Wednesday Service Plays

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Marc Lawrence Big 12 Game of the Year

Analysis: Play On: Texas Tech

Note: Red Raiders make the home debut under new head coach Pat Knight in a great winning situation at the United Spirit Arena where they are 10-0 this season. For openers Tech takes the court with revenge from being eliminated from last year's Big 12 conference tourney by the Wildcats, a 66-45 defeat, the lowest point production of the season by the Raiders. Kansas State enters off a revenge win over Oklahoma State with another revenge game up next against Missouri. We like the fact that KSU is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after battling the Cowboys. And the fact that Texas Tech has never lost a Big 12 home game against the Wildcats, going 5-0 SU & ATS. The clincher comes from an Awesome Angle that supports winning teams as dogs off a loss against an opponent off win if the home team has won at least 30 of its previous 40 home games and won 20 or more games last season. These teams are 12-4 ATS since 1990, including 7-0 ATS if the opponent covered its last game by 5 or more points. Look for TTRR to make it a good Knight for Pat in his home debut this evening.

Texas Tech is our Big 12 Conference Game of the Year.

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BURNS

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Game: Drake vs. Southern Illinois Game Time: 2/13/2008 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Southern Illinois Reason: I'm laying the points with SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. Drake comes in with the better record and higher ranking. However, there's a reason why Southern Illinois is the favorite. Indeed, the Salukis are 11-0 the last 11 times they hosted the Bulldogs. They're also an awesome 59-1 at SIU Arena vs. conference opponents since the start of the 2001-02 season. Not surprisingly, they've won 12 of their last 13 games when attempting to avenge an earlier road loss. During that stretch the Salukis, who come off an ugly loss at Creighton, have won 10 of 15 when coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Looking back further and we find them at an impressive 45-20 SU when coming off a loss in conference play. The Bulldogs have certainly enjoyed great success in conference play. However, Southern Illinois is the one team in the Missouri Valley Conference that doesn't need to play much help defense against any foe, and that will help immensely against a Drake offense that relies on taking advantage of opponents' help on "cutters and drivers." The Salukis are not going to win the Valley title, which is a blow to the ego of this proud program. However, they can regain a little dignity by taking down Drake. Look for them to bounce back from the Creighton loss in a big way as they continue their excellent play on this floor and homecourt dominance in this series. *Personal Favorite

CONNECTICUT
Game: Notre Dame vs. Connecticut Game Time: 2/13/2008 7:00:00 PM Prediction: Connecticut Reason: I'm laying the points with CONNECTICUT. Both teams are currently playing well and Notre Dame leads the Big East in scoring. However, the Huskies have held held their last five opponents to an average of just 62.4 points AND are playing with "revenge" from an earlier loss at Notre Dame. Note that the Huskies, who have improved greatly during that time, are a perfect 4-0 ATS the last four times that they were attempting to avenge a road loss. The Huskies, who are a perfect 5-0 ATS their last five, are also 9-3 ATS the last dozen times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. The Irish snuck by Marquette in their past game. They failed to cover though, falling to 2-4 ATS their last six games. Note that Notre Dame is also now 2-5 ATS when coming off a victory over a conference opponent. The Irish have played just once at Gampel Pavilion, losing 85-65 during the 1995-96 season. They're 1-7 all-time against the Huskies in Connecticut, mostly playing at the Hartford Civic Center. The Huskies have beaten the likes of Marquette, Indiana, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Syracuse and Georgia Tech during their current winning streak. Look for them to continue their excellent recent play, avenging the earlier loss and extending their homecourt dominance in this series. *Big East GOW

NBA

SONICS
Game: Utah Jazz vs. Seattle SuperSonics Game Time: 2/13/2008 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Seattle SuperSonics Reason: I'm taking the points with SEATTLE. The Sonics return home off a pair of impressive road games. After a double-digit road victory at Sacramento (as +9 underdogs) the Sonics traveled to Phoenix and stayed within four points of the Suns. Looking to close out the first half on a positive note, I expect them to carry the positive momentum from those games into tonight's contest. Although they lost their last game here, the Sonics have been much better at home all season, scoring more points here while allowing fewer. That's led to a respectable 14-11 ATS mark in 25 games here. Conversely, the Jazz are a poor 11-16 SU/ATS on the road this season. That includes a 13 point loss at Sacramento in their last road game. Not surprisingly, the home team has covered both meetings in this series. The Jazz won convincingly when the teams met at Utah in mid-December. However, the game down to the wire (Jazz won by two) when the teams faced each other at Seattle in November. That "cover" brought the Sonics to a profitable 8-3-1 ATS the last dozen times that they were a host in this series. Note that the Sonics are also a solid 8-4 ATS the last dozen times that they were home underdogs in the +6.5 to +9 range. On the other hand, the Jazz are just 2-5 ATS the past few seasons when listed as road favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range, losing four of those games outright. I look for the revenge-minded Sonics to give their guests all they can handle tonight and won't be surprised if/when they score the outright upset.*Northwest Division GOM

BUCKS
Game: New Orleans Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game Time: 2/13/2008 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks Reason: I'm taking the points with MILWAUKEE. The betting public will be quick to back the Hornets here. After all, they've won two in a row and 11 of 14. Meanwhile, since winning at Memphis on 2/5, the Bucks have managed to lose three in a row. The fact that the majority of bettors won't want to take Milwaukee has given us excellent line value though. A closer look at the Bucks' last three losses shows that they covered in the loss at Dallas and that the two defeats here came by an average of only four points. More importantly, note that the Bucks have been at their best after having lost a few in a row. In fact, they've gone a profitable 7-2 ATS this season after having lost three straight games, winning six of those games outright. After a sizzling streak in January, the Hornets have cooled off in February. Including a loss at Golden State to close out January, they're just 1-4 ATS their last five. Despite the recent close losses, the Bucks remain a respectable 13-10 at home. They had last night off and I expect them to be focused on closing out the first half on a positive note. Conversely, the Hornets played at Chicago last night and are likely looking ahead to returning home to the All Star festivities in New Orleans. Playing with "revenge" from an earlier road loss, look for the Bucks to earn (at least) the cover, improving to 77-53 ATS (59%) the past decade when coming off three or more consecutive losses. *Contrarian GOM

UNDER Lakers/TWolves
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game Time: 2/13/2008 8:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Lakers and T-Wolves to finish UNDER the number. The T-Wolves have become competitive in recent weeks due largely to improved play at the defensive end of the floor. Including last night's relatively low-scoring (92-88 loss at NJ) result, that's led to the UNDER going a perfect 7-0 their last seven games. Note that the T-Wolves have also seen the UNDER go 8-3 the last 11 times that they played the second of back to back games. In fact, the most recent time that they played the second game of a back to back situation, the T-Wolves and Bulls combined for a mere 150 points. Despite big games from Bryant, Gasol and co. the Lakers have also been seeing the majority of their games finish below the number. In fact, the UNDER is 5-1 their last six games and 10-4 their last 14. It's also worth noting that the Lakers have seen the UNDER go a profitable 15-4 the last 19 times that they played a road game with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5, including a perfect 5-0 this season. Meanwhile, we find the UNDER at a healthy 30-19-1 the last 50 times that Minnesota played a home game with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5. Look for tonight's game to be lower-scoring than expected once again.

MAGIC
Game: Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic Game Time: 2/13/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Orlando Magic Reason: I'm laying the points with ORLANDO. Having gone just 1-3 through the first four games of their current five-game homestand, the Magic should be extremely hungry to close out the first half with a victory. Additional motivation will be provided from the fact that the Nuggets defeated them at Denver last month. The Magic, who had last night off, are 14-8 ATS on the season when playing with "revenge" and the situation favors them to get some "payback" tonight. The Nuggets, who come off a hard-fought overtime win at Miami, are 0-3 SU/ATS the last three times that they played the second of back to back games. Those three losses weren't close either as they came by margins of 22, 11 and 24 points. Looking back further and we find the Nuggets at just 6-13 SU and 7-12 ATS the last 19 times that they played the second of back to back games. The Magic, who are 8-3 ATS the last 11 times they played a game with an over/under line of 210 or greater, have dominated the Nuggets here in Florida. In fact, dating back to 1992, they've won 14 straight meetings against the Nuggets here, winning by an average of 14 points per game. Look for them to continue that homecourt series domination this evening, improving to 13-7 ATS after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game.

BOBCATS
Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Bobcats Game Time: 2/13/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats Reason: I'm laying the points with CHARLOTTE. The Hawks have won both meetings in this series so far this season. However, both those games came at Atlanta. Tonight, the scheduling situation favors the Bobcats to get some "payback," as they had last night off and are now playing at home. Homecourt is highly significant for both these teams, as both are competitive at home but dismal on the road. The Hawks, who come off a hard fought 4-point loss vs. Detroit, are 0-4 SU/ATS the last four times that they played the second of back to back games and 1-6 SU/ATS in that situation since the beginning of December. Most recently, they were crushed by 19 points at Houston. Looking back further and we find them at just 6-14 SU and 7-13 ATS the last 20 times that they played in the second game of a back to back situation. While the Bobcats have lost three of their last four at Atlanta, they've beaten the Hawks three straight times, both SU and ATS, here at Charlotte. Looking back further and we find them at 5-1 SU/ATS in six all-time series meetings here. The Bobcats have thrived as small home favorites, going 4-0 SU/ATS the last four times they were listed as home favorites of -3 points or less and 15-6 SU/ATS in that role the past three seasons. Look for homecourt to be difference tonight as the Bobcats avenge the earlier losses and close out the first half with a much-needed victory.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Mike Rose

Connecticut -5.0 

The (18-4) Notre Dame Fighting Irish invade the Gampel Pavilion tonight to square off against Head Coach Jim Calhoun’s (18-5) UCONN Huskies. The game can be seen at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The Fighting Irish have attained most of its gaudy record at home this year where they’re a perfect 15-0 and own one of the nation’s longest home winning streaks. However, they’ve only managed 3-4 SU and ATS marks in road/neutral venues this season. As for the Huskies, they’ve won 12 of their 13 home games this season with the only defeat suffered at the hands of the Providence Friars back in mid January. Only nine of those 13 home games had a betting line, and the Huskies come into tonight’s match-up with the Irish 5-3-1 ATS at home. Notre Dame currently sits 1-game in back of the Big East leading Georgetown Hoyas, while UCONN nipping their heels just 2-games back.

Notre Dame was last in action on Saturday when they upended the Marquette Warriors 86-83, but failed to cover the 4.5-point spread. The win was their fifth in a row and 8th in their L/10, but they only managed a 5-5 ATS mark throughout that stretch. They have won and covered their last two on the road against Seton Hall and Villanova, but got smashed at both Georgetown and Marquette before that.

UCONN won its last time out as well when they handed ACC member Georgia Tech an 80-68 defeat in Storrs. Hasheem Thabeet continued his excellent play by scoring 24 points, ripping down 15 boards, and blocking 6 shots. The win was the Huskies 7th in a row, and they to have earned victories in 8 of their L/10 overall. However, they experienced much better ATS success over that stretch than tonight’s opponent cashing tickets 7 of 9 times with 1 push.

The Irish took their earlier season meeting this year when they upended the Huskies 73-67 at home as 5.5-point home chalks. The combined 140 points fell 12 points under the closing ‘Total’ of 152. The home team has won seven straight in this series dating back to 2004, and each team has secured five ATS victories in the L/10 meetings. However, the Irish have cashed their backers tickets in 5 of the L/7 meetings, but the home team has struck ATS gold in 4 of the L/5 meetings.

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Johnny Guild

Indiana Pacers (21-31) at Detroit Pistons (38-13)

The hot Detroit Pistons nine-game win streak has them in chase of the Celtics for best in the East. Take the surging Pistons tonight for a season sweep versus the Pacers at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Detroit has won five straight over Indiana and five of the last six at home. The Pistons haven't been money making team, just 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games, but the Pacers are struggling, dropping eight of its last ten and allowing a ghastly 105.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the Pistons are playing sound, especially on defense, allowing just an average of 90 points per game. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 clashes against Indiana and 4-2 ATS in the last 6 in Motown. The Pacers are 11-16 away from home thus far this season.

Detroit Pistons - 10

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EZ Winners

3 STAR: (580) ST. LOUIS (-9) over George Washington
(Risking $330 to win $300)

As most of you guys know I hate to lay points, but I think this is a great spot. George Washington is coming off of their biggest win of the season, a 57-54 home win over Dayton in their last game, now they hit the road where they have not won a game all year. St. Louis will be fired up for this one. In their first meeting at George Washington, the Billikins were embarrassed in a 20-49 loss. This is a great time for them to catch GW in a letdown spot after beating Dayton. All nine of GW's road losses have been by double figures and this includes a 10 point loss to Maryland-Baltimore City! The Colonials are only 3-13-1 against the spread in their last 17 road games against a team with a winning home record. I look for St. Louis to get their revenge here, lay the points!

NBA

2 STAR: (527) WASHINGTON (+3) over LA Clippers
(Risking $220 to win $200)

This is the last game of a four game western road trip for the Wizards. Washington in currently 0-3 on their trip, but they have been very competitive in all three games at Denver, Phoenix and Golden State. I think they have a chance to sneak up on what should be a tired Clippers team. This is the Clippers first home game after a 12 day, 7 game east road trip where they were 3-4 winning their last game against Milwaukee on Monday. The Clippers are only 1-12 against the spread in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Wizards are 17-8 against the spread in their last 25 games as a road underdog and 2-1 against the spread on this current road trip. Take the points!

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ATS LOCK Club

6* Nebraska
4* Uconn
4*Arkansas
3* Towson State

ATS Financial

4* Texas Tech
3* Indiana
3* So Illinois

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Cash & Profit Experts

NBA
Utah/seattle Under 208 Pod

Sacramento +9.5 Comp


Scott Delaney

30* Indiana

10* Memphis


Keith Martin Sports

Northeastern OV 124.5

Arkansas LR OV 126.5


3G Sports

10*Florida
5* Temple
5* Saint Louis
4* Syracuse
4* Wyoming

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VEGAS EXPERTS

New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

Knicks remember those two losses including the one here in Boston by a 104-59 score. Boston not in an easy spot here after last night's win in Indiana. That was the club's sixth win and cover in its last seven games but the Knicks have not been point spread slouches going 11-5 ATS over their last 16. New York is 13-4 ATS in road games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons while Boston is 43-71 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days since 1996 and 69-98 ATS off a road win.

Play on: New York

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WILL SYKES FREE PLAY

DENVER vs ORLANDO

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: Today we catch the Nuggets sleeping, and as they are still on the road heading to Orlando after a tough game in Miami playing in OT. The Nuggets are 5-7 with no days rest, and got 2-1 SU after playing in OT. The home team in this match up has won the last 10 games. The Nuggets have been struggling all season to get that 4th win. The Nuggets are 0-2 after a 3 game winning streak then playing their 4th game on the road, the Nuggets are also 0-4 ATS after a 3 game winning streak (not including their 6 game winning streak in the beginning of the season) as you can see they've been struggling as of late trying to get a streak going. As for the Magic, they've also hit a bump losing two straight, but when the Magic lose two straight and their next game is at home, they've gone 2-0 ATS this season. And they've only allowed 2, three game losing streaks this season, they basically get it done after two losses. Let me break it down to you, this will be the biggest little trend you won't see from any handicapper but Sykes...the Nuggets haven't won in Orlando since March 10th 1992, meaning the Nuggets went 1-13 ATS/0-14 SU covering their only game in March of 2000, Now that's DIAMOND. The Nuggets are way tired from last nights game, so we find the perfect spot for the Magic to cash in our DIAMOND. Don't get psyched here by the Nuggets 10 point win a month ago at Denver, because the Magic are now at home and ready for a KO punch. Just stick with Sykes as we deliver a KO blow to Vegas, and once again.....Sykes becomes Victorious.

KO DIAMOND PLAY: ORLANDO - 5.5

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Kelso

Chairman 15 units Nebraska -4 v. Missou

Best Bets

5 units NDame +5 @ Conn
4 units Md +11 @ Duke
3 units Houston +16 @ Memphis


John Ryan

5* Montreal


Iceman

4* Montreal

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MR A's

Denver Nuggets + 5.5

Boston Celtics - 8.5

New Orleans Hornets - 6.5

Los Angeles Lakers - 8.5


Rocketman Sports

3* Southern Illinois -3 1/2
1* Maryland +12


Lock Of The Day

Wisconsin +4

Wisconsin -4 is a nice bet. Wisconsin +4 is very nice bet. The reason why? Indiana is the most overrated team in America. Indiana will get bounced in the big dance. Wisconsin is too big and plays terrific defense. Wisconsin +4 is today's pick.

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Ethan Law

CBB
1* Toledo +4.5
1* Nc-Charlotte +5.5
1* Oklahoma State -1
1/2* WisconsinIindiana Over 126

NBA
1/2* Sacramento Kings +9.5

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WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - St Louis
Millionaire - Cleve Cavs
Money Maker - Notre Dame
No Limit - So Illinois
Insider Circle - South Florida
Billionaire - Texas Tech

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Zen Gambler

Denver Nuggets @ Orlando Magic over 219
Golden State Warriors -2.0
Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers over 196
Washington Wizards +3.0
Utah Jazz -6.0

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Gina

Sacramento Kings (23-27) at Houston Rockets (31-20)

The surging Houston Rockets have won seven straight and have been a tough team to beat in their house, winning four straight and six of its last seven, while the Kings have struggle on the road, ugly 7-17 this season. Go with the Rockets at the Toyota Center. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and have lost two of its last three at Houston. The total has gone over in the last 4 meetings, a combined average of 216 points per game.Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Houston.

Houston Rockets

8:30 p.m. Sacramento (23-27) at Houston (31-20) Houston Rockets - 9½
8:30 p.m. Sacramento (23-27) at Houston (31-20) Over - 199
8:30 p.m. Portland (28-23) at Dallas (34-17) Dallas Mavericks - 5½

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PPP

5* Saint Louis, Tenn
4* Troy,SD St
3* Kansas St,Davidson, 76ers,Hornets,Cavs


Seabass

10* Clev Cavs

20* Syracuse
20* Uconn
50* S. Ill
50* Stl

Insiders

100* Cin
100* Hou Rockets

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Teddy Covers Big Ticket

Big Ticket: Game of the Week (last week 2-0)

REASON FOR PICK: Oklahoma State is a disaster area right now, but the betting marketplace has been very slow to catch up to how bad this team really is. The Cowboys reached the Final Four as recently as 2004, but the program has declined precipitously since that time. We’ve seen other programs go through a tremendous revival when the son takes over for the father as head coach, most notably at Washington State last year and at Drake this year. At Oklahoma State, where Sean Sutton took over for his dad at the start of last season, the reverse is true – this team has gotten worse, much worse.

After a 24 turnover, ten assist performance in their 21 point loss at Kansas State over the weekend, the Cowboys currently sport a woeful 80 assist-to-129-turnover ratio since the start of Big 12 play. Combine that with a #11 ranking among the 12 teams in the conference in rebounding margin and we can expect the Cowboys to continue their free fall. After all, Okie State has exactly one win in their last eight games; that lone win coming by a single point against the worst team in the conference (Colorado).

Baylor is 9-1 ATS in their last ten road games. We’ve seen them hang tough at Big 12 elites Kansas and Texas, while winning outright at Texas A+M, Nebraska and South Carolina. The Bears deep, veteran backcourt is a horrific matchup for the Cowboys bad ball handlers, with Baylor holding foes to an 0.76 assist-to-turnover ratio for the season. The Bears are the better shooting team, the better defensive team, the better rebounding team, the better free throw shooting team, the better three point shooting team – heck, let’s make this simple. Baylor is the better team. In a pointspread range where a win equals a cover, this game has ‘Big Ticket’ written all over it. Big Ticket (#585) Take Baylor.

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Bryan Leanords Gold Club Selection

4* College Hoops Gold Club Selection

REASON FOR PICK:San Diego State (-) over New Mexico

One of the largest home/road dichotomies in college basketball is owned by the New Mexico Lobos. They are dominant at home in “The Pit” but at times putrid on the road. Just using the last week or so as an example New Mexico beat Colorado State at home by 40 before pounding Wyoming by 45. Before that they lost at BYU by 17 and at UNLV by 19 in a game that was never that close. Sure we know that the road games were against the leagues best while the home games were against bottom feeders. But the fact remains that New Mexico lost to the spread by a combined 24 points on the road and won by a combined 55 points at home. On the season the Lobos are 14-1 straight up at home but just 4-5 outright on the road. Two of those road wins came in overtime at Wyoming and UTEP.

The lone home loss this season for New Mexico came at the hands of these Aztecs. San Diego State beat them on the road 72-67 in a game in which they pounded the host on the boards 40-30. New Mexico wins with athletic ability but no team in this league has the athletes the Aztecs do. Even without suspended Kyle Spain San Diego State is deep with all-around quality players. The Aztecs have won the last five meetings in this series including an amazing 3 straight at “The Pit”. This is a team that matches up incredibly well with New Mexico.

The Aztecs are the one team in this league who can out-athlete the Lobos. That along with New Mexico’s struggles on the road against quality opposition place us firmly on the host at a cheap price.

PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE

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MAlinsky 6*

6* Top of the Ticket - Side
REASON FOR PICK: 6* TENNESSEE over ARKANSAS

Knoxville is absolutely not the place to play this season if your basketball team needs to run and press to be successful. Bruce Pearl’s Volunteers are not just playing uptempo better than anyone in the nation this season, but in some categories they are setting standards we have not seen in a long time. So what does that make this trip for John Pelphrey and Arkansas? Russian roulette. In other words, it is just a matter of time.

Tennessee has reeled off 85, 90, 85 and 104 points in going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home in SEC play, and for the season the Pearl system has put up some rather frightening numbers. It is one thing to force the opposition into 164 more turnovers than assists, but it is another to be +145 in that category on the other end of the court. Rarely have we ever seen a team that plays at such a frenetic pace take care of the ball so well. So when you can guard all over the court for the full 40 minutes, and also run a smooth attack, it means a lot more opportunities to score than your opponent. For Tennessee it is indeed a lot more – through 23 games the Vols have 180 more field goal attempts and 69 more free throw attempts than their opponents. That is a most rare level.

Now Pelphrey not only has the coaching disadvantage of going up against this opponent for the first time, which means serious matchup issues, but also the problem of the style of his team playing right into the hands of the superior opponent. But we believe him when he says that he is not going to change his stripes - "I don't want to change our pace. I don't want to play slower, don't want to play cautious, but we've got to be smart. If you don't convert some two-on-ones and three-on-twos and they are able to get stops, it makes for two-on-ones and three-on-twos back the other way where they are outstanding, especially at home."

So what happens at this pace? A team that committed 24 turnovers in an 83-72 home loss to Tennessee LY, and is -29 in assist to turnover ratio this season, is prone to falling into some ugly traps. The schedule has not prepared them well at all for what they are going to face, with an 0-2 ATS tally in their only road dog appearances so far, losing to the spread by 19 in those games. And because of some fatigue issues, the Razorbacks could become even more dry kindling for the Volunteer fire. Key cogs Patrick Beverly (36 minutes) and Sonny Weems (35) have been on the court way too much in SEC play, but Pelphrey’s assessment of those minute counts helps to push this over the top - "It's too high. But there's nothing I can do about it right now. As we evolve as a program, it's going to be about 28 minutes a game. If you are really, really good we'll let you play 30. But the makeup of the team, that's the way it's got to be for now. We don't have great depth there."

Pearl has no such issues. Now that Duke Crews is back to full health he has 10 players in his prime rotation, and only Chris Lofton goes more than 28 minutes. And this is a team more than motivated to deliver a knockout punch, When you have won 28 straight home games, which they have, previous losses on this court linger in the memory. Yes, they whipped Arkansas on the road LY, but that did not erase in their minds what happened here two seasons ago, with a 14-point lead with 8:30 remaining turned into a defeat. First, from senior Jordan Howell -

"But that Arkansas game, man, I remember us leading the whole game, and then at the end we just collapsed. It was so distraught in the locker room. It was like, 'How did we just lose that game?' It was the worst feeling.'' And from JaJuan Smith - "Our seniors and Coach Pearl have a nasty taste in our mouths. We don't want to leave here after our senior year saying there was a team we couldn't beat in our gym. We're going to take a lot of pride in this one.''

The fact that Arkansas will play at the expected suicide pace should lead to a few Tennessee explosions over the course of this evening, and eventually the game breaks wide open, with the passion of the Volunteers and their crowd firmly locking the back door.

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Tony Karpinski

LSU vs. Florida
Pick: Florida

Pick on FLORIDA> The Tigers played solid in their first game without John Brady as coach, as they nearly stunned Tennessee in a 47-45 defensive contest. We don't see a reprise tonight against the Gators, as Florida can light up the scoreboard on you in a hurry. The Gators stand at 15-1 straight up at home, and they have gone 5-2 against the spread in games played at the O-Dome. Billy D's team is also a solid 7-3 against the spread their last 10 games, and will run and gun at home and they should easily dispose of an undermanned LSU squad. LSU had a new coach start on Saturday and they came out strong and fell behind by 10 in the 2nd half. TENN shot 31% for the game and was 4-15 from the FT line with 15 turnovers. Florida will not do that at home and I smell a BLOWOUT!. FLORIDA by 21

New Mexico vs. San Diego State
Pick:San Diego State

Pick on SD STATE. The Lobos are just a one of the worst road teams you're going to find in college basketball and while San Diego State isn't the greatest team in the Mountain West Conference, they will deliver us a winning ticket in this one. New Mexico has just gotten drilled the last two times they've hit the road, losing at New Mexico 79-60 as a 5 1/2-point 'dog and at BYU 83-66 as a 6 1/2-point pup. The Lobos are 4-5 overall on the road but the wins came early in the season and not against conference competition. The Aztecs have been getting the job done at home, winning four of their five conference games in front of the home fans (3-2 ATS). Last time out at home was Feb. 6 when they played an ugly one against the Air Force, winning 49-38 as 10-point favorites. San Diego State has won three of the last four at home over the Lobos and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday tip-offs. New Mexico State is just not a good team and the Aztecs have to get this one to remain in the top three in the league. Play San Diego State tonight and watch as they deliver a good 7-10 point over a over-confident New Mexico team who is coming off a 45 point win.

Syracuse vs. South Florida
Pick: Syracuse

Pick on SYRACUSE. Syracuse -4.5 over SOUTH FLORIDA as my BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR Life looked good early in the season for S Florida first year HC Heath had made some defensive changes following his 0-3 SU start. They were playing with great confidence following a Big East opening day win vs. Rutgers. Wednesday Night South Florida enters this rematch on a 0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS run. Along the way has been a 0-4 SU ATS home log which has seen them lose every game by 14 or more points. This past Saturday S Florida blew a 16 pt lead at DePaul in an eventual 69-61 loss which was very emotional for the team. With little chance to even play in the Big east tourney these Bulls may have tossed the towel. For Syracuse it's been a different story. Despite the loss of starting guards Rautins and Devendorf to injury, Jim Boeheim has done a masterful job in creating cohesion and chemistry in his young athletic team. Biggest improvement has been on the defensive end where they have allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to score 64 points or less. With a full week to prepare following a narrow 2 point loss to UConn on Feb 6th, look for full focus from the Orange as they more the better talent and far better coaching.

Rhode Island vs. Temple
Pick:Temple

Temple = We are going to lay the 2.5 points to R.I. tonight. Even though they are 12-10 they are playing great. They are 6-4 their last 10, with the 4 losses by an average of 5 points a game, with one of those losses being to Duke. I think they will slow R.I. down and get the win and move up in the A-10.

George Washington vs. Saint Louis
Pick:Saint Louis

TCU vs. Wyoming
Pick: Wyoming

Montreal Canadiens vs. Florida Panthers
Pick:Montreal Canadiens

Montreal Canadiens Most teams have trouble with the Canadiens' speed and skill on the Ice. Floria is 6-4 last ten head-to-head meetings (four of the six by 1 goal), but have been out-shot in 7 of the 10 games. Montreal comes off a poor effort last night in Tampa Bay while Florida returns home from a long road trip. The Panthers are suffering through injuries to say the least. They will have at least 5 starters OUT for this game. The Canadiens love playing on the road, evident by a 17-9-4 record. Montreal should be the favorite in this game and you'll see why tonight!

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