Saturday Service Plays
Re: Saturday Service Plays
Memphis (POD) -6.5
I understand that Tennessee is a good team - heck, in fact, I'm a SEC fan so why wouldn't I give props to the SEC any chance I can. However, the Vols on the road have been vulnerable this year - although they have played very well as well including winning at Xavier. However, I do remember John Calipari in the Tennessee game at Tennessee and he was aboslutely furious with his team. Derek Rose completes this already very talented team and you better believe that Tiger stadium will be rocking tonight. The Vols are the same team that won at Xavier, but also the same team that lost to Kentucky on the road by 6 on the road, beat LSU by just 2 on the road - a team that is in the top 175 power rankings and lost to Texas by 19 on neutral footing. This team beat Gonzaga at home by 8 and Arizona at home by 13 and make no mistake about it, this game will be very close, but I think with free throws and some late fouls, this game does in fact go to Memphis's favor with revenge here. This team would love to run up the score if given the opportunity on their in-state rival. Do I have any great fabulous trends favoring this play? However, I do like Memphis in this spot.
I have a detailed principle book in which to take plays on. The Wizards simply fit into this category here. Yes, they have lost their last 9 of 10, but they have been facing injuries which has hurt them a great deal. They finally return to the safe confines of home to face a Bobcat team that is just 4-19 on the road. This team might have shot their wad last night against a Kings team they lost to outright at home in overtime. There will be no Gerald Wallace today as well who was carried out on a stretcher last night. This team will suffer on the defensive side a great deal without Wallace as they will have to rely on Jason Richardson and Okafor more than ever. Both of these players will be equalized by Hawyood and Jamison down low. After a frustrating loss to the Cavs on the road, the Wizards are looking to beat up on anyone as they return home for a big home win. This team let a 9 point lead over the Knicks slip at home in their last home game and I don't see that happening today. The Bobcats lost by 20 to the Spurs, 26 to Detroit, 14 to Phoenix, 16 to Denver, 31 to Golden State and 14 to the Kings in their last series of road games. The Wizards can cover this spread simply lack depth. The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS as dogs by this margin of late and the Wizards are 4-0 ATS after a straight up loss.
Hornets/Spurs Under 183.5
The Spurs were embarassed at home by this Hornet team last time they played by a final score of 102-78. The game totaled 190 and the public is pounding the over fairly hard in this game - however, what people fail to realize is that when the Spurs do terrible in their previous game against a team, they rely on their defense heavily. Thomas is questionable in this game, so this team will rely on their half-cour set as they will still have to rely on Manu and Duncan for most of their offense without Parker. I look for the Spurs to come out with a great deal of defensive intensity and frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Spurs cove here, but would rather take the under. The under is 6-1 for the Hornets as a road underdog by this margin and the under is 4-0 for the Spurs when they play a team with a winning road record at home - meaning when they play the better teams in the league, they look to slow the pace down and typically play better defense.