Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

Harvard at Pennsylvania
Prediction: Pennsylvania

Reason: Play On: Pennsylvania
Note: Quakers return home off a 16-point loss to host the Crimson knowing they are 11-0 SU & 8-2-1 ATS in this series. With Harvard struggling at 6-12 this season, and just 1-3 ATS away from home, look for Penn to return to their winning ways tonight.

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John Ryan

New Orleans Hornets at Sacramento Kings
Prediction: Sacramento Kings

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Kings - AiS shows a 73% probability that the Kings will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and a 51% probability of winning the game. NO is coming off a game where they dominated the boards in their surprising 13 point loss at home to GS. NO was also installed as a 9 point favorite in that game. Note that NO is just 3-15 ATS in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more since 1996. Kings have won 2 of 3 and are playing perhaps their best basketball of the year. Note that Kings are 44-27 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Take the Kings

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Robert Ross

Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors
Prediction: Toronto Raptors

Reason: This is the team Kobe laid 81 points on: the Raptors won't let that happen again. Lakers off close loss last night in Detroit with Lamar Odom missing the final shot. Before that was the loss in Cleveland with Luke Walton playing "I got it, you take it" with Kobe at the buzzer till time ran out. That was eerily reminiscent of a game last you Walton botched at the buzzer that sent Kobe into a tizzy. You can bet he was seething Sunday and is almost full blown "can't trust the teammates" mode without Andrew Bynum. Toronto playing very well with inside-out punch of Bosh and all those three-point shooters. Take Toronto!

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Tom Freese
New Orleans Hornets at Sacramento Kings
Prediction: New Orleans Hornets

Reason: New Orleans has been money in the bank for their backers this year going 29-15 ATS including going 15-5 ATS on the road. The Hornets are 8-1 ATS away off one or more Overs. Sacramento is 3-7 ATS as home dogs of three or less points and they are 2-5 ATS when playing with one day of rest. The Kings are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games when playing off a doouble digit win and they are 1-6 ATS their last 7 conference games. PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS -

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Jimmy The Moose

New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils
Prediction: under

Reason: The Rangers have played under the total in 5 straight games. In their last 56 games vs. a team with a winning record the under is 36-17-3. This will be the Rangers 3 game in 4 night and the under is 17-7-3 in the last 27 games played in this situation. The under is 21-10-8 in their last 39 games. The under is 5-2-2 in their last 9 home games. The under is 17-5-4 in their last 26 games played after having 2 days rest. The under is 9-2-4 in the Rangers last 15 trips to New Jersey. The under is 20-6-6 in the last 32 meetings between the team's. Play the under.

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LT Profits

Cornell +3.0

We feel that the Cornell Big Red are a much better team than the Brown Bears this season, and we look for Cornell to prevail even on the road here.

The Big Red are 10-5 straight up on the season including 2-0 in Ivy League play, and they have done a fine job when they have been on the board, going 4-2 against the spread. Remember that this team covered vs. the likes of Duke and Syracuse in non-conference play, and that has served them well vs. their Ivy opponents.

Now Brown is off to a 9-7 start, but they have not faced the same quality opposition as Cornell, and they have even lost at home to Wagner in a non-lined contest. They also already have a conference loss to Yale, albeit in overtime, and Cornell has gone 5-1 straight up in the last six head-to-head meetings, including a season sweep last year.

Finally, the visiting team is an amazing 11-1-1 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head meetings, and we look for Big Red to keep that trend going with an outright win.

CBB Free Pick: Cornell +3

Dallas Stars @ Edmonton Oilers u5.0 +110

The Dallas Stars defeated the Edmonton Oilers 2-1 in a shootout when these clubs last met right here in this building and we look for another low scoring affair tonight.

The Oilers have struggled to score goals all year, especially at home where they are averaging just 2.31 goals per game. In fact, the Under is a sparkling 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games. They do not figure to improve tonight vs. Dallas goaltender Marty Turco, who has enjoyed playing in Edmonton, going 5-0 with a 2.16 GAA in his last five starts here.

Now the Stars are coming off of a 4-3 win at Vancouver on Tuesday, but they have still scored three goals or less in nine of their last 11 road games. Also, four of the last six head-to-head meetings between these teams have failed to exceed five combined goals scored.

Look for another typical matchup between these teams tonight.

NHL Free Pick: Stars, Oilers Under 5 +110

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Wunderdog Comps

Game: Dallas at Edmonton
Pick: Game Total OVER 5 -125

Dallas is on a roll and have to love where they are playing tonight.They haven't lost in Edmonton since 2004. The Stars are scoring higher than their season average and they are already 13-9 OVER on the road.Edmonton's defense has fallen apart as they have allowed 3.8 goals per game over their last five on their way to a 4-1 OVER record. Edmonton is 10-1 OVER this season revenging a loss as a home favorite. They are also 13-4 OVER off a home blowout loss by 3+ goals the past three seasons and 18-7 OVER following any loss this season.

Game: Orlando at Philadelphia
Pick: Philadelphia +4.5

Philadelphia has now won back-to-back games and are playing solid overall right now. This team has been streaky hot over the past couple of years. They play long stretches of losing basketball, but when they win a couple they seem to run off several good games. Orlando started on fire on the road where they went 11-2, but have now won only one of their last five games. Their 15-2 ATS start on the road has now turned into 2-6 ATS in their last eight. We like the Sixers to hang tough here and maybe win the game outright.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports Comp

1 Unit on Miami Heat +4.5

The Miami Heat will win this home game outright over the New Jersey Nets.  The New Jersey Nets seem to have given up on their season with Jason Kidd almost certainly to be traded in the upcoming days.  Until he is gone, this ball club won’t be playing as a team.  The Miami Heat may be without Dwayne Wade and Shaq, but this has given their players an opportunity to show what they can really do.  They will be playing with much more effort than the Nets tonight and it will pay off.  Miami had all five of their starters score in double figures against the Magic in their last game.  New Jersey is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Cash in with Miami as the underdog.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

BeatYourBookie

NBA Basketball
100* Play Orlando (-3.5) over Philadelphia
Orlando is 14-3 ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games
Orlando is 19-8 ATS in road games this season
Orlando is 3-0 SU & ATS vs. Philadelphia on the road

100* Play Golden State (-8.5) over Charlotte
Charlotte is 2-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Charlotte is 2-14 SU when playing their 3rd road games in 5 days
Charlotte is 0-3 SU vs. Golden State on the road


NCAA Basketball
50* Play Dartmouth (+5.5) over Princeton
Princeton is 1-13 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 2 seasons
Princeton is 0-8 ATS when playing on Friday the last 2 seasons
Princeton is 1-12 SU over the last 13 games

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Keith Martin Sports
Fairfield o124


C&P Experts
Kings o201
Knicks o190


Will Sykes
Duel Diamond - Kings +3.5


Rockdeman
Dallas Stars

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Seabastian/Seabass

20* NYK
20* Tor
20* Sac
10* Tor under

50* Penn

Inside Info

100* Minn


Bob Akmens

NHL

Dallas - 135 - POD

Buffalo Over 6


Mike Wynn

10* Toronto
10* Sacramento

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

NBA

5 Unit Black Magic Clippers/T’Wolves BEST BET on Minnesota -6

The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored here for a reason. The L.A. Clippers have 6 guys on their injury report heading into this game. Their best player in Elton Brand has been out all season. Their top two scorers in Chris Kaman and Corey Maggette were both sidelined with the flu in their last game and are questionable tonight. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have won 4 out of their last 6 games going 6-1 ATS as in their last 7 games overall. The Clippers are just 5-13 on the road. Minnesota has won 17 of their last 22 home meetings with L.A. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Cash in with Minnesota as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Portland Trail Blazers -7.5

The Portland Trail Blazers will come into this game pissed off and looking for revenge. The Blazers lost on National TV to a buzzer-beater by Lebron James after blowing a double-digit 4th quarter lead. The New York Knicks have lost their first 3 games of a 5-game road trip entering Friday night’s match-up. The Knicks last to the Lakers and Jazz by 11 points each. Portland is 18-5 at home this seasons with a 15-8 ATS mark. New York is 6-14 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Knicks are playing tired basketball, and are just 15-28 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with Portland as the favorite.

NCAA Basketball

3 Unit Sharp Play on Princeton -5

Princeton will roll over Dartmouth at home tonight. Princeton is 9-1 in their last 10 home meetings with Dartmouth and 16-4 in their last 20 meetings overall. Dartmouth is just 2-7 in road games this season, getting outscored by 13 points a game. We will play on the home favorites after leading their last 2 games by 10 or more points at the half against an opponent after scoring 85 points or more. This is a 76-41 System with a 65% winning ratio over the last 5 seasons. Princeton has picked up their play lately and they will take another step forward tonight. Cash in with Princeton as the favorite.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

WILL SYKES COMP

NEW ORLEANS vs SACRAMENTO

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: I'm going to stay on the Kings bandwagon till the wheels fall off, because I found yet another 'DIAMOND' play. Those lines makers think they're slick here? Well, I again call a DUEL upon them, because there's no way I'm losing this game. And here's why...I'll be honest, I do like the Chris Paul and the Hornets, but I'm not sold on their road game, 11 of their 21 road games were against teams over .500 and they lost 5 of those 11 games. So in actuality the Hornets only have 6 quality road wins out of 21 road games. Yes that is a little more than 50% against above .500 teams but not impressive IMO, because their win against Houston came without McGrady, and their early win in the beginning of the season against the Lakers came without Odom, and again that really puts their quality road wins at 4. On top of that you've got to see it in another perspective where the Kings are awesome at home. These Kings are 'VERY' good at home especially when healthy. Before they got their players back and started playing as a team, the Kings were playing at a very high level at home. That including a game against Detroit on 11/18/07 they were without Bibby and still won the game by 10 as 4 point dogs. Then doing the same thing against the Spurs (11/26/07) without Bibby and everyone on the Spurs were healthy, beating the Spurs by 13 points as 6.5 point dogs. Must I go on? Ok well...they also beat Tracy McGrady, Yao Ming and company (12/01/07), BibbyLESS again, and winning by 8 as 6 point dogs. Want more? Ok...they take out the Jazz (12/4/07) by 10 as 2.5 point dogs...impressive you say? Well there's more, they beat the Magic (1/8/08), and they did it without Artest, Martin, and Bibby winning by 4 as 7 point dogs. And wait it gets better, one of their recent home wins against Dallas (1/14/08) winning by 2 as 5.5 point dogs. And what not in a better spot where the public jumps on the Hornets because they loss as a favorite at home by double digits. Here's a nice little trend to back up those Kings. The home team has in this DUEL has won SU/ATS 10 of the last 11 games. The Kings are also 12-2 ATS when playing as a 3.5 - 6 point favorites as a home dog in a non-divisional game, in which they allowed 95 points or less AGAINST in their last game. Once again those odds makers are trying to psych you out into taking those road favorites just because they lost to the Warriors at home which snapped their winning streak, thing is here those road favorites can be dangerous and bite back at you, but we also have hard evidence that the Kings have more than a better shot at winning this game. So don't get psyched by Vegas tonight. Treat this as a 4* graded play and stick with Sykes, because tonight we call yet another DUEL upon those lines makers and once again.....Sykes becomes victorious.

DUEL DIAMOND: Kings +3.5

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Re: Friday Service Plays

L. Ness

Ivy League GOM  15* Penn

NBA 3-pack - Orlando T-Wolves Kings

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

10 Dime –

LAKERS (put out before the trade)

Take the points with the Lakers tonight when they travel to take on the Raptors.

I know the Lakers are playing their second game in 48 hours, but it’s not like they had to travel cross-country for this matchup.

The Lakers battled the Pistons last night and should have enough left in the tank to stay within this number tonight.

For how well the Raptors have been playing at home, they’ve had their problems with the Lakers at the Air Canada Centre, winning just three times in 11 games.

Take the Lakers plus the points as they stay within the number tonight.

5 Dime –

MAGIC

Take the Magic as the road chalk tonight over the 76ers.

Orlando has been a great road team this year, going 17-10 SU. This should be a good spot for them as the 76ers continue to struggle at home, going just 9-13 SU on the year and 3-7 ATS in their last 10.

Orlando is on ATS runs of 6-2 in its last eight versus the NBA Atlantic and 23-8-2 in its last 33 road games.

Take the Magic as the small road chalk as they grab the win and cover.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Indiancowboy

Dartmouth +5

I believe Dartmouth has a nice opportunity to win outright here and you know very well that if I believe my team has a chance to win outright, I will gladly take them. In fact, the basis of my handicapper is games in which teams can win outright at 35% or better and catching 5 points which I believe leads to 60% significance - that's what I did quite a lot last month and that produced sound profit. The basics of this play is this - Princeton is a top 300 team, they should not even be favored in this game and frankly, my model shows that this game should be a pick-em at best. I want you to look at the total first - a total of 113 and these have been the results from previous years:

02/23/07 DART 53 - PRINC 43
02/10/07 PRINC 44 - DART 45
02/24/06 PRINC 63 - DART 60
02/11/06 DART 49 - PRINC 52

In a game in which a princeton offense runs, the 5 points is significant and Dartmouth has won road games as they are a top 250 team against the likes of New Hampshire, a top 275 team, Colgate a top 200 team and losing to a top 200 Big East Rutgers team by 5 on the road. Princeton has lost 10 in a row including to Manhattaan a top 275 team at home and this game is a coin flip and I will take Dartmouth and the 5 points here. I have been on Dartmouth several times this year and Dartmouth is 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 0.6 to 6.5 in their last 7 road games and the Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. I think Dartmouth wins outright personally as Princeton should not be favored given their results this year.

Hornets/Kings Under 203

I have some big gonads, but not even I will go against the Hornets given their winning streak. In fact, I think the public is going to get absolutely buried in this game - this is likely to be the biggest burial this Friday night in all the games as I think this game goes to the Kings and the Under - both 65% and 70% plays that the public is on the opposite side of. But, this does open up a nice trend here as the Hornets do not shoot as well on the road as they do at home. They are a defensive, young, athletic, physical team that relies on screens for the likes of Peja, West and Paul to get up effective shots. But, the Kings are a lanky team with the likes of Miller, Artest and Salmons and I think they will give the Hornets a tough time in shooting the ball. Personally, I think the Kings win this game outright, but I will gladly take the under rather than going against the Hornets.I think this game is going to be physical and a much slower pace and although the side is tough, I do think it goes under. The under is 11-3 when the Hornets face a team with a winning home record and the under is 4-1 for the Kings when they face a team with a winning record at home - meaning the defenses for both respective teams show up.

Rockets/Pacers Over 202

This is my third favorite play today, but still something that I'm going to roll with for a couple of reasons. First off, the NBA is about motivation, any given night, anything can happen. I say that because despite how well the Rockets have been playing without McGrady, the Pacers could win this game as McGrady comes back into the lineup today. The Pacers have also lost 4 in a row - why is this important? Well, 3 of those games were on the road, then they came back home to play a defensive Pistons team and nearly won outright, while the game pushed over. Well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the same happen here as I have a spreadsheet that lets me know when teams play similarly styled teams the following day - I have the Rockets and Pistons as similarly styled defensive teams. I think the Pacers are active today, and wouldn't be surprised to see this go over the total similar to when the Rockets played the Sonics on the road and won 109-107. I have this game at 212 for what it's worth. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings, but I think that changes today, the over is 5-0-1 when the Pacers play on 2 days rest and the over is 9-2-1 when the Rockets play on the road against a team with a losing home record - meaning weak teams show up at home against the Rockets - such as the Sonics. Over is also 4-1 for the Rockets when they are road favorites.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

BOB BALFE

Sixers +4.5


Savannah Sports

Toronto -7

Jeffersonsports

NHL
Florida Under 5.5
Ncaa Hoops
Harvard+2.5

NBA
Toronto-6.5
Sacramento+3

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Game: Iona at Saint Peter's
Pick: 3 units on Saint Peter's +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

It is tough to back a team favored on the road that has gone 4-27 away from home in their last 31 games, especially when two of those games were by two points. The other two were over teams from lower conferences- both with losing home records. Saint Peter's has been beaten up by the top half of the conference, but has played Loyola - MD tough, beat Canisius and went to OT against Fairfield at home. This is a very winnable game for the Peacocks and we expect them to put one in the win column tonight.

Game: Columbia at Yale
Pick: 3 units on Columbia +7 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Columbia is in a familiar role as they have come to Yale as an underdog nine times in the last 10 years, covering seven of the nine while winning four of them outright. The Lions haven't shot as well as they are capable, but they have hit an amazing 73.2% of their free throws which will help them stay close in this one. Yale has had trouble on the defensive end which could allow Columbia to breakout of their shooting woes. Yale is giving up 47% from the floor and an equally bad 38% from behind the arc. These teams are closer than this pointspread, and Columbia has come in here and won as an even bigger dog than this. If they knock down some 3's they have a chance to steal this one.

Game: Fairfield at Canisius
Pick: 3 units on Canisius +7 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Canisius comes in with a horrible 3-17 mark. They have been blown out by virtually every team on the road, and all the good teams at home. The difference here is they have held their own against the sub-.500 teams, losing to Manhattan by four, and even pulled an upset of Niagara and beating all the others. Fairfield isn't playing much better. They have struggled on the road against some pretty poor teams. They needed OT to get past 4-16 Saint Peter's, lost to 5-17 Saint Francis - NY, and lost by 15 points to 8-15 Iona. This is a lot of points for a poor road team that has played ugly on the road against some pretty bad teams, so we will back Canisius here.


Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto
Pick: 3 units on Toronto -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Raptors are playing their best ball of the season and have won eight straight at home. The Lakers have dropped four of their last five as their offense has not been enough to make up for their bad defense. Toronto can keep up with the Lakers here in scoring, and they sport the much better defense. Toronto is 40-24 ATS the past three seasons vs. good shooting teams (46%+ from the field). Toronto should get a big win here.

Game: Orlando at Philadelphia
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia +4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Philadelphia has now won back-to-back games and are playing solid overall right now. This team has been streaky hot over the past couple of years. They play long stretches of losing basketball, but when they win a couple they seem to run off several good games. Orlando started on fire on the road where they went 11-2, but have now won only one of their last five games. Their 15-2 ATS start on the road has now turned into 2-6 ATS in their last eight. We like the Sixers to hang tough here and maybe win the game outright.

Game: Utah at Washington
Pick: 3 units on Washington +4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on First Half UNDER 95 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Jazz have won six straight and have taken over first place in the Northwest Division from Denver. Washington is off a horrible performance in which they shot just 37% from the field. We expect a focused effort from the Wizards as a result. This team is getting points at home from a 8-15 road team despite their 15-8 home record. The Jazz have a problem on the road and it's called defense (104.7 ppg allowed). The Jazz are just 11-22 ATS the past two seasons laying points on the road. THey are also 10-23 ATS over the past three seasons on the road following two straight wins. Washington meanwhile is 9-1 ATS this season after having lost two of their last three games. In Utah's last 62 road games with a total in this range, they are 45-17 to the first half UNDER. The past three seasons they are 28-15 UNDER in the first half when coming off two straight UNDERs. Washington is 27-14 UNDER in the first half overall this season including 14-6 UNDER if their game went OVER last game. They are also 8-1 UNDER in teh first half after losing by double digits. We like the home dog and the first half UNDER here.

Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Clippers +6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

It would be easy to dismiss this Clippers team on the road as they have as they are just 3-13 in their last 16 games. The fact is that they have played a very difficult road schedule. They simply have not been able to compete with the good teams. They have been on the road against nine teams that are all .600+ and a combined record of 269-141 (65.6%), and have lost all nine of these games. Eight of the losses were by double-digits and the ninth loss was by nine points. They have also been on the road against eight teams that are all sub-.500, and have won five of the eight outright, and the most they have lost to one of these teams is seven! Minnesota has played very well of late, but this is a serious overlay and we will back the Clippers.

Game: New Orleans at Sacramento
Pick: 3 units on New Orleans -2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 202.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Sacramento has been playing very well as their offense has been clicking, especially at home. They have put up an average of 106.3 points per game in their last seven at home. However, they have not been stellar on the defensive end as they have allowed 107.4 ppg over these same seven games. New Orleans was on fire, but finally dropped a game to Golden State. The Hornets held nine straight opponents under 100 points before Golden State dropped 116 on them. The offense has been scoring well, as they have scored 108.8 ppg in their last eight. We are going to buy low here on New Orleans after their upset loss. We expect a very good performance after their loss to the Warriors. The Hornets have covered 16 of 22 this season vs. losing teams and they are 15-5 ATS on the road. This has all the makings of a very high-scoring game, with the Hornets coming out on top

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dr Bob

NBA Regular Plays

(2*) Toronto Raptors at -8 Points or Less (Upgrade to 3* at -6 Points or Less)

(2*) Orlando Magic at -4 Points or Less (Upgrade to 3* at -3 Points or Less),

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