Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

  Tony Karpinski

Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors
Play: Toronto Raptors   

Toronto has shown a tremendous ability to dominate weaker teams at home. They have defeated their last four opponents by double digits in Toronto. They blew out Minnesota, New York, Orlando, and New Jersey, averaging 115 points in those four wins. The Raptors defeated the Pacers in Indiana just two games ago. This win is significant because Indiana is a decent home team. Chris Bosh was dominating in that game, and he created a lot of problems for the Pacers. They had no answer for him, as they are still without their big man, Jermaine O’Neal. The Raptors also limited Indiana to just 42% shooting. Indiana is mainly a jump shooting team, and they tend to fold when facing tough defenses on the road. The Pacers are only 1-4 straight up since the all-star break, and I expect them to really struggle in this game. Look for Toronto to get a big blowout win at home. 

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Peter Loshak

Tonight's contest at the United Center in Chicago has all the makings for a run-&-gun affair. Play the Over on Friday night when the Washington Wizards pay the Bulls a visit.

On the slate of overnight lines for the NBA on Friday, I think the total for the Bulls game in Chicago with Washington is not reflecting the changed nature of the new Bulls team.

The total opened at 197½, a decidedly high-end number for the Ben Wallace-era Bulls, to be sure. But for the version of the Bulls that will be on the court on Friday, I think the number is too low. SBRlines.com shows that it has notably been bet up to 198½ at Pinnacle, and to 198 at a few other shops, while Bookmaker and The Greek are holding steady at 197½ overnight. But I think these lines give value to the over, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them close substantially higher by game time.

The new-look Bulls are deep with offensive firepower, and are looking to play a more up-tempo open-court style of game. This quote from Coach Jim Boylan yesterday says it all: “We don’t want to bog down and have the ball in one guy’s hands and have the shot clock run down.”

Chicago is looking to be active and fluid to create offensive opportunities, using their superior depth and talent to run over their opponents. They were even able to accomplish that last Friday against Denver, a team that is well-known for its own ability to overrun and outshoot opponents.

Washington, for their part, is a team with some good talent, but a team that is floundering in general as a result of injuries to their two leaders, Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler. The Wizards will not likely be able to come in and change the Bulls’ preferred style even if they wanted to, which they probably will not. Washington does have some quality shooters themselves, and they may well just try to keep up with Chicago, basket for basket.

I see the Bulls as about to become one of the higher-scoring teams in the league from here on out, but at this early stage of the second half, that may not be fully apparent to the market. If I am right about this, there will likely be decent value with Chicago overs in the near future, and very likely in their game on Friday. So I’ll take the Over 198 in this Wizards/Bulls matchup.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

LT Profits Sports Group

The Wizards continue to compete well despite being short-handed, and they are now a nice 17-12 ATS on the road. The Bulls have a losing home record, so take the points.

The Washington Wizards have continued to play hard and be competitive despite being without Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler, while the Bulls have struggled at home this season.

Granted, the Wizards laid an egg at Houston vs. the Yao-less Rockets on Tuesday, but that came the night after they upset the red-hot New Orleans Hornets on the road, so we will grant Washington a Mulligan there. The Wizards are still 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and they are now an excellent 17-12, 58.6 percent ATS on the road for the season.

Now the Bulls were playing better soon after their coaching change, but they are now just 4-6 straight up in their last 10 games, and they are returning from a 1-2 road trip where their only win was at Indiana, which was the easiest on the three opponents. Chicago is still a very disappointing 12-14 SU at home this year, and they are a money-burning 10-16 ATS in those games.

Finally, this is a revenge spot for the Wizards, who lost outright at home to the Bulls as six-point favorites back in December.

Wizards +5

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Mike Rose

New Orleans Hornets -4.0

Another crucial Western Conference clash takes place this evening when the (37-21) Utah Jazz invades the “Crescent City” to take on the (38-18) New Orleans Hornets. I always find it funny when these two clubs square off because its New Orleans that should be considered the Jazz and Utah’s state animal is the honeybee. Anyway, the Jazz come into tonight’s game sitting 2.5 games in front of the Denver Nuggets for the top spot in the Northwest Division, while the Hornets find themselves 1-game in back of the San Antonio Spurs for the lead in the rugged Southwest. Utah has been a poor road team this year evidenced by their 12-18 SU mark, and they’ve also been a solid proposition to bet against considering their ATS mark as a visitor is the same as their overall road mark. New Orleans has won 19 of their 29 overall games at home this year, and they’re starting to get bigger crowds as the season’s progressed. However, they’re ATS mark at home is mediocre at 16-13, but that won’t stop me from laying the points in this crucial revenge match-up. Utah steamrolls just about everyone in the comfy confines of their own arena, but they transform into something awful when on the road.

The home team is 5-1-1 ATS the L/7 meetings and New Orleans is 5-1 ATS their L/6 vs. the Northwest Division. Utah is also a pathetic 5-13 ATS on the road vs. a team with a winning home mark. Lay the points with confidence as CP3 and West let the Jazz know what it’s like to be on the other end of a woodshed beating!!!!


Ted Sevransky

Houston Rockets -12.5

Since dumping Pau Gasol for pennies on the dollar, the Memphis Grizzlies have declined from ‘bad’ to ‘truly dismal’, the single worst team in the entire league. The Grizzlies woes have been on full display against quality teams in hostile environments. Since beating Indiana in Indianapolis on January 2nd, the Grizz have lost eleven consecutive road games. They’ve consistently lost by double digit margins against mediocre foes like Washington, Charlotte, Philadelphia and the LA Clippers. And when Memphis tries to step up in class against strong playoff caliber squads, their results have been even worse. New Orleans, Dallas, San Antonio, Golden State and Detroit have beaten the Grizzlies by an average of nearly 20 points per game.

Friday’s opponent, the Houston Rockets, have manhandled the Grizzlies with ease in both previous meetings this year, winning by 13 at home and 20 on the road. Houston is the hottest team in the NBA, winners of twelve straight, going 10-2 ATS in the process. The Rockets have enjoyed this tremendous run of success by pounding one weak foe after the next, beating Minnesota, Milwaukee, Indiana, Sacramento Atlanta, and Miami, covering big pointspreads repeatedly in the process. Yao’s season ending injury made headlines in Houston all week, but the reality is that their overall level of improved play has come due to the success of their role players –point guard Rafer Alston, Shane Battier, Luis Scola, Carl Landry, Luther Head and the recently acquired Bobby Jackson. Facing a demoralized foe with both limited talent and depth, we can expect the Rockets role players to have their way throughout as they cruise to victory. Take the Rockets.


Alex Smart

New York Dragons -1.0

The NY Dragons behind one of the top Qbs in the history of the AFL Aaron Garcia , always have a chance to win when he is healthy. That was evident last season, when the team went 4-2 with him in the lineup and just 1-9 when he was injured. With the Dragons top gun Garcia ready to go, the transplanted Cleveland Gladiators look to extend a run that has seen them lose 14 of their L16. Yes, even despite of a upgrading in the off season with a veteran QB (Raymond Philyaw). Final notes & Key Trends: NY is is 12-3 ATS in their L15 road games with a total of between 100 and 104.5 PPG. Play on NY Dragons

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Bob Harvey

Fairfield has a chance to get back to .500 on the season tonight on their homecourt.  Side with Jonathan Han and the Stags to cover this spread against the Manhattan Jaspers.

Fairfield University (13-14 overall, 10-6 MAAC) brings a six-game winning streak into tonight's game against Manhattan College, a streak the team extended with a 60-51 win over Drexel University in the BracketBuster.

Jonathan Han tallied a team-high 14 points in the Drexel win, the ninth time he has been the team's leading scorer this year. All 14 of his points came in the second half, helping the Stags turn a four-point halftime lead into a nine-point win. Han leads the team in scoring with 11.3 points per game, more than half of a point better than Anthony Johnson's 9.6 points per contest. Han remains the MAAC leader with 6.18 assists per game and 38.3 minutes played per outing.

Marty O'Sullivan continues to raise his scoring average, as his nine-point against Drexel improved his average to 4.6 points per game. Manhattan College (11-16 overall, 5-11 MAAC) won three straight conference games since dropping a 66-61 decision to Fairfield at Draddy Gym on February 8. The Jaspers saw its three-game streak come to an end with a 66-56 loss to Binghamton in a BracketBuster game last Saturday. The Jaspers are 6-24-1 in their last 31 ATS.

Fairfield -6

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Mr. A's

Toronto Raptors - 10½

Houston Rockets - 12½

Denver Nuggets - 13½


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Re: Friday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Indiana Pacers (22-36) at Toronto Raptors (32-24)

Toronto Raptors have won their last four games at Air Canada Centre and 15 of their last 22. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers dropped four straight and 13 of its last 16.
The struggling Pacers have not been successful away from home. Indiana is 1-5 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 6 games on the road, just 11-18 this season. Take the energized Raptors at home to grab their fourth straight win overall and a season sweep over the Pacers. Toronto is 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread versus Indiana.

Toronto Raptors - 10.5


CBB

Cornell Big Red - 17.5

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Winning Points Online NBA

***BEST BET
Chicago* over Washington by 18

Bulls are happy to be rid of the Ben Wallace anchor.The trade deadline is behind them. Washington has been out on the road without a real chance to scout what Chicago has been doing with new rotations, or practice/plan for it. Surprises are not good. Yao Ming got hurt, and they had no clue at Houston, a team that will be "figured out" soon enough. But new stuff, in its infancy, is the hardest to play against.

Washington's M.O. without Butler and Arenas has clearly out there and they will begin suffering for it. Chicago has shooters, Washington has erratic scorers.DeShawn Stevenson had 30-and-change at New Orleans because they didn't fear him. Won't hear much from him on a regular basis. Bulls have already won in D.C. by 11 points when they were playing like garbage earlier this season. CHICAGO, 105-87.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Indiana at Toronto
Pick: Toronto -10

The Pacers haven't been able to get much going over the second half of the season, as they have been just 7-22. They have dropped seven of eight to teams with winning records on the road, with five of those losses coming by 13 or more points. The Pacers have not fared well as a dog either, as they are now just 1-9 ATS in their last ten getting points.The Raptors have been eating up the sub-.500 teams on their home-court. They sport a 12-1 record at home vs these teams, and have won all of them by 9+ points! Their last ten wins vs the sub-.500 teams have all come by 11 points or more, and by an amazing average of 18.9 ppg. They are crushing these teams, and we expect more of the same tonight.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

WINNERS EDGE

Houston Rockets - 12 , 2 units

LA Clippers + 13.5 , 3 units

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

20 Dime –

HAWKS

Take the Hawks as the home chalk tonight over the Knicks.

New point guard Mike Bibby has had enough time to mesh with his teammates and the results were on display in Wednesday’s win over the Kings.

Bibby was able to get everyone involved in the offense and I expect the same to happen tonight against the defensively deficient Knicks.

Atlanta is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 home games while the Knicks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after a SU win.

Take the Hawks as the home chalk as they grab the win and cover.

10 Dime –

RAPTORS

Take the Raptors as the big home chalk tonight over the Pacers.

Toronto has won and covered four straight against Indiana, including Monday’s 102-98 road win.

The Raptors have been money as a home chalk this year, going 16-6 ATS.

Each of Toronto’s last eight wins have come by at least 17 points, and the average margin of victory is 22.3 points.

Take the Raptors as the big home chalk as they grab the win and cover.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Spritzer
tko.................sixers
tko.........................seatt
5 star.....................knicks

Cokin
window.....................cornell
under the hat...............hornets
3 star.......................seattlte

Feist
total..........knicks over, heat over
personal best..................hawks
inner circle goy.............seattle
5 star.................raptors

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Re: Friday Service Plays

GamblersWorld

Prediction: Brown Bears

Current Line: -13 Over/Under: 118

Reason: The Princeton Tigers and the Brown Bears will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Pizzitola Sports Center. Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 13-point favorites versus the Tigers, while the game's total is sitting at 118. Current streak: Princeton has lost 7 straight games. Team records: Princeton: 5-19 SU, 8-11 ATS Brown: 15-9 SU, 10-8 ATS Princeton most recently: When playing on Friday are 7-3 Before playing Yale are 4-6 After playing Dartmouth are 5-5 After a loss are 1-9 Brown most recently: When playing on Friday are 3-4 Before playing Pennsylvania are 6-4 After playing Cornell are 8-2 After a loss are 8-2 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games when playing Brown Princeton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Brown Brown is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home Brown is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games Brown is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Princeton The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brown's last 5 games when playing Princeton

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Game: Columbus Blue Jackets @ Vancouver Canucks
Pick: 1 unit TOTAL: Under 5

Both teams lost their last time out, however Columbus will be in for another challenge Friday. The Canucks are 10-2-1 against the Blue Jackets all-time at home, winning seven times by one or two goals, while goaltender Roberto Luongo is 5-3-2 with a 1.78 goals-against average versus Columbus. Its interesting to note that the total has gone under the number in five of the Blue Jackets last seven on the road and in six of their last eight vs. the Canucks. As things tighten up down the stretch, I look for all of these trends to continue this evening making the UNDER a must play!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Rocco Vincintore

500* Buffalo -125

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Re: Friday Service Plays

NBA Friday

2 units Utah +4

Naw'leans, as impressive as they've been this season are getting a home court benefit on this one. Last time out th Jazz gave the Hornets a 110-88 beat down and covering the spread. The same was the case earlier this season. I trust Sloan not to let this one get away. The Hornets should also be tired after playing 5 games in 7 nights. And to be honest, Naw'leans aint much of a home court advantage anyway. Take Utah.

2 Units Indiana vs Toronto Under 210

Twice this season the games were held UNDER. Indiana has been devasted with key injuries this season and I dont see that much fire power in them tonight. I say 102-91.

1 Unit LA Lakers -7

Going to be tough to find that line at -7 but its on that looks intriuging. The Lakers looked amazing last night against Miami and Kobe should be well rested as the game was wrapped up at tipoff.  big_smile  The Lakers are red hot!! Covering 9 out of their last 10 including a game against the Trail Blazers. Portland is reeling a bit at the moment and are coming back to reality.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

Mia/Sea O199


Northcoast Sports Community Line

Billy Coleman 3* San Jose-Detroit UNDER

Young Gun Sports 4* NY-Atl OVER

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

NBA

Friday: Play Against NBA favorites of 10 or more points after allowing 80 points or less against an opponent after allowing 110 points or more
32-8 ATS since 1996 (80.0%) PLAY: Memphis Grizzlies +13

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Teddy Covers AFL

Los Angeles Avengers -8.0  / 3 units
New Orleans was a bad team last year, finishing with a 5-11 mark. They were routinely hammered by quality teams on the road, losing by 23 at Tampa Bay, by 9 at Orlando, by 44 at Philly and by 26 at Georgia, unable to get stops or trade points with top tier opposition. There’s absolutely no reason to expect this team to be any better in 2008. Quarterback Steve Bellasari is mediocre at best, completing only 62% of his passes last year while throwing a dozen interceptions. Their receiving corps has been decimated after losing five of their top seven receivers in the offseason, then watching prized free agent pickup Derrick Lewis tear his ACL in preseason practice. Five of their top six defenders moved on in the offseason as well. This is a rebuilding team in a rebuilding city, hardly a candidate to go out on the road and play competitively in Week 1. Throw in other key injuries to OL Konrad Dean, WR DeAndrew Rubin and DB Chris Bown and this team appears to be in a world of hurt to start the campaign.


LA has solid roster continuity from last year, starting at the QB position where former Texas Tech standout Sonny Cumbie has developed into a solid quarterback. Cumbie will have an attractive new weapon at his disposal this year in Timon Marshall. Marshall was amazing last year with a dismal Grand Rapids squad, single handedly keeping the team competitive for a good portion of the year with his receiving ability and special teams acumen before the Chicago Bears signed him. He’s back in the AFL now, and should have an immediate impact along with returning receiving threats Rob Turner and Kevin Ingram giving them three guys who caught 100+ passes last year. The Avengers defense is adept at putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks, masking their inexperience in the secondary. Bottom line? LA’s offense is extremely potent, and I don’t expect New Orleans to be able to trade scores with them for very long before this one gets out of hand. Take LA.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

SportsInsights

Welcome to this week's edition of the Sports Marketwatch – NBA Edition, where the Team at SportsInsights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NBA point-spread marketplace. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports Marketplace! The NBA Edition of the Sports Marketwatch will be a weekly column published on Friday, normally by around 5PM, Eastern Time.

The staff at SportsInsights.com speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. We’ll take a look at what’s in store for today’s NBA games.

Sports Marketplace – NBA Edition

Recapping Last Week’s Action

Last week, we went 1-1, with Charlotte “pushing,” as the Bobcats lost by one point in overtime. The Bulls won their game outright for our winning selection. However, the resurgent 76ers couldn’t get it done versus Orlando. Overall, the NBA Marketwatch is still under water – but is climbing back to respectability.

2007-08 NBA Games to Watch: 7-10-1 = 41.2%

*Source: SportsInsights.com

Sports Marketwatch 2/29/08 – Games to Watch

Sacramento Kings +9.5 over Dallas Mavericks

As our readers know, we sometimes need bad teams to do good things against good teams. This matchup is shaping up to be one of those “Pepto Bismol” games. It’s not that Sacramento is that horrible; they are actually just below .500. However, Sacramento is a very weak 9-21 on the road – while Dallas is tied with Utah for the best record at home in the NBA this season!

Dallas is fighting for first place in their division and boasts an impressive 24-3 record at home. So why do we “like” Sacramento in this matchup? SportsInsights’ sports marketplace statistics show that with only 30% of the bets landing on the Kings, the line actually decreased from the opener of Sacramento +9.5 to Sacramento +9.
This is an indicator of “smart money” betting on Sacramento to stay close enough to Dallas – to cover the game. As usual, we’ll join the “smart money” and take the Kings at a “recent low” (they’ve lost three in a row) and “sell” the Mavs at a “home high.”

Sacramento Kings +9.5

Indiana Pacers +10.5 over Toronto Raptors

At first glance, these teams look like they are headed in opposite directions. Toronto has won 7 of its last 10 while Indy has lost 7 of its last 10. Toronto is firmly established as a playoff contender while Indiana has dropped into a tie for last place in its division.

However, when you take a closer look, you can see that recent performance has magnified the differences between these two teams. That is, up until a few weeks ago, Indy was playing better than .400 ball while Toronto was just barely above .500. That makes us feel that getting double-digit points on Indy is a good value.

This game falls into our “buy low, sell high” value category. Let’s “buy” the Pacers at a “low” and “sell” the Raptors at a “high.” With only 30% of the bets coming in on Indy, the line increased from an opener of Indy +10 to Indy +10.5.

Indiana Pacers +10.5

Washington Wizards +5.5 over Chicago Bulls

SportsInsights’ premium analytical tools helped us to circle this game. The sports marketplace shows that about 70% of the bets are coming in on the lowly Chicago Bulls. The “Public” may be fading the Wizards because of their recent poor play (dragging them below .500!).

However, we love taking the Wizards plus the points against an inferior Chicago Bull team (that is only above .400 ball due to a win in their last outing)! As usual, we’ll “Bet Against the Public” – and take the side of the sportsbooks.

Washington Wizards +5.5

Games to Watch: 7-10-1 = 41.2%

Sacramento Kings +9.5
Indiana Pacers +10.5
Washington Wizards +5.5

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