Saturday Service Plays

Saturday Service Plays

THE SPORTS MEMO

DONNIE BLACK

Iowa at Michigan State
Recommendation: Michigan State

Michigan State will undoubtedly be gunning for revenge this week as they return home for a two game stand. The road weary Spartans have lost three of four heading into the new week after dropping an inexcusable game at short handed Penn State, falling short in a come back effort atPurdue,and getting blown out at Indiana over the weekend. Their first opportunity at redemption comes midweek against Penn State, but the one I think the Spartans really want is this weekend against Iowa. Look for the Penn State game to serve as a tune up for the Hawkeyes, and look for a blowout victory for team Izzo. You’ll recall the first meeting in Iowa City in mid January when Michigan State failed to score 20 points in either half, losing in perhaps the worst effort during coach Izzo’s tenure. Iowa limited MSU to 16-52 shooting from the floor, 3-12 from distance, while winning the turnover battle by 10 (18 to 8). The shell-shocked Spartans shot just four free throws and made just one compared to Iowa’s 16-of-29 effort, showing no aggressiveness whatsoever. Drew Neitzel was limited to just 22 points combined in the losses at Iowa, Penn State and Purdue but did show some life at Indiana dropping 21. He has averaged 17 points per game over his lastfour home games and should find some operating room in this revenge spot. Also look for big days fromRaymar Morgan andKalin Lucas as the Spartans will push tempo and dictate pace.Lay what figures to be double digits as this projects as a rout


BRENT CROW

Arkansas at Kentucky
Recommendation: Kentucky

The Kentucky Wildcats have become one of the better stories inthe SEC this year, rallying from an embarrassing start to becomeone of the top teams in the conference. Kentucky is 7-3 in leagueplay and should improve to 8-3 with a win over Georgia this weekto set up a battle with Arkansas on Saturday night. Not many people would have expected the Wildcats to be in this position after losing to the likes of Gardner Webb, UAB and San Diego at home,but Billy Gillispie has done a nice job keeping his players focusedafter the tough start. Kentucky has also gotten healthier, eventhough they still have some nagging injuries, at least their topfive players are on the court for most games now. The Cats area perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home in league play, and they facean Arkansas team that has struggled away from home. Arkansas is just 2-3 on the road in the SEC, with their wins coming againstlowly LSU and Auburn. The Hogs have never really played totheir potential this season under first year coach John Pelphrey,who had five returning starters to work with. One key for Arkansas has been the sophomore slump of guard Patrick Beverly. He has not improved on his outstanding freshman season and averages just 11 ppg on the road in SEC play. Kentucky matches up well on the perimeter with Beverly and the Arkansas guards and should keep this home SEC record perfect with a win today


TEDDY COVERS

Colorado at Missouri
Recommendation: Colorado

Colorado is a bottom feeder in the Big 12, sitting in last place inthe conference with only three weeks remaining in the regularseason. But don’t confuse the Buffaloes with most bottom feeders around the nation – this team hasn’t quit on their coach or heir season, showing dramatic signs of improvement in recentweeks. This should be no surprise to those who have followed thecareer of first year head coach Jeff Bzdelik, the coach who engineered the amazing turnaround at Air Force earlier this decade.Bzdelik’s team has hung tough with some elite level squads inrecent weeks, including a tight two point loss as 17.5 point roadunderdogs at Texas, a one-point loss as ten point underdogs at Oklahoma State and a pointspread cover in the game against top notch Kansas this past weekend. The Buffaloes have covered four straight and eight of their last ten, but they’ve retained their pointspreadvalue, winning only two of those games in outright fashion.Missouri, on the other hand, is struggling down the stretch.They’ve lost three of their last four at home in outright fashion,including an ugly loss as a favorite against another bottom feeder,Nebraska. In the first meeting between these two schools, Colorado blew a 13-point lead in the final ten minutes of the game ina four point spread covering loss to the Tigers. No surprise hereif this game comes down to the wire as well – the Tigers will behard pressed to win this game at all, let alone finding a way to win this game by a big enough margin to cover this pointspread.


MARTY OTTO

Arkansas at Kentucky
Recommendation: Kentucky

The Kentucky Wildcats were absolutely embarrassed by Vanderbilttwo weeks ago in a 93-52 beat-down in Nashville. It was the type of result maybe some had come to expect from a team that earlier inthe year lost to Gardner Webb. But Billy Gillispie’s team has come a long way to post a modest 13-10 overall record with a solid 7-3 mark in SEC play. The Wildcats showed some real grit in coming back to beat LSU over the weekend and have a winnable game midweek against Georgia at home before welcoming Arkansas. While many analysts had counted UK out of the race for the big dance, with the third best overall record in the SEC regardless of division, and with a schedule the could potentially produce a 5-1 finish to the season,I think they are still very much alive. Think about it, UK could finish with 18 wins and a conference mark of 12-4, no committee member would deny that resume. So this game becomes a must win. I like the Cats at home against an Arkansas team that is 1-5 ATS overall away from home and has their only conference road wins over bottom feeders Auburn and LSU. A pressing, perimeter oriented team like the Razorbacks should be a nice matchup for UK as they can stick the likes of Joe Crawford, Ramel Bradley and the long G/F Perry Stevenson on shooters while allowing Patrick Patterson to control the boards inside. I’ll call for Kentucky to push their record to 6-0 SU and ATS at home in SEC by the time Saturday is over. Take UK


ROB VENO

New Orleans at San Antonio
Recommendation: San Antonio

Spurs showed solid signs of adjusting to life without star point guard Tony Parker by closing out their pre-all star break east coast road swing with back-to-back wins over Cleveland and Toronto. Overall, San Antonio went 5-1 straight and 4-2 against the spread on the trip and expect that run to carry over and motivate the defending champs right out of the post all-star gate. The Spurs’ soft schedule to open this week (home vs. Charlotte and at Minnesota) figures to add a pair of wins to their current streak and allow them to be fresh for this ultimate revenge spot. San Antonio was embarrassed right here on their home floor 102-78 by this New Orleans squad less than a month ago so be assured that this is a contest the Spurs have circled. Combine that motive with the 10-team fight for survival that the NBA western conference playoffs have become and you have the ingredients for the fifth place Spurs to give their “A” effort here. Unlike San Antonio’s soft scheduling prior to this contest, New Orleans is in their third game in four nights with Dallas and Houston being the previous two opponents. With games now likely to take on much larger meaning and sense of urgency, look for the Hornets to enter this one a bit fatigued after tangling with the other strong Texas contingents. Anticipate Spurs forward tandem of Tim Duncan and Bruce Bowen to atone for 54-17 beating they were handed by Hornets counterparts David West and Peja Stojakovic while defensive-minded point guard Jacque Vaughn hounds Chris Paul all night. San Antonio retaliates and responds to the January 26th fiasco by posting a solid revenge win and cover.


TIM TRUSHEL

Philadelphia at Miami
Recommendation: Over

The 76ers will be playing in a tough back-to-back situation as they face Orlando and Miami on consecutive nights. With the addition of Shawn Marion to the line-up, Pat Riley has been quoted as saying that he’d like to see the Heat play a more up-tempo style. True to form, the Heat have been a little more offensive oriented since the trade eclipsing the 92 mark in all three games while averaging 99.7 points per game. The conversion is still a work in progress but it did lead to a little bit more up-tempo offense resulting in the Heat, the NBA’s lowest scoring team, to score 100 or more points for the first time in 21 games. With the break we’d expect the Heat to devote a lot of practice time into the offense with just one game scheduled before this Saturday game. Meanwhile Philadelphia will be playing the second of a back-to-back games and in its last five games in this situation they have gone over the total in all five while averaging 208 total points. On its own, Philadelphia has averaged 101 points scored in its last seven in this situation of no rest. In the first two meetings this season the Sixers had the situational advantage as they caught Miami on back-to-backs. Revenge will be sweet for the Heat as they push the tempo and send this one over the total


JARED KLEIN

Dallas at Nashville
Recommendation: Nashville

The Nashville Predators seemed to have rebounded off their worst game of the season last Thursday night against the Chicago Blackhawks. The Predators could do nothing right on that night as they lost 6-1. “Things had been going pretty well for us,” Predators forward Jason Arnott was quoted as saying. “This was one bad game. Usually we are able to recover, but we came out flat. We have to get back to the basics. We can’t dwell on this game.” Both the players and coaches alike were not happy and the Predators were able to rebound after that rough game with a huge home win over the St. Louis Blues. On Saturday, the Predators have solid value going against the Dallas Stars who will be playing in the second half of back-to-back games and their third game in four nights. Very quietly Nashville is moving up the standings in the Western Conference and they also have the second-best home record in the NHL at 19-12. The Predators will also get a big boost from Jordin Tootoo, who is expected to return to the lineup this week. Totoo is a high energy player that led the team in penalty minutes before suffering a hip flexor. We’ve seen teams be able to take advantage of opponents that are playing in back-to-back games all season long and I expect Nashville to do the same thing Saturday in front of a sold out Sommet Center. Take Nashville this weekend.

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WINNING POINTS

***BEST BET
*Miami over Philadelphia by 8

Dwayne Wade and Shawn Marion give the Heat some added respectability.The 76ers
can’t match either of those two players. The All-Star break gives Pat Riley a desperate chance to get his team regrouped. There’s a chance Miami could get back its best rebounder, Udonis Haslem. We like the 76ers much more when in an underdog role.MIAMI 98-90


***BEST BET
Michigan State* over Iowa by 24
Izzo stood around and watched his team lose at death-march tempo at Iowa, failing to get out of the 30s. He has himself, the assistant coaches, and the kids to kick around in advance of this re-hook, on his home floor, and if his Spartans with the 52.8% Effective Field Goal percentage (2s and 3s) don’t seek to maximize the possession count on their home floor against Iowa’s perimeter pass-happy long-distance shooters,then he oughta give back his national championship, give Michigan back theirs, and put himself into those practices with the helmets and shoulder pads. MICHIGAN STATE, 75-51.


***BEST BET
DePaul over Seton Hall* by 9
Don’t go into a game against Jerry Wainwright with a sophomore guard as your sixth
man, and nothing but a bunch of forwards to send in there after him. That’s what
slumping Seton Hall’s Bobby Gonzalez is down to at the moment, now four games
into the season-ending injury to guard Paul Gause (2.8 steals per game). DePaul ain’t
much, but Wainwright committed to a faster tempo early in the season (they are at
69.5 vs. 63.1 last year) and is playing 10 kids at least 10 minutes per game. Eventually,you run into a situation where the full speed mistakes you were making start disappearing vs. a certain type of opponent. Seton Hall can’t afford to keep playing the way they’ve been playing (72 possessions per game, top 25 in national pace), but if they do anything differently, they won’t necessarily be doing it any better. Both need a win to stay within the Big East Tournament net, but one side has more hands on deck to make the haul. DEPAUL, 79-70


***BEST BET
Ohio* over George Mason by 14
Unless there are CAA referees on the floor, George Mason’s Will Thomas could finally
be ticketed for the foul trouble he eludes in conference play. Given that Ohio’s two leading scorers are forwards, Thomas will have to play some defense. Or, not. NCWilmington,with two double-digit scoring forwards, has beaten George Mason twice this season, so there you go. OHIO, 77-63.

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THE SPORTS REPORTER

BEST BET

*KENTUCKY over ARKANSAS by 9

Given their somnambulant, slipshod start and the fact that there remains a clearcut statistical gap between Kentucky and the conference’s top six, ’Cats essentially need to win the SEC tournament to make the Dance, and Billy Gillispie needs to focus on the precise coaching course which will lead him from Point A (today) to the neighborhood of the promised land/Point B. But an explosion here could propel the ’Cats forward, in a big way. Meanwhile,fatally-flawed Hogs are likely in like Flynn. Yes, there’s no justice – but you knew that! KENTUCKY,81-72.


BEST BET

*SAN ANTONIO over NEW ORLEANS by 15

The Spurs must remember their 24-point loss to the Hornets in late January – after all, it’s difficult to forget such losses, especially for a championship squad who had all their players healthy for the game. Now it’s time for them to exact some revenge, and are in great position to do so as they host a New Orleans team that played last night and could be a little overconfident about the first result, which the Spurs no doubt have gone to school on. SAN ANTONIO 96-79

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CTO

*NC WILMINGTON over Vermont (Bracket Buster Game)...Wilmington (17-10 prior to a Feb. 20 game vs. Georgia State) is one of those teams that can truly boost its postseason hopes with a Bracket Buster victory. Vermont (NIT LY; NCAAs 3 years ago) is a worthy enough foe, but with some defensive shortcomings. So the Catamounts could be the perfect foil for the Seahawks, whose offense is now excellently balanced (four DD scorers), with 6-10 sr. bruiser Kuljanin in the middle, clutch F Hendley on the opposite side, sr. Gs Fountain & T.J. Carter outside, and 5-11 frosh marksman Tomko raising eyebrows with his deadly, confident shooting.

*NC WILMINGTON 86 - Vermont 62 RATING - 11

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Totals 4 U

Take Butler on Saturday


POINTWISE

DEPAUL over Seton Hall (Sat) RATING: 2
INDIANA over Northwestern (Sat) RATING: 3
MEMPHIS over Tennessee (Sat) RATING: 5


Mike Wynn Sports

Oklahoma


Dr. Vegas

BYU


Big Time Sports

Kansas State - Baylor over


Razor Sharp Sports

TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS

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Danny Perkins

New Orleans @ San Antonio
Pick: New Orleans +6

Reasoning: The New Orleans Hornets are clinging on to the first place lead in the Western Conference with a 1 game edge over San Antonio yet the Spurs open tonight as a 6 point home favorite. Here are a couple reasons why that number is too big for the Spurs to cover. The Spurs have been led by Manu Ginboli who is coming off of a 44 point game on Thursday in Minnesota. In the last three weeks his playing time has increased until the point where he was the full time starter. In the full time roll he has clicked, but tonight he will split the time 65/35 with Tony Parker. Parker is coming off a sprained left ankle. Although it does not seem like much, I really think this could throw off Ginobli’s rhythm and against this tough Hornets team, Parker could become just as much a target as he is an asset. The last time these two met in San Antonio was January 26th where the Hornets pulled out a 24 point victory. Ginobli and Parker split time and they combined for just 27 points and 8 assists. The Hornets have a great D unit on the road allowing an average of 94.4 points per game compared to San Antonio’s 91.4 points per game at home. These two teams have combined to play 32 under and 20 over on the road/at home this season. I look for this to be a tight defensive battle the whole way through. New Orleans are 14-3 in their last 17 as a road underdog, they are 21-5 coming off back to back games and have covered 7 of the last 10 in San Antonio. Take the Hornets to cover the number as they can very easily win this game outright tonight.

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Baylor -1.5

Baylor will get back on track Saturday as they return to their home floor after an extremely tough schedule recently.  Baylor has lost 4 straight games, but with road contests at Oklahoma, Oky State and Kansas what more can be expected.  They also lost a close one to Texas at home.  Baylor is a bubble team with a 17-8 record that really needs this win to get into the tournament.  Their home support tonight will get them over the top.  Kansas State has lost 3 straight road games now after losing to Nebraska in their last outing.  Baylor is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.  The Bears have been a great bet at home after tough runs over the last 3 years.  Cash in with Baylor as the favorite. 

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ProphetablePicks

Arizona State


MadduxSports

Richmond +2.5

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Bruce Marshall

DePaul +4.0

Both struggling to stay over the Big East “Mendoza Line” in order to qualify for the conference tourney, which excludes the bottom four finishers in loop. But scouts believe reeling Seton Hall (on 5-game losing streak) in worse shape these days, especially since G Gause has been sidelined with knee injury. His absence has limited the Pirates’ ability to press and to create buckets in transition, which the Hall was able to do with some consistency when it was on win streak earlier in season. And Gause’s injury depletes the roster for HC Gonzalez, who’s now down to 9 scholarship players. If Pirates can’t employ their presses, DePaul’s sometimes-shaky G's less likely to make the mistakes that have proved costly for the Blue Demons. Jerry Wainwright’s team has surprisingly covered 5 of first 6 on Big East trail, pushing Big Dance-bound Marquette, Notre Dame, and UConn in process.

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Marc Lawrence

Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan State Spartans

Spartans host the Hawkeyes in the 2nd of four straight revengers here today. Simply put there is no team in the country better at extracting same season revenge than Michigan State. With Thursday’s 86-49 destruction of Penn State, Tom Izzo’s troops improved to 18-4 ATS in their last twenty-two same season revengers, including 14-0 SU & 13-1 ATS when facing a sub .750 opponent. It’s tough to step in front of numbers like those. Iowa’s 3-31 ATS (0-20 last twenty) log in straight-up same season losses against avenging foes confirms it.

Play on: Michigan State

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Vegas Experts

Drake Bulldogs at Butler Bulldogs

Neither team has played a ranked opponent all season so this is a huge game for both programs. Butler, 25-2 on the season, is unbeaten at home at 10-0 with victories over Bradley, Ohio State and Florida State. It also beat Southern Illinois on the road and has won its last nine. Drake has dropped two of its last three after opening the season 22-1. Those losses came at Southern Illinois and home versus Bradley. It is 9-2 on the road with a 56-51 win at Iowa the win that stands out. Have to respect Drake's ability to win on the road and expect it to bounce back off the disappointing loss to Bradley.

Play on: Drake

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Matt Fargo

UNLV vs. Wyoming    
Play: UNLV   

UNLV had a nice run going before it headed to Provo last Saturday to take on BYU. The Cougars came into that game with only one conference loss and it happened to take place in Las Vegas as the Running Rebels blew away BYU by 29 points. It was revenge time last week and the Cougars got it, winning the rematch by 26 points. UNLV has had a week to stew over that defeat and now sitting two games out of first place with five games left, it needs to win out and also get a lot of help.

Wyoming is 10-15 overall this season and 3-9 in MWC play which is an extreme disappointment. The Cowboys were expected to make some noise in the conference this season but it has been just the opposite. Wyoming is a respectable 8-5 at home this season but the only good win came against Colorado back in early December. The other wins have come against two non-Division I teams, 8-18 CS-Bakersfield, 8-17 Buffalo, 11-13 Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 13-12 TCU and 6-19 Colorado St.

UNLV has not lost back-to-back games this season. In its previous five losses, it has responded with a victory next time out and those five wins were not even close as they came by an average of 19.4 ppg and none by fewer than 12 points. The Rebels have won 12 of its last 15 games and 15 of 19 overall and they have already defeated Wyoming in the first meeting this season. The Cowboys led by eight at halftime but UNLV rallied thanks to 23-26 effort at the free throw line and having just two turnovers.

The Rebels are doing it with their trademark defense once again. UNLV leads the conference in three-point defense at 29.5 percent, is second in field-goal defense at 40.2 percent and is third in scoring defense at 61.8 ppg allowed. In that first meeting, Wyoming shot 45.6 percent and the Rebels are out to reverse that. UNLV has held 12 of its last 16 opponents to 65 points or less and it had a streak of eight straight games where it held its opponent to 65 or fewer points, but that came to an end against Wyoming.

The Running' Rebels are averaging 10.8 tpg, which ranks seventh in the country, while they are forcing their opponents to give it back 15.8 times per game. UNLV has had eight games with single digits in turnovers while the defense has forced opponent to turn the ball over at least 15 times in 17 of its 25 games this year. The Rebels have a 1.44 assist/turnover ratio which is 5th in the country while Wyoming is sputtering with a 0.80 ratio. The home team got the revenge last Saturday but that won’t be the case this week. Play (755) UNLV Running Rebels 1 Unit

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Nelly
         
Colorado + over Missouri

Following back-to-back blowout losses we catch some value with Colorado on Saturday heading into Columbia to face Missouri. Many will expect a Missouri win based on the lopsided loss to Kansas State in the last game for the Tigers but Missouri has not shown the ability to respond in a situation like this. Since beating Texas to open the conference season Missouri is just 3-7 ATS in Big 12 games and there have been numerous problems on and off the court. Missouri has lost S/U in three of the last four home games and the Tigers were very fortunate to win narrowly in Colorado a month ago. The Buffaloes had a 10-point lead at halftime and dominated the boards but eventually surrendered the lead late in the game. Colorado has posted excellent defensive performances since that game despite suffering a lapse against Texas Tech Wednesday though there was little Colorado could do against 62 percent shooting. Missouri is winless against the spread as a favorite in conference play this season and the Tigers will be overvalued here based on two tough recent losses for Colorado. The Buffaloes are actually 7-3 ATS in road games this season and 8-3 in Big 12 games and by-and-large Colorado has shown a lot of improvement as the season has gone on under Coach Bzdelik.


James Patrick Sports

Marist vs. Cleveland State

Cleveland State will host Marist College in the sixth annual O’Reilly ESPNU BracketBusters. Gary Waters coached for five years in the New Jersey area and during that time he learned a lot about the teams in that area. They play hard and will be a big challenge considering the Vikings are focused on their Horizon League possibilities right now. This is the fifth year that Cleveland State has taken part in the ESPNU BracketBusters and the Vikes are 2-2 in the event. This will be the second meeting all-time between CSU and Marist with the Vikings claiming a 52-49 decision on January 20th, 1987 at the Meadowlands in East Rutherford, New Jersey. CSU is tough to beat on their home court and we think this team is ready for some post season tournament action. Cleveland State wins this one on Saturday.

Dave Cokin

Florida International @ Troy
Play: Troy -2

Troy has been a flop all season, and they've got the ugly spread ledger to prove it. But the Trojans look like a good side here against Florida International. FIU is blank on the road for the season. Their spread record in away games isn't bad, but they're usually catching a bundle. Here they aren't, and the hosts will seriously want to atone for a disgraceful 74-49 loss to the Panthers. Neither team is any good, but this is a good situational play against an awful traveler. Troy minus the small number.


Will Cover
         
ST. MARY'S minus vs Kent State.

Certainly respect the Golden Flashes, as they have won 20 games each season over the last 10 years, a truly remarkable feat! But, feel this is a tough situtation for KSU at they have to travel across the country to take on the Gaels on their strong home court at the McKeon Pavilion. The Saints have played a stronger schedule against the likes of Oregon, Gonzaga, and Drake...all home wins while the Flash lost on the road to pitiful Detroit-Mercy in non-con play. Kent State is much more focused on winning the MAC Title and thus securing a bid to the Big Dance with some key league games dead ahead. Lay it with the Aussies of Moraga!


Great Lakes

Marist at Cleveland State
Play on:Cleveland State Vikings

The Vikings is heating up once again going 4-0 ATS their last four games, and 8-2 ATS off win vs a conference rival this year. The Vikings are also 6-3 ATS when playing a team with a winning record after fifteen or more games while Marist is a terrible 1-4 ATS when playing on Saturday's this year. We look for the Cleveland State Vikings to dismantle Marist for the home ATS Win & cover tonight.


Greg Daraban

Rider (18-9) at  CS Northridge (18-6)

The Broncos head west to Southern California for a night Bracketbuster game at the Matadome. CS Northridge has been a quiet surprise. The Matadores are 10-2 in the conference and 18-6 overall. Deon Tresvant averages 13 a game. He gets help from Jonathan Heard and Calvin Chitwood both average double digits.

Take CS Northridge

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Robert Ross

Game: Connecticut at Villanova
Prediction: Villanova

Reason: As the week began the Connecticut Huskies had won nine games in a row. Several of them have been of the last second variety including last Saturday's 74-73 win at South Florida. Villanova, on the other hand, had lost six-of-eight as it gets set to begin a critical stretch of three straight home games. It hosts West Virginia Wednesday, then UConn, then Marquette. The Wildcats need to win at least two of those three contests to enhance their chances at an NIT bid. Recent two-point loss at Georgetown seems to have awaken the club which thrashed St. John's in its next at home. It took two-of-three from the Huskies last year including a 69-64 win here as a 3.5-point dog. Take Villanova!


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators
Prediction: Dallas Stars

Reason: The Stars are red hot right now and after another win on Friday they are now 10-2 in their last 12 games. Dallas has won 6 of their last 7 road games. The Stars are 7-0 in their alst 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Nashville is having a good season, and one that many didn't expect. The Predators will have their hands full vs. the Stars tonight. Dallas is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Dallas Stars +.

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Dave Price

Iowa vs. Michigan State   
Take Michigan State Spartans

1 Unit on Michigan State -15 The Hawkeyes have given the Spartans one of their 4 Big Ten losses, holding them to just 36 points in Iowa City. We saw a very similar situation last year when Iowa won by two points at home and then Michigan State got revenge on its home floor with a 81-49 victory. Don't expect the Spartans to forget about their worst performance of the year. We'll take Michigan State to bounce back big at home. Michigan State is a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS at home versus Iowa since 1997. The Spartans come into this one off a blowout win over Penn State and they are 11-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Spartans in this revenge spot.

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Jimmy Boyd

Kansas vs. Oklahoma State   
Take Kansas Jayhawks

1 Unit on Kansas -10.5 Kansas returns 4 starters from a team which beat Oklahoma State by 30 points last season and I like the Jayhawks to do a number on the Cowboys again this year. The Cowboys are only 8-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, 8-20 ATS versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997, and 6-15 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Kansas should probably be favored by 12-14 here, but the fact that the Jays have lost 5 of their last 6 ATS has forced oddsmakers to bring the line down. Kansas is 32-16 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1997. Take the Jayhawks.

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Bill Young

Southern Mississippi vs. Tulane   
Take Tulane Green Wave

1* on Tulane -3 Tulane will take advantage of a very porous road team in the Southern Miss Golden Eagles Saturday. Southern Miss is only 4-9 in road games this season while Tulane has put together a decent 9-4 home record. Tulane finally gets a little break today after playing Memphis and Houston at home and a very hot Marshall team on the road in their last 3 games respectively. We expect big things from Tulane in a game they know they should win. Tulane has won their last 2 home meetings with Southern Miss so confidence will not be an issue here. Tulane is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Tulane and lay the points.

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John Martin

Kansas State vs. Baylor   
Take Baylor Bears

1 Unit on Baylor -1.5 Baylor will get back on track Saturday as they return to their home floor after an extremely tough schedule recently. Baylor has lost 4 straight games, but with road contests at Oklahoma, Oky State and Kansas what more can be expected. They also lost a close one to Texas at home. Baylor is a bubble team with a 17-8 record that really needs this win to get into the tournament. Their home support tonight will get them over the top. Kansas State has lost 3 straight road games now after losing to Nebraska in their last outing. Baylor is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. The Bears have been a great bet at home after tough runs over the last 3 years. Cash in with Baylor as the favorite.

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Larry Cook

Montana State vs. Weber State   
Take Weber State Wildcats

3* on Weber State -5 Weber State plays a Montana State team that is just terrible on the road this season. Montana State is just 4-10 in road games while giving up 75 points per game. In contrast, Weber State owns a 10-2 home record this season while giving up just 63 points per game. Montana State lost their last road game against a very poor Idaho State team by 15 points. They are going downhill in a hurry. Weber State should have no problem overcoming this small spread at home Saturday. Weber State has won 8 of their last 10 home meetings with Montana State. Their last two home games with MSU resulted in 21 and 11-points victories. Weber State already beat Montana State on the road earlier this season. Bet Weber State in their 2nd meeting at home.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

George Mason vs. Ohio U   
Take Ohio U Bobcats

1 Unit on Ohio -1 We'll go with Ohio here. The Bobcats are 10-0 at home this season and 8-2 ATS in those games. George Mason is only 4-8 ATS on the road this season. The Bobcats are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 20 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. The Patriots are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Bobcats will continue their domination at home. Bet Ohio.

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