Monday Service Plays

Monday Service Plays

Brandon Lang
MONDAY

5 DIME PLAYS

Suns
Jazz
St.Mary's

Free Pick - Louisville

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Mighty Quinn

Louisville +2


Cappers Access

Marq

Kansas


Joe Wiz

La Tech


Redzone Sports

San Diego


Scott Spreitzer

Twolves

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Jimmy the Moose

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat

The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5 to 10.5. Toronto is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. In their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Raptors are 9-4 at the window. Miami is 6-24 ATS in their last 30 home games. In their last 16 games as a dog they are 3-12-1 ATS. The Heat are a 14-38-3 ATS in their last 55 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 trips to Miami. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.

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Marc Lawrence

Game: New Orleans Hornets at Utah Jazz
Prediction: New Orleans Hornets

Note: Hornets take to the road off back-to-back upset losses with 28-point same season loss revenge against Utah tonight. Revenge is the key factor in this contest for New Orleans as they are 15-5-2 ATS when looking to avenge a defeat against the Jazz, including 6-0-2 ATS when Utah is off a pair of wins in its last two games. With the Jazz looking dead ahead to a revenge game at Denver on Wednesday night, look for the Hornets to get back on the win track here tonight.


Tom Freese

Game: New Orleans Hornets at Utah Jazz
Prediction: over

Reason: New Orleans is 20-6 OVER when playing with two days of rest and they are 7-1 OVER their last 8 games vs. winning teams. The Hornets are 25-11 OVER their last 36 games in the second half of the season. Utah is in a 28-7 ATS System that says to Play OVER on home teams when the Total is 200 to 209.5 if they force if they are off a game where they had 10 or less turnovers than their opponent. The Jazz are 50-23 OVER off a double digit win. PLAY ON 'OVER'


Ben Burns

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils
Prediction: New Jersey Devils

Reason: The Penguins upset the Devils here last week and they also won 5-0 when the teams met here in November. That 5-0 loss marks the Devils' worst loss in the short history at the new Prudential Center. The Devils haven't forgotten and I expect them to avenge those losses tonight. Both teams are coming off convincing victories on Saturday night. The Penguins defeated Carolina by a score of 4-1, while the Devils knocked off the Kings by a 6-3 count. Note that the Devils, who are 5-0 after playing a non-conference opponent, are a profitable 40-22 (+13.8) the past few seasons when coming off a game in which they scored four or more goals. Conversely, during the same stretch, Pittsburgh is 39-47 (-6.2) after scoring four or more goals the previous game. These teams are in a dogfight in the competitive Atlantic division. Catching the Penguins still without their star Sidney Crosby, I expect the revenge-minded Devils to earn an important two points and leap-frog their guests in the standings, improving to 12-5 the last 17 series meetings. Consider laying the price with New Jersey.

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Brian Gabrielle

NBA New Orleans vs. Utah   
Take Utah Jazz

Utah is looking for their winning streak to go to 9 games today against a road team that has lost 2 straight. Hornets are a good team but appear to be in a slump right now. Utah is 20-3 at home while the Hornets are 16-6 on the road. One of the best spreads you will see Utah have this year at home. Take the side on the Jazz.

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on San Diego -3.5

Pepperdine is awful.  The Wave have lost 5 of their last 6 and 9 of 12 heading into this one.  They have lost 5 of their last 7 lined games ATS.  San Diego is riding a 4-game winning streak and has covered the number in 4 of its last 5 games.  San Diego is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and 16-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.  Pepperdine is  6-15 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 1-8 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.  San Diego has really taken this SoCal rivalry over going 5-1 SU and ATS in the matchup the past 3 seasons.  Lay the points tonight.

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John Ryan

Louisiana Tech vs. Fresno State    

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Louisiana Tech - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-10 ATS for 77% since 2002. Play on dogs of 10 or more points after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. Tech is coming off 3 straight losses to conference opponents primarily due to weak defense and not getting enough turnovers in these games. Yet, this poor play actually puts them into a strong role for this game against FSU since FSU is the type of team that more times than not struggles against inferior opponents. Note that FSU is 0-8 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take L-Tech.

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Alex Smart College Hoops Comp Selection

Game: Missouri vs. Kansas

Prediction: over
Kansas enters into this tilt averaging 85.9 PPG on their own home floor this season, while Missouri their visiting inter conference foes have allowed an average of 82.2 PPG on the road. Needless to say I can see the Jayhawks putting a boatload of points on the board, and for a very capable Missouri offense, that averages 79.7 PPG to reciprocate ,with a run and gun effort of their own or be blown off the court . Everything points to this being an all out offensive slug feast. Final notes & Key Trends:Kansas enters into this tilt having gone over in 11 straight home games against conference opponents.

Play Over

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Wunderdog Comp

Houston at Minnesota
Pick: Game Total UNDER 189 -110

The suddenly hot T-Wolves, who had five wins as of January 8, have added five more to the win column in their last seven. After allowing 100+ points in 9-of-10 games, the T-Wolves have suddenly discovered defense, as they have held their last five opponents to an average of just 85.6 points per game. Minnesota has averaged just 94 ppg on the season, but the last five defensive efforts have also curtailed scoring as they have scored just 91.2 ppg in their last five. Houston knows a little about playing defense themselves as they bring the No. 5 rated NBA defense to Minnesota that also allows only 43.7% shooting - second best in the NBA. See this one low-scoring with the T-Wolves feeling good and finally defending against a defensive-minded Houston team.

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EZ Winners

NCAA

1 STAR: (721) VILLANOVA (+4.5) over St. Josephs
(Risking $110 to win $100)

NBA

1 STAR: (712) UTAH (-3) over New Orleans
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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COMPS

NICK JONES
New Orleans/Utah OVER 203


Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Orlando -3.5


Bob Harvey Sports
Coll Charleston -16


ARTHUR RALPH
Gonzaga


RED ZONE
SAN DIEGO


POINTWISE
KANSAS over Missouri RATING: 2


BIG AL
Santa Clara -11.5 over Portland


RAZOR SHARP
MONDAY: CHICAGO Pick'em over Seattle


MIKE WYNN
Portland -3 Over Denver


TOTALS 4 U
DENVER/PORTLAND UNDER 203 1/2


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Miami +7.5 over Toronto


HUDDLE UP
SIENNA -5


HD'S ACTIONLINE
Geo. Southern -3


BIG TIME SPORTS
NEW ORLEANS / UTAH OVER 203


#1 SPORTS
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS + 14

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LT Profits

Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat o191.5

The Toronto Raptors have been a good Over team all season, and while the Miami Heat are offensively challenged, their porous defense will do its part to push this game Over the total.

The Over is a wallet filling 15-8, 65.2 percent in all Toronto road games this season with an average combined score in those games of 194.9 points, a figure good enough to go Over this total. Moreover, the last five Raptors games overall have averaged a whopping 209.2 points, with the Over going 4-1 in those games. Finally, the Over is 4-0 in the last four Toronto road games.

Now granted, the Heat are only averaging 93.0 points per game overall. However, the Miami Over has still managed to go 23-21-2, thanks to a poor defense that is generously allowing 100.1 points per contest. Also, we actually think Miami is capable of scoring more points tonight vs. a Toronto defense that has not exactly been stifling people lately.

Add this all up, and we see this game ending up in the vicinity of 200 points.

NBA Free Pick: Raptors, Heat Over 191.5

Louisiana Tech @ Fresno State u130.0

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are truly one of the worst teams in the country, and with the opponents, the Fresno State Bulldogs, doing most of the scoring tonight, that should make it hard for this game to go Over the total.

Louisiana Tech is averaging 58.2 points per game on a poor 39.4 percent shooting overall, but as bad as those numbers are, they have been ever worse on the road where they average just 54.4 points while hitting a pathetic 38.4 percent from the field. The first meeting between these schools in Ruston this season went easily Under in a 61-44 Fresno triumph.

In fact, the Under is now 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings. Fresno State is not exactly tearing things up right now either, losing four of their last five games. In the three regulation time losses during this stretch, the most points the scored is 67. A duplicate effort here would basically ensure a safe Under.

We look for a carbon copy of the first meeting between the teams this season.

CBB Free Pick: Louisiana Tech, Fresno State Under 130


Ted Sevransky

New Orleans Hornets @ Utah Jazz o202.0

Utah and New Orleans are a pair of excellent offensive teams. The Jazz spread the ball around the floor, with big men that can hit from the perimeter and little guys like who can drive to the basket. That offensive gameplan should work quite well against the Hornets, a team that likes to keep their big men packed in the paint on the defensive side of the court. It certainly worked well in the first meeting between these two teams, a 28 point Jazz victory, and it’s worked for the Warriors and Kings, New Orleans’ last two opponents, who poured in 112 and 116 points respectively against the Hornets. We can expect Jerry Sloan to keep the Jazz pushing the pace and spread out on the floor, two factors that play against the Hornets strength’s defensively.

But the Hornets are more than capable of trading points with the Jazz, thanks to their own ability to penetrate and create good looks near the basket. Point guard Chris Paul is playing at an MVP level, and we can project that his ability to penetrate the paint will allow the Hornets to get more than their fair share of good looks at the basket, while providing plenty of opportunities to score points with the clock stopped, from the foul line. Look for New Orleans’ current run of seven Overs in their last nine games to continue this evening. Take the Over.

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MATT RIVERS

For Monday take the Heat at home

The Heat are gutless and as horrific and underachieving as any team that I have ever seen but this is a bit much for even them to be getting at home. With Dwyane Wade at least on the court Miami at home certainly can hang with a good but far from great Raptor team. Don't get me wrong I really do like Chris Bosh a lot and Toronto is extremely capable as they are a talented bunch with quality pieces like Jose Calderon, Andrea Bargnani, Anthony Parker and others but on the road I do not see them just winning this thing going away.

The Heat have got to start winning some games as Wade is still half a stud and even without Shaq there is enough here to string together something before the season is over. Obviously the playoffs were out of reach months ago and Miami has only pride to play for but in South Beach against a team that is not an elite squad I'll take my chances on this home dog for sure

Toronto was embarassed in that last game at home by the tired Lakers and should not do a complete 180 today.


TONY WESTON

At first glance I thought my eyes were playing tricks on me. The line set for this Nuggets-Blazers game is absolutely ridiculous. But, that?s OK. We can just take advantage of it.

The Portland Trailblazers have lost five straight games ATS coming into tonight?s game and haven?t won a game ATS since getting a win over the Atlanta Hawks on Jan. 21.

The Nuggets, on the other hand, have gone 5-1 ATS their L6 games and after the return of Carmelo Anthony to the lineup on Saturday, Denver looks better than it has all year.

Melo had 25 points in that game Saturday, while Allen Iverson added 24 and reserve Linas Kleiza added 23.

Offensively, the Nuggets are starting to get rolling, having incrementally scored more points in each of their L4 games, going from 85 to 93 to 106 to 117.

Denver will continue that scoring trend and make easy work of the Blazers.

3* NUGGETS (1* to 5* Scale)


Bobby Maxwell

This is the game of the year in the West Coast Conference and if it's a big game we're going to put our money behind the experience of Gonzaga, especially with the Bulldogs getting points in this one.

Gonzaga got a double-OT win at Santa Clara Saturday, 87-82, as a 7 1/2-point road favorite. The Bulldogs are on an 8-3 ATS roll in conference play and they have that experience of being in big games and delivering big performances in NCAA Tournament games.

A week ago we saw St. Mary's get slapped around by San Diego 63-55 and look very average in that one. They might be 5-1 in WCC action and putting up 76 or more points in every win, but we saw what a little defense could do to them last Monday.
Gonzaga is averaging 83.5 points per game in conference play and will likely get in a shootout with St. Mary's in this one. We're going to grab the points with the Bulldogs and back Gonzaga.

4* GONZAGA


JIM FEIST

While the Orlando Magic were resting at home Sunday watching football, the Mavericks were in Detroit battling the Pistons. Now they have to fly south and play the next night, and Dallas is a .500 road team with a losing ATS mark. Orlando is not only rested but on a roll, winning 4 in a row. The Magic are 7-1 with Carlos Arroyo in the starting lineup. The Magic's system favors the 3-point shot, and they hit 14 of 25 (56 percent) the last game, a win over Indiana. Dallas has a lack of guard depth because of injuries, making it tougher to defend the three-point arc. Play the Magic!


DAVE COKIN

The shocking run for the Blazers appears to have come to a close, at least from a pointspread perspective. Portland is mired in a really bad ATS run right now. It looks to me like the Nuggets are the value here getting the points."


James Patrick Sports

Missouri vs. Kansas

The Jayhawks let us down on Saturday as they showed the effects of a hand-over, in off their loss to rival Kansas State. Back home in Allen Fieldhouse it should be back to business as usual as we like #726 Kansas Jayhawks as our Monday College Basketball selection.

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Hot Lock sports

New Orleans Hornets vs Utah Jazz

Over 203

Non TV game here with the the OVER 4-1 L 5 overall for NO and 20-6 L 26 with 2 days rest. The OVER is 7-3 L 10 when Utah faces a team with a winning % (over.600) which highlights the fact they run with good teams vs shutting them down. We expect this game to end at about 109-105, Over for 3 units

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Gator's NBA/CBB 70% Report

NBA

Monday: Play On NBA road teams with a team that allows 92-98 PPG against a team that allows 98-102 PPG after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games 37-13 ATS since 1996 (74.0%) PLAY: Toronto -8

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Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* Traiblazers
2. 50,000* Marquette
3. 50,000* San Diego


FERRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. Take #722 St. Joseph's (-5) over Villanova
1-Unit Play. Take #740 Siena (-4.5) over Marist
1-Unit Play. Take #733 Gonzaga (+3) over St. Mary's
1-Unit Play. Take #738 Western Carolina (+6) over Chattanooga

Lean: Pepperdine (+3.5). If the line moves at all - up to 4.0, but especially down to 3.0 - you really may want to get on this game. Especially if it gets to 3.0.


DOC'S

4 Unit Play. #720 Take Marquette -2 ½ over Louisville
The Golden Eagles are a tough out at home having not lost a game their this season and this line is too good to pass up. They also have revenge on their mind, as they were pounded three weeks ago but Marquette has a clear edge in talent and they will come back strong on Monday. They picked up an impressive victory at Cincinnati on Saturday and will follow that up tonight.


4 Unit Play. #726 Take Kansas -18 ½ over Missouri
Usually the Tigers get up for this game with KU, but they do not have the horses to keep this close on Monday. Missou is still without Hannah and Horton and that takes away much of their scoring punch. Kansas goes for close to 100 points tonight and takes out their frustration after losing to Kansas State last week.


4 Unit Play. #734 Take Under 144 in Gonzaga @ Saint Marys
It has been a while since someone has challenged the Bulldogs in WCC play but that time has arisen and Gaels actually enter this game as the favorite. That does not concern us, as we feel this will be a low scoring hard-fought game that stays way under the posted total. The Gaels are just allowing 63 points per game and get it done with hard noise in your face defense. Gonzaga likes to pound the ball inside as well and thus this will be game decided in the fifties and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.


STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. #733 Take Gonzaga +3 over St. Mary's

The Gaels may have shown a lot earlier in the season, but the underdog Zags are the better team. Gonzaga has been tested all season with games against Tennessee, Connecticut, Oklahoma and Memphis. And sandwiched on both sides of their loss to the No. 1 Tigers several Saturdays back is a stretch of eight victories where the Bulldogs have played extremely well. Gonzaga has a very talented, balanced team that is clicking at the right time. Behind point guard Jeremy Pargo and scorers Matt Bouldin, Josh Heytvelt and Austin Daye, this team can go. We'll see them score an outright win and remain perfect in WCC play.

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BEN BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL

MARQUETTE
Game: Louisville vs. Marquette Game Time: 2/4/2008 7:00:00 PM Prediction: Marquette Reason: I'm laying the points with MARQUETTE. The Golden Eagles come in with serious payback on their minds, as they were beaten by 20 points at Louisville a few weeks ago. As Cardinals guard Edgar Sosa noted: "They're a team that doesn't like getting beat by 20 too much. They have a lot of pride. They're ready to go to war..." While Louisville was beating up on Rutgers, the Golden Eagles won fairly easily at Cincinnati on Saturday. Note that they've also won all 12 of their home games, averaging 78.0 points in five conference home games and outscoring opponents by more than 15 points per game. With both teams having played on Saturday, it's worth noting that the Golden Eagles are 10-4 ATS the past few seasons when playing a lined game with one or less day's rest in between games. During the same stretch, the Cardinals were just 6-13 ATS in lined games when playing with one or less day's rest in between games. The Golden Eagles are 7-3 ATS (8-2 SU) the last 10 times that they were attempting to avenge an earlier road loss. They're also 9-5 ATS the last 14 times they played a lined game after holding their previous opponent to 60 points or less. In addition to playing excellent defense, the Golden Eagles have a very balanced attack. Junior guard Jerel McNeal, one of four players averaging in double-digits in scoring, had to say the following about Saturday's win: "It gives us a lot of momentum. We feel like we shouldn't lose a game at home this year." Look for a highly motivated effort from the Golden Eagles as they carry confidence from Saturday's game into tonight's game, avenge the earlier loss and improve to 5-0 ATS the last four times they were favored by four points or less. *Big East Game of the Week

KANSAS
Game: Missouri vs. Kansas Game Time: 2/4/2008 9:00:00 PM Prediction: Kansas Reason: I'm laying the points with KANSAS. Many people will think that because Missouri just beat Kansas State, the same team which recently beat Kansas, that the Tigers are going to give the Jayhawks trouble tonight. That might seem logical enough at first glance. However, it's not that simple. Kansas faced the Wildcats at Kansas State. Their instate rivals had the game circled since the schedule came out and they played at their very best. On the other hand, the Tigers got to face the Wildcats at Missouri. They also caught K-State in "letdown mode" off the big win over Kansas. Tonight, the situations are reversed. Missouri, which hasn't won consecutive games against ranked opponents since 2003, is the team which is in "letdown mode." Note that they're just 4-10 ATS the last 14 times they were coming off a conference win. The Tigers, who will still be without Stefhon Hannah (leads team with 14.7 points and 5.3 assists) are also now the team which is playing away from home. That's noteworthy as they're a poor 1-5 SU/ATS on the road for the season. The Jayhawks already won at Missouri two weeks ago and they've won eight straight against the Tigers on this floor. While last year's meeting here was close, the three previous games here were all double-digit blowouts, with the Jayhawks winning by an average of more than 23 points per game. The Jayhawks have won 19 games in a row on this floor and are outscoring opponents by a 86.4 to 57.9 margin here for the season. The Jayhawks have been laying a lot of points in each of those games but that hasn't stopped them from covering. In fact, they're 6-1 ATS their last seven games here, winning ALL seven games by a minimum of 24 points. Looking back at the past couple of seasons and we find that the Jayhawks have gone 26-16 ATS when playing a winning team after 15 or more games have been played. During the same stretch, the Tigers were just 10-19 ATS when facing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. They're also just 4-10 ATS (1-13 SU) when attempting to avenge a home loss. I expect the Jayhawks to continue their homecourt dominance, delivering a blowout win over their hated rivals. *Personal Favorite


NBA BASKETBALL

MIAMI
Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat Game Time: 2/4/2008 7:35:00 PM Prediction: Miami Heat Reason: I'm taking the points with MIAMI. The Raptors are obviously having a much better season than the Heat. However, they've never fared too well here and they're unaccustomed to laying this many points on the road. Looking back several years and we find that the Raptors have only been listed as road favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range four times. Note that they went 1-3 ATS in those games. The Raptors have also lost five straight games here in Miami and are just 4-16 the last 20 times they played here. Note that all four of those victories came by single-digits. In fact, in 10 games here since 2003, they've gone 2-8 and the two victories came by just two and three points. One of the primary reasons for the Raptors' recent struggles here is that Dwayne Wade always seems to elevate his game when they come to town. Perhaps Wade is bothered by the fact that Bosh got selected ahead of him in the Draft and is determined to play his best every time Bosh comes to town. Whatever the reason, Wade is averaging 34.8 points, 5.8 assists and 5.0 rebounds while shooting 58.7 percent in his last four games against the Raptors. The Heat, 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that they were listed as home underdogs in the +6.5 to +9 range are still struggling to get victories. However, they did snap their losing streak last week and they've been highly competitive most nights with five of their last seven losses coming by single-digits. The Raptors have just four wins in their past 11 road games and all four of those victories came by 10 points or less. Facing a team they have fared well against, I expect a big effort from Wade and co. as they take this game down to the wire and earn at least the cover. *Eastern Conference Game of the Week

OVER Seattle/Chicago
Game: Chicago Bulls vs. Seattle SuperSonics Game Time: 2/4/2008 10:05:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on Chicago and Seattle to finish OVER the total. These teams combined for 219 points when they faced each other here at Chicago in December. They also combined for 208 points the last time that they faced each other here in Seattle. Including that game, which was here last February, the OVER is 3-1 the last four times that the Bulls played here. The Bulls had been playing some low-scoring games of late but combined with Saramento for 206 points last time out. The Sonics played a low-scoring game vs. the Knicks last time out. However, the last time they were a slight home underdog, in a game which had a similar over/under line as tonight, they combined with the Cavs for 196 points. While that game only snuck above the number, it did bring the OVER to a profitable 10-4 the last 14 times that they played a home game with an over/under line which ranged from 190 to 194.5 points. Overall, for the season, the Sonics have seen their home games average 199.6 points. I feel that tonight's number is too low and expect the OVER to improve to 9-4 the last 13 times that the Sonics were coming off a game in which they allowed 85 points or less. *Blue Chip

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MTI Sports
4'* Denver
4* Tor
4* Under Port.


JB
3* Dallas
3* Denver


California Sports
4* Jazz
4* Fresno St
3* Ark. St


Billy Coleman
4* Jazz
3* Chic
3* Under Phil
4* S.Diego
3* Vill


Seabass
10* Atl
20* Hou
10* Lville
10* Phx/Col OVER

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Jeff Alexander Sports Comp

1 Unit on Houston -5

Houston has won 7 of its last 8 games and 12 of its last 15.  We'll take the red hot Rockets against a inferior T-Wolves team.  Minnesota has played well of late, but after a big win over the Clippers, it finds itself in a letdown spot here.  Minnesota is 8-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season, 7-19 ATS in February games over the last 3 seasons, and 15-30 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.  Houston is 19-7 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.  Side with the Rockets tonight.

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Black Widow Sports Comp

1* on Seattle Supersonics +1

Seattle is starting to come together as a team finally.  The Sonics own 3 straight wins now after beating the Spurs, Cavs and Bulls in succession.  The Bulls are still sitting their best player in Luol Deng for tonight’s contest with Seattle.  Chicago has been way out of sync without him.  The Bulls are scoring a mere 83.6 points per game in their last 5 games, going 1-4 overall. Several players for Chicago will be playing hurt as well.  Chicago is 1-12 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.  Take Seattle and the points.

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