Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wunderdog NBA picks

Game: New York Knicks at Philadelphia
Pick: 3 units on New York Knicks +6.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Knicks still aren't putting many games in the win column, but have been doing so against the sub-.500 teams on the road on a regular basis. Since the first of the year the Knicks are 10-3-1 ATS on the road and that includes 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS over the sub-.500 teams. On the season the Knicks margin on the road against sub-.500 teams is just -1.1 point per game! Philadelphia saw a five-game winning streak go up in flames on the road in Minnesota last night, and the Knicks won a momentum building thriller on the road in OT down in Washington. Like the Knicks in this spot as they have a shot to win this one, so we will take the points here.

Game: Detroit at Milwaukee
Pick: 3 units on Detroit -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Bucks limped into the All Star break losing seve of their last eight games including three straight at home. While they started a respectable 8-8, the Bucks have lost 26 of their last 33 games. Detroit was just the opposite, heading into the All Star break on a ten game winning streak. They lost to Orlando 103-85 on Tuesday to end that streak. It was an extremely embarrassing home defeat, losing by 18 points as a six point favorite. You can bet they are going to take out their frustrations on a defenseless Bucks team here. A team like Detroit doesn't take a loss like that lightly. The Pistons are 18-9 on the road this season and 15-11 ATS. Since last season they are 46-32 ATS on teh road including 27-13 ATS when the total is in the 180s. Detroit won the last game between these two and Milwaukee is just 17-30 ATS revenging a same-season loss the past two seasons. Detroit to roll here.

Game: Dallas at New Orleans
Pick: 3 units on New Orleans -2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Mavs gave up a lot to get Jason Kidd. Will he pay off? We'll know come playoff time. For now, the Mavs have to face a stiff test in New Orleans. The Mavs are just 12-15 on the road this year (and 10-17 ATS) and they have lost their last three away from home. The Hornets are riding confidence thanks to their 17-8 home mark and 4-game winning streak. They will view this as a very important test and this arena should be rocking and the home players focused. It's a bigger game for New Orleans than for Dallas who has shown they really only care about the playoffs right now. Over the past two seasons, Dallas is 2-12 ATS vs. uptempo teams (those averaging 83+ shots per game). This season they are 1-10 ATS on the road vs. good free-throw shooting teams (those making 76%+). Hornets here.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Auburn vs. Tennessee
Pick: Tennessee Play

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Tennessee – AiS shows an 88% probability that Tennessee will win this game by 20 or more points. AiS also shows that UT defense will be in full force tonight and that they have a 90% probability of getting at least 17 turnovers from Auburn ball handlers. Note that UT is 8-1 ATS in home games when they force 19 to 22 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. AiS shows an 87% probability that UT will hit a minimum of 47% of their total shots and a minimum of 38% from 3-point territory. Note that they are 12-2 ATS when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Auburn is coming off a big game against Ole Miss winning 90-78, hitting 62% from the field and over 50% from 3-point territory and were installed as a huge 12 point dog. Note that Auburn is 1-11 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1997. UT is in several strong roles for this game and I will note just 3 of them here. UT is 14-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons; 11-2 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

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