are not going to settle for jump shots. The Lakers will prevail in the end, but the Clippers will keep this one well within the number.

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Matt Fargo

Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Bobcats
PICK: under

REASON FOR PICK: These teams played just over three weeks ago and while that game did go over the total, it took overtime to do. More importantly however is how much the total has changed. It was set at 193.5 in that last meeting and now all of a sudden it is over 10 points higher than that. This adjustment is mostly due to the recent play of both teams but you need to look at who the competition was and that shows why the games ended up where they were.

Both teams played Golden St. this past week and we saw finishing scores of 253 and 227 and that no doubt has an effect on this number. The Warriors are going to try and run the opposition out of the gym and they were able to dictate the tempo in each of those games. Golden St. averages a league-high 89.1 field goal attempts per game. Both Charlotte and Atlanta are well below that average and both are actually in the bottom half of the league in field goal attempts.

The offenses of the Bobcats and Hawks average a combined 191.7 ppg on the season. And while the defenses are far from stout, they allow a combined 199.8 ppg. In home and road games, both of these averages come down even more so basing tonight’s total on recent play is the wrong way to go. In the three games played in Charlotte over the last two seasons, the posted totals have been 184.5, 195 and 193.5. The scores of those games have averaged 191.7 ppg.

On the season, Atlanta is 21st in the NBA in shooting offense, hitting 44.3 percent. Charlotte is not much better, coming in at 20th at 44.5 percent. Atlanta has been solid from the free throw line, hitting 77.4 percent but the Bobcats offset that as they are second to last in the league hitting only 71.1 percent from the stripe. The Hawks have thrived on defense against weaker opponents as 14 of their last 17 games against teams winning fewer than 40 percent of their games have gone under the total.

As mentioned, the number is shaded high because of recent games and we get a lot of value based on that. Play on the under where the total between 200 and 209.5 after two straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more going up against an opponent after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more. This situation is 39-11 to the under (78 percent) over the last five seasons including a 6-1 record (85.7 percent) this season. Play Under Atlanta Hawks/Charlotte Bobcats 1 Unit

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Spritzer

direct line...........................drake
insider..............................delaware
tko...................................san fran
tko......................................wright st
tko........................................s. ill
tko..........................................hofst ra
5 star.............................murray st
ko....................................gold st
tko............................nuggets
5 star..........................hawks

Cokin
fat man plays..................upenn
big shot............................delaware
window.............................valpo
under the hat............................james mad
3 star.........................murray
3 star.............................wofford
under the hat.................nuggets
3 star......................celtics

Feist
personal best........................st petes
steam..............................north eastern
platinum............................darmouth
inner circle...........................furman
5 star mismatch gow................wofford
5 star.......................georgia st
total.....................bulls under
personal best..............hawks
platinum.......................lakers
inner circle.................gold st
3 star........................nets

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Mike Wynn

Boston -11 Over Chicago



Vegas Steam Line

Cornell -7 over Penn


Scooter

Pick: Vancouver -230

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Nick Parsons

Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line (-) vs Edmonton

The Blue Jackets are back on home ice. However, the fact that they haven’t won here in seven weeks means we are able to get some solid line value with this underrated home favorite tonight! In their history, Columbus has never lost seven straight home games and they certainly want to avoid getting the record books tonight! Speaking of history, the Blue Jackets do not have a good one against the Oilers. However, their most recent home game against Edmonton was a 4-2 win in late December. Rick Nash scored three goals that night and he will once again be tough to contain here. Even though Blue Jackets netminder Pascal Leclaire has been in goal for some of the Blue Jackets games during their home losing streak, he also was 6-0 at Nationwide Arena with a 1.65 GAA during their home winning streak that preceded this losing streak. The Blue Jackets have outshot their last two opponents by a combined total of 77-48 and yet they’ve lost each game by a single goal. Look for a big response from Columbus tonight!

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Stan Winman

Rockets

Houston just plays better against Eastern Conference teams especially the Wizards as they are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Washington. The Houston Rockets will try and win their third straight game on Tuesday night as the travel to Washington to take on the Wizards. The Rockets have played their last six games without Tracy McGrady who is expected to miss at least another week. They team has pulled together adn played more like a team without their superstar. Houston is 4-2 without McGrady and is coming off a 103-91 win on Saturday against New York.

Bottom Line: The Rockets have won four straight and 11 of 14 over Washington since the 2000-01 season. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Eastern Conference. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Rockets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. the Southeast.

Take the Rockets on the road

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David Chan

Indiana State at Drake Over

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Bob Akmen

-- National Hockey League --
Tampa Bay Lightning / New Jersey Devils OV 5.0 (-140) / 3 units

-- National Basketball Association --
Detroit Pistons / New York Knicks OV 190.5 / 3 units

-- Arena Football --
Columbus Destroyers +9.5 / 3 units

-- College Basketball --
Northern Iowa / Southern Illinois UN 115.5 / 3 units

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FERRINGO

3.5-Unit Play. Take Illinois-Chicago (-4) over Loyola
The Flames have covered five straight in this series and have won four of the last five meetings. That includes a sweep of the Ramblers last year when Loyola had a much, much better team. This is Loyola’s fifth road game in a row on the road, while UI-C is just starting to heat up from the outside. I like the veteran team here in this rivalry game.

2-Unit Play. Take Wofford (-2) over Western Carolina
The Terriers are a group of 3-point bombers and I'm betting that they are somewhat on this afternoon. Western Carolina has played well without leading scorer, Brandon Giles. But I think that his absence finally catches up with them and that Wofford is simply too much. WCU is 3-9 ATS in neutral site games and Wofford should be ready to break out in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #764 Manhattan (-2) over St. Peters

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Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* 76ers
2. 50,000* Wright State
3. 50,000* Suns

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