Monday Service Plays

Monday Service Plays

Dave Cokin

San Diego @ St. Mary's
Play: San Diego +11.5

St. Mary's will be out to avenge their loss at San Diego, but I don't think it comes that easy for the Gaels. The Toreros are a very respectable third-best WCC team, and they're a sensational road team vs. the line. USD is 18-5 ATS in away games, and they've covered eight of nine catching double digits. The home team figures to win outright, but I like improving San Diego to stay within the generous spread.


Nelly

Chicago + over Dallas

Jason Kidd delivered on Sunday with a 17 assist performance but the Mavericks will be overvalued playing the next night back at home. The final score looks like it was a blowout for Dallas in Minnesota but the win required enduring a fierce battle with 13 lead changes before the Mavericks pulled away late. The Timberwolves did not get any breaks in that game at home as the Mavericks were awarded 18 more free throw attempts. The Mavericks have a great nucleus now but it is an aging team that might have trouble facing a quick turnaround against a young Bulls squad. The Bulls lost in Houston last night but Chicago will face shorter travel and will be hungry after a disappointing loss on Sunday. Dallas is just 8-15 ATS in games against the Eastern Conference this season and this could be a letdown spot for Dallas after a nice win to wrap up a long road trip. The Bulls have covered in seven of the last ten games and Chicago still has a lot to play for with its revamped young roster.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Toronto Raptors at Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Toronto Raptors

Reason: The Raptors are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last 4 games. Indiana is 1-4 SU and ATS in their last 5 games. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 17 games as a favorite, Toronto is 12-5 at the window. Indiana is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home dog. In their last 11 games played with 1 day rest between games the Pacers are 3-8 ATS. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to Indiana. The Pacers are 8-20 ATS in the last 28 meetings between the clubs.

Play on the Raptors

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

THE SPORTS REPORTER

BEST BET
*WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE over VALPARAISO by 13

There was a lot of bull talk going around about Valpo making a powerful splash in this, their first go-round in the Horizon. But it seems that was largely . . . simply . . . bull. Crusaders broke out of a five-game slide (including a home loss to Loyola Chicago and a 24-point road loss to Illinois-Chicago) with a spanking of Youngstown State last Saturday.Obviously, that proves little. Using a tight rotation brought on by attrition, UWM took Green Bay by 10, coming off a three-game L streak, but two of those were away from home, and the third was against Butler, so all’s forgiven. The dashing of high expectations suggests Valpo won’t fully recover. Embrace the gutty home side.

WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE, 73-60.


BEST BET
DETROIT over *DENVER by 8

This could be extremely interesting if the Nuggets pull off the long rumored Ron Artest trade, but regardless of whether or not that trade comes to fruition, the Nuggets won’t be able to hang with the Pistons, whose cohesive team play can overcome any offensive gameplan. If Artest has joined the ranks, the Nuggets will suffer from post-trade chemistry problems. If he hasn’t, the Pistons will have one less obstacle to deal with. A loselose situation, if you will.

DETROIT 104-96

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

POINTWISE

WISC-MILWAUKEE over Valparaiso RATING: 5

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Vegas Sports Pics

Marquette Golden Eagles - 1 over (at) Villanova Wildcats
   
No.25 Marquette (20-6, 10-5) is 3-1 last four road games, the loss coming at (now 17-0 home) Notre Dame 86-83. Teams met once last season, Marquette at home beat Villanova 80-67 with Eagle's current top four scorers combining for 67 points.

   
Texas Longhorns + 3 over (at) Kansas State Wildcats
   
No.24 Kansas State (18-8, 6-4) vs. No.7 Texas (23-4, 10-2) looking to hold its one game Big 12 lead is 5-2 vs ranked teams including victories over (at) then No.1 UCLA and (neutral site) now No.1 Tennessee. Horns are 6-3 vs KSU under coach Barnes.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Texas Longhorns at Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State beat Kansas here at home in January 84-75 but has since gone 3-4 in Big 12 play. However, the losses all came on the Conference road while here at home it is 6-0. Texas is cruising along at 23-4 and 10-2 in the Big 12 but its two losses (to Missouri and Oklahoma) came on the Conference road. Last two in this series have been decided by one point with the road sides winning and Kansas State getting the money. There was a 73-72 win by the Wildcats in Austin last year and a 65-64 win by the eight-point choice Longhorns here in 2006.

Play on: Kansas State

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

Game: Washington Wizards at New Orleans Hornets
Prediction: New Orleans Hornets

Note: Hornets return to their Hive looking to extract a bit of revenge against the Wizards. Washington checks in off a mini one-game homestand, a role in which they?ve struggled, going 41-56-8 ATS. Inside those numbers they are 2-17 SU & 2-15-2 ATS this decade when facing a non-conference opponent. Worse yet, the Wizards are looking dead ahead to a same season revenger tomorrow night at Houston. Meanwhile, New Orleans has responded well when seeking revenge this season, going 16-7 SU & ATS in game prior to the All-Star break. Can?t see them letting up here off back-to-back losses, especially against at team they?ve defeated 10 times in a row as a host. Tie that into the Wizards? putrid 8-28 ATS mark in straight-up losses against avenging non-conference foes and we have the makings of the Killer Bees at their very best here tonight. KEY STAT: Washington is 1-10-2 ATS in games after facing Charlotte.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Greg Daraban

Atlanta (22-31) at San Antonio (37-17)

Two teams going in opposite directions. Atlanta has lost 7 of 10. The Spurs have won 5 straight and 9 of 10. They win and cover.

Take San Antonio

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

EdgeOnOdds

Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers
Pick: Over 207.5

Reasoning: The Raptors and Pacers kick off a new week of betting in the NBA. Both of these teams are heading in different directions. Indiana has dropped 4 of their last 5 while the Raptors have won 4 of their last 6. The total in this game is set a little bit low for the style these two teams play. Toronto has the 8th ranked defense and it shows on their home court. This season the Raps have played 50% of their home games under the total. On the road they have kept only 9 of their 26 games under the total. Toronto being a younger team they often fall into the trap of playing the other teams game. Tonight you will see that with an Pacers team that scores over 104 points per game and can not keep teams below 105. At home this year the pacers have played over the total 15 of 25 times. Ever since O’Neal went out with a knee injury on the 29th the pacers have lost almost all inside presence. With Jermaine out of the lineup the over has profited players with a 6-4-4 record. The last game played in Indiana in November flew way over the set total of 195 with a combined score of 213. Jump on OVER 207.5 today in what has all the makings of a high paced high scoring ball game.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Peter Loshak

Wisconsin-Milwaukee is seeking revenge from a 2-point loss at Valparaiso back in January.  Make your play on the Panthers at home tonight when they host the Crusaders.

The overnight line for a key Horizon League matchup on Monday between Valparaiso and Wisconsin-Milwaukee has caught my eye. UWM was installed as only a two-point favorite at opening, a line which has since risen a half-point, and I think it is still a little low. I’ll take a shot with the Panthers at that line, which may well have risen a bit further still by game time.

Both teams played in the BracketBuster series of mid-major showdowns on Saturday, which may serve to set UWM up for a strong showing on Monday. Valparaiso beat MAC mediocrity Miami-Ohio in double OT on the road, while UWM lost on the road to Bradley, a decent MVC squad. Valparaiso’s game may have taken a lot out of them, while UWM may have gotten a bit of a wake-up call to get back down to winning.

UWM has now lost five out of their last six, but four of those games were on the road and their two home games consisted of a solid win over Wisconsin-Green Bay, a similar team to Valparaiso, and a tough OT loss to nationally ranked Horizon League powerhouse Butler. All of the Panthers' losing has taken place against tough teams in tough circumstances, and I don’t think it is indicative of any kind of fundamental slide on their part. But all those losses are, I think, what is serving to keep their line for this game lower that it ought to be.

Valparaiso, for their part, is a solid Horizon team. Their BracketBuster win showed notably resilient character, and they are clearly a team that does have ability to compete well. But they are also still a team that for the most part, loses its road games against capable conference foes. The Crusaders have lost their last four conference road games in a row, all against competition roughly equivalent to Milwaukee's.

With their OT loss to Butler and their BracketBuster loss on Saturday, I think UWM will be unusually eager to secure a win here, and Valparaiso may well not have the fortitude to stand up to UWM’s determination in this instance. So I’ll go with what I see as value on the side of the Panthers -2½ on Monday evening.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Scott Spreitzer
Raptors


Cappers Access
Villanova
Kansas St


Joe Wiz
Coll Of Charleston
Valpo


Mighty Quinn
Valparaiso


Redzone Sports
Wash


Glen Mcgrew
Gonzaga


Arthur Ralph
Marquette

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Marquette at VILLANOVA -1

Should be a good one in the Big East tonight, but we are going to side with the home team in this battle, as Villanova appears to have shaken off their recent 1-6 tailspin.

The Wildcats have rattled off 3 wins in a row, including a gut-check 67-65 win over red-hot Connecticut over the weekend.

Marquette is on a bit of a roll as well, as Tom Crean's team has won 4 straight, and are on a 5-game spread winning streak as well. Our feeling is the home court edge will make the difference tonight, as 5 of Marquette's 6 losses this season have come on the road.

The Golden Eagles have solidified their credentials for next month's Big Dance, while Villanova could use another big win to add to their resume. Look for that win to come tonight over Top-25 Marquette.

Play on the Wildcats.

4* VILLANOVA

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

Take the Pacers at home.

Indiana is a disappointing and beat up club that doesn't really defend that much and the Pacers are up against a talented Raptors' squad but the situation is not ripe at all for the visting boys from Canada.

Tonight marks the third game in four days for Toronto after that home-and-home split with the Knicks as well as the dreaded back-to-back with travel. Sure Chris Bosh, Andrea Bargnani and Toronto are better than Indiana but there is going to be an exhaustion factor that should be too much to overcome.

Danny Granger has been very good and Mike Dunleavy is alright himself. Add in the home court, the more rested team and a few points and I'll take my chances on the 22-34 Pacers.

Indiana has dropped 11 of 14 but they are still not a terrible team and if there is any spot for them to grab a solid win this is it. The situation is great for Reggie Miller's old team to get a recent rare win.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Jim Feist

DET Pistons @ DEN Nuggets

It’s always tough for teams in any sport to head to Denver because of the high altitude. Detroit is not only a long way from home, but in a difficult scheduling spot, playing the second of a back to back road game. The Pistons played Sunday at Phoenix in a national TV showdown, and now have to fly to Denver. The Nuggets are rested and like to run, running right at the tired veteran Detroit legs. They are also money makers at home, at 22-6 SU, 17-11 ATS.

Play the Nuggets

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Alex Smart

Game: Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Hornets
Prediction: Washington Wizards

Reason: The Washington Wizards enter into this tilt against the New Orleans Hornets off a lop sided win vs the Charlotte Bobcats last time out. They won that contest despite of playing without Caron Butler and Gilbert Arenas. The Wizards have proved that they own a cohesive bench that is able to play with heart and determination, making them a good bet as double digit underdogs in this spot. Final notes & Key Trends: Washington has covered 4 straight as road dogs and are 20-7 ATS L27 away as a dog of 6.5 to 12 points.

Play on the Wizards

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

San Diego vs. Saint Marys CA
Play: San Diego   

St. Mary’s looks like the perfect take here. The Gaels are coming off their first home loss of the season and they are now playing with some revenge following their only conference loss of the season that took place in San Diego exactly four weeks ago. The problem is that both of these factors are being taken into consideration with this line as it has been overadjusted making a St. Mary’s play impossible and thus putting the Toreros in the spot now.

Let’s take one quick look at how this line has been overadjusted. Earlier in the season, St. Mary’s was favored by 14 points at home over Santa Clara, who is 5-6 in the conference. Now, the Gaels are favored over a 9-2 San Diego team by nearly the same amount points as that? I need to hear the explanation of this because it does not make sense no matter how many ways you look at it. Revenge can only go so far especially when playing against a team that is just a game back in the conference standings.

San Diego has won eight of its last nine games with the one loss being a home defeat to Gonzaga by just four points. As a matter of fact, the Toreros have lost only twice since January 12th and both of those defeats were against the Bulldogs. They have won five straight games on the road including a victory over Santa Clara this past weekend it what easily could have been a huge lookahead spot. Instead, the Toreros simply played their game and continued their solid season.

St. Mary’s is pretty banged up as well. Center Omar Samhan and forward Lucas Walker both incurred right shoulder injuries on Saturday. Samhan is a game-time decision and Walker is questionable. Samhan, who hurt that same shoulder against Santa Clara 12 days ago, did not return to the game. In the first meeting, St. Mary’s struggled to contain Brandon Johnson and Gyno Pomare, who scored 25 and 20 points respectively. San Diego was successful, just like Kent St. was, in slowing the pace to a half court game.

St. Mary’s has struggled in games when it cannot control the tempo, going 3-12 ATS against teams that allow 64 or fewer ppg over the last two seasons. San Diego meanwhile is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more and 13-3 ATS in road conference games over the last two seasons. The Toreros are also in a solid situation. Play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after three or more straight covers and playing their 2nd game in three days. This situation is 38-16 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons.

Play San Diego Toreros 1 Unit

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Game: San Francisco at Santa Clara
Prediction: Santa Clara

Reason: Santa Clara is 4-0 Straight Up and ATS their last 4 games vs. San Francisco and they are 7-3 ATS their last 10 conference games. The Broncos are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage under 40%. San Francisco is 0-6 ATS with same season revenge and they are 2-10 ATS off losing 2 of their last 3 games. The Dons are 2-7 ATS on Monday and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 conference games. PLAY ON SANTA CLARA

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

John Ryan

Game: San Diego at St. Marys
Prediction: San Diego

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on San Diego ? AiS shows a 70% probability that SD will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. Many of you benefitted greatly from my winning 10* Monster DOG Game of the Year on ken State when they won straight up on the road against St., Mary?s and were installed as a 8.5 point dog too. This loss at home is devastating to St. Mary?s, who to this point had believed they were a true and worthy top-25 team in the country. Not the case come Monday morning and this hangover ? no matter what team we are talking about ? will have a distinct effect in the next game. AiS also shows a 79% probability that SD will hit at least 40% from the field tonight. Note that SD is 12-3 ATS when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 38-16 ATS for 70% since 2002. Play on road dogs of 10 to 19.5 points after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and is playing their 2nd game in 3 days. Take SD to keep this game much closer than anyone believes possible.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Robert Ross

Game: Marquette at Villanova
Prediction: Marquette

Reason: Doubt Villanova can regroup and come up with another supreme effort to topple Marquette after its two-point home win over Connecticut Saturday. Golden Eagles have won four straight and seven-of-nine and are 3-1 on the Conference road after an 0-3 start.

Take Marquette!

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Washington Wizards (+) @ New Orleans

The Wizards are a classic example of an ugly dog in this spot. Washington, despite still dealing with injuries to Caron Butler and Gilbert Arenas, is playing much better than many expected they would. They can absolutely compete here with a Hornets team that has struggled recently. New Orleans is coming off back to back losses including a tough defeat at San Antonio on Saturday night. That leaves New Orleans with a little bit of a "hangover" heading into this game and we don't expect them to 'shake it' quickly. The fact is that the Hornets will be able to run and gun tonight since that's what the Wizards like to do also. However, the dropoff in defensive intensity for the Hornets will mean that the road team should be able to stay inside the big number in this one all game long.

Play Washington plus the points.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44846
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
281036
Average Posts Per Hour:
2.7
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3564
Newest User:
Troy
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2547

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com