Super Bowl Service Plays

Re: Super Bowl Service Plays

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use UN: SUPER PW BOWL

  NICK PARSON: OVER GIANTS, PROPS; MANNING VS BRADY 1ST 1/2 PASSING; MANNING +30.5 YARDS, LAURENCE MARONEY- UNDER 81.5 RUSHING YARDS

TEDDY COVERS: PATRIOTS, OVER PATRIOTS. PROPS; BRADY OVER 35.5 ATTEMPTS, WELKER OVER 7 RECEPTIONS, K FAULK OVER 32.5 RECEIVING YARDS, OVER 6.5 DIFFERENT PATRIOTS TO CATCH BALL, JACOBS +23.5 VS MARONEY RUSH YARDS, MARONEY UNDER 20.5 CARRIES, GIANTS +12.5 RUSHING YARDS VS PATRIOTS, GIANTS MORE PENALTY YARDS, GIANTS LONGER KICKOFF RETURN, PATRIOTS LONGER PUNT RETURN

DOC: 4 GIANTS, PROPS; 1 FIRST SCORE IS FG/SAFETY, 1 BURRESS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS, 1 JACOBS SCORE 1ST GAME TD

ROB FERRINGO: 3 GIANTS, 2 UNDER GIANTS, PROPS; 1 GIANTS MORE PENALTY YARDS, 1/2 GIANTS SCORE SHORTEST FG, JACOBS OVER 12.5 RECIEVING YARDS, FIRST SCORE IS FG/SAFETY

ALLEN EASTMAN: 4 UNDER PATRIOTS, 3 TEASER- PATRIOTS/UNDER PATRIOTS, PROPS; BRADY WILL THROW AT LEAST 1 INT- YES -115, BRADSHAW OVER 40.5 RUSH YARDS

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER: 4 UNDER PATRIOTS, 3 PATRIOTS, PROPS; 6 KOBE BRYANT POINTS, REBOUNDS AND ASSISTS +9.5 OVER PATRIOTS/GIANTS TOTAL POINTS FOR GAME, UNDER 14.5 4TH QUARTER

BOB BALFE: PATRIOTS

PRO INFO: 6 GIANTS

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MR A

New England Patriots -12

New York will get another chance at ending the Patriots' path to perfection. New England won 38-35 in its final game of the regular season, rallying from a 12-point second-half deficit against the Giants. The rolling Giants have won 10 straight road games, going 9-1 against the spread, including three playoff road victories against division winners (Tampa, Dallas and Green Bay), but the Giants secondary is vulnerable and will be facing football's best pass offense led by Tom Brady.
The Patriots are a better team and maybe the best team the NFL has thus far ever seen. Expect Manning to make mistakes when the Patriots start pulling away. New England will make a statement and close out the season with a strong and impressive effort.

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GINA

New York Giants (13-6) vs. New England Patriots (18-0)

I tried to convince myself that the hot Giants with a convincing playoff record would make this a close battle and possibly win. However, the Brady bunch is a superior team and has been here before. Look for Brady to connect with Randy Moss, Wes Welker and Kevin Faulk and tear the Giants' secondary. The Patriots make history.

New England Patriots - 12

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Cajun-Sports

Comments: The Patriots are one game away from the first 19-0 season in NFL history, with the Giants being the final hurdle in Super Bowl XLII on Sunday. The teams met just five weeks ago in the final game of the regular season where New York almost spoiled New England’s plans for a perfect season. The Giants had a double-digit second-half lead before falling, 38-35, but easily covering the double-digit point-spread. While the game is viewed by many as being the final step toward New England's coronation, a red-hot Giants team figures to have something to say about the matter. New York is in the Super Bowl for the first time in seven years thanks to consecutive playoff road wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys, and Packers, and the Giants' 10 straight wins away from home this season have set a new NFL record. New York QB Eli Manning has undergone a revelation marked by sound decision-making and a limited number of mistakes. Manning has completed 62% of his passes and not committed a turnover in New York's three postseason games. Manning's outstanding run actually began with a strong outing against New England in Week 17, when he went 22-of-32 for 251 yards and threw FOUR TD passes. Since an interception thrown by Manning late in that game, the Giants offense has gone 33 possessions and 194 plays without a turnover. This will be a huge factor in today’s game; if New York can limit turnovers they have a legitimate shot at winning the biggest game of them all. New England has a talented defensive line, but ranked near the bottom of the league with 4.4 yards allowed per carry during the regular season. The Patriots also have a pair of highly-decorated linebackers in the middle of their four-man group, with former Pro Bowlers Tedy Bruschi and Junior Seau occupying those places. We expect the Giants "thunder-and-lightning" backfield of Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw to be effective and have success against this Patriots rush defense. These are the key areas for both teams can Eli Manning continue his excellent play and can the Patriots defense stop the rushing attack of Jacobs and Bradshaw? The Patriots have the edge in most of the personnel categories, but it's not a decisive edge on many counts. The Giants proved in December that they have the ability to make this a game, and with the way they are peaking, there’s no reason to believe they won’t make this game very competitive once again. New York is 6-0 ATS since Week 10 when playing with revenge and not favored by a TD or more, while the Patriots are on a 0-5 spread run vs. opponents playing with revenge. In fact, the Giants are on quite a spread run themselves, going 8-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points. New England is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. New York is also 9-0 ATS away from their home stadium when not favored by more than 9 points, to go along with their 10 straight SU victories on the road. We have a few technical situations that back our position on the Giants and they tell us that playoff underdogs of 3+ points off a Playoff SU win of less than 7 points allowing less than 28 points in their last game (not as a home underdog) are a strong 15-0 ATS since 1998, beating the spread by nearly 10 ppg on average. This technical situation is already 2-0 in this year’s playoffs, active for both of our STAR SELECTION WINNERS in the AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games two weekends ago. After making it to the Super Bowl with an underdog victory, teams have continued to play very well in recent seasons. Specifically, Super Bowl teams off a Conference Championship underdog SU win in their last game are 5-0 ATS since 2000 vs. opponents not favored off a Conference Championship underdog SU win in their last game, blasting the spread by nearly 17 ppg on average. Here is another strong technical situation that tells us to “Play ON” a Conference Championship/Super Bowl team off 2 playoff SU & ATS wins allowing less than 21 points in each of its last 2 games game vs. an opponent not favored off 2 playoff SU & ATS wins allowing less than 21 points in each of its last 2 games. Since 1989, these teams are 17-0-3 ATS, beating the spread by 2 TDs per game. Those numbers include New York’s qualify SU & ATS win at Green Bay for the NFC title. If we isolate this exact same situation to Super Bowls, we find that it has gone without a loss all the way to back to 1983. Since then, qualifying Super Bowl teams are 16-0-2 ATS, destroying the spread by more than 17 ppg on average! Sixteen of the 18 teams also won the game outright by a similar margin. Finally we have a technical situation that tells us to “Play ON” a Super Bowl team (not a favorite of more than 13 points) with the better ATS record in the current postseason (underdog if ATS records identical with only wins; favorite if ATS records identical with any losses/pushes). Since 1987, these teams are 16-0-2 ATS, covering the spread by more than 13 ppg on average. In last year’s Super Bowl, we played on the favored Colts, who had gone 3-0 ATS in the postseason over the Bears who went just 1-1 ATS in the playoffs. Indianapolis won and covered the spread, as did the Steelers the year before. Like the Giants this post-season, Pittsburgh went 3-0 SU & ATS leading up to the Super Bowl, winning 3 games on the road, while the Seahawks won 2 playoff games at home, just as the Pats have done this season. It wasn’t pretty, but the favored Steelers got the SU & ATS win over Seattle. We expect another very close game. The Patriots made several miracle escapes this season to keep their perfect record alive and it may take another miracle to pull this one off. The Giants should give them all they can handle and we won’t be surprised to see the G-men pull off what would be a monumental upset.

Play: 3* OVER 54.5

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CEASAR SPORTS REPORT

SUPER BOWL SUNDAY
3* OVER
1* NY GIANTS

SUPER BOWL PROPS
Wes Welker over 6 1/2 receptions
B Jacobs to score a TD
B Jacobs over 55 1/2 rush yards
R Moss over 11 1/2 yards on 1st catch
M Vrabel total tackles over 4 1/2
T Brady TD in 2nd quarter
L Maroney pass catch over 1
Score in the 1st 7 minutes (YES)
P Burress 1st catch over 9 1/2 yards
Most penalty yards (GIANTS)

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Psychic Sports Picks Members Area

SUPER BOWL SUNDAY

5 units NY Giants +12.5
WISEGUY

3 units OVER 54


SUPER BOWL PROPS
Each prop is valued at 1/2 unit

Will a Special Team or Defensive TD be scored - YES +150
Will either team score 3 unanswered times - NO +200
First score of the game will be Any other score +160
Last score of the game will be Any other score +150
First scoring Play in the game will be NY Giants - Field Goal +300
A score in first 6:01 mins of the 2nd Half - Yes -120
Team to commit the 1st Penalty - NY Giants -120
First Team to use a Time Out in game - NY Giants -120
Defense with more sacks +160
Which team will record first sack - NY Giants +100

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Ron Meyer

Chalkboard.....Giants Under
Coaches Consensus.....Giants


Big Al

Computer Boys.....Patriots

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RJ Bell

Prop #1: NO Overtime: (odds: minus-1400 or less)
First things first . . . when you have a good bet, dont worry about laying a big number its the way the pros bet . . . just make sure you dont bet so much that losing would be a huge deal cause any bet can lose.
Heres why its such a good bet: In 41 Super Bowls, there has never been an overtime game. Even more importantly, in the last 5 years about 6% of games have gone into overtime. Considering that a game with a line of -12 is less likely than an average game to go to OT its safe to say the odds about it happening are about 20-1 . . . so we are willing to lay 14-1.

Prop #2 NO Safety (odds: -1100 or less)
Same story great bet . . . dont be afraid of big odds but dont bet so much it will really hurt if we lose.
Last 5 years in the NFL theres been 77 safetys . . . thats about 6% of games. Tom Brady gets sacked less than the average QB, so assume chance is 5% in this game (about 20-1) . . . we are willing to lay 11-1 and be very happy.

Prop #3 Team that scores first will LOSE game (odds: +180 or more)
This has happened 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls . . . and if the Giants are lucky and score first (even a FG) we all now the way the Pats can storm back.

Prop #4 UNDER in the First Quarter (10.5 points)
Nerves and tendency to be conservative is inevitable in the Super Bowl. Also, this is the only game all year the balls are not given to the teams to prepare, which means they will be slick early. Note that Tom Brady was one of the strongest supporters of getting a chance to work the balls before the game so we can expect him to be affected. Proof of these concepts: There has not been a TD scored in the first quarter of 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls.

BEST BET: Randy Moss UNDER 5.5 receptions
Teams have decided not to be beat by him of late, and have kept the games close against the Pats. In two playoff games hes had just two receptions and no TDs. He may break a big one . . . but 6 catches will be hard to come by. Also, the public loves Moss, and loves to bet over so you know you are getting great value betting under

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INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: NY GIANTS vs NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Play: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -12 (POD)

Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -12 Automatic POD Promo: Winning 3 days in a row, Only Handicapper in the Nation to be at 60% in Basketball 2007-2008 at 78-50 (61%) after 128 Plays, Winning 2 of 2 days in February, 3rd winning week in a row secured Today, Winning 21 of 31 days in January (68%) (+24 units), 19-11-1 POD in January (63%), Winning 4 of 6 months and still haven't lost back to back months Ever, and haven't lost Back to back days since January 4th/5th. I wrote about this in a bit more detail in my blog research today but I bet based on principles and mat and it is tough to argue with the results. Each and every time that the public hounds an underdog I go against it. Think about it, time and time again, the Packers on the road against the Cowboys - public loves the Pack, I went with the Cowboys, the Jazz at home against the Mavs, public hounds the Mavs, I went with the Jazz - same thing when the Jazz were at home against the Spurs. This game is no different and following this math model it has gone 10-2 this season so why change simply because this game is called the "super bowl". The Patriots have had nearly 2 weeks to prepare for this game - there are very few teams that I know that can put together a game plan like the Patriots can. Do you really think it is that impossible for this team to win by 13 points against a Giants team that is very good - having won 10 outright in a row away from home - including 3 alone in this playoff season - seems too easy right?! Free money right?! Wrong. The Patriots dominated this team in the 4th quarter and they sewed up many kinks in the armor and will be more than ready today. Do not forget that this is still Eli Manning we are taking about here. I suspect this game to be relatively close at the end of the first half with the Pats leading by a touchdown or so and they are likely to pull away. This team is a team of destiny and I would not be surprised to see a score of 30-17. I know the Pats haven't covered many ballgames of late, but I think the public likely gets the shaft yet again here

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R.J. Miller

GIANTS +12.5

.....Note that these teams played on another just a month ago (December 29th) at New England, and the Giants had the game won (on the road) through the 3rd quarter. The game was tied late in the 4th quarter, 35-35, and the Patriots managed to win by a field goal, 38-35. Playing here at Scottsdale ain't exactly a home field advantage for the Giants, but the Giants are a lot more used to playing here at this NFC city than are the Patriots. The crowd will be cheering for the underdog Giants.
Note that the Patriots struggled to beat the pitiful Ravens, at Baltimore, 27-24. They managed to beat the Colts at Indianapolis (24-20) only when Peyton Manning fumbled away the ball with less than a minute left. And they managed to squeak past the Eagles, 31-28, at home in New England....These guys are good, no doubt about that, but there's a certain amount of luck involved in this record of 18-0.

Note that the Giants this season rushed an average of 134 rushing yards per game while the Patriots rushed for an average of 116 yards per game. (Both teams allowed 98 yards per game.) That NFL team with the most rushing yards in a game wins the game more than 75% of the time. On December 29th, the Giants out-rushed the Patriots 79-44.

The key for the Giants to win this game is to keep Tom Brady to hell off the field. To do that, on offense, look for the Giants to use a rushing attack, or short passes, in order to keep their defense off the field. When the Giants' defense is on the field they must try to contain the Patriots' wide receivers, including Randy Moss, and the defensive line must try to hurry Brady's passing ability. Brady's ability to throw to his wide receivers is what this game will be all about.

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O.C. Dooley

Prop Bets

SUPER BOWL PROPOSITIONS

"1 Unit" on amount of players to throw a pass OVER 2' (+210)

"1 Unit" on Giants to be first team to use coaches challenge (-115)

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