Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

5 Unit Black Magic Gophers/Badgers BEST BET on Wisconsin -10

The Wisconsin Badgers will embarrass Minnesota once again Saturday. Wisconsin, which posted a 63-47 win at Minnesota on February 3, hopes to build on its 13-2 home record this season. Minnesota is 0-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 0-8 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. This combined 16-0 System going against Minnesota cannot miss this afternoon. Cash in with Wisconsin as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Creighton +3.5

Creighton should not be the underdog in this match-up Saturday. Creighton is 16-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. Creighton is 9-2 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Bradley is 0-7 ATS after covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread since 1997. Despite Bradley recent ATS success, the Braves are getting too much respect against one of the best teams in the MVC. Cash in with Creighton as the underdog.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Southern Illinois -1.5

Southern Illinois is playing against a Wichita State team that is just 10-15 on the season. Southern Illinois proved they are still a force to be reckoned with in the MVC by beating a 22-1 Drake team last time out. Southern Illinois is 16-5 SU and 13-6 ATS in all meetings with Wichita State since 1997. Southern Illinois is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 contests at Wichita State. Wichita State has lost 9 out of their last 11 games overall. Cash in with Southern Illinois as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Texas Tech -2.5

Bobby Knight's son just got his first win of the season as Tech's new head coach with a 9-point win over a very good Kansas State team on Wednesday. Now he has his feet wet and knows what it takes to get his team ready in Big 12 play. The Red Raiders will take another step forward Saturday when they take down Oklahoma at home. Texas Tech is a perfect 11-0 in home games this season. They also carry a 7-1 ATS mark in home games heading into this match-up. Oklahoma is 0-7 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Texas Tech as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Cleveland State +13

Butler has already lost to Cleveland State this season, so for the linesmakers to predict a blowout win by the Bulldogs on Saturday is just plain crazy. Cleveland State has proven that they are the real deal in the Horizon League Conference, especially with their recent 13-point road win at Valparaiso their last time out. Cleveland State can pull off this upset and they surely won't be falling by double-digits here. Butler is just 3-10 ATS against conference opponents this season. The Bulldogs may be hot, but they are not crushing their conference opponents like this line indicates. Cash in with Cleveland State as the underdog

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Ethan Law

1 unit
Penn St
Old Dominion
ELON
Cal

2 unit
Underdog GOY
Northwestern


RAS Side Play

754 SJ St. -10'.... 1/2

832 UL Laf +1..... 1/2


Stan Sharp - Triple Dime

BYU -6

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Bob Akmens

Nashville Predators (-150) / 3 units

St. Louis Blues/Nashville Predators
U 5.5 (-130) / 3 units

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Doc’s

4 Unit Play. #717 Take Drake -2 over Northern Iowa
The Bulldogs are coming off their first loss since November 10th in a game against Southern Illinois on Wednesday, but despite the setback they did cover the spread. Now the face a much easier in-state rival in Northern Iowa. The Panthers have lost two of their last three games and both came via a blowout against Creighton and Missouri State. Drake still does not get any respect and we will continue to pound them with these low numbers.


4 Unit Play. #719 Take Northeastern -2 ½ over Georgia State
The Huskies have won five straight games and are trying to improve upon their seeding for the upcoming Colonial Tournament. The same cannot be said for the Panthers, as they sit at the bottom of the standing and have lost four straight games and ten of their last 12 games. Northeastern has already beaten State once this season and will complete the season series sweep on Saturday afternoon.


4 Unit Play. #726 Take Bradley -3 over Creighton 
Two second level teams in the MVC are set to do battle on Saturday in Peoria, IL. Bradley is finally healthy and have played better of late having won six of their last eight games. They have suffered back-2-back losses in road games but are ready for some home cooking at Carver Arena tonight. Against ISU they only made 4 of 27 from beyond the arc and you can be sure they will have a better performance on Saturday against a 4-5 Bluejay road record.


4 Unit Play. #744 Take Arizona -2 over Stanford
The Wildcats have superior talent and need a sweep of the Bay Area this weekend to assure themselves yet another bid to eh NCAA tournament. Stanford is coming off a disappointing loss to ASU on Thursday, a game in which they led by 10 points late in the second half. The PAC-10 has been a brutal conference this year with great balance from the top nine teams and Arizona cannot afford a loss here to drop to 6-6 in the conference, as four of their next six games our on the road. Arizona seems to play much better in afternoon games and will use their quickness to frustrate the great size of Stanford.


5 Unit Play. #763 Take Purdue -8 ½ over Northwestern
Purdue continues to get no respect from the odds makers and should have no problem winning this game against a winless Wildcat team. The Cats have lost four straight games with all of them coming over today’s posted number. The only thing that scares me about this and thus it is not our Big 10 Game of the Year is that Purdue is coming off two hard fought victories against Michigan State and Wisconsin. They may have a little letdown on Saturday but Northwestern is so bad that it will not matter and Purdue will emerge victorious.


4 Unit Play. #776 Take Baylor -1 ½ over Texas
Baylor dominated this game early against Texas before falling apart late and now they have revenge on their minds and have the talent to put away Texas. The Horns are coming off a big win against Kansas and thus will suffer a letdown after such an emotional high. This is a must win game for Baylor to keep them off the tournament bubble because they have lost four of five games recently, although three of them came on the road. The Bears have the guards to defend the quick Texas guards and the depth of Baylor will be the difference on Saturday.


4 Unit Play. #798 Take Wright State -4 over Illinois Chicago
We got burned by the Flames on earlier this week, but that was a home game and this is going to be played in Dayton. Chicago is just 3-7 on the road this year and the Raiders have already won in the Windy City this year. They have now won three straight games against Chicago and will have no problem completing the Superfecta on Saturday. Vaughn Duggins will come up big yet again propelling his squad to their 11th conference victory on the season.


8 Unit Play. #843 Take Michigan State +4 ½ over Indiana Big 10 Game of the Year. Indiana is really in turmoil right now, as Coach Kelvin Sampson is likely to be fired shortly for improper phone calls to recruits. To make matters worse, they are coming off a tough loss to Wisconsin on Wednesday with a bank shot at the buzzer by the polar bear. The Spartans are coming off a tough loss to Purdue, but Purdue is a solid team, as they currently sit atop the standing in the Big 10. Indiana has lost their home magic recently losing two of their last three games at Assembly Hall with their only victory coming against Northwestern by 12 points. State has the bodies to match-up with D.J. White inside and you can be sure that they will not let Gordon beat them from the perimeter. Indians played a very weak non-conference schedule and laid an egg against Xavier & UCONN in their only true tests. Coach Izzo will have his team ready and he does not want to straight losses as the loser here is out of the Big Ten title race. Getting points makes this all the better, as we expect Michigan State to win it straight-up giving us yet another Game of the Year winner.

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WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - Syracuse
Millionaire - BYU
Money Maker - St Johns
No Limit - So Fla
Insider Circle - Providence
Billionaire - Mississippi St

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Rocketman Sports

Nebraska @ Iowa State 4:00 PM EST
Play On: 1* Iowa State -2

Nebraska is 8-19 ATS last 3 years and 1-5 ATS this year on the road. Nebraska is 3-10 ATS since 1997 and 2-8 ATS last 3 years when the total is 120 to 129 1/2. Iowa State is 18-3 ATS since 1997 as a home favorite of 3 points or less or a pick. Nebraska is only scoring 62.4 points per game on the road this year. Iowa State is holding opponents to 57.7 points per game at home this season. Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Cornhuskers are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog. Cornhuskers are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Cornhuskers are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 road games. Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big 12. Cornhuskers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Cornhuskers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Cornhuskers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games. Cyclones are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Cyclones are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Iowa State today

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Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take Kentucky -2 over LSU

This is a perfect “Buy low, sell high” situation. LSU is coming off its biggest win of the season at Florida and their stock has never been higher. Kentucky is coming off one of the worst losses in the program’s history and has never been lower. But if we look at the numbers and look at this objectively, the Wildcats are a better team here. The Tigers are getting all kinds of credit for “almost” beating Tennessee. Well, Kentucky DID beat Tennessee. UK has won at Auburn and at Georgia. They lost at Florida in overtime and are 7-2 ATS recently. LSU has really played two decent games. But they shot 60 percent from the field at Florida (33-for-55). What are the odds of that happening again? LSU is 3-13-1 ATS at home and are still a bad team.

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Winners Margin

5* Florida
5* Texas A & M
5* Iowa St
5* La Tech
5* Mid Tenn St

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Sports Investors

Florida
ULL
Bowling Green

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

CBB

Saturday: Play Under CBB road teams against the total after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving teams with a winning percentage of 60% to 80%.44-14 Under since 1997 (75.9%) PLAY: California / Arizona State UNDER 139.5

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Brandon Lovell

20* Vanderbilt -6 double your wager GOY

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Seabass/ Sebastian

20* Kentucky
20* Bradley
20* Kent St
10* Lville
300* Vandy -5.5


Insider
100* BYU

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EZ Winners

3 STAR: (776) BAYLOR (-2.5) over Texas
(Risking $330 to win $300)

2 STAR: (718) NORTHERN IOWA (+1.5) over Drake
(Risking $220 to win $200)

2 STAR: (735) FLORIDA STATE (+8.5) over Maryland
(Risking $220 to win $200)

1 STAR: (704) SYRACUSE (+3) over Georgetown
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (734) GEORGIA (+8) over Tennessee
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (755) OKLAHOMA (+2.5) over Texas Tech
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (795) ALABAMA (+3) over South Carolina
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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Philly Connection

2* Kentucky -2


Gold Medal Club

George Mason
Arizona
Arizona State
Middle Tenn State

Mike Jacobs

100* Illinois -3.5

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Keith Martin Sports Total GOY

The 2008 Totals GOY rest in the Samford/E. Kentucky game.
The current total is at 109 as many players stay away from teams for their unpredictablity. After much consideration and numbers crunching I feel 100% correct in saying Samford Over. I expect a score in the upper 120's

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Winning Points Online NCAAB.

***BEST BET
Northwestern* over Purdue by 6

Hey, at least we waited until Northwestern was taking more than a pair of treys on their home floor, against a so-so offensive visitor, before featuring them here.

Coach Carmody played a give-up game at Ohio State earlier in the week -- cutting the minutes of his only senior Jason Okrzesik drastically -- but now that they are back home, and still winless in the Big Ten, expect an all-out effort and the "A" rotation as they make a push for their first conference win of the season. When do winless conference teams get their first conference win of the season? Late in the season, on their home floor. That would make today a strong candidate.

Purdue has 20 wins, which is fine and dandy. They are also a young team facing a type of defense that they haven't played against this season, a match-up zone that switches to man. Nobody that hit a 3-pointer for Purdue in their two wins against Northwestern last year is on the roster this season. They're out on the road comingoff win #20 on ESPN against Michigan State, thinking who the heck they are.

NORTHWESTERN, 59-53.

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FERRINGO

2-Unit Play. Take #707 Kentucky (-2) over LSU
This is a perfect “Buy low, sell high” situation. LSU is coming off its biggest win of the season at Florida and their stock has never been higher. Kentucky is coming off one of the worst losses in the program’s history and has never been lower. But if we look at the numbers and look at this objectively, the Wildcats are a better team here. The Tigers are getting all kinds of credit for “almost” beating Tennessee. Well, Kentucky DID beat Tennessee. UK has won at Auburn and at Georgia. They lost at Florida in overtime and are 7-2 ATS recently. LSU has really played two decent games. But they shot 60 percent from the field at Florida (33-for-55). What are the odds of that happening again? LSU is 3-13-1 ATS at home and are still a bad team.

2-Unit Play. Take #787 Illinois (-3.5) over Penn State
We’re going to continue to fade the Nittany Lions, especially on the short number here. I had this game posted as a -7.5 or a -8.0 so I think we’re getting some value. Penn State is 1-6-1 ATS in its last nine games since losing Geary Claxton. They beat Illinois in Penn State on a night when the Illini couldn’t hit anything. That was also Illinois’ last really bad loss. The Illini have played one of the toughest schedules in America and seven of their last 10 games have been against Indiana, Purdue, Wisconsin, or Michigan State, with one game at Ohio State kicked in there. Those first four are the cream of the Big 10 crop and it’s acceptable for Illinois to drop those games. And in the three games against the bottom-tier of the conference Illinois won by 24 (over Minnesota), by 33 (over Northwestern), and by 18 (over Michigan). I see them muscling over the Lions today.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #845 Portland (+12) over San Diego
San Diego has been smoking lately – and now it’s time to sell high. The Toreros will likely be looking ahead to Monday’s huge matchup with Gonzaga and may overlook a team that played them tough in their last meeting. Portland lost by three points in the first meeting and the average margin of victory in this series over the past two years is just 4.3. Portland got bombed by St. Mary’s and Gonzaga, but other than that the average margin of victory in their last seven conference games is just 4.4. They hang around. And the fact that 92 percent of the betting action (over 2,600 bets) is on San Diego makes them a solid fade today.

5-Unit Play. Take #806 VCU (-8.5) over Old Dominion
Note: This is our Game of the Week. The only reason that it isn't a 6-Unit Play is because there is so much action on VCU (82 percent) and that bothers me. But I love the game and love the situation and I'm not backing away just because every square and yahoo is on this one as well.

Here is my Super Square play of the day. But here’s the margin of victory of VCU’s last nine home games: 19, 23, 14, 21, 10, 2, 20, 14, and 9. That’s 8-1 in terms of topping an 8.5-point line and a 14.6 average. I know you’d think that those results wouldn’t matter because none of those games came against ODU. Well, ODU sucks. They are a young, inconsistent team. They’re coming off back-to-back emotional home wins and are now heading to face a team that’s twice as talented and extremely tough at home. I’m looking for another double-digit win out of the Rams, who want to maintain their spot atop the CAA standings. The Monarchs are 1-8 ATS at VCU and 3-13 ATS in this series overall. This might also be the worst team they've brought into this series in five years, while VCU is nothing but legit.

3-Unit Play. Take #793 Richmond (+13) over Duquesne
The Dukes are coming off a monster comeback win at Dayton and have a date with Xavier on Monday. This is kind of a sandwich game and Duquesne has shown a penchant for letdowns (see: 15-point loss to St. Bonaventure). Richmond isn’t awful. They’ve hung around with some people, they’ve beat some people, and they have some athletes. They’ve also won 10 in a row in this series and covered four of five. The Dukes are 3-8 ATS at home and the Spiders are 8-2-1 ATS on the road.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #843 Michigan State (+4.5) over Indiana
Would you be surprised if Michigan State won this game? Me neither, so this is too many points. Negative vibes abound around the IU program, as Kelvin Sampson is under investigation and Armond Bassett just quit the team. They lost at home against Wisconsin and now I think the Spartans will make it back-to-back home L’s by winning outright. Michigan State slept through the first half against Purdue, but bounced back to play solid in the second half. I think that carries over. Also, I don’t think that Drew Neitzel will have another terrible shooting night. MSU has some size to keep D.J. White from going off for 30, and if they can harass Eric Gordon with the patented Izzo defense I think MSU could win this one big.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #726 Bradley (-2.5) over Creighton
We’re going back to the well here with Bradley. The favorite is 12-5-1 ATS in this series and I look for the Braves to keep it rolling. Creighton has dropped three straight road games while the Braves have won four in a row at home. Bradley is coming off its worst shooting night in a month and I’m looking for them to hang a big number up today in front of the home crowd. This team is a sleeper in the MVC tournament and I see them stealing another solid victory today to make it nine covers in their last 11 games.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #781 Southern Illinois (-1) over Wichita State
The Salukis are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and should dominate the lowly Shockers today. Wichita State has just two wins in its last 10 games and neither was much to write home about. This number is short because SIU has been so bad on the road. However, they’ve split their last two road trips and are simply a much better team here. They’ve won three of their last five trips to Wichita and have won five of six in this series overall.

2-Unit Play. Take #717 Drake (-2.5) over Northern Iowa
Why did everyone jump off the Drake bandwagon so quickly? They’ve beaten much better teams than NIU on the road this year and are still the class of the MVC. With a few rare exceptions, the better teams have taken care of business in the MVC, with small favorites covering at a respectable clip. I just think that a team that’s 22-2 and that’s covered 7 of 10 games would get more love than this.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #823 Youngstown (+11) over Valparaiso
Valpo is in a free fall. The Crusaders have lost five straight games and haven’t covered in over a month. Yet, they’re getting an astounding 96 percent of the betting action on this game – the highest single-game total on the board. We’re going against the public on this one, and backing a scrappy Penguins team that is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10.

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ASA

7* G0y Tex A & M


Powerplaywins

Louisville -5.5

Clemson -5.5

Purdue -9

Texas +1.5

Arizona St. -4.5

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Bryan Leonard Big 10 Shocker

Nwestern


Tom Freese

20 Star Blowout Vandy


Private Players Pitt / GAVAZZI

5 Utah,BYU
4 MissSt,KSST,VCU,
3 Wis,MTN,SMU

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