Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Gamblers Data

St. Bonaventure +7.5


Scott Spreitzer

KO GOY FLA

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Boston College +19.5

Duke is good, but not nearly 20 points better than BC good.  The Dog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and will be the winner again here.  It is going to be very difficult for Duke to get up for this one after a highly emotional win over UNC.  The Blue Devils just aren't going to be able to match the same intensity and even if they did, I'm not sure they could win by 20 today.  There's no doubt that BC is struggling, but they'll bring their A game against Duke to try to hit the big target on its back.  BC is 11-1 ATS in road games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.  The defense gets turned up a notch by BC here and the result will be a cover.

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BlackMagic Sports

1 Unit on Baylor +18

The Baylor Bears finally get their chance to show the world that they are the real deal this season with a tough road contest at Kansas, the best team in all of the Big 12.  Baylor is 17-4 on the year due to their experience with 5 starters back from last season and brilliant coaching from Scott Drew.  The reason Baylor has a great chance hang with Kansas in this game is their ability to hit 3-pointers along with a big defensive presence inside with two 7-foot centers at their disposal.  This presence won’t allow Kansas to get all the easy buckets they are accustomed to.  Baylor averages 9 made 3-pointers per game, shooting at a stellar 38% clip.  Baylor doesn’t mind going on the road where they have just one loss to seven wins and a 6-1 ATS road record.  Baylor is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.  Cash in with Baylor as the underdog.

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BlackWidow Sports Picks

1* on Akron -6

At 16-6 on the season, Akron travels to Ball State to face a team that is just 3-18 on the year.  Akron is an NCAA Tournament caliber team and cannot afford to lose this road game against a perennial bottom feeder.  Ball State has lost back-to-back home games to Bowling Green and Miami (Ohio) by 10 and 12 points respectively.  Akron is better than both of these teams that just recently manhandled Ball State.  Ball State is 1-9 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.  Ball State is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals will cool off from deep Saturday against a very stingy Akron defense.  Take Akron and lay the points.

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InfoPlays

3* on Michigan State -19

Michigan State gets the luxury of going up against the worst team in the Big Ten conference Saturday. Coming off a bad road loss at Penn State will have the Spartans fired up and ready to go at home today. Northwestern comes to town and will likely suffer their worst loss of the season. The Wildcats have yet to earn a win in Big Ten play this season. They are 0-9 in conference play and 3-6 ATS as well. Northwestern is 1-9 ATS in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997. Michigan State’s pressure defense will force many turnovers and easy buckets in transition for their play-makers such as Ramar Morgan. Bet Michigan State at home.

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Winning Sports Plays

NOTRE DAME -4 -120

SOUTH CAROLINA -3

OLE MISS +8 -120

FLORIDA -12

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Jim Feist Comp

Rockets


Cappers Access

N Dame
G Tech
Nevada


Joe Wiz

N Dame
Ind St

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

John Ryan

Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga    
Play:Gonzaga     

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Gonzaga - AiS shows a 73% probability that Gonzaga will win this game by 23 or more points. Pepperdine has a nice offense, but their defense is simply horrible. For the season they have allowed 81.6 PPG 38.3 PPG in the first half, 47.8% shooting and have allowed 40.2 rebounds per game. Gonzaga already scoring 76.5 PPG and have a vastly under rated defense that has allowed just 39.5 shooting on the season. AiS shows a 90% probability that Gonzaga will score 81+ points in this game. Note that Gonzaga is 17-5 ATS when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Pepperdine is 8-26 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams that are making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997. Take Gonzaga.

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Dave Price

Duquesne vs. La Salle   
Take La Salle Explorers

1 Unit on LaSalle +3 Duquesne is awful on the road and poor as a favorite. The Dukes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. The LaSalle Explorers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. LaSalle has won 3 in a row ATS and is 9-3-1 ATS this season. Take the points on the home dog.

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Nelly

Nebraska – over Texas Tech

The Texas Tech coaching change came as a surprise to some and it may take some time for the transition to start paying dividends. The Red Raiders have covered in five of the past six games but this will be a tricky road game for a team that is 1-7 S/U away from home this season. Nebraska lost soundly in its last game so there will be motivation for tonight's home game as the Huskers seek to improve on a 12-2 home record. The only teams to beat Nebraska at home this season are Kansas and Baylor, and the Baylor game was very close as Nebraska lost by just two points. Look for Nebraska to deliver a win Saturday afternoon.


Dave Cokin
   
Indiana State @ 636 Wichita State 8PM ET

Play: Indiana State +5

Indiana State is clearly not a good road team, but here's a spot where the Sycamores have a real shot to grab a win. Wichita State continues to struggle badly, and their only hope of salvaging a brutal season will come in the MVC Tournament. I can't see the Shockers laying even a medium price as is the case here. Indiana State plus the points.


James Patrick Sports
Boston College vs. Duke

The whole country watched as the Blue Devils laid it on the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill the other evening. Coach K is 0-3 ATS in his last three games following a North Carolina game. The Eagles of BC are capable and always seem to play up or down to the competition. They’ll have to play up today and we feel they will and make our Saturday College Basketball complimentary selection on #521 Boston College Eagles. In other hoop action across our land Big Game James Patrick is featuring a Trifecta of Winners on a pay after you profit format for $15 in afternoon action. This is headlined by a Pot of Gold selection. In evening games the Big Man has his NCAA Totals Pot of Gold Game of the Year available as part of a two game card Get in the huddle at jamespatricksports.com and cash in on the Gym Rat’s winners this Saturday. Good Luck!


Tom Scott

Providence at SAINT JOHN'S
Play ON: #515 PROVIDENCE minus the points

The Friars had a ten-game series winning streak in their pockets when they strolled into Madison Square Garden in their regular season finale last year. Full of confidence, they stood almost motionless and watched the Saint John's defense stifle them completely when they did try to move. The result was a humiliating 77-64 loss that dropped Providence all the way down to a tenth seed in the Big East tournament and put them up against a high-powered West Virginia team that was looking for revenge. Providence lost to the Mountaineers and then to Bradley in the NIT to end its season on a bitter note. Now, it's time to get even. The Johnnies have faced ten winning teams this season and have lost all ten times. Providence is 59-2 ATS in its last 61 SU road wins.

PREDICTION: PROVIDENCE 70 - Saint John's 58


Great Lakes
         
College Basketball Selection:

Butler at Wisconsin Green Bay
Play on: Butler Bulldogs

The Buldogs have owned Wisconsin Green Bay going 18-8 ATS vs the Phoenix since 1997, and 4-2 ATS vs Wisconsin Green Bay the last three years. The Bulldogs are also 8-3 ATS at Wisconsin Green Bay since 1997, and Butler is 6-3 ATS when playing on Saturday's this year. We look for the Butler Bulldogs to grab the road ATS Win & cover tonight

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L Ness

NBA insider - Phil 7ers

CBB
20* - Notre Dame

Weekend Wipeout Winner - UAB

20* Conf GOF - Louisville

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Al

Our 3 selections for late afternoon action include South Carolina, Oklahoma and Arkansas.

Our 3 evening selections are St Bonaventure, Louisville, and Evansville.

Our 3 selections in the early afternoon package are Boston College, Minnesota and Washington State.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento. Last night, we won with the Kings over Utah, and that was a big win for Reggie Theus' men, as they snapped the Jazz' 10-game win streak.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

JEFFERSONSPORTS

NCAA HOOPS EARLY RELEASE
NOTRE DAME-5

Major revenge for a great home team. Harangody dominated Marquette the first time they played but the Irish shot 4-19 from 3 point range and they were killed 92-66. Shouldn't happen again. Notre Dame has been awesome at home and should be revved up for major revenge.Notre Dame avg 84 ppg. shoots 47% from the field and 44% from 3 point range at home. Marquette has struggled on road

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ARMVIN SPORTS

CBB
TULANE 1
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 12
VILLANOVA -5.5
NEVADA -10
ILLINOIS STATE -6
BUTLER -6
PACIFIC -14


NHL
PHILADELPHIA -140
COLORADO at VANCOUVER Over 5

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Seabass Early Games

20* N.D. -5.5
20* Minn -9
20* Iowa St +6.5
50* Ohio -4.5
50* Gtech +8.5
300* Fla -12.5

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Marquette Golden Eagles + 5 over (at) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame (17-4, 7-2) vs. No.16 Marquette (16-5, 6-4) posted a 92-66 home win over Notre Dame on 01/12, despite attempting 10 fewer free throws. Irish are on a 33 game home win streak, the Eagles being the last team to win there.


LaSalle Explorers + 3 over Duquesne Dukes

Duquesne (14-7, 4-4) dropped its last road game losing at St. Bonaventure 74-59 on 02/02. LaSalle (9-12, 4-4) won its last home game beating St. Bonaventure 84-61 on 01/30. The Explorers are 7-3 over the Dukes last ten meetings.


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + 8.5 over (at) Connecticut Huskies

No.18 Connecticut (17-5) vs. Georgia Tech (11-10) is 4-1 last five games off winning at (13-8) Wake Forest 88-83 on 02/06, snapping the Deacon's 16 game home win streak. Teams met last season for first time since '04, Jackets at home winning 65-52.


Cincinnati Bearcats - 2.5 over (at) Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Rutgers (10-14, 2-9) enters off a 52-45 home loss to (9-12) St.John's, a team playing without its leading scorer. Cincinnati (10-12, 5-5) came up big in its last road game winning at (16-7) West Virginia 62-39. Then 1-9 Big East Cincinnati lost at Rutgers 73-69 last season.


Georgetown Hoyas + 2.5 over (at) Louisville Cardinals

Louisville (17-6, 7-3) vs. No.6 Georgetown (19-2, 9-1) leads the Big East in both field goal percentage and scoring defense. Teams met last season for the first time since 2000, Hoyas led by current leading scorer Hibbert's 20 points and 11 rebounds won at Louisville 73-65

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

20 Dime –

OHIO

Take Ohio as the home chalk this afternoon over Western Michigan.

We’re getting some serious value with the Bobcats here on their home court. Ohio has played 10 of its last 15 games on the road, which is the reason they’ve been less than dominant since conference play started.

But now they are back in the comfy confines of their home court, where they are 8-0 SU this year, including dominating wins over Miami (OH) and Kent State.

Western Michigan is at the top of the MAC-West, but that won’t mean much here except to motivate Ohio a little more.

Ohio is 6-2 ATS in its last eight overall and its last eight vs. MAC opponents. The home team is also on a 9-1 ATS run in this series.

Take Ohio minus the number as they grab the win and cover.

10 Dime –

CAL-SANTA BARBARA

Take Cal-Santa Barbara minus the points for the win and cover tonight over UC-Irvine.

Payback time for Santa Barbara.

They were knocked off at Irvine last month, 66-63, which puts the Gauchos in double-revenge mode.

Santa-Barbara has the nation’s fourth-best 3-point shooting percentage, 15th-best 3-point defense and force the second-most turnovers in the nation.

Add all that up, put Santa Barbara on its home court and what you have is the makings of a double-digit win for the Gauchos.

Take Cal-Santa Barbara as the home chalk tonight over UC-Irvine.

5 Dime –

TCU

Take Tcu this afternoon over San Diego State.

The Horned Frogs have played the Aztecs tough over the last couple of seasons, going 3-1 ATS.

Tcu definitely hung with them last year, when the Horned Frogs were in a lot worse shape than they are now.

Tcu is scoring more than nine points per game from last year, and have averaged almost four more steals per game.

San Diego State has won the last five meetings in this series, but it’s now time for Tcu to end that run.

Take Tcu as the tiny home dog as they get it done over San Diego State.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

NBA Hoops
511 Bulls+13
Under 203.5
513 Kings+8
Over 223

College Hoops
518 Nd-5
Under 149
521 Bc+19.5
524 Ky-6
Under 144
533 So Fl+7.5
550 Fl-12
553 Virginia+4.5
561 Central Fl+22
568 Nebraska-4
582 Nova-5.5
592 Nevada-10
594 Cal Over 158
657 Georgetown+3.5
668 Pacific Under 138.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

FERRINGO'S EARLY PLAYS

NOTE: I will have a handful (2-4) more selections added on Saturday at around 12-12:30 p.m. Also, I will update these selections if anything crazy happens to the numbers overnight.

1-Unit Play. Take #518 Notre Dame (-4) over Marquette
The Irish are hot and we’re going to the well. Marquette has been an awful road team, going 3-9 ATS and losing three of their last four by an average of 17 points. Marquette shoots just 28 percent from 3-point land on the road and the hot-shooting Irish will get some revenge for a 26-point bludgeoning they took in Wisconsin earlier this season.

5-Unit Play. Take #658 Louisville (-2.5) over Georgetown
Note: This is our Game of the Week. I know it's a little low for a GOTW play but we're trying to keep it tight these days. This play is fine at 3.0 but start to bump it down a half-Unit or a Unit if it gets to 3.5 or 4.0.

Louisville is an unranked team favored over a team in the Top Ten. That should be a huge red flag, and there is good reason for it. The Cardinals are starting to shoot a bit better, and as long as they don’t do something ridiculous as go 4-for-20 from 3-point land then they could blow this one open early. They simply play much better at home – offensively and defensively – and they should be able to neutralize Georgetown’s size with their own big men underneath. Louisville is on a nice 7-2-1 ATS rush and is 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 conference games.

3.5-Unit Play. Take #645 Baylor (+18) over Kansas
Arizona, Depaul, and Loyola are the only three teams to cover in Lawrence this year. The thing they have that all of the other clubs who came in and took their beatings is some competency in the backcourt. They are perimeter-oriented clubs. So is Baylor. And then some. The Bears have a backcourt that can compete with Kansas for 40 minutes, and if they can keep their big men out of foul trouble they will be in this game, not just covering but with a chance to steal one. Baylor is getting the same amount of points that Missouri was getting without their best player. And the Tigers didn’t cover because of one missed layup. Baylor is getting five points less than Iowa State, a team they are twice as good as. Baylor is 7-1 ATS on the road (and their one loss was a garbage loss) and 9-3 ATS as an underdog. They’ve covered their last four trips to Kansas and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the series.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #542 Ohio (-4.5) over Western Michigan
The home team is 9-1 ATS in this series, with Ohio going 5-0 ATS as a host, and Western Michigan has been a weak road team all season long. Ohio came out flat in its last game at Eastern Michigan and had its worst shooting performance of the year. I think they got that game out of their system and bounceback with a strong performance. Ohio is 45-19-1 ATS at home, 27-11 ATS against a team with a road record, and 38-15-1 ATS on Saturdays.

2-Unit Play. Take #565 George Mason (-1.5) over Old Dominion
This just isn’t the same Old Dominion team that we’re used to and they should be getting a lot more points than this. The Monarchs are just 2-3 SU at home, losing to teams that aren’t better than Mason. Oh, and George Mason beat ODU by 33 points just two weeks ago. They aren’t going to win this one by 30 but they are going to win. They are on a 6-1-1 ATS run and the Monarchs are 0-7 ATS as a dog. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five at ODU. The only reason this play isn’t higher is because Mason pressed a lot against Drexel and may not have 100 percent to give. But Mason at 90 percent is still 10 points better than OD at 100.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Kelso Sat

Chairman 10 units Louisville-2.5

Best Bets

10 units Duke -19.5
5 units Ky -6
5 units Cincy -2.5

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