Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Gina - Sports Rumble

Miami Heat (9-34) at Orlando Magic (28-18)

Miami continues to struggles, playing horrible and averaging just 93.4 points per game. The Heat lost the last two clashes versus Miami in Orlando, 120-99 and 94-68. Take the Magic at home. Orlando is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings and is 4-1 both straight-up and against the spread at home.


Orlando Magic -12

Sacramento Kings -6

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Mr.A's

Raptors -5

New Orleans Hornets -8½

Utah Jazz -12½

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

NBA Selection

Charlotte Bobcats (18-27) at Sacramento Kings (19-24)

The Kings have been in command over the Bobcats in Sacramento. They have won and covered the spread in the last 6 meetings at Arco Arena. Take the Kings. Charlotte has been a pitiable road team, just 4-13 away from home thus far this season.

Sacramento Kings - 6


CBB

Georgetown Hoyas -10

Mississippi Rebels -5

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Doc's CBB

4 Unit Play. #530 Take Maryland -6.5 over Virginia
Both teams have faltered during ACC Play as both teams are under the .500 mark. The Cavaliers are coming off a tough overtime loss to Georgia Tech on Sunday and that was emotionally draining for them and they will not have much left in the tank for tonight’s game @ Comcast Center. Maryland needs this win more because it is at home and will get it by double digits.


4 Unit Play. #537 Wilmington +8 ½ over Old Dominion
I truly believe the wrong team was favored on a neutral court, Wilmington will be a slight favorite. The Monarchs are just 2-2 @ the Convocation Center. The Seahawks are great balance and this game will go down to the wire giving us the cash with whomever comes out on top.


5 Unit Play. #572 Take Drake -4 ½ over Creighton
The Bulldogs continue to get very little respect despite emerging at the top of the standing in a very down Missouri Valley Conference this year. That being said, 18-1 is still remarkable and we will take advantage of a soft number considering Drake has already beaten Creighton once this year. The Blue Jays are coming off a disappointing loss to Southern Illinois scoring just 44 points and turning the ball over 18 times. They face a much better team on Wednesday and we collect with another top play winner behind Klayton Korver and company. Only three of the Bulldogs victories have come under tonight’s posted number.


4 Unit Play. #573 Take Nebraska +5 ½ Missouri
This is a play against Missouri, as all everything player Stefhon Hannah suffered a fractured jaw outside a night club over the weekend. Four other players are suspended for this game as well and this is just what the doctored ordered for the weak Cornhuskers to get back on track. Nebraska has won the last three meetings with Missou.


4 Unit Play. #582 Take Houston +9 ½ over Memphis
All season long many believed this would be the game that would trip up the Tigers in their undefeated season and getting close to double-digits is too good to pass up for the home squad Cougars. Houston has just one loss at Hofheinz Pavilion and can score points at will and thus will be able to make a comeback if Memphis jumps out on them early. Houston is coming off a 14 made three pointer performance and that alone can keep them in this game tonight.

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. #573 Take Nebraska +5 over Missouri

Without five key players due to suspension, I have a hard time seeing how the short-handed Tigers are going to put together a strong effort here. Gone is leading scorer and assist man Stefhon Hannah, and as a whole over 40 points and 14 rebounds. Nebraska should have a good opportunity for a road conference victory, and the inside presence of Alex Maric will help carry the Cornhuskers to the win in Columbia.

3-Unit Play. #587 Take Syracuse PK over DePaul

Syracuse almost found a victory at Georgetown last Monday in D.C. This time around I like the 'Cuse's chances to prevail, coming through in Chicago. The Orange are in need of a quality road victory, and any win away from home in the Big East qualifies as that. Led by the dynamic duo of freshman Flynn and Green, look for Syracuse to cash over DePaul.

3-Unit Play. #595 Take Seton Hall PK over Rutgers

In this toss-up, I'll roll with the more consistent, higher paced Pirates. Seton Hall has done a good job turning around its program under Bobby Gonzalez. The Hall have a lot of depth scoring wise, and this team's ability to balance out its attack offensively will be the difference. Seton Hall scores the win here.

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BEN BURNS
CBB

GEORGE WASHINGTON

Game: St. Josephs vs. George Washington Game Time: 1/30/2008 7:00:00 PM Prediction: George Washington Reason: I'm taking the points with GEORGE WASHINGTON. The Colonials have really struggled on the road. However, they've also been tough at home, going 5-2 overall, including 2-0 ATS in their conference home games. As coach Karl Hobbs noted: "At home, we're fine. The question is when we go on the road..." In their most recent game here, the Colonials covered vs. a strong Xavier team, losing by eight points. Prior to that, they crushed St Louis, holding the Billikens to a mere 20 points. Looking back further and we find the Colonials at 21-3 SU and 14-8-2 ATS their last 24 home lined games. During that stretch, they've gone 32-10 SU their last 42 conference games. While this year's squad isn't as strong as they've been in the past, as evidenced by the result vs. St. Louis, the Colonials have done an excellent job at playing defense here at home, while controlling the tempo. Indeed, in seven games here, they're allowing an average of just 54 points. St. Joseph's has managed to win three of its last four games. However, two of those victories came by four points or less and they were just 1-3 ATS during that stretch. The Hawks are a solid and balanced team and it appears that they'll be making some noise in the Atlantic-10 this season. That being said, they're coming off an exciting 1-point win at Temple and have a trio of huge games on deck in their near future. That starts with the "Holy War" vs. Villanova (Feb. 2) and includes trips to vastly improved Duquesne (Feb. 6) and then to fellow A-10 power Xavier on February 10. In other words, I feel that it may be easy to get caught looking past tonight's "lesser" opponent. That will prove costly though as the Colonials have won five of the past six series meetings with the lone loss coming by just six points. Look for the Colonials to effectively slow down the pace of the game as they continue their strong play on this court and in this series, earning us at least the cover. *Atlantic 10 GOW

BEN BURNS
HOCKEY

ATLANTA

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Atlanta Thrashers Game Time: 1/30/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Atlanta Thrashers Reason: I'm laying the price with ATLANTA. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. The Penguins won at Pittsburgh back in November while the Thrashers returned the favor at Atlanta earlier this month. I expect home ice to be the difference again this evening. Dating back to 2005, the Thrashers are 4-1 (+2.1) the last five times they hosted the Penguins. Tonight, the well-rested Thrashers will be facing a Pittsburgh team which is still without star Sidney Crosby and which is coming off an upset win at New Jersey last night. Note that the Pens are just 6-14 the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games, most recently losing 4-2 vs. the Islanders. The Pens are also just 43-63 the past few seasons when facing a team which defeated them in their previous meeting. Having closed out the first half on a losing streak, the Thrashers should be extremely motivated. Look for a huge effort as the Thrashers 'get back on track,' continuing their recent home ice success in this series and picking up a much-needed two points. *Personal Favorite

BEN BURNS
NBA

PHILADELPHIA

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game Time: 1/30/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers Reason: I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. Both these teams have struggled this season and both have similar records. However, in addition to having homecourt advantage, the scheduling situation strongly favors the home team this evening. While the 76ers haven't played since an upset win at Charlotte Saturday, the Bucks come off a hard-fought loss vs. New Jersey last night. Note that the Bucks are just 6-14 SU and 7-12-1 ATS the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games, most recently getting crushed by 31 points by the Raptors. This is more than just your typical "back to back situation" though. Indeed, the Bucks will now be playing their 7th game in the past 10 nights. It doesn't get much more gruelling than that in this league and I expect the banged-up Bucks, who will still be without leading-scorer Redd, to be an extremely weary bunch tonight. The Bucks shot just 37.5 percent last night, while losing for the eighth time in 11 games overall. Note that they have averaged only 83.5 points in their last four road games, more than 10 points below their overall average. Not surprisingly, they were 0-4 ATS in those games, losing by an average of nearly 16 points per game. The 76ers will have payback on their minds, as they've been beaten by the Bucks in both this season's previous meetings. Note that the 76ers are 8-5 ATS this season when attempting to avenge a home loss and 10-6 ATS the last 16 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The 76ers played very well in their win at Charlotte, which has become a fairly difficult venue. Andre Iguodala, who has scored at least 20 in four straight games vs. the Bucks, scored 33 points, while Andre Miller added 23. As coach Maurice Cheeks said. "Our guys hang in there. They keep fighting. They never stop. At some point it's going to turn for us if we keep playing the way we're playing." Look for them to be both the "fresher" and the hungrier team tonight, as they avenge the earlier losses in convincing fashion. *Eastern Conference GOW


UNDER Washington/Toronto
Game: Washington Wizards vs. Toronto Raptors Game Time: 1/30/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Washington and Toronto to finish UNDER the total. I lost on the "under" when these teams faced each other yesterday. That was an unfortunate break as the game would have stayed below the number if the Raptors hadn't hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime. I don't think that we'll be seeing another overtime game today and with the teams playing the second of back to back games, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring contest. The UNDER is 3-1 the last four times that the Wizards played the second of back to back games. Those four games averaged just 177 points. Note that the Wizards, already without Arenas, will still be without leading scorer Caron Butler. Andray Blatche did an excellent job in replacing Butler, scoring 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting, in only his second start of the season. However, with the Raptors ready for him, I feel that it's fairly unlikely that he'll hit 2/3 of his shots again tonight. Note that the Raptors have played superb defense in each of their last two home games. Indeed, they held Atlanta to 78 points two games ago and then followed that up by allowing Milwaukee to score a mere 75 in their most recent game here. Including those results, the Raptors have now held 10 of their last 13 opponents here to double-digits in scoring. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is now a highly profitable 13-5 their last 18 games here. Sam Mitchell wasn't pleased with his team's defense last night. Look for his club to bounce back with a much better effort on that side of the ball this evening, continuing their recent run of low-scoring games on this floor. *Eastern Conf. TOM

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Bob Akmens

Central Florida -3.0

This play is the result of a successful computer model that has allowed Bob Akmens Sports to finish in first-place in 152 different categories of documented monitored handicapping contests since 1978.

The computer models I’ve developed for each sport look at the most-predictive variables that go into the winning and losing of games.

Several interesting factors in today’s play are as follows:

UAB is especially poor in these point spread categories:

8-16 LAST 24 AS A DOG

2-6 LAST 8 AS A ROAD DOG GETTING 3 POINTS OR LESS

5-15 LAST 20 VS. A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD AFTER AT LEAST 15 GAMES

CENTRAL FLORIDA excels in these categories:

5-2 LAST 7 AS A FAVORITE

10-3 LAST 13 COMING OFF A LOSS TO A CONFERENCE RIVAL

GO WITH CENTRAL FLORIDA -3 IN THIS 700PM EST MATCHUP.

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Mike Rose

Portland Trail Blazers -3.0

We’ve got some cross-conference action going late tonight when the (24-19) Cleveland Cavaliers invade the Rose Garden to take on the (26-18) Portland Trailblazers. Cleveland currently sits 7-games in back of the Central Division leading Detroit Pistons, while the Trailblazers find themselves half a game in back of the Northwest Division leading Utah Jazz. The Cavs sport an 11-12 SU mark on the road, but they’ve won 5 of their L/6 both SU and ATS. Meanwhile, Portland has made the most of their home contests this season by going a stellar 18-4 SU and 15-7 ATS.

We last saw the Cavaliers in action Sunday afternoon when they knocked off the LA Lakers 98-95 in the Staples Center. Lebron stole the show with 41 points and 9 boards, but a number of his teammates stepped up late in the 4th quarter to help the Cavs secure the outright victory. The defending Eastern Conference champs have won 8 of their L/10 SU, and have fared well against the Western Conference against the spread this season going a combined 11-8. They’re 4-1 ATS their L/5 against the Western Conference, and 5-1 ATS their L/6 against the Northwest Division.

Portland has fizzled out of late, but they’re coming off an enormous come-from-behind victory their last time out when they battled back from a 15-point deficit at the half to grab the 94-93 SU home win against Atlanta. However, they haven’t defeated a +.500 team since January 9th at home against Golden State. Their L/10 games have seen them go 5-5 SU but 4-6 ATS. They will have had two full days now to get reaclimated to their surroundings after playing seven in a row on the road before hosting both Houston and Atlanta. They’re 4-2 ATS this season on 2 days rest, and 11-3 ATS at home their L/14 games.

Oddsmakers have deemed the Blazers 3-points better then Cleveland in this spot with the ‘Total’ set at 186. The Cavs are a combined 28-17 (62%) ATS on the road vs. +.500 Western conference opponents, while the Blazers are also a solid 28-14 (67%) ATS combined at home vs. +.500 Eastern Conference opponents. This series has been dominated by the favorite as its cashed in 9 of the L/11 meetings. The Cavs are 5-2 ATS in their L/7 meetings with the Blazers, but backing them in the Rose Garden has been a losing proposition that’s seen the Cavs only cash 1 ticket in their L/7 visits.

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Jeff Alexander

NBA

1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks -1

The Hawks will take this one against a Clippers team which is playing like it is already cashing in the season for the lottery.  The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.  The Clippers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take the Hawks!

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Comps

Marco D'Angelo

Duquesne -5.5


Matty O'Shea 

PICK: Knicks/Jazz OVER 206


Ben Burns 

PICK: Toronto Raptors


JWhip

Cleveland Cavaliers +3


JB 

Atlanta Hawks -1.5

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Denver -2.5

The Denver Nuggets are a solid 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.  That's almost enough to have me making a small wager on them already.  Memphis ' lack of production in this spot makes our side even a little bit stronger.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog period.  The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Lay the points on Denver .

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Villanova +7' at PITTSBURGH

Take the points tonight with Villanova, as the Wildcats look for a rebound effort after losing by 10 at home over the weekend to Notre Dame. 'Nova is struggling right now, as they have dropped their last pair, and 4 of their last 7 straight up. Jay Wright will need his team to come up with a solid effort tonight, win-or-lose, and the Wildcats do always seem to play the Panthers tight.

Pitt was stunned at home over the weekend against a bad Rutgers team for their first home loss of the year! Maybe the Panthers rash of injuries is finally starting to catch up with them?

These schools met earlier this month with the game being a nip-and-tuck affair the whole 40 minutes, Villanova prevailing by a point! That makes 3 of the last 5 meetings having gone in the favor of the visitors from the Main Line.

We think the points will work this evening.

Play on 'Nova!

3* VILLANOVA

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Karl Garrett

Take the underdog Wildcats tonight as Kansas State looks to hand the Jayhawks their first loss of the season.

Kansas stands at 20-0 straight up, and the rock-chalkers have had their way with their in-state rival, taking the last 4 series meetings, and 9 of the last 10 in conference play.

Chances of another KU win seem strong, but this is about as good of a K-State team as they have had in years, and Michael Beasley is a flat-out stud who is capable of keeping the 'Cats inside of this impost, especially at home.

Kansas State is 10-1 straight up at home, and 4-1 against the spread in lined home games. The only other time they were catching points at home, they walked away with the outright win over Texas A&M.

Outright win tonight? Maybe, but with the points the G-Man loves the Wildcats.

4* KANSAS STATE

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Wunderdog Comp

Kansas at Kansas State

Pick: Kansas -7

The last two unbeaten teams in the Big 12 clash tonight when #2 Kansas heads to Manhattan to face off against #22 Kansas State. The Jayhawks ARE as good as they appear. They have won 34 out of 35, dating back to last season. They have four players averaging double-digit scoring and are extremely balanced with seven different players laying claim to a game in which they led the team in scoring. The Jayhawks have some added motivation tonight. Prior to the season starting, K-State's Michael Beasley said, "We're going to beat Kansas at home. We're going to beat them in their house. We're going to beat them in Africa. Wherever we play,we're going to beat them." Think the Jayhawks will be pumped to lay one on the Wildcats tonight? We do. Kansas hasn't lost in Manhattan for 24 years and they have lost just once vs. Kansas State int he past 36 mettings. The Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS this season vs. winning teams and with the motivation provided by Beasley, and a perfect record on the line,we like them to win and cover here.

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Cash & Profit Experts

NBA
Sacramento -7

CBB
Cincinnati +14
Nebraska +5.5


Atslocks.com- Not Ats Lock Club

15 Units- Under 127.5 Creighton/Drake
15 Units- Over 119 Illinois St/Northern Iowa
10 Units- Toledo +15 Over Akron
10 Units- Under 128.5 Toledo/akron
8 Units- Under 126 Kent State/E. Michigan
8 Units- Creighton +5 Over Drake
8 Units- Northern Illinois +5.5 Over Miami (oh)
8 Units- Iona Pk Over Manhattan
5 Units- Ball State -4 Over Bowling Green
5 Units- Under 123 Georgetown/St.Johns


Power Play Sports

Arkansas

Maryland


Dream Team
Underground Group out of Philly

100* South Carolina and Delaware
25* Davidson Depaul

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Seabass

All 10* plays
Georgetown
Memphis
St Joes
Illinois
Duquesne
Portland Under(N.B.A)


InfoPlays

3* on Bucks/76ers UNDER 186

The last meeting between the Bucks and 76ers back on January 8th of this year resulted in an 87-83 road win for Milwaukee.  Just a combined 170 points were scored in that contest.  Ever since losing Kyle Korver to the Jazz, the 76ers have become more of a defensive ball club that doesn’t have any big-name shooters from the outside.  Philly is scoring just 92.8 points per game over their last 5 games.  Milwaukee is scoring just 92 points a game on the road.  Milwaukee’s last road game resulted in just a combined 167 points against New Jersey just last night.  Philly is 14-6 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.  This won’t be an good game for the offensive-minded to watch tonight.  Bet the UNDER 186 points.

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Dave Malinsky

Massachusetts @ Duquesne

PICK: Duquesne

Offered at: -5.5

REASON FOR PICK: 4* DUQUESNE over MASSACHUSETTS

How many times are we going to be able to go to the well with the Dukes? As long as the marketplace continues to not pay proper heed. So once again we can step in with an under-valued side that continues to do so many things right in so many ways, and this time we get the ideal opponent to exploit on the road, a Massachusetts team that plays much faster than they should.

Duquesne is for real. The Dukes have tremendous depth and chemistry (eight players are scoring at least 7.4 points per game, an example of each trait), and are nationally rated in several unrelated categories – they are #3 in blocked shots per game; #4 in assists; and #9 in steals. That shows a real presence all over the floor, and because of the way that their depth wears down the opposition, and the fact that they are knocking down their free throws at a 73.6 percent clip, they are not an easy team to chase from behind. That makes this the ideal pointspread category in which to use them, and in tonight’s setting we should absolutely get their “A” game – having coasted past St. Bonaventure and George Washington in the first two games of this home stand, the physical and mental energy should be at as high of a level as they have been all season.

We can not say the same about the Minutemen. Their last two games were a road revenge affair at St. Joseph’s and that Sunday home showdown vs. Xavier, and we take two things forward from the sequence – first, that matching the Duquesne intensity will not be easy; second, that failures in each of those games also tells us about where Travis Ford’s team is. They have some athleticism, but execute erratically on the floor, particularly in terms of shot selection. Their insistence on pushing the tempo plays right into the hands of the Dukes (remember back to the 4* ticket that we cashed with Vanderbilt against UMass for similar reasons three weeks ago, when the Commodores exploded for 97 points), who will ultimately use their superior defense and basketball smarts to break this one open.

With the Total hovering in the 169 range, this is a “short” -5.5 to lay, and by now you should all know what that means – the high number of possessions lessens the amount of actual dominance the favorite needs to cover the spread. To take it a step further, with the current Side/Total in the marketplace the oddsmakers are only calling for the Dukes to score 51.6 percent of the total projected points (if we use 87-81.5 as the base). We expect much more control of the proceedings than that.

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ATS LOCK

6 N Iowa -1 1/2
6 Fl Atlantic +1
4 Drake -4 1/2
4 Miss -5 1/2


ATS FINANCIAL

4 Cinn +14 1/2
3 Georgia St. -3
3 Duquesne -5 1/2
Reply With Quote

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Wolkosky Milan

10* CHICAGO 4½
10* SACRAMENTO -7
10* CLEVELAND +3
10* CHI/MIN UNDER 185½
10* WAS/TOR OVER 190½

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