Monday's Service Plays

Re: Monday's Service Plays

Greg Shaker

KANSAS/TEXAS OVER 147 Both of these teams play a very good brand of D and especially the Jayhawks who have maintained the #2 Defensive Efficiency in the country this year. What we do have tonight in Austin are two teams that not only can score, ranked #1 and #4 in offensive efficiency, but two teams that usually have lots of fun when they play each other. They have gone OVER the Posted Total at 8-2 last 10 played and those games have also gone OVER the Posted Total that we have tonight. The Longhorns have been up and down with their pace this year but most recently they have stepped that up, and we are seeing a larger number of shots in games they have played. We know what Kansas is going to do, having a tempo that is in the Top 20% of all Division 1A Schools and we can be almost sure that they will have success as they continue to score a Bazillion points. Note: Bazillion is a lot more than a Gazillion. There are a lot of not so proficient scoring squads in this conference and at least 6 schools that have a tempo that is well below average. That tends to hold these guy's number down a bit. Texas is one of those teams, but we can look at when they play High Octane Squads to determine that they are not afraid to run with the Big Boys. They did with North Texas, Tennessee, Mizzu, and Baylor and in all of those contests we saw finals that topped this one in a big way. The Jayhawks will be their biggest test yet and whether or not they can hang with this bunch will not distract from the fact that they will try.

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Doc's Sports Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play - #511 Take Portland/Houston UNDER 183

This series has a strong history of low scoring games and six of the last seven meetings have gone under the posted total. Actually, many of those games, including two meetings this season, have gone well under this number and we really feel that this total belongs in the high-170s. The bookies have not released many totals in the 170s like in previous years but this one should have fit the bill. The last game – late last month – reached only 168 and there were a very low amount of shots taken in that game as these teams tend to slow the pace against each other. Houston has one of the NBA’s best defenses and they have been even better than usual lately. Also, Portland is a decent defensive squad as well and they don’t tend to score a lot on offense.

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Lock Of The Day

Villanova +13

Take Nova tonight. Too many points here being spotted by a Gtown team that was less than stellar on Saturday night. Nova is athletic like Louisville and plays similar defensive pressure. They score more ppg game than Georgetown and the Hoyas have been struggling to put up big numbers lately on offense. Nova really has got its back to the wall here too, fighting for life in the Big East. This Nova team is loaded with talent, and despite their record, can still compete. Way too many points to pass up.

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Special K Comp

Illinois-Chicago Flames -1

Portland Pilots -5

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Paul Leiner

25* Kansas
25* Villanova
25* Dallas/Philadelphia Over

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Coast to Coast Sports
Horizon Game of Year
Valpo +2


All Pro Sports
San Antonio -1


Appalachian
4* Kansas -5.5

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Eddie Roman

2000 Unit Big Monday Trifecta

Villanova Wildcats +12.5 at Georgetown

Texas Longhorns +4.5 vs. Kansas

St. Mary's Gaels -5.5 at Santa Clara

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Bobby Esposito

100% SUPERSYSTEM LOCK OF THE YEAR

5000* - Illinois Chi. -1 over Valparaiso

also

1000* - Wisc. G.B. +3.5 over Clev. St.

1000* - Texas + 4 over Kansas

The Flames have won three in a row SU and ATS and now host Valpo tonight. They lost on the road at Valpo just three weeks ago by four, but were up seven at the half in that game. They dominated on the boards, 39-28, and look to have that margin again tonight. The Flames are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. They have covered five of six conference games, and are led by Josh Mayo, a premier scorer in any discussion. Mayo is averaging over 18 ppg and dishes out almost four dimes a game. He is only 5'10, but he can shoot the rock. Illinois-Chicago by double digits tonight at home.

Wisc-GB is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings between these two as they go for six covers in a row tonight. The Phoenix are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5, and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5 as well. Mike Schnacter is the leading scorer for the Phoenix, pouring in 17 ppg. He had just five in that win earlier this year over Cleveland St, which shows you on even an off night for him they can get the job done. Clev St hasn't covered a game in six straight, and will make it seven with an outright Phoenix win tonight.

Texas is 12-1 at home this year, with the only loss coming to Wisconsin by one in a furious comeback late by the Badgers. Since that loss, they have won their last five home games by an average of over 12 points per contest. Last year in the Big 12 tournament, Kansas beat Texas by four in overtime. Still, the Jayhawks are 2-6 ATS their last eight meetings with the Longhorns. Kansas' only loss came to Kansas State on the road, but this Texas team is much better than the Wildcats from Manhattan. DJ Augustin and company roll over the Jayhawks tonight by double digits.

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L. Ness

Insider - Cleveland State

Oddsmaker's error - Illinois-Chicago

15* Big 12 GOM - Texas

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Powerplaywins

Lakers -8.5


Illinois Chicago -2

Kansas -4.5


Rocketman Sports

3* Mavericks
3* Magic
3* Spurs

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

CBB

Monday: Play Against CBB road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
44-15 ATS since 1997 (74.6%)

PLAY: Illinois-Chicago-1.5

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Dr. Bob

Monday College Opinion
SANTA CLARA (+5 ½) over St. Mary’s Cal
Santa Clara played their worst game of the season in Moraga earlier this year, losing 45-76 to St. Mary’s. However, Santa Clara applies to a solid 94-35-2 ATS humiliation home revenge situation and the Broncos haven’t lost a home game by more than 6 points all season, including a spread covering overtime loss as a 7 ½ point dog to Gonzaga last Monday. St. Mary’s is just 2-3 straight up in true road games this season with the wins coming against Fresno State and San Francisco, who are both worse than Santa Clara. The Gaels lost 55-63 at San Diego, a team that rates about the same as Santa Clara, so the Broncos are certainly capable of beating St. Mary’s at home. My only issue is St. Mary’s 61-41-2 ATS record as a favorite under coach Randy Bennett, including 18-8 ATS as a road favorite (2-1 ATS this season with the loss coming against SD), but that team trend is not stronger than the situation favoring Santa Clara and the Broncos are playing well lately (5-1 ATS). My ratings favor St. Mary’s by 5 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with Santa Clara at +5 points or more based on the strong general situation.
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Re: Monday's Service Plays

Tony Matthews

10* Philadelphia
10* Lakers
10* Lakers Over

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INDIAN COWBOY

Sixers/Mavs Under 187 (POD)

Winning 3 of 4 weeks, Winning 23 of 38 days (60%) and 27 of 45 POD Winners (60%).

The Sixers are more of a defensive team that many given them credit for. The prototype for this game is when the Mavs faced the Pistons at home and Detroit ended up winning 78-86. Keep in mind that the Mavs recently got blown out at Detroit but bounced-back well at Orlando but they do come of an ugly loss against Jersey. I also like the Sixers in this game as I will talk about this in that plays write-up but I believe the Sixers dicatate the pace of this game which is more in the defensive mind-set. The Sixers have played the under in 3 of their last 4 games and they recently held the Clippers to 80 points at home. This is a physical team with the likes of Dalembert, Iguodala, Thaddeus Young and Miller. This is the same team that held the Bucks to 69 points at home as well as they take pride in their defense. Dallas is struggling without Devin Harris similar to the Spurs struggling without Parker and thus the offense is hampered a bit. Look for this game to dip under in an ugly game that likely ends up in the high 160's. The under is 5-1 when the Mavs are favorites of late and the under is 4-1 for the Mavs following an ATS loss.
Sixers +3

There is no reason why the Sixers can't win this game outright. Although the Mavs are looking forward to bouncing back from their terrible game against the Nets, they are heavy public favorites today against a Sixer team that was beat by 15 points on the road earlier this year by them. The Sixers are a young and physical team that has blown out the likes of Miami, Milwaukee and beat the Wiz at home. This is the same team that nearly beat the Pistons and Magic at home and against a Dallas team that is without Devin Harris or Stackhouse, this team is struggling a bit. Dallas could certainly bounce-back today but I like the inside presence that the Sixers have today with Dalembert and Young who should give Dirk enough problems to slow him down. I look for this game to be low-scoring and a Sixer outright upset. The Sixers are 5-0 ATS at home of late and the Mavs have failed to cover their last 4 games as favorites.

Washington/Golden State Under 214

This is my third favorite play today. The Warriors are likely without Stephen Jackson today so that should aid in this under and Washington is coming off a back to back. Frankly, yesterday's game against Phoenix should have gone under for all intense purposes except for the monster 3rd quarter that both teams had and I think that although the public believes this game is likely to go over, I think it very well might dip under. Washington does have their own respective twin towers in the paint with Haywood and Jamison who provide sound defense and their guards are not bad on transition defense as well. The under is 9-2 when the Wizards face the Western Conference and the under is 5-2 for the Warriors when they are favorites by this margin of late.

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Re: Monday's Service Plays

seabass

50 santa clara i
50llinois chi

20 texas

10 lakers over
10 app st

Inside info 100 clev st


10 dallas stars

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VinWins

MAVERICKS
MAGIC
CLEVELAND ST
SAN FRANCISCO

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Billy Coleman

4 Dallas Under
3 Orlando

4 Ill Chi
3 San Diego

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The Killer Move's picks for Monday:

10* Dallas
10* Orlando
10* San Antonio/Toronto UNDER
10* Santa Clara

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