Saturday Service Plays

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Odds on Sports

NCAA Hoops:

Saint Louis +7

Boise st -8

SD st +3

NBA:

Under 212.5 Nuggets/Bucks

Spurs -6.5

Nets -4

NHL:

Over 5.5 Dallas/Nashville

Atlanta +118

Under 5.5 Det/Vancouver

Under 6 Wash/Carolina

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Johnny Guild

Philadelphia 76ers (24-32) at Miami Heat (9-44)

The 76ers are a poor road team, just 9-18 this season and have just one win in their last 7 games in Miami, Even so, Philadelphia should be able to notch a road victory against the collapse Heat. Miami has lost 10 straight, 25 of its last 26 games and is a ghastly 5-21 at home this season. Take Philadelphia for their fifth straight win over Miami. The 76ers are 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last 6 clashes versus Miami

Philadelphia 76ers + 2


New Mexico Lobos + 3
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - 2.5
Texas Longhorns - 9
Tennessee Volunteers + 6

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Docs

4 Unit Play. #758 Take Washington -4 over Arizona State
The Huskies have really shown me something of late having won three out of their last four games including two against likely tournament teams in Arizona and UCLA. ASU has yet to get back on track after a hot start and they have lost seven of their last nine and will have no answer for Jon Brockman inside the paint.

4 Unit Play. #764 Take Michigan +1 ½ over Illinois
This line kinda surprises me and if you throw out Illinois performance Minnesota this squad has lost five straight games. That was a fluke and this squad lost their next two games after that amazing performance. This is a veteran team that has quite on Coach Weber and that does not bode well for the rest of the season. Michigan has won three out of their last four games and will take care of business again on Saturday as they are starting to learn the new coaches system.

4 Unit Play. #778 Take Florida Atlantic -1 ½ over Mid Tennessee State
The Owls have yet to lose to the Raiders ever and that streak will remain alive on Saturday night. MTS is coming off a victory over Denver but that was a low scoring game and it will be tough for them to adjust to an up-tempo style. This game will be in the seventies and that will allow the Owls to earn the victory.

4 Unit Play. #788 Take Tulane -2 ½ over Southern Miss
This is more a play against the Golden Eagles, who are just 1-9 when playing on the road. This is an important game for both, as the winner will jump in the standing and improve their seed for the upcoming Conference USA Tournament and thus have a better chance of getting blown out by Memphis. David Gomez will go for 20+ point again giving his squad the edge.

4 Unit Play. #794 Take Baylor -1 ½ over Kansas State
Yes this may be a chance bet, but Baylor has too much talent to continue to lose games @ the Ferrell Center. They are out of the tournament as it stands now and must play their way back into it. K-State has an all-everything player in Michael Beasley, but he cannot win this game alone and Baylor has the better balanced squad. The Wildcats have lost three straight road games and if Baylor can get off to a good start for a chance, they will win this game with ease.

Bracket Buster Games

4 Unit Play. #826 Take Northern Arizona -3 over Wichita State
The Shockers play in a much more difficult conference but have been the most disappointing team in the MVC this season. Their conference record is 3-13 and they are just 2-8 when playing on the road. The Lumberjacks can still light up the scoreboard @ the Skydome and this is an important game for the Big Sky to shown they belong with some of the top mid major conferences in the land.

4 Unit Play. #853 Take Drake +5 over Butler
This line really surprises me, as Butler has not been blowout out very many teams in the Horizon and now must face the best the MVC has to offer. The Bulldogs last two victories came by just five points each game and Drake continues to be undervalued night in and night out. Drake has won the last two meetings between the programs and you can expect more of the same on Saturday and this will be low scoring and go right down to the wire and getting two field goals makes this the only side to consider. The Bulldogs will have no answer for Josh Young and his assistants.

5 Unit Play. #876 Take Green Bay +1 ½ over Western Michigan
Bracket Buster Game of the Year. Again the wrong team is favored, as the Horizon is a better conference then the MAC according to the RPI rankings. The Phoenix have been terrible on the road, but this one comes @ Resch Center, as place where they have won 75% of their games this season. They also have great balance, as all five starters had at least 8 points in their last game including four who reached double-digits. The MAC West is a terrible conference as only one team sits over .500 and that means that the Broncos have not been challenged to much during conference play. They are just 4-8 on road and the Horizon will flex their muscles in this affair.

4 Unit Play. #881 Take Hawaii -4 over UC-Riverside
The Big West is TRASH and Riverside is one of the worst teams in that league. Hawaii has been on the island for a couple days and had Fresno State beat before falling apart during the last minute. The Highlanders have been blown out numerous times this season and will be lucky if they can reach the Big West Tournament as the last seed. Hawaii gets a lead on Saturday and keeps it as this is just a play against Riverside one of the worst teams on the face of the earth. The WAC is a much better conference then the Big West and if you handicap according to conference strength you will be much more successful.

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Scott Sprietzer

big-12 blowout gom
Texas A&M


bracket buster goy
Kent State


cbb hammer
Boise State

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Seabass

20* colorado st
20* Duke
20* Arkansas
20* Baylor
50* Villanova
50* Tex A&M
50* Washington
50* Memphis/Tenn Over
100* Ohio U
300* SD St.

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Winners Margin

10 *West Virginia
5* Miss St
5* Temple

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Fat Jack

Villanova
Peperdine
Indiana
Colo St
Niagra

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PowerPlaywins

New Mexico +3

Denver Nuggets -3

Tennessee +6

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Dominic Brando Sports

100 Unit Golden Star Lock: UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -5/-120

100 Unit Golden Star Lock: BUTLER BULLDOGS -5

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Smart Money Cbb

Nebraska + 11


Executive

300* Villanova


Maddux Sports

Pac 10 Goy Oregon + 14 5 Units

All 3 Units

Vandy - 9
Baylor - 1
Memphis - 6
Kent St + 8

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Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball

5-Unit Play. #826 Take Northern Arizona -2.5 over Wichita State

This one's a Bracket Buster mismatch. NAU has been a tough out at home this season, while the Shockers are a miserable 2-8 on the road. Wichita State has dropped three in a row and eight of their last ten, and their last five on the road. This one goes to the Lumberjacks by double digits.

5-Unit Play. #855 Take Miami (OH) +1 over Valparaiso

Coming into the season, the Redhawks were one of the top mid-major teams to watch. And while they have struggled to a degree, they are still a strong team, and back on the big stage for Bracket Buster Saturday they will bring their 'A' game and impress with a victory. Valpo is on the decline, losers of seven of its last ten, while going 1-7-2 ATS in those games. Miami Ohio has gone 9-4 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games, and have also covered its last four road games. Behind Michael Bramos and Tim Pollitz, it will be the Redhawks that come through on the road.

5-Unit Play. #867 Take Tennessee Martin +3 over Elon

The wrong team is favored here, and the Skyhawks of UTM will prove that with an outright victory over the Phoenix. Tennessee Martin has won five straight and have been one of the best college money makers this year at 16-8-1 ATS. They boast the nation's leading scorer in Lester Hudson, and this kid is a hidden gems among college offensive weapons. He and his team like to get up and down the court and attack from three point range. They are the stronger team, and its the Skyhawks that take this Bracket Buster match-up.

7-Unit Game of the Month Play. #805 Take Tennessee +6 over Memphis

Quite possibly the game of the year in college hoops, but it will be #2 Tennessee that take this Volunteer state match-up. Under Bruce Pearl, UT has been extremely successful in big games. They are 16-6 ATS when receiving points, including an impressive 9-1 when facing superior competition of .770 or better. Tennessee ranks No. 1 in assists in the country, No. 2 in steals and No. 5 in three-point field goal percentage allowed. The Volunteers will win the three's and the free throw battle. Tennessee is deeper and a more dangerious team, and getting points certainly gives them a lot of value. I love their ability to score from six to eight different players. Chris Lofton is playing as well as he has this season, while JaJuan, Tyler and Ramar Smith are a very strong trio just the same. Here, it will be Tennessee that wins this game and takes over as the nation's top team.

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Net Prophet

NBA

New Orleans +6' over San Antonio

NHL

Washington/Carolina OVER 6 -125

CBB

Georgia Tech +3' over Virginia Tech
St. Louis +7 over Charlotte
Ohio -1 over George Mason
High Point +2 over Towson State

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Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ VCU at Akron (11 a.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #881 Hawaii (-3) over UC-Riverside (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #869 Indiana State (+3) over Murray State (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #741 Oregon (+14) over UCLA (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #828 James Madison (-6) over Morehead State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #885 Evansville (-2.5) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #805 Tennessee (+6) over Memphis (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #794 Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #876 Wisconsin-Green Bay (+2) over Western Michigan (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #900 Fresno State (-8.5) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

3-Unit Play. Take #813 BYU (-3) over San Diego State (11 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

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BURNS NBA

SPURS
Game: New Orleans Hornets vs. San Antonio Spurs Game Time: 2/23/2008 8:35:00 PM Prediction: San Antonio Spurs Reason: I'm laying the points with SAN ANTONIO. The Hornets were in the midst of a major winning streak when they traveled here last month. They were able to keep that momentum going, blowing out the Spurs in front of the San Antonio faithful. The Spurs, 3-1 SU/ATS the last four times they were attempting to avenge a home loss, are playing better now than they were then though, going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS their last four games. Conversely, the Hornets are now coming in off a blowout loss suffered at the hands of the Rockets last night. They'll now be playing their third "Texas team" in the past four days. While the Hornets were busy getting beaten up by the Rockets, the Spurs had last night off. San Antonio got Tony Parker back last game. He'll be gradually working his way back into the lineup but should be stronger with a game under his belt and will boost an already powerful lineup. The Spurs have only played one home game since last month's loss to the Hornets here and they allowed just 65 points, winning by 20. The Spurs know how important this game is. Look for their "big game experience" to make a difference as they avenge the earlier loss in convincing fashion, dropping the Hornets to 19-34 ATS the last 53 times they were listed as road underdogs in the +3 to +6.5 range. *Personal Favorite

UNDER Lakers/Clippers
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Lakers and Clippers to finish UNDER the number. Everyone saw the Lakers and Suns play an extremely high-scoring game against each other in Shaq's Phoenix debut. That helped cause last night's Suns over/under line to be higher than it should be (game finished below the number by more than 50) and I feel that it's done the same to tonight's Lakers' number. In fact, I looked at 20 meetings between these teams, dating back to 2003, and NONE of them had an over/under line even close to this high. Keep in mind that the Lakers have still seen five of their past nine games stay below the total and that they've also seen the UNDER go 11-8 on the season after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game. Despite playing a high-scoring game last night, the Clippers have still seen the UNDER go 16-11 in their "home" games and 31-21 on the season. That includes a profitable 18-9 mark when matched up against a team which allows 99 or more points per game. Looking back further and we find that the Clippers have seen the UNDER go an extremely healthy 58-34-3 the past three seasons when facing a team which allows 99 or more points per game. The last two times that the Clippers played the second of back to back games (02/02 and 02/09) they managed to score just 80 and 84 points. Both those games stayed below the number and I expect tonight's game to do the same. *Pacific Division TOM

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BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL

WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
Game: Wis-Milwaukee vs. Bradley Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Wis-Milwaukee Reason: I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE. I played on Bradley in their last game and the Braves scored an emotional upset win at Drake. However, this is a difficult spot to be laying this many points. Off back to back big conference wins, the Braves also have a big "revenge" game vs. Southern Illinois on deck. Yes, the Braves have been winning recently. However, they've also gotten used to playing very close games. The one-point win at Drake marked the sixth time in 12 games that the Braves saw a final score decided by four points or less. Note that the Braves have only been favored by in the -8 to -12 range once in 2008. That game came on 1/19. Laying -9 vs. Evansville, they won by only a single point. Conversely, the Panthers have been underogs in the +8 to +12 range twice since Christmas and they won both those game outright. On 12/29, getting a dozen points, they won at Wyoming. Then, on 1/10, listed as +10 underdogs at Valparaiso, the Panthers again won outright. Dating back to that win over Wyoming, the Panthers have gone 10-5 in 15 games. Only one of those 15 games resulted in a loss of greater than 10 points and that came at Butler more than a month ago. Catching the Braves in a tough scheduling situation and playing without their third leading scorer (Andrew Warren broke his hand vs. Creighton and he averages 13.1 points per game) look for this evening's game to be closer than expected once again.

MEMPHIS
Game: Tennessee vs. Memphis Game Time: 2/23/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Memphis Reason: I'm laying the points with MEMPHIS. The Volunteers and Tigers are ranked #1 and #2 in the country so it goes without saying that they're both very talented teams. They've got some similarites too. Both teams are deep, both are well-coached and both love to run up and down the floor. While the Volunteers would love to hand the Tigers their first loss, I feel that Memphis' homecourt advantage will be too much to overcome. This game is absolutely huge in Memphis and tickets have been going for a fortune. The FedExForum crowd will surely be extremely fired up and that will provide both energy and confidence to the Tigers, who have won 47 straight here. Make no mistake, these teams don't like each other. The coaches don't like each other and neither do the players. In addition to having homecourt in their favor, the Tigers will have some additional motivation. For starters, a lot of people still doubt them and say that their perfect record has been padded by beating up on weak teams. The Tigers are sick of hearing that and a convincing win today will go a long way in putting that topic to rest once and for all. For the record, Memphis beat UConn, Georgetown and Arizona ALL by double-digits while knocking off Gonzaga by "only" eight. Additionally, the Tigers will have major payback on their minds, as the Vols handed them their most embarrassing loss of the season last year. Coach Calipari didn't look at the tape from that game for a full year but he pulled it out this past week. As Calipari says: "This is an ego thing." Look for the Tigers to have their revenge, remain perfect on the season and improve to 6-1 ATS the last seven times they were favored by eight points or less. *Non-Conf. GOY

VILLANOVA
Game: Connecticut vs. Villanova Game Time: 2/23/2008 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Villanova Reason: I'm playing on VILLANOVA. The Huskies have been on quite a roll and have earned some impressive victories during their winning streak. They've shown signs of slowing down lately though and I feel that they're ready to see that streak come to an end this afternoon. I played on the Huskies three games ago. That turned out to be a winner as they knocked off Notre Dame by six points. However, I felt rather fortunate to get that win as they were challenged the entire way. That was at home though. In their next game, the Huskies went on the road and just barely defeated South Florida, Most recently, the Huskies had real trouble with Depaul, eventually winning by only five as double-digit home favorites. Villanova represents a step up from either Depaul or South Florida and the Wildcats are starting to play their best basketball. After suffering through a tough stretch through late January and early February, the Wildcats have started playing much better the past few weeks. Four games ago, they snapped their losing streak by defeating Seton Hall. They followed that up by losing by only two on a controversial call at #8 Georgetown, a venue where UConn also lost. The Wildcats followed up that easy cover by winning by 18 points at St Johns. Most recently, they crushed West Virginia here by 22 points. Note that West Virginia won by 17 when it played at South Florida, the team which gave UConn so much trouble in its last road game. Despite earning a couple of "covers" as underdogs in their recent win streak, the Huskies remain an ugly 3-11 ATS (2-12 SU) the last 14 times they were listed as underdogs, including a 1-3 ATS mark the last four times they were underdogs of four points or less. The Wildcats won at UConn last season. They also won 69-64 the last time the teams met in Philadelphia. They've gone 23-7 the last 30 times that they were coming off a game which saw them allow 60 points or less and I look for them to continue their strong recent play this afternoon. *Big East GOM

UNDER washington state/arizona
Game: Arizona vs. Washington St. Game Time: 2/23/2008 10:00:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Arizona and Washington State to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a high-scoring game when they faced each other at Arizona. That's no surprise really though. Washington State's road games have been higher-scoring than it's home games while Arizona has played higher-scoring games at home. Playing on their homecourt allows the Wildcats to more effectively dictate the tempo, which they'd like to speed up. Arizona's last two opponents provide a good example. Last time out, the Wildcats played at Washington. The teams combined for 141 points and the game stayed below the number. However, when the teams had met at Arizona previously, they finished "over" the total with 153 points. Prior to facing the Huskies, the Wildcats hosted Stanford. That game finished with 133 points, sneaking above the number. However, when the same teams met at Stanford, the Cardinal were able to dictate the pace and the teams combined for a mere 108 points. Like Stanford, the Cougars have an excellent defense. Indeed, last time out they held Arizona State to just 47 points, marking the fourth straight opponent to finish with 57 or less. Previously, they went into Oregon and held the Ducks to only 53. Both those games fell below the number. For the season, the Cougars are allowing just 51.9 points per game here with those games averaging less than 120 combined points. The Cougars, who lost the earlier meeting at Arizona, have seen the UNDER go 12-8 the past three seasons when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that time, the UNDER was also a perfect 3-0 when they were listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Despite Washington State's tendency to play lower-scoring games at home and Arizona's tendency to play lower-scoring games on the road, tonight's total is even slightly higher than it was for the earlier meeting. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Look for the Cougars to slow things down, play their usual excellent defense, and for the final combined score to fall beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

JOHN RYAN

Indiana State vs. Murray State

Play: Indiana State

Indiana State Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Indiana State – AiS shows a 72% probability that Indiana State will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. ISU is coming off a huge OT win against Wichita State. Tuesday’s comeback win in overtime against Wichita State was one of the biggest in years for the Sycamores. ISU erased a 21-point deficit to the Shockers with approximately nine minutes left in the game and later had to come back from a nine-point deficit with just a 1:22 left in the game. However, ISU forced the game into overtime and came away with an 83-73 win over the Shockers. When any team wins in this fashion it always provides a huge emotional life for several games. ISU has a solid defense especially defending the perimeter. Defending the three-pointer has been a strong point for Indiana State this season, as they are allowing opponents to shoot just .343 from beyond the arc on the season, which ranks second in the league and have allowed a league-low 154 treys. That defensive effort shone through last Tuesday when Bradley, which entered the game seventh nationally with 233 three pointers this season, made just 4-of-27 (.148) attempts from behind the arc against the Sycamores, which helped ISU snap a five-game losing skid. Take Indiana State and look for the SU win as well.

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Malinsky

6* KANSAS OREGON ST
5* N TEXAS
4* MARYLAND N ARZ BOISE ST


Special K 3 pack

20* Texas A&M
20* Tennessee Volunteers
20* Oregon Ducks

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Ethan LAW

Syndicate play

$60,000 RELEASE, HIGHEST PLAY OF THE YEAR

OKLAHOMA

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Brandon Lovell

10* NCAAB ODU -12.5

10* NCAAB Wisconsin - Milwaukee +11

5* NCAAB Drake +5

5* NCAAB GA Southern +3.5

5* NCAAB Niagara +5.5

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Executive

Mia Fla GOY

G Washington


ETHAN LAW

2* Oregon State
1* Butler
1* Ill. Chicago
1/2* Colorado
1/2* Nevada
1/2* Kent State


The Killer Move's picks for Saturday:

10* New Orleans/San Antonio UNDER
10* Weber State
10* Drake


Gameday

4* Texas A & M
3* Temple
3* Vandy
2* Maryland
2* Ariz St
2* Drake
2* Flor Atl


Gametime Sports

10* Arkansas
10* Tex A&M
5* Memphis u
5* Nova
5* Weber St
4* Colo.St

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