Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Drew Gordon Sunday Picks:

1. 200,000* Mavericks
2. 50,000* Indiana

1. Mavericks- Got to like the Mavericks in this spot for several reasons, but let's start with Jason Kidd. While its true they lost at San Antonio in their last road game, there's no question the Mavs are a better team with Jason Kidd. He was even better against Sacramento Friday, and I expect both Kidd and the Mavs will only improve as he gets more accustomed to their system and personnel. The fact he's matched up against the smaller Derek Fisher, could mean big problems for the Lakers this afternoon.

Second, if you saw the Mavericks play at San Antonio, is there any question they're one of the top teams in the West? They bring one of the better blends of offense and defense to the table, scoring 101 ppg, while allowing only 92 ppg over their last 5 games overall! They were a couple plays away from winning outright against the Spurs, a team I believe to be superior to the Lakers, despite the Gasol trade.
Match up-wise, neither team can cover the others superstar, as both Kobe and Nowitzki will run rampant over their defenders. Also, you can bet both Gasol and Josh Howard will control their match ups as well. The difference in this match up is two-fold: A. the Mavs are the deeper team & B. They have a huge edge at the point guard position with Kidd over Fisher. Its those two edges that propel the Mavs to the cover in this one, and even possibly win outright.

Bottom line, Dallas is the play here, as I just don't see the Lakers beating them by that many points. In fact, as mentioned above, it wouldn't surprise me if the Mavs won outright here, especially after the way they played at San Antonio. Make no mistake, The Mavs acquired Jason Kidd for exactly this kind of match up, and I say the veteran point guard makes the difference today, as Dallas grab the cash in this one!

Take the Mavericks plus the points over the L.A. Lakers as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Indiana- A couple close ones for the Hoosiers as they adapt to life without coach Sampson, but I believe they're ready for a bigtime match up this afternoon in East Lansing and here's why

Pop in the tape of their last meeting, and you'll see why the Spartans are in trouble here this afternoon. Despite the fact the Hoosiers got almost nothing from D.J. White and Armon Bassett, Indiana's offense still rolled. Why? Two words: Eric Gordon. The sensational freshman was unstoppable in delivering one of his biggest games of the season - 28 points on 9 of 15 shooting! You know damn well White and Bassett will not go quiet once again in this one, while stopping Gordon is out of the question for the Spartans guards.

Herein lies the problem for the Spartans, as they rely on their defense to make up for their offensive shortcomings. True, Michigan State is better offensively in East Lansing, but not good enough to cover the number in this one. Remember guys, Indiana can play defense too, allowing just 65 ppg on 39% shooting away this season!

Finally, for all the hoopla surrounding the Spartans 17-0 SU record at home, they've been consistently overvalued at the Breslin Center, going just 2-7 ATS over their last 9 home games. Indiana meanwhile, is 6-4 ATS on the road, and that includes the scare at Northwestern, which we can chalk up to the emotions of losing their coach. Note, Indiana is also only a 1/2 game back from Wisconsin and Purdue in the Big Ten, so you better believe they've got plenty of motivation to win here today.

Bottom line, Michigan State may keep their perfect SU record at home, but they'll need to win dogfight to do it. Indiana has the match ups, the motivation, and the defense to keep this game competitive, and I say that's exactly what they do this afternoon in East Lansing.

Take Indiana plus the points over Michigan State in this Big Ten match up.


Tonight's Games...

1. 50,000* Maryland
2. 50,000* Pacers

1. Maryland- Great spot for the Terrapins, as Clemson is coming off their 20th win of the season, and will be returning to the road, where they've proven much more vulnerable. If you saw them play at Florida State in their last road game, then you know exactly the kind of inconsistent effort this Tigers team is capable of on the highway, losing outright 64-55 as 3'-point favorites.

So what happens to the Tigers when they travel? Apparently, they forget to pack their defense, allowing 73 ppg on 42% shooting this season. Those numbers pail in comparison to the kind of attacking defense they're going to see from Maryland tonight at home, allowing 64 ppg on 37% shooting, which is outstanding by anyone's measure.

Match ups also slightly favor the Terrapins, as they've got the best player on the court in G Grievis Vasquez. Not to mention, fowards Gist (31 points 11 boards in last game) and Osby are more than capable of matching up with the Tigers frontcourt of Booker and Mays.

Finally, there's two much over-looked factors I want to discuss: A. This is the Terrapins final home game, marking senior forwards Gist and Osby last regular season game in front of the home crowd, and you better believe they'll be looking to impress. And B. In a game expected to be very competitive, don't be surprised if Clemson's inability to shoot free throws (62% on season) dooms them in the end. Terrapins roll in this one!

Take Maryland at home over Clemson in this ACC showdown.

2. Pacers- I gave you the Bucks as 50K bonus play covering against the Spurs in Milwaukee last night, but tonight things are much different. For starters, this game is on the road, where the Bucks have been garbage all season, going just 6-25 SU & 12-18 ATS. They've lost their last 3 road games, all by double-digits, including an ugly one at New Jersey Thursday, getting blown out 120-106... What makes you think tonight will be any different?!

With Danny Granger returning to the lineup, and the Pacers coming off an impressive outright road win at Toronto 122-111 as an 11-point dog, Indiana is poised to get the solid win here tonight. So how do they do it? With offense, averaging 106 ppg over their last 5 games! How in the hell do you expect the Bucks to keep pace, when they can only muster about 93 ppg on the road this season?!

We're all aware of Milwaukee's shortcoming on defense, but lately, they've taken it to a whole other level of mediocrity, allowing a mind-boggling 110 ppg on 48% shooting over their last 5 games! If the Pacers can score 122 points at Toronto, without Granger, then they sure as hell can light up this struggling Bucks defense.

Finally, the last factor we have to discuss is fatigue, as the Bucks are coming off a hard-fought loss to the Spurs last night. Milwaukee is 7-8 ATS on no rest, but in this case, against a high-octane Pacers offense, their tired legs will really cost them. In the end, Milwaukee is terrible on the road, and while indiana is no powerhouse, they're more than capable of taking this Bucks team behind the woodshed in this one. A tired, road-weary Bucks team doesn't stand a chance at Conseco Fieldhouse tonight!

Take the Pacers comfortably over the Bucks in this NBA match up.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Razor Sharp

Diamond Club Play: UCLA -5
Regular Service:
50 Stars: Indiana +5
20 Stars: Orgegon -10


Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Bulls +6 over Cavs

College Basketball
DePaul +5.5 over Notre Dame


Savannah Sports

4 units on Cincinnati -5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

BOB AKMENS

-- Major League Baseball --
LA Dodgers (-125) / 1 units

Chicago Cubs (-130) / 1 units


-- National Basketball Association --
Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 / 3 units

-- Arena Football --

Columbus Destroyers +6.0 / 3 units


-- College Basketball --

Villanova - Louisville UNDER 138.0 / 3 units


-- National Basketball Association --

Toronto Raptors - Charlotte Bobcats OVER199.0 / 3 units

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Lenny Del Genio

Play on Cincinnati

History and the situation totally favor a play on the Bearcats here. Providence is on a 0-5 SU/ATS run, including double-digit losses in three of their last four games. A 27-point setback at West Virginia last Saturday puts them in a terrible spot. They are 0-9 against the spread away from home when coming off a double-digit loss in conference play and 0-6 vs. the number coming off a loss by 15 or more points, regardless of the previous opponent. The Friars are also just 5-17 ATS if they were a road underdog in their previous contest. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is coming off back-to-back losses, but history suggests a bounce back. Also, after playing Georgetown and Pitt, this is a steep drop in class. The Bearcats are a perfect 7-0 vs. the number off a road loss this season and a perfect 6-0 ATS coming off a conference loss. How can one argue with five trends that add up to a 45-5 ATS edge for your side, especially when Providence's leading scorer Jeff Xavier is dinged up? Cincinnati is our CBB Oddsmakers Mismatch.

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Tom Freese

Game: Oregon at Oregon St.
Prediction: Oregon

Reason: Oregon is 8-2 ATS off a road game and they are 15-6 ATS off two straight games where they had 9 or less offensive rebounds. The Ducks have won the last two meetings vs. the Beavers by 16 and 21 points. Oregon St is 0-6 ATS off two straight conference games and they are 0-6 ATS home with revenge. The Beavers are 3-11 ATS off a double digit loss and they are 0-8 ATS at home off one or more straight losses.

PLAY ON OREGON

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Black Magic

NCAA Basketball:

5 Unit Black Magic CBB Dog of the Weekend on Fairfield +9

Fairfield could easily win this game outright Sunday, but it is definitely certain that they will stay within the spread as this one comes down to the wire. Fairfield is 7-0 SU in their last 7 games going 6-1 against the spread during this amazing hot streak. We will ride the horse that is cashing in at the pay window quite frequently as they have clearly saved their best basketball for the end of the season. Fairfield already beat Rider by 12 points earlier this year. Going on the road hasn’t been a problem for Fairfield as indicated by their 9-4 ATS mark in road games. Fairfield is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Fairfield is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Fairfield as the underdog.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Oregon -10

Oregon will whoop up on their intra-state rivals in the Oregon State Beavers Sunday. Oregon State is the worst team in the nation. Oregon State has lost countless games in a row now. In their last 12 games, OSU has lost 10 of the 12 by double-digits. They lost their last home game by 38 points to a mediocre Washington team with a final of 59-97. Oregon is 8-2 ATS after playing a road game this season. Oregon State is 0-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Cash in with Oregon as the favorite.

NBA:

3 Unit Sharp Play on Golden State Warriors -5.5

The Warriors as just a small home favorite is the gold mine of the NBA tonight. The Portland Trail Blazers have struggled mightily as of late by losing 8 of their last 11 games overall. The Warriors are coming off a 22-point home victory over an underrated 76ers’ team. The Warriors are 20-10 at home this season while putting up 113 points per game. The Blazers are just 9-20 in all road games this year. Portland is 11-24 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is 32-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Golden State as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Boston Celtics -10.5

The Celtics will put the Atlanta Hawks in their place tonight in Boston. Boston is 25-4 at home this season while outscoring their foes by 12 points per game. Boston already beat the Hawks by 23 points at home earlier this season. The Celtics beat Atlanta by 21 points in their previous home meeting as well. Atlanta is 7-21 in road games while scoring just over 90 points per game. They don’t generate enough offense to hang with the Big 3 in Garnett, Allen and Pierce today. Boston is 14-5 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots this season. Atlanta is 6-17 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Boston as the favorite.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Billy Coleman

4* Dallas
3* Golden State
3* Loyola Maryland
3* Maryland
3 * Vancouver (NHL)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

ATS Consultants

Atlanta covers over Boston 98-101 Best Bet
Minnesota over Seattle 94-85 Preferred Play
Michigan State over Indiana 78-63 Preferred Play

L.A. Kings over Minnesota - Preferred Play
Over in the Atl/Pittsburgh game - Preferred Play

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Wunderdog MLB

Game: Florida vs. St. Louis
Pick: Florida +130 (moneyline)

Kyle McClennen gets the ball for the Cards vs Scott Olsen of the Marlins. This is a neutral field game, and getting this kind of value on the Marlins is worth a play. The Cards had trouble scoring last spring, and were held to 2 runs by these same Marlins yesterday, and we expect Florida to come out on top again.


Game: Minnesota at Boston
Pick: Minnesota +145 (moneyline)

Livan Hernandez makes his Twins debut today, as he will face-off against Tim Wakefield. The Red Sox have won the first two and with those wins, has come an increasing line. The value is now on the Twins. We don't see many spring lines in this range, and seldom do you see a team win three straight vs another team down here in consecutive days, so we will play on the Twins here.


Game: Philadelphia at New York Yankees
Pick: Philadelphia +155 (moneyline)

The Phillies send Cole Hamels to the mound vs Andy Pettitte. This is just too big of a line on a spring training game. The Phillies have been producing runs early, as they have averaged 5.5 in the four games they have played. This will be the Yankees second game, after handling the Phils yesterday. We look for the Phillies to get even today.

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on L.A. Lakers -5.5

The Lakers are coming off a tight loss at Portland that may have actually been a good thing for them heading into this showdown with Dallas.  It snapped their 10-game winning streak and should make the Lakers even more focused when they take on the Mavs at home Sunday.  The Lakers have gone 17 straight games now without losing a home game.  Pau Gasol has been a great fit for this Triangle offense and he’s getting better as each game passes by.  The Lakers are 20-7 at home this year and winning their home games by 9 points per.  Dallas is actually 3 games below .500 away from home this season.  Dallas is 3-17 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.  Cash in with the Lakers as the favorite.

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Black Widow Sports

1* on Iona -5

Iona plays a Manhattan squad tonight that is just 5-9 in road games and only 2-9 ATS in their 11 lined road games this season.  Manhattan has lost 5 straight road games by double-digits each.  They aren’t even competing away from home and Iona will continue to stomp the Jaspers into the ground Sunday.  Manhattan is 3-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.  Iona is 7-1 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.  Take Iona and lay the points.


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Info Plays

3* on New Jersey Nets +5

New Jersey now has Devin Harris playing after returning from injury in his trade over to the Nets from the Mavs.  Harris is an underrated player in this league and knows how to run a team.  San Antonio is just 2-10 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.  The Spurs squeaked out a 2-point victory at Milwaukee last night.  This emotional game will take its toll tonight when the Spurs try to win a second game on the later end of back-to-back road games.  The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.  Bet New Jersey at home.

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Marco D'Angelo
Boston Celtics -10.5

Matty O'Shea
New Orleans Hornets -6

JWhip
Michigan State -5

JB
Atlanta Hawks +10.5

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Game Day

3* Tennessee
2* Michigan St


Special K

Atlanta Hawks +11


CAL SPORTS

4.5 Total of the Month UCLA UNDER


Sportsaction 365

Atlanta Hawks


PPP

5* LSU
4* Kentucky, Sienna
3* Depaul, UCLA


Doc NHL

4* Phil. + 190

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Spritzer
direct line.........................ucla
ko.................................maryland
ko.................................cincy
tko big 10 gom................mich st
4 star.......................tenn
nba mismatch gom................hornets
ko...............................lakers


Cokin
fat man plays............maryland, temple
window............................cincy
under the hat....................tenn
3 star......................maryland
under the hat..........................cavs
3 star..........................nets


Feist
total.....................nd over 56.5
inner circle...................st joes
5 star.......................loy md
total.................rockets over 07
platinum..................raptors
inner circle....................celtics
5 star........................cavs
4 star.....................pacers

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Razor Sharp

Diamond Club Play: UCLA -5
Regular Service:
50 Stars: Indiana +5
20 Stars: Orgegon -10

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Winning Points Online NBA.

**PREFERRED
OVER 184.5 San Antonio at New Jersey

The road team played yesterday and if they weren't already a BEST BET in the main paper,there would be a vengeful BEST BET on New Jersey here against San Antonio in retaliation for the Spurs not winning by enough last night.When you are rested, have scorers like Carter,Jefferson and Devin Harris, and have the personnel to play an up-tempo game against a team that played the night before and is forced to travel, you go out and do it and force them to play your way. The Nets also have an array of big bodies to foul and draw fouls against Duncan -- Kristic, Swift, Boone,DeSagana Diop (Do-Doo, Do-Do-Do). Swift alone got 5 fouls in just 19 minutes against Milwaukee the other night. Hey, they'll appreciate that less and less from the guy as time goes on but for tonight, it'd be okay. No score published in the main paper? What's up with that?

OVER FIRST HALF: NEW JERSEY, 52-48

OVER FULL GAME: NEW JERSEY, NEW JERSEY, 105-98

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Gold Medal Club

Notre Dame @ Depaul

DEPAUL +5


Wolkosky Milan

10* DALLAS +6½
10* TORONTO -3½
10* SAN ANTONIO -5
10* GOLDEN STATE -5½
10* DEN/HOU UNDER 206½

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

FERRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. Take #527 Notre Dame (-4.5) over DePaul
I guess this is supposed to be some sort of trap because of the line movement, but I just don’t see it. DePaul has gotten rocked by the top tier of the Big East and is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games. The Irish are coming off a loss so I don’t anticipate a letdown here. They are simply better than a bad DePaul club that has dropped eight of nine. DePaul has lost by 12 (WVU), 20 (UL), 5 (SU), and 16 (G-Town) to the top of the BE. They are outclassed and will have no answer for Luke Harangody underneath and the N.D. shooters should take care of this one late.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #530 Michigan State (-5) over Indiana
The Spartans are 17-0 at home, where they have looked like a Top 10 teams at time. On the road is another story. But in the IzZone today they should be able to manhandle an Indiana team that has performed well against road numbers but hasn’t performed that well on the road for anyone watching. They barely escaped Northwestern with a win and that was their last road test in three weeks. Before that they beat bottom feeders Ohio State and Illinois, but were hammered at Wisconsin. Michigan State was actually leading their last meeting 10 minutes into the game, but then IU started hitting everything it could throw at the basket and pulled away for an easy win. I think the tables get turned, and without an emotional home crowd behind them the Sampson-less Hoosiers get spanked.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Fairfield (+9) over Rider
The Stags always seem to be peaking at this point of the season and I think they could jump up and bite the Broncos today on Senior Night. Fairfield just beat Rider by 12 two weeks ago in a game where both teams shot over 50 percent from the field and from 3-point land. Fairfield has won seven straight games (6-1 ATS) while Rider has endured a 2-3 SU slide while going 1-5 ATS in their last six. I think some of that may have to do with a pair of freshmen starters hitting the wall. Rider just shot 55 percent from the field and Jason Thompson put up 33 points and Rider still couldn’t cover against lowly St. Peters. I think that’s a bad sign. Fairfield will not win this game but they will stay competitive and won't beat themselves.

Also leaning heavily on LSU, Loyola, MD, Clemson and Duquesne.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Ryan

Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
Play: Denver Nuggets   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Denver – AiS shows a 73% probability that Denver will lose this game by 4 or fewer points and has a 50% probability of ending Houston’s incredible winning streak. Despite the incredible winning streak and all of the associated accomplishments with previous season winning streaks of the same type Houston is just not in a good role for this game tonight. Note that they are just 17-33 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 9-20 ATS in home games versus good foul drawing teams that are attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons; 11-23 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. On December 20th Denver defeated Houston 112-11 and note that Houston is just 10-24 ATS in home games revenging a close loss versus opponent of 3 points or less since 1996. Take Denver.

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