Wednesday Service Plays

Wednesday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

BYU Cougars at Air Force Falcons

Yet another strong home court involving a winning team in an underdog situation – and we’re there. Granted, at 11-7 this season the Falcons may be down a notch or two from previous editions under first year mentor Jeff Reynolds but the fact of the matter is they are still formidable at cozy Clune Arena where they stand 9-1 this season. In truth they bring a 65-3 SU home mark since 2003 going into this contest. They’ve also fared well against the Cougars in this series, going 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS when hosting BYU. Toss in the Mormons' dismal 0-7 ATS mark in games after New Mexico when facing an .850 or less opponent and it looks like the stars are aligned our way in this game. May the Force be with you. KEY STAT: Air Force is 13-1 ATS when playing with LSR2 (Last Season Revenge – Twice).

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Madduxsports Comp

New Orleans -9

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Alex Smart

Mississippi -5.0

Vanderbilt (17-3) and Ole Miss(15-3) prepare to go head to head in a SEC battle this Wednesday. Both teams are off losses to conference opponents , and will be motivated to get back in the winners circle. Bottom line: The Commodores have accumulated their top notch record against average and sub par teams , with their only real tests this season coming against Tennessee and Florida, which resulted in them getting torched by 20 and 22 points respectively. I know Ole Miss is also off a DD, beat down at the hands of instate rivals Mississippi State , but Im predicting that they will be in a nasty mood in a place (Tad Smith Coliseum )where they have won 20 straight games SU, which does not bode well for this decent, but over rated Commodore team. Final notes & Key Trends: Vandy has lost all 3 conference road contests this season. The home team has prevailed in 18 of the last 21 meetings.

Play on Mississippi Rebels

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Joe Wiz

Air Force


Cappers Access

Maryland
Texas A&M
Illinois


Scott Spreitzer

Nebraska


Mighty Quinn

Rhode Island

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USA Sportsconsulting Comp

Duquesne -4.5


Redzone Sports Comp

Creighton
Cavaliers

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Comps

Dave Cokin

Play: St. Louis +8

Saint Louis lost a heartbreaker to Dayton earlier this season. The Billikens looked like winners most of the way. But the Flyers caught them at the end and then pasted them in overtime. Things have changed for Dayton of late, however. The Flyers lost a couple of productive forwards to injury and they've hit the skids in league play. Even though Dayton is generally tough at home, they just aren't in good enough form to be giving up this big a number, so I'll grab the available points with upset-minded Saint Louis.


JIM FEIST

A tough situational spot for the visitors, playing their third game in four nights. It?s also the second of a back to back road spot. Milwaukee doesn?t play any defense, allowing 47% shooting, third worst in the NBA. They get outscored by a whopping 11 ppg on the road, where the Bucks are 5-20 SU, 10-14 ATS. Philly is rested and plays their 4th home game over the last 6 games. Play the 76ers!



Johnny Guild

Charlotte Bobcats (18-27) at Sacramento Kings (19-24)
The Kings have been in command over the Bobcats in Sacramento. They have won and covered the spread in the last 6 meetings at Arco Arena. Take the Kings. Charlotte has been a pitiable road team, just 4-13 away from home thus far this season.

Sacramento Kings - 6


Chris Jordan

As I stated last night, the Knicks have been terrible against the Western Conference, now having lost 11 straight dating back to last February. And after they were runnin' and gunnin' with Los Angeles last night at Staples Center, I don't see how they'll contend tonight in Salt Lake City's rarified air.

Utah is playing solid right now, and after dispatching of San Antonio two nights back at EnergySolutions Arena, there's no way the Jazz let up in this one against a weary New York team that won't have anything left in the tank.

Lay the chalk with Utah here, as we take advantage of a team that is sporting ATS streaks of 5-0 as a favorite, 14-3 at home against teams with losing records and 24-6 as the home chalk.

1* JAZZ


Bobby Maxwell

The Blazers needed a while to recover from that brutal seven-game Eastern Conference road trip. Now they've finally gotten a few days off and will be back to looking like themselves tonight against the Cavs.

Portalnd had two days off after a 94-93 win over Atlanta on Sunday and they are 4-1 ATS on two days rest, 11-3 ATS at home and 7-2 ATS following a game they didnt' get the cash.

The Blazers will find their defense tonight with the rested legs. They have been giving up 97.6 per game in the last five, but at home they allow just 91.7 and will go even lower than that tonight. The Cavs come in a little banged up with forward Anderson Varajeo doubtful tonight with an ankle problem.

And when these two get together, it's been dominated by the home team - 8-2 SU and ATS for the home team dating back to 2003.

Remember, even though the Cavs have won four straight on the road, they are still just 11-12 overall and 13-10 ATS on the highway. So before this little streak they were 7-12 on the highway and very average.

We're going to play the Blazers in this one as we see them coming out in front of the home fans with renewed enthusiasm after two full days off.

4* BLAZERS


JEFF BENTON

We?ll get back on track Wednesday by playing Iowa plus the points at Purdue in Big Ten action.

Total flat spot for Purdue, which is coming off Saturday?s 60-56 upset victory over then-No. 11 Wisconsin at home. And with the Boilermakers on runs of 5-0 SU and a 6-0 ATS (all in Big Ten play), this line is seriously inflated. Also, it?s very important to look at the pointspreads in Purdue?s last six games. They started out as a 13-point dog at Michigan State (78-75 loss), then were a one-point home underdog to Ohio State (75-68 win), a two-point favorite at Iowa (67-62 win), three-point favorite vs. Illinois at home (74-67 win), a one-point favorite at Penn State (64-42 win), and then the one-point ?dog vs. Wisconsin on Saturday.

Now all of a sudden the Boilers are laying double digits? HUH? This team has one won game by double digits during its current run. Not only that, but they?re 8-1 in the their last nine games, and only two wins have come by double digits. Here?s another one for you: Purdue is 0-6 ATS in its last six games when laying more than three points!

As for Iowa, the Hawkeyes are definitely in rebuilding mode, but they?ve been pretty competitive in Big Ten play to this point, going 5-3 ATS (3-2 ATS as a double-digit ?dog). In fact, going back to last year, the Hawkeyes are 19-9-2 ATS in conference action. Iowa keeps this close and challenges for the outright win.

(based on a 1 to a 10 * Rating)

5* IOWA


MATT RIVERS

For Wednesday take the points with Cincinnati.

I may be getting sucked into the Bearcats because this number is huge and in the end maybe so for a reason but I cannot pass up what has been a much better than expected Cincinnati team, and a squad that has been a cash cow so far this season, plus a few touchdowns.

West Virginia has been very good this season at 15-5 and has not really skipped a beat with John Beilein leaving and Bob Huggins coming in but the Mountaineers have been vulnerable of late and I can easily see a pedestrian effort and a 65-57 type of a final.

No doubt the 'Cats have had a lot of their success this season at home where they have beaten Pittsburgh, Villanova and a few others but they also won at Louisville as the monstrous dog and have covered five of their last six after that last loss at Seton Hall. For this team to be 4-4 in the Big East is a minor miracle but these guys have been good and the oddsmakers seemed to not have adjusted accordingly as of yet.
The Mounties have been mediocre at the very best in dropping three of their last four to the number which included a tighter than tight two point win over Marshall, a tie at the half with St. John's in a game they never ever came anywhere near the cover and the loss as the three point chalk to Georgetown.

West Virginia should win this game but I do not envision a blowout and that's pretty much what it will take for them to grab the cash in this spot!


SCOTT DELANEY

Sorry to Tom Penders, but he just isn?t going to get win No. 600 against the No. 1 team in the nation. Nevertheless, his Cougars are going to play their asses off tonight against Memphis in college hoops, as they?re playing for two reasons.

First, they?ll have Penders? milestone win in mind when taking the floor, and would love nothing more than to hand it to him on their own court, in an upset win, in conference play ? over the No. 1 team in the country

Second, this may be the one game that spells N-C-A-A B-E-R-T-H in another 45 days or so, when the selection committee gets together to choose the 65 teams that will play in the Big Dance. It sounds crazy, I know, and I don?t expect this team to win outright; however, any time you play a desperate team, it?s just not going to go away. Memphis could build a 10-point lead in this one, Houston won?t go away. The Tigers might get up by 20, but with the way the Cougars shoot the ball from the field ? not to mention from beyond the arc - and all of a sudden the crowd's into the game and the margin is in single digits.

There?s no other source in the Conference USA that spells ?quality win,? and again, if the Cougars ? who are currently ranked 76th in the Ratings Percentage Index ? expect to be considered for the Big Dance, this is the game that defines their season. This team has five seniors, and this team has plenty of scoring ability. Let?s take the points with Houston.

1*HOUSTON

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COMPS

DARK HORSE
Delaware -4


TOTALS 4 U
CLEVELAND/PORTLAND UNDER 185


ARTHUR RALPH
ST LOUIS


TV HOTLINE
IONA -2


GINA
Orlando Magic -12
Sacramento Kings -6


BIG TIME SPORTS
DAVIDSON -19.5


COMPUTER SPORTS
SYRACUSE PK


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Memphis -10 over Houston


RAZOR SHARP
VILLANOVA +7


BIG AL COMPS
Atlanta Thrashers -131
Play: Illinois


HUDDLE UP
BALL ST. -4


The Fall Miracle
MISSOURI -5.5


DRG SPORTS
Milwaukee Bucks +7


Bob Harvey Sports
Washington Wizards +8.5


Kyle Baugues
Houston +9.5


Todays Picks
Georgia +3


Florida Bookie Busters
Charlotte/Sacramento u205


Prime Sports Picks
CBA - Memphis -10


CBA
Texas AM -2.5

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

ST. JOES -7


Arthur Ralph

Super Pick AUBURN

900 Gold Key College Dogs
Mississippi State & Air Force


ARMVIN SPORTS

NHL
CALGARY -133
CHICAGO at COLORADO Over 5.5

CBB
CENTRAL FLORIDA -2.5
DAYTON -8.5
UNLV -3.5
NORTHERN IOWA -2
SETON HALL -1
TEXAS


EZ Winners

3 STAR: (594) AIR FORCE (+4) over Byu
(Risking $330 to win $300)

2 STAR: (571) CREIGHTON (+3.5) over Drake
(Risking $220 to win $200)

1 STAR: (559) ST. JOSEPHS (-7) over George Washington
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (561) UNLV (-4) over Tcu
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (581) MEMPHIS (-9.5) over Houston
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (583) KANSAS (-7) over Kansas State
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (597) TEXAS (+3) over Texas A&M
(Risking $110 to win $100)

NBA

1 STAR: (514) PORTLAND (-3) over Cleveland
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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Rob Veno Comp

Washington @ Toronto O/U 192

Fully expect last night’s overtime contest between these teams to combine with the travel and have a negative effect on the shooting percentages here tonight. Depth shy Wizards who will again be without SF Caron Butler saw the only remaining piece of their “Big Three” Antawn Jamison go nearly 52 minutes last night so fatigue for the Wizards top scoring weapon should be a factor. Also, Toronto’s premier scorer Chris Bosh logged 50 minutes last which figures to leave him a bit tired in this second of back-back with travel. With solid defense being the MO for both of these teams to begin with, look for that aspect to take hold in this one. A slower pace to keep players fresh for the full 48 minutes is also likely and remember, last night’s game ended on 190 at the end of regulation which is under the current total for this contest. Something in the range of 180-184 seems to be the final landing place for this matchup thus signaling a look toward the under.

Recommendation: UNDER

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VEGAS EXPERTS

UNLV Running Rebels at TCU Horned Frogs

TCU off a 74-58 loss at Utah. It has not bounced back recently off double-digit losses, showing a 1-10 ATS mark in that situation. Under-sized, under-manned UNLV squad continues to over-acheive, going 15-4 S/U and 10-6 ATS. TCU has not played as many lined opponents, going 11-7 S/U and 6-5 ATS. It has lost the last two on its home floor to the Rebels by 13 and nine points when getting five and 6.5 from the linemaker. It is also 31-54 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Play on: UNLV

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Brandon Lang

WEDNESDAY

15 - Hornets
5 - Memphis (college)
5 - Drake

Free - Jazz

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WINNING POINTS

NBA

*Orlando over Miami by 8

The Heat have failed to cover their past four times in the second of back-to-back
games. They also are 0-2 SU and ATS versus the
Magic.

ORLANDO 112-104


*Toronto over Washington by 5
The teams just played at Washington last night. If Chris Bosh isn?t scoring, the Raptors
have a hard time making their perimeter game work.

TORONTO 102-97


*Philadelphia over Milwaukee by 5
The 76ers have the interior defense to stymie Andrew Bogut and frustrate Michael
Redd. This is a revenge spot for the 76ers. They lost at home to the Bucks three weeks
ago, 87-83, when the Bucks were missing Redd.

PHILADELPHIA 90-85


Denver over *Memphis by 4
The Grizzlies can run with the Nuggets, but they don?t have the physical toughness of
the Nuggets or a shot-blocker as good as Marcus Camby.

DENVER 120-116


Chicago over *Minnesota by 1
The Bulls might match their longest winning streak of the season ? two games. That?s
the benefit of playing on consecutive nights vs. the T?wolves.

CHICAGO 94-93


**PREFERRED
*New Orleans over Golden State by 12
The Warriors couldnt deal with Tyson Chandler when they lost at home earlier this
month to the Hornets, 116-104. Chandler had 22 points and 22 rebounds. The
Hornets are trying to win over their home-town fans. The teams would like to remain
in New Orleans. The Hornets have covered six of their last eight home contests
through Jan. 20. The jump-shooting Warriors could have tired legs playing in their
third game in four nights and second in two days.

NEW ORLEANS 113-101


*Portland over Cleveland by 2
The Blazers are tough to go against at the Rose Garden. The Cavaliers, however, will
be rested having previously played on Sunday.

PORTLAND 97-95


*Utah over New York by 11
New York is playing for the fourth time in six days. Being in the high altitude isn?t
going to help the Knicks cause either.

UTAH 111-100


**PREFERRED
*Sacramento over Charlotte by 14
Potential kill spot here for the rested and finally healthy Kings. They wont be afraid
to win big to appease their disgruntled home base and now have the firepower to
achieve that with Mike Bibby, Kevin Martin and Ron Artest all back in the lineup.
Charlotte has covered only four of its first 15 away matchups and is playing its fourth
game in six days.

SACRAMENTO 116-102

Atlanta over *Los Angeles Clippers by 2
The Clippers had dropped 11 of their last 14 games at the Staples Center through Jan.
20.

ATLANTA 93-91

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Miami +16

You'll see a much better effort from Miami tonight than it was able to muster last night against the Celtics which were playing in a bounce back spot.  Miami has been playing terrible, but it is getting way too many here, especially after being blown out last night.  These guys are professionals and they have pride.  There's no way they'll get walked all over back-to-back games without putting up a fight.  The Magic are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.  Take the Heat tonight to bounce back and keep this one well within the number.

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John Ryan

Massachusetts vs. Duquesne
   
Play Duquesne -5.5

Ryan has a huge NCAA card for you today featuring a 10* Big-12 Game of the Year that is backed by angles that have gone 28-0 ATS!. Plus, a 5* MONSTER where Ryan has hit 70% ATS L20 5* Monster plays. Last, but not least, a 3-pack of MAJORS that are backed by 100% ATS angles.

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WINNERS EDGE

NBA

Cleveland Cavs/Portland Trailblazers over 185 , 2 units

Washington Wizzards +8.5 , 1 unit


CBB

UAB +2.5 , 2 units

Air Force + 4.5 , 2 units

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Marshall Thundering Herd - 1.5 over Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Tulsa (9-8) is 1-4 in C-USA games the win coming at (7-11) SMU 72-71 on 01/19. Marshall (10-8, 2-3) is 9-2 at home including a 62-57 win over (13-6) UAB on 01/19. The Herd posted a 65-53 home win over Tulsa last season.


Massachusetts Minutemen + 5 over (at) Duquesne Dukes

Duquesne (13-5, 3-2) vs. UMass (13-6, 2-3) lost its last road game 81-77 at (4-1 A-10) St.Joseph's, attempting only 18 free throws vs. 54 free throws for the home standing Hawks. The Minutemen are 3-0 vs. the Dukes over the last three seasons.


Kansas State Wildcats + 7 over Kansas Jayhawks

No.2 Kansas (20-0, 5-0) posted a 76-70 win at (now 2-3 Big 12) Missouri in its last road game. No.22 Kansas State (14-4, 4-0) is 10-1 at home including a 75-54 win over then No.9 Texas A&M on 01/19. Teams last met in last season's Big 12 tournament, Kansas winning 67-61.


Texas Longhorns + 3 over (at) Texas A&M Aggies

No.23 A&M (16-4, 2-3) in Big 12 play ranks eighth with a minus 4.4 scoring margin. No.10 Texas (16-3, 3-1) is 3-1 vs. ranked opponents this season including a 63-61 win at then No.1 UCLA. The Horns are 15-4 vs. the Aggies under coach Barnes.

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BIG AL

Creighton


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at Atlanta Thrashers
Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins

Reason: Pittsburgh has lost 2 straight while the Thrashers have dropped 5 in a row. The Penguins have won 5 of their last 7 road games. The Penguins are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall. In their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing record the Penguins are 9-4. The Thashers have lost 4 of their last 5 home games. In their last 22 games vs. team's from the Atlantic Divsion the Thrashers are 6-16. Atlanta is 9-21 in the last 30 meetings between the club's. Play on the the Penguins +


RAS Side Play

556 Delaware -3' 1/2

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Michael Cannon

15 Dime –

HORNETS

Take the Hornets as the home chalk tonight over the Warriors.

New Orleans continues to roll, having won and covered its last nine games. They easily handled the Warriors earlier this month, 116-104 as a 2 ½-point road dog.

In that game Golden State couldn’t handle Tyson Chandler, who had 22 points and 22 rebounds.

The Warriors are a perimeter team and fatigue could be working against them as this marks their third game in four nights and second in 48 hours.

Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall, while New Orleans is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 versus the NBA Pacific.

Lay the points as the Hornets win and cover again.


10 Dime –

KINGS

Take the Kings as the home chalk tonight over the Bobcats.

Sacramento is finally healthy with Mike Bibby, Kevin Martin and Ron Artest all back in the lineup. The Kings are 3-0 all-time against the Bobcats at Arco Arena, winning by an average of 16.7 points.

The Kings have been playing well at home lately, winning four of their last five games and averaging 117.5 points.

Charlotte is playing its fourth game in six days and will be hard pressed to match its shooting effort in Monday’s win over the Clippers, when they hit 56.7 percent from the floor.

Take the Kings minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.


5 Dime –

DUQUESNE

Take Duquesne as the home chalk over UMass.

The Dukes are a much improved team this year, thanks in large part to forward Shawn James and guard Kojo Mensah.

Neither player was on the court for Duquesne last year when the Minutemen defeated the Dukes, 101-87.

UMass has lost its last two games, while Duquesne is riding a two-game winning streak.

Overall, the Dukes are 9-1 SU on their home court and their up-tempo game should allow them to extend their lead as the game goes on.

The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings of this series.

Take the Dukes as they grab the home win and cover.

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FERRINGO

7-Unit Play. Take #556 Delaware (-3.5) over Northeastern
Note: This is our Game of the Month.

Revenge. Big time. Two weeks ago these teams met in Massachusetts and Northeastern clawed their way to a 73-69 victory. But here’s the thing: Delaware’s leading scorer, Herb Courtney, played just 11 minutes in that game. He picked up his third foul – a technical – just seven minutes into the game. Further, Al Dawson, who led the team with 19 points, missed most of the end of the game and OT with cramps. A couple other tough breaks and the fact that the young Hens were on the road in a tricky venue tells me that this game was more of a fluke than an indicator. The Huskies are just 2-7 ATS over their L9 while Delaware is 6-2 ATS in its last eight. Further, Northeastern is 10-22 ATS on the road against good home teams and 2-8 ATS in their L10 conference games. They’ve dumped their last seven road games by 8, 2, 28, 6, 21, 2, and 9 points. That’s an average of 11 per loss, with five of the seven staying over the number we need.

Finally, Delaware has been a bounceback team, going 4-0 ATS after a SU loss and 5-0 ATS after an ATS loss. They blew a 10-point lead in the second half to Georgia State, committing turnovers and shooting just 35 percent from the field and 58 percent from the free throw line. I think they will recover nicely, with the motivation of desperately needing a conference home win and wanting revenge for a shady loss in Mass as X-factors in our favor. The Hens are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine conference games. The home team is 7-3 SU in the last 10 in his series and I think UD takes home a big W.

3-Unit Play. Take #598 Texas A&M (-3) over Texas

2.5-Unit Play. Take #573 Nebraska (+4.5) over Missouri

2.5-Unit Play. Take #562 TCU (+3) over UNLV
Here we are looking for a let down out of the Rebels and a bounce back out of the Horned Frogs. UNLV is coming off an emotional win at San Diego in a game in which they shot 50 percent from the field. I don’t see either of those feats being repeated – neither the win nor the hot shooting. After a blowout win over Minnesota they barely beat Colorado State. After a huge win over BYU they squeaked by Wyoming. Now I see a similar letdown and TCU is going to win this one outright. They are 8-2 ATS against conference foes and 6-1 ATS at home. The Rebels have been a strong road team but they failed to cover their last two trips as a road chalk.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Cincinnati (+19) over West Virginia AND Take Mississippi (-0.5) over Vanderbilt
The Bearcats have been a fantastic underdog, going 11-2 ATS as a puppy since early December. West Virginia has to be smarting a bit from their tough loss at home to Georgetown and if they aren’t their best I won’t be surprised. WVU is 0-3 in the last month as a double-digit favorite. The Mountaineer have a penchant for letting teams back in games and the Bearcats won’t quit. I think they sneak in the back door here.

Ole Miss is sensational at home and Vanderbilt struggles on the road. This number is climbing, and the game loses its value at around -6. If you can still pick up Ole Miss -5 then I would say to go for a straight play and toss DePaul in this teaser.

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BeatYourBookie

NCAA Basketball

100* Play Kansas State (+7) over Kansas.

Kansas State is 17-5 ATS vs. conference opponents the last 3 seasons
Kansas State is 10-2 ATS when playing in the month of January
Kansas State is 9-1 SU over the last 10 games


50* Play Texas (+3.5) over Texas A&M

Texas is 26-11 ATS coming off 2 or more consecutive UNDER the totals
Texas is 9-2 ATS coming off 2 wins or more vs. conference opponents
Texas is 17-4 SU vs. Texas A&M since 1997

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