Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Scott Spreitzer

Philly


Cappers Access

Bobcats
Suns


Joe Wiz

Raptors
Winthrop


Glen Mcgrew

Pistons

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Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day

Houston Rockets at New Orleans Hornets

Houston in a tough spot off National TV home win and cover over Miami last night. It travels to New Orleans which is well-rested, having played just once since the break. That was a 104-93 Wednesday night home win over Dallas. New Orleans beat the Rockets once already this year in Houston. HOUSTON is 20-33 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 40-27 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons and 16-6 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Play on: New Orleans

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Alex Smart

Sacramento Kings -1.0

Charlotte has really been playing badly of late, losing 9 of their L10 entering this game. Sacramento despite of being without the traded Mike Bibby, are a cohesive looking team, with a lot of promise going forward , as has been evident in both of their wins since the all star break against Atlanta and Portland. Final notes & Key Trends: The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS in their L6 vs Western Conference teams and 0-6-1 ATS in their L7 as underdogs. Play on the Kings

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Gamblers Data

NO Hornets -5


The Gold Medal Club

14 Karat - Houston Under

14 Karat - Phoenix -1.5


WINNERS EDGE

Pistons/Bucks under 188 , 2 units

Charlotte Bobcats +1 , 2 units

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Allen Eastman

Toronto Raptors –5.5 over New York.

Get ready for more "Fire Isiah" chants from the Knicks crowd tonight. The Knicks own the second-worst record in the Eastern Conference and were absolutely embarrassed in a 124-84 loss at Philadelphia. Now they get a home and home with the Toronto Raptors. In this case the numbers don't lie. New York has lost 10 of its last 12 games overall and are 10-17 at home, where they've gone 3-9 in their last 12. The Raptors won the first meeting 99-90 and a repeat performance against the woeful Knicks wont' be a huge surprise.

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Peter Loshak

Detroit has come out of the break flat with a pair of losses, including a 103-98 loss to this Milwaukee team.  Take the points and the Bucks on the road when they meet the Pistons.

On Friday in the NBA, I’m going to take Milwaukee, a team I see as having underachieved in the first half and ready to play closer to their capability.  The Bucks are getting 12 points on the road against Detroit, a team that has stumbled badly out of the gate in the second half and may be headed for an extended period of overrating and poor ATS performance.

Milwaukee and Detroit played on Wednesday in Milwaukee, with the Bucks pulling out a close but solid win, rather unexpectedly. One way to look at this game is that the Pictons will be looking for payback with the quick turnaround in the form of a blowout win at home. And though they will no doubt be thinking that way, I’m not sure the capability is there to achieve it at will.

I don’t think Milwaukee’s strong play against Detroit on Wednesday was a fluke or an aberration. The Bucks had internal troubles as an organization in the first half, at least partly caused injuries which they suffered to a somewhat excessive degree. But they have always had a core slate of talented players on their roster, with a good experienced backcourt and a promising if young slew of big men up front. They are now all healthy and playing as a unit, and coach Larry Krystkowiak seems capable of and dedicated to righting this ship.

Detroit may well have some dominant runs in this game, but I don’t see them as being able to sustain it all the way through. And I do see Milwaukee as capable of coming back even if the Pistons jump out to a big lead at any point. I wouldn’t be at all surprised either if this game turned out to be competitive throughout, with the Bucks threatening a sweep of the home-and-home series at the end.

If the result in the first game of this series was not caused by what I see to be fundamental factors, I would be very wary of this line. But I do think it was, and I think the aging and possibly fading Pistons will have a hard time beating a resilient and probably underrated team like the Bucks by double digits, no matter how much they may want to. It’s certainly a possibility, but not a 50% possibility, in my opinion. So I’ll be on Milwaukee +12 on Friday evening.

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  LT Profits Sports Group

Winthrop home games vs. Division IA teams are averaging a combined 119.8 points this season, so look for them to milk the clock vs. Davidson and play the Under here.

This game between the Davidson Wildcats and the Winthrop Eagles features a contrast of styles, but we look for Winthrop to control the pace at home, as they do not want to get into a running game with the Wildcats.

The Eagles average 66.2 points per game overall vs. Division IA opponents while allowing just 60.2 points per contest, and that combined average of 126.4 points is a full four points less than this posted total. Winthrop has been even more impenetrable at home however, where they allow a miniscule 53.7 points per game with those games averaging a combined 119.8 points. We look for them to play their game here at home, which means long possessions offensively and slowing down the Davidson fast break defensively.

Now the Wildcats obviously prefer more tempo averaging 78.0 points per game, but we could see them getting easily frustrated as Winthrop plays keep-away here. Besides, it is not as if Davidson is inept defensively, as they allow 65.4 points per game, a figure that looks better when you consider that they also average 69.5 possessions per contest, over two possessions more than the national average of 67.3.

Look for Winthrop to win the tempo war here, and for this final total to top out in the 120s.

Davidson, Winthrop Under 130½

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EZ Winners

NBA

5 STAR: (502) CHARLOTTE (+2) over Sacramento
(Risking $550 to win $500)

This series is dominated by the home team. Since the Bobcats came into the league in 2004, the home team has won and covered the spread in all seven meetings between these two teams. I don't see the Kings coming to play in this game. By trading away Mike Bibby for almost nothing, the Kings showed that they are throwing in the towel this season. Ron Artest wanted to be moved to a contender and that did not happen either and everyone knows what a head case he is. Throw in the fact that this is Sacramento's first game of an eastern road trip and it is their third game in four nights after making the long flight this could be a very low energy game for Sacramento. The Bobcats are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less and the Kings have been burning money as a road favorite where they are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven chances as a road chalk. Take the points!

5 STAR: (523) BOSTON (+2) over Phoenix
(Risking $550 to win $500)

I like the Celtics to get back to their winning ways against the West. After dropping two games in a row to start this west road trip, the Celtics now find themselves instilled by Vegas in the role of the road underdog. The Celtics are a perfect 4-0 against the spread this season in this role. The Suns made the big trade for Shaq and I think in the long run it will help them, but they are struggling with their chemistry now. When the trade was made, losing Marion doesn't seem like the big of a deal, but Marion would guard the best player on the opposing team every night. He will be missed in this game against the Boston Three Party! The Suns are only 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a home favorite and the road team is 10-1 against the spread in this series. Take the points!


NCAA

2 STAR: (535) DAVIDSON (-3.5) over Winthrop
(Risking $220 to win $200)

Davidson is on a roll. They will look to make a statement that they deserve a decent seed in the NCAA tournament with this braket buster road game. The Wildcats are 20-6 on the season and they have not lost a game since December 21st when they were defeated by one point at NC State. The Wildcats are battle tested having play Duke, North Carolina, NC State and UCLA this season and Davidson has an RPI of 61 which is higher than Maryland, Wake Forest and Kentucky just to name a few. Winthrop is a team that has done some damage in the tournament in the past, but I don't they they are as strong this season. The Eagles's RPI is only 106, and while they do have a couple of nice wins over Georgia Tech and Miami-Florida it is the bad losses that concern me more. The Eagles lost road games this season to Mount St. Mary's whose RPI is 190 and Hight Point who has an RPI of 240. Granted these were road games, but a good team takes care of business on the road against teams like these. Winthrop doesn't have many lined games, but they have done well in the ones that have been on the board posting a 12-5 record against the spread in those games. Davidson has been a consistant money maker on posting a record of 36-17-1 against the spread in their last 54 games and they are 19-7 against the spread in their last 26 games against a team with a winning road record. One other thing to consider if this game is close at the end is that Davidson has a big advantage on the free throw line. The Wildcats shoot 73% as a team while Winthrop only shoots 59% from the line as a team. Lay the points!

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Cappers Access

1* Bobcats

1* Suns


SportsKingz

HARVARD -1 (5 UNITS)

COLUMBIA -4 (5 UNITS)

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BEN BURNS

NBA BASKETBALL

ATLANTA
Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks Reason: I'm taking the points with ATLANTA. These teams played an extremely close game here at this time last year, with the Hawks eventually scoring a 106-105 upset victory. I'm expecting another closely contested game tonight. The Warriors won and covered last time out. However, that win came by only two points and they're still a poor 1-5 ATS their last six games and a money-burning 5-13 ATS their last 18. They managed to win without Stephen Jackson (questionable) on Wednesday but aren't nearly as strong without him in the lineup. Even if Jackson plays, he can't be expected to be at 100%. Regardless, we know that Hawks will be without Andris Biedrins, who will be out indefinitely after undergoing an appendectomy yesterday. That's significant as Biedrins, who had 21 points and 13 rebounds against the Celtics, is averaging 10.3 points, 9.7 rebounds and is Golden State’s leader with 64 blocked shots. Look for the Hawks, who are in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race, to give their hosts all they can handle here, improving to 4-0 ATS the last four series meetings.

CHARLOTTE
Game: Sacramento Kings vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats Reason: I'm playing on CHARLOTTE. The Bobcats have been terrible on the road and they tipped off the second half with a 85-65 blowout loss at San Antonio. They've been MUCH better at home though and they're 36-18-1 ATS all-time after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game. They've also had success against the Kings here in Charlotte. Playing with "revenge" from a January loss at Sacramento, I expect them to bounce back and score the minor upset here. The Kings are tough at Arco Arena, where they've gone a healthy 17-10 for the season. They're awful on the road though, going 8-18. The Kings have been favored for all three of their trips to Charlotte. They were laying -3.5 points in 2005 and lost by seven. In 2006, they were laying three points and lost by three. Last season, listed as -1.5 point favorites, they again lost by three points. Including that defeat, the Kings are a terrible 2-10-1 ATS the past three seasons when listed as road favorites of three points or less. Look for their struggles here to continue this evening.

INDIANA
Game: New Jersey Nets vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Indiana Pacers Reason: I'm laying the points with INDIANA. The Nets proved that they could win in the post-Kidd era by beating the Bulls in overtime on Wednesday. That doesn't mean that all is well in New Jersey though. There is still likely to be a bit of an adjustment period to the new players and they still haven't got the main player from the deal yet, as Devin Harris is injured. Additionally, although he's expected to play, it's probably worth noting that Carter left Wednesday's game early due to a hamstring pull. Regardless, the Nets haven't fared well when coming off a high-scoring game like that, going just 3-6 SU/ATS for the season after scoring 105 or more points in their previous game. They've also had trouble keeping up against high-scoring teams, like Indiana. The Pacers average 102.4 points per game (102.7 at home) and the Nets are just 6-14-1 ATS (6-15 SU) in 21 games against teams which average 99 or more points per game. Fighting for their playoff lives, the Pacers desperately need a win. They also know that they'll be playing at New Jersey tomorrow night, making it even more important to "hold serve" at home tonight. The Pacers are 16-9 ATS (17-8 SU) the last 25 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. Look for a huge effort as they improve on those stats this evening.

KNICKS
Game: Toronto Raptors vs. New York Knicks
Prediction: New York Knicks Reason: I'm taking the points with NEW YORK. I respect the Raptors and I played on them in their recent win over Orlando. However, while they are an explosive team, I feel that this is too many points for them to be laying on the road vs. what I expect to be a highly motivated New York club. Yes, the Knicks got absolutely blown out in their last game. The Raptor blowout win and the Knicks blowout loss have given us excellent value here though. Additionally, let's cut the Knicks some slack. For starters, they were a highly profitable 12-5-1 ATS their previous 18 games before the Philadelphia loss. They were also coming off a hard fought overtime road win the previous night. Additionally, as Isiah Thomas pointed out: "my guy’s minds were elsewhere," referring to the fact that the players were distracted by yesterday's trade deadline. Note that the Knicks have now had a day off and that the trade deadline has now passed without any moves. While they still haven't been winning that many games, its been a long time since the Knicks were blown out like they were on Wednesday. In fact, we have to look all the way back to mid-December, when they lost 119-92 vs. Indiana, to find the last time that they were defeated by more than 20 points. The Knicks had a day off following that 12/17 loss to the Pacers, before hosting the Cavaliers in their next game. Listed as underdogs, they bounced back from the blowout loss and crushed the Cavs by 18 points. The only other time that the Knicks lost by 40 or more points was at Boston back in late November. The Knicks returned home from that embarrassment and promptly beat Milwaukee in their next game. Overall, the Knicks are 12-8 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss while the Raptors are just 8-10 SU/ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Knowing that it will be tough to win at Toronto in Sunday's rematch, look for the Knicks to give a huge effort tonight, improving to 7-1-1 ATS the last nine times they were getting points. *Eastern Conf. GOM

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Donald Tran
Matchup: Davidson at Winthrop
Prediction: Davidson -3.5


Chad Jordan
Match up: Houston at New Orleans
Prediction: Houston Rockets +4


Jennifer Barry
Matchup: Cal Santa Barbara at Utah State
Prediction: Utah State Aggies -5

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Dunkel Index

Game 527-528: Pennsylvania at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 42.586; Dartmouth 45.966
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 1

Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+1)
Game 529-530: Princeton at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 44.472; Harvard 46.603
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+4 1/2)

Game 531-532: Brown at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 53.608; Columbia 54.264
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Columbia

Game 533-534: Yale at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 47.672; Cornell 58.072
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-8 1/2)

Game 535-536: Davidson at Winthrop
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 64.537; Winthrop 62.856
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+3 1/2)

Game 537-538: UC-Santa Barbara at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 55.660; Utah State 61.196
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-5)

NBA

Game 501-502: Sacramento at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 119.030; Charlotte 111.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-1); Under

Game 503-504: New Jersey at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.765; Indiana 115.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 200 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+5); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.264; Orlando 123.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 202 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7); Under

Game 507-508: Washington at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.837; Cleveland 120.994
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 204 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Toronto at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 124.479; New York 116.420
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Denver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.571; Chicago 119.077
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Houston at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.334; New Orleans 127.072
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over

Game 515-516: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.060; Detroit 127.835
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 18; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 12; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-12); Under

Game 517-518: Dallas at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.514; Memphis 115.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 519-520: Utah at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 125.581; LA Clippers 118.548
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 7; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: Portland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 113.194; Seattle 115.756
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 523-524: Boston at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 121.213; Phoenix 125.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 225
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 218
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Over

Game 525-526: Atlanta at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.739; Golden State 124.889
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 13; 234
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Utah State -4.5

Utah State is yet to lose at home this season, sitting at 14-0 on its home floor.  This trend easily continues tonight against UC Santa Barbara.  Utah State has won 5 of the last 6 home matchups and 11 of the last 15 overall meetings in this series.   Santa Barbara is only 3-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons,  4-12 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons, and 1-7 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this season.  Utah State has the big edge at home.

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Harvard -4

Home court means everything for Harvard in this matchup as the Princeton Tigers are 0-12 on the road this season.  Princeton won at its place in the first meeting this season and you will see the Crimson return the favor tonight as we so often do in these Ivy League contests.  Princeton is losing by an average of 12.3ppg on the road this season.  The Tigers are 1-10 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons, 2-13 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons, and 3-12 ATS off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.  Princeton is 0-6 ATS versus poor teams which are outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and 1-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams with a shooting pct. defense of >=45% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.  Take Harvard at home.

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Arthur Ralph

Utah State


ROCKDEMANSPORTS

NHL

AVALANCHE -OVER 5.5

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ROCKETMAN SPORTS

3* Indiana -4 1/2

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John Ryan

Davidson vs. Winthrop
Play: Winthrop Play

Winthrop should be favored Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Winthrop – AiS shows a 74% probability that Winthrop will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. AiS also shows a 90% probability that Winthrop will get 14 or more turnovers in this game. Note that Winthrop is 6-0 ATS when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Winthrop is actually playing their first lined game of the year and this in and of itself offers up a strong opportunity as the public does not see the potential of this team. The following money line system reflects Winthrop’s potential to win this game SU and has produced a 118-56 68% record and made 66 units in profits since 2002. Play on a home team versus the money line after scoring 80 points or more and is now facing an opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Take Winthrop.

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InfoPlays

3* on Toronto Raptors -5.5

The Raptors and Knicks are headed in opposite directions and it’s not about to change tonight.  The Knicks just got blown out of the water by the 76ers of all teams by 40 points.  Toronto doesn’t mess around with the worst teams in this league and they rarely have letdowns.  The Raptors are 30-15 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.  The Knicks have not done well on little rest over the last few seasons.  New York is 4-17 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.  New York is 1-13 ATS after a game committing 23 or more turnovers over the last 3 seasons.  Toronto will capitalize on these mistakes tonight.  Bet Toronto on the road.

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Marco D'Angelo 
Bucks/Pistons UNDER 187.5


Matty O'Shea
Denver Nuggets -2.5


Ben Burns 
Blazers/Sonics UNDER 189


JWhip
Winthrop +3


JB 
Wizards +3

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RINKPLAY SPORTS

2* Colorado Avalanche & Phoenix Coyotes Over


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