Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

I.C. Comp

Tor/WASH under 193


CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS

NBA
TORONTO +2.5
NY/LA LAKERS OVER 206

CBB
FLORIDA ST +4.5

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PricelessPicks

1 Unit on Iowa State -6

Iowa State returns home after lopsided losses at the Kansas schools in the Big 12.  We'll take the Clones in this bounce back spot at home as Hilton Magic should be at full throttle.  Iowa State is 10-2 at home this season and they have won 8 straight home games.  The Buffs come in having lost 3 in a row and 5 of their last 6 games.  Colorado is 10-21 ATS versus good defensive teams with a shooting pct. defense of <=42% over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.  Iowa State is a very strong 30-16 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997.  The Cyclones' defense is tough as nails at home and that's what will earn them the win and cover tonight.

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Dragonsports

3* Play on Bulls - 4.5

3* Play on Knicks + 9.5


Steve Janus

W Michigan -4

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BEN BURNS
HOCKEY

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game Time: 1/29/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning Reason: I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. These teams have faced each other once this season. That game, which was also here at Tampa Bay, saw the Sabres win by a score of 4-3. Its important to note that the Lightning were -150 or -155 favorites in that game. Tonight's price is significantly "cheaper" and I feel that offers us excellent value. Despite a win in their final game before the break, the Sabres remain a dismal 2-12 their last 14 games vs. the moneyline. Not surprisingly, they haven't won back to back games in 2008. They're also still dealing with some key injuries, including forwards Tim Connolly and Maxim Afinogenov. The Lightning closed out the first half with a loss to the Senators, the top team in the conference. However, they'd beaten the Sens a week earlier and have still won three of their last four games. They've struggled in this series and know that this is an excellent opportunity to exact some revenge while the Sabres aren't playing their best and aren't at 100%. In addition to being 4-11 when playing a road game with an over/under line of six or greater, the Sabres are just 3-7 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. I'm backing the revenge-minded home team.

*"Line Value" GOM

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BEN BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

PENN STATE

Game: Ohio State vs. Penn State
Prediction: Penn State Reason: I'm taking the points with PENN STATE. Without Geary Claxton in the lineup, the Nittany Lions have certainly been struggling lately. However, I feel that has caused this line to become too high. Prior to their recent skid, the Nittany Lions, who easily covered both games against last season's stronger Ohio State team, had won seven straight games. Despite getting pounded by Purdue last time here, they're still 8-3 at home for the season. Conversely, the Buckeyes have lost three straight on the road. Granted, those losses all came vs. tougher opponents. All the same, I don't feel they should be laying this many points on the road. The Nittany Lions know that they won't be getting Claxton back and know that it's time to stop hanging their heads about his loss. As coach Ed DeChellis said: "...we're the ones that have to get us out. It's just not going to happen unless we work hard." Playing in front of a national TV audience and having matched their lowest point total in the 12-year history of the Bryce Jordan Center in their last game here, I expect an extremely motivated effort from the Nittany Lions this evening. They lost by only two points, as 11.5 point underdogs, vs. the Buckeyes here last season. Look for them to give their guests all they can handle once again, improving to 8-3 ATS the last 11 series meetings. *Best Bet

NBA

UNDER Knicks/Lakers

Game: New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Lakers and Knicks to finish UNDER the number. These teams combined for just 185 points (95-90 Lakers) when they faced each other at New York on 12/23. That game had an over/under line of 203.5 or 204. Looking back at the last 20 series meetings and we find that NONE of them had an over/under line which was greater than 205 points. I feel that tonight's higher number is offering us solid value. The Knicks have seen three of their last four games stay below the total, including each of their last two. Note that the lone one of those games which did finish above the numbe (Boston on 1/21) still finished with just 202 points. Their most recent game was relatively high-scoring, (106-104 loss) however, that came against the up-tempo Warriors, so the total was much higher and the game still fell comfortably beneath the number. The Lakers have also been profitable for "under" bettors recently, as they've seen four of their last five games finish beneath the total. I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair again this evening with the final combined score staying beneath the generous number and the UNDER improving to 13-6 when the Knicks were coming off a game in which they allowed 105 or more points. OVER Sonics/Spurs

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Seattle SuperSonics
Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Spurs and Sonics to finish OVER the total. The Spurs finished below the number yet again last night, continuing their string of "unders." However, one spot which they haven't been staying below the number is when they play the second of back to back games. In fact, they've seen the OVER go 4-1 the last five times they played in that situation with those five games averaging a whopping 214 points each. Tonight should be a good spot to put up some big points as the defending champs will be taking on the defensively-challenged Sonics, who allow an average of 105 per game. Note that the Spurs have seen the OVER go 45-35-4 the last 84 times they were listed as road favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. This is a very low over/under number for a Sonics' home game. Their games here have averaged more than 202 points and they typically have over/under lines somewhere in that range. In fact, they've only played two home games with a total ranging from 190-194.5 this season. Both those games finished above the number bringing the OVER to 9-3 the last dozen times the Sonics played a home game with a total in that range. The Sonics, who are smack dab in the middle of a 7-game homestand, have also seen the OVER go 15-9 the past few seasons after having played three or more consecutive road games. This season's lone meeting, which came here in late November, had an over/under line of 199 and finished with 216 points. That brought the OVER to 3-0 the last three series meetings with each of those games producing a minimum of 199 points. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair this evening. UNDER Raptors/Wizards

Game: Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards
Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Raptors and Wizards to finish UNDER the number. These teams, who will face each other again tomorrow night, have played some high-scoring games against each other in 2007. However, with both Arenas and Ford still out due to injury, I'm expecting a defensive affair this evening. The Wizards have seen the UNDER go 8-5 the last 13 times that they played the front-end of back to back games, most recently combining with the Celtics for just 171 when playing in that situation. The last time that the Raptors played the front end of back to back games, they combined with Atlanta for a mere 167 points. That brought the UNDER to 2-1 the last three times that they played the front-end of back to back games. Those three games averaged less than 172 points and none produced more than 192. Thanks to the game reaching overtime, the Wizards allowed the Bucks to score 105 points last time out. Note that their most recent two home games both stayed below the number and that they've seen the UNDER go 7-3 this season after having allowed 105 or more points in their previous game. For the season, they've seen the UNDER go 14-8 at home, including 3-1 as a home favorite of three points or less. Meanwhile, the Raptors, who haven't played since defeating the Bucks 106-75 on 1/25, have seen the UNDER go 8-3 after scoring 105 or more points and 10-3 after a double-digit win. Look for those numbers to improve this evening. HOUSTON

Game: Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
PM Prediction: Houston Rockets Reason: I'm laying the points with HOUSTON. In addition to playing with "double-revenge" the Rockets will be looking to bounce back from an upset loss vs. Utah here on Sunday. Note that the Rockets, who were slight favorites in that game, are a profitable 26-16 ATS the past few seasons when coming off a SU loss when listed as a favorite. Prior to the loss vs. the Jazz, the Rockets had won four straight games and nine of their past 11. The Warriors, who were substantial favorites in each of their last two games, won each of them by only two points. Those two pointspread losses dropped them to 4-9 ATS in 2008. They're now an ugly 13-26 ATS in the month of January the past three seasons. Its also worth noting that the Warriors are just 11-20 ATS the last 31 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. Despite this season's earlier losses, the Rockets have still won 23 or their past 31 games vs. teams which allow 99 or more points during the second half of the season and 48 of 75 vs. such "defensively-challenged" teams overall. With or without Yao Ming in the lineup, I expect the highly motivated and revenge-minded Rockets to record a convincing victory. *Blowout GOM

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Comps

Marc Lawrence 
Indiana Pacers +7.5

Matty O'Shea
Washington Wizards -2 

JWhip
Spurs/Sonics UNDER 194

Ben Burns 
Indiana Pacers +7.5 

Mel Stewart
San Antonio Spurs -7

JB
Chicago Bulls -4.5

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Ted Sevransky

Evansville +14.5

Southern Illinois is not a team built to win games by big margins. The Salukis last win by more than 13 points came back on December 11th. They are most assuredly an offensively challenged ballclub, shooting at a 42% clip for the season, averaging only 62 points per game, making it very difficult to run up margins. Nor are the Salukis a particularly good rebounding team – they don’t get many easy second chance opportunities. Southern Illinois beat Evansville by 13 when they met two weeks ago, but it took a special effort for the Salukis to win by that margin: 59% shooting for the game; 53% shooting from three point land; 74% shooting from the free throw line. Even at home, it’s hard to picture this poor shooting Southern Illinois squad having that same sort of success tonight.

Evansville went through a very ugly stretch of play here in January, punctuated by ugly road losses at Indiana State by 30, at Creighton by 18, and at Northern Iowa by 13. But we’ve also seen spread covering losses by 1 at Bradley and by 8 at Illinois State during this span, giving us reason to suspect that the Purple Aces are capable of hanging around here. Let’s not forget that Evansville was competitive on this floor against the Salukis last year, losing by only seven, and they beat Southern Illinois outright at home! And Evansville is coming off a confidence inspiring blowout win over Missouri State this past weekend, giving them some positive momentum heading into this game now that their eight game losing streak has been snapped. We don’t need an outright victory to cash this ticket – not even close – giving us plenty of wiggle room should we need it.

Take Evansville.

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Alex Smart

San Diego State -7.0

San Diego State enter into this tilt against their hosts Colorado State Rams off two consecutive hard fought losses to top tier teams, UNLV and BYU. With that said, I expect this talented Aztecs team to be very motivated to get back in the win column, against a Rams team that is in complete disarray, as is evident by losing 6 straight and 10 of their L/11 overall. To put it bluntly, compared to their last two opponents, this contest will seem like a walk in the park for the Aztecs. Final notes & Key Trends: Aztecs are 7-1-ATS in the last 8 meetings

Projected score: San Diego State 72 Colorado State 60 

LT Profits

Samford @ Murray State UN 120.5 

This game between the Samford Bulldogs and the Murray State Racers features two stark contrasts in styles.

The Under is an amazing 13-3 in all Samford games this season, with a very low average combined total scored in their games of just 116.6 points. The Bulldogs average just 54.9 points offensively, but their shooting percentage of 44.6 percent is not the worst in the world, which means that their low output is a direct result of the deliberate style. Furthermore, their road games have been even lower scoring, with an average combined total score of 114.9 points per contest.

Now Murray State plays much more up-tempo, as their games are averaging 143.0 points. However, we could see them getting frustrated by Samford’s style, even in their own building. At least that has been the case in the past, as the last five head-to-head meetings between these schools here in Murray State have averaged just a combined 115.2 points.

We look for history to repeat tonight.

CBB Free Pick: Samford, Murray State Under 120.5

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Drew Gordon

1. 300,000* Wake Forest
2. 50,000* George Mason
3. 50,000* Warriors


SportsAction365

100* Ohio -10.5
75* VCU +4
75* Virginia Tech -3.5
75* San Diego St -7.5
50* Houston -3.5
50* LA Lakers -9.5


Gold Medal Club

NBA
Suns
Spurs
Laker's

CBB
George Mason
Austin Peay
Penn State

NHL
Buffalo
Carolina
Sharks

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Wunderdog Comp

Game: Missouri State at Wichita State
Pick: Wichita State -1

Wichita State has covered nine of the last ten games between these two teams here at home. They have lost six in a row and eight of nine but they are favored here for a reason. This is their best chance to nail a win. Missouri State is off a bitter loss to Evansville. The Bears lost by 19 points in a game they were supposed to win. We think they suffer a hangover of sorts here. They are 1-9 on the road this season and 0-7 ATS. The offenses here are pretty even (Bears scoring 61.9 per game on the road and Shockers getting 61.5 at home). But, the defensive difference is huge as Wichita averages 59.4 ppg allowed at home while Missouri State gives up 71.3 per game on the road - a 12 point difference. If there's one thing Wichita State does well, it's rebound. And, the Bears are 1-8 ATS this season vs. good rebounding teams (those that outrebound opponents by 4+ per game). This line should be MUCH higher and we like the home team as a result.

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ATS LOCK
4 Wake Forest -1 1/2
3 Virginia Tech -4
3 Celtics -5 1/2

ATS FINANCIAL
4 Golden State +3 1/2
3 Suns -8 1/2
3 W Michigan -3 1/2

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Mike Rose

Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 

Don’t look now, but the Timberwolves are currently one of the hottest teams in the league. That’s right folks!!! If not for a turnover in the closing seconds of their game against Boston, Minny would own a 4-game winning streak coming into tonight’s contest with the (17-26) Chicago Bulls. Minny’s torrid play began last Monday when they went into Golden State and pulled out a 109-108 shocker that saw them win SU as 11.5-point road underdogs. They followed that effort up with an even more unbelievable handling of the Phoenix Suns. They beat Nash and company 117-107 as 8.5-point home pups for their second win over the Phoenix franchise this season just 5-days after getting bludgeoned 115-95 in the desert. Then came the tough 1-point loss at Boston that saw them easily cover the 14-point spread. Their next game saw them open up as favorites for just the 4th time this season. However, the betting public didn’t believe the Wolves would be able to rebound from their loss in Boston forcing all the sportsbooks to move the line in favor of New Jersey. When the dust cleared, the Wolves picked up their 8th win of the season when they upended the Nets by a 98-95 final count and covered the 1.5-point spread in the process.

As for the Bulls, they’ve continued their mediocre play since the coaching change and they’re now suffering from a rash of injuries to their star players. Both Luol Deng and Ben Gordon sat out of their last game against Phoenix that saw the Suns cover the 7.5-point spread in their 88-77 defeat of the Bulls. The loss was the Bulls 2nd in a row and 6th in their L/10 overall games. The United Center was a very tough place for opposing teams to go into and win the L/3 seasons, but that hasn’t been the case this year. The Bulls are 9-13 SU at home and they’ve only managed to cover 7 of those 22 games.

Minnesota has experienced decent success against the Bulls winning 7 of their L/10 match-ups, but a guy named Kevin Garnett had a lot to do with those victories. This will be the first meeting of these teams this season.

The Bulls opened up as 2.5-point home chalks with the ‘Total’ set at 188. Overnight bettors still don’t believe in the Wolves current form and have bet the Bulls up to 4.5-point favorites. They also project a lower scoring game with the ‘Total’ dropping to its current mark of 187.

This series has been dominated by the underdog of late as it’s cashed in 6 of the L/8 meetings. The Timberwolves are a combined 23-16 (59%) ATS on the road vs. sub .500 Eastern Conference opponents, while the Bulls come in a combined 12-30 (29%) ATS at home vs. sub .500 Western Conference opponents.

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BeatYourBookie

NCAA Basketball

100* Play Miami +1.5
Miami is 28-14 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
Miami is 7-1 ATS after covering the spread in the previous game
Miami is 8-0 ATS in road games coming off a close win by 3 points or less

100* Play Florida State +3.5
Florida State is 5-1 SU vs. Virginia Tech since 1997
Virginia Tech is 1-9 ATS in January home games

NBA Basketball

50* Play Phoenix -9
Atlanta is 1-11 ATS in road games coming off a loss by 3 points or less
Atlanta is 2-8 SU vs. Phoenix in road games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU over the last 6 games

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WILL SYKES Comp

GOLDEN STATE vs HOUSTON

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: Playing against my Warriors is one of the hardest things to do (unless I have a good feeling they will lose) And tonight will be one of those nights. Right before the end of the year, these to battled it out, and the Rocket came up short losing 95-112. But their best player wasn't on the floor (T-Mac) And tonight the Warriors are going to worry about that body on the floor. The Rockets suffered their first lost since his return at home on the 27th against the Utah Jazz. While on the other hand, the Warriors barely come with a win against the Knicks, which has me bogglin' about why just a little more of the public is on the Warriors. Here's a perfect answer.....the Warriors get a bunch of attention from ESPN etc. for signing C-Webb (and not so big deal signing CJ Watson for the rest of the year). Now that the Warriors get a little spot light the oddsmakers are looking to feed off that energy and psyche you out into taking the small doggie points. It'll be tough for the Warriors to go to Houston, where the Rockets are hungry for a revenge. The Rockets are still a good team so don't get psyched by Vegas into put your money into the spot light, because there's where Vegas knows we're vulnerable. This will be a 1* graded play as T-Mac has the flu and Yao Ming has an illness (I'm taking a chance on these guys as I think they'll play, but that's the only reason why this is a 1*. if these players weren't questionable, this play is easily a 3*). Warriors have a slight chance at winning this game with TMac on the floor, so just stick with Sykes and you won't be psyched.

Rockets -3.5

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INDIAN COWBOY: TORONTO vs WASHINGTON

Play: Raptors/Wizards Under 193

Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: Raptors/Wizards Under 193

I'm now 8-1-1 in the last 10 comp selections. The bottom line here is that I am going with one of my theories of wagering. The Raptors have the revenge angle today and I would not be surprised one bit if they ended up winning this game outright as this team has a sharp memory of which teams defeated them and consequently to get revenge - after all, look at their win at Boston after Boston defeated them at home - look at their blowout win against the Bucks a game that was my POD a while back after the Bucks blew them out at home. Does this mean they come into Washington and get their revenge today? Likely. However, I like the under for a couple reasons and one of them being that since I favor Toronto in this game, games in which they get revenge, they absolutely go into a slugfest and focus on their defense heavily. The Boston game was an exception, but I think this team will defend very well against Washington today. I did like the Hawks a bit today, but given the revenge angle that Phoenix has I laid off - but I do think that although this selection seems a bit odd, I think the public is wrong here and this game likely goes under. Remember the Boston vs. Washington game where the final score was 85-78 in a 189.5 total that went under? Remember when Washington lost to Houston at home 84-92 in a total that was set at 189.5? Well, I think it is the similar situation here as this will be a physical and defensive game and knowing Sam Mitchell he probably has a goal for his team to have the Wiz not to score a 100 points as they did the last time these 2 teams played. I am well aware that the over is 7-0 the last 7 times these 2 teams have met, but frankly, I still like the under as the under is 9-1 when the Wiz are home favorites and 11-2 in the last 13 home games for the Wiz.

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Karl Garrett

Atlanta at PHOENIX -9

Tonight look for Phoenix to blast Atlanta.

The Hawks blew a 19-point lead at Portland on Monday, and while they did stay inside of the number in the underdog role, that loss has got to demoralize a team, and you can assume that the Hawks will be a no-show tonight in the Valley of the Sun.

This is Atlanta's 4th road game in the last 7 days, and they are facing a Phoenix team that is itching for revenge, as the Hawks were able to beat the Suns back in early November at the Philips Arena as the 5 1/2-point dog.

Phoenix enters this game on a 6-1 straight up and against the spread run, and they have also won 6 of the last 8 meetings with the Hawks.

G-Man laying the lumber in this spot, as Phoenix does a number on the Hawks.

5* PHOENIX

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Miami-Florida at WAKE FOREST (-2)

Our free play run stands at 98-70-4 long term, and we are all set to add to that total tonight.

ACC play, and at such a cheap price we are all about the Demon Deacons and their strong home court advantage.

Wake Forest has covered 4 of their 5 lined home games this year, and better still is their current 14-game home court winning streak that dates back to last season.

Miami-Florida is only 2-6-2 against the spread their last 10 conference road games, including a pair of dismal showings at Boston College, and NC State their last two times on the conference trail.

Wake Forest swept the season series last year, going 1-0-1 against the spread in the 2 meetings.

Demon Deacons to add to their current 14-game home court winning streak with tonight's win and cover.

Play on Wake.

4* WAKE FOREST

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Wolkosky Milan

10* DETROIT -7½
10* MIAMI +6½
10* DET/IND UNDER 194
10* TOR/WAS OVER 192
10* SAS/SEA OVER 194

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EZ Winners

1 STAR: CHICAGO (-4.5) over Minnesota
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (724) WAKE FOREST (-1.5) over Miami-Florida
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (736) VIRGINIA TECH (-3.5) over Florida State
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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WUNDERDOG

Game: Austin Peay at Se Missouri State
Pick: 3 units on Austin Peay -4

Austin Peay has put nine of their last eleven in the win column and are playing at a very high level right now. The Governors sit atop the Ohio Valley Conference right now. SE Missouri State sat at 11-5 right after the first of the year, and has really struggled since. They have now dropped their last six games to fall back to .500. The problem is they are getting hammered off the glass. SEMST has been out-rebounded in the six losses by 61, or over 10 per game, and are allowing 13 offensive rebounds a game. They have also commited 389 turnovers with just 302 assists. When you can't rebound, and turn the ball over it is hard to find the win column, especially vs a good team. We like Austin Peay to continue their winning ways.

Game: Miami at Wake Forest
Pick: 4 units on Wake Forest -1.5

The Demon Deacons haven't lost here in 15 tries. While they have lost three of four, they have faced very stiff compeittion in their last five games in BYU, Boston College, Maryland, Florida State and Clemson. All three losses came on the road as an underdog. They have coverd the spread in four of five games, competitive in each game except the trip to BC. The Hurricanes have lost three of their last four both SU and ATS. They have yet to win on the road in the ACC and sit at just 5-3 on the road. Wake applies a great pressure defense that will befuddle Miami here. Take the home team to make it 16 straight home wins.

Game: Virginia Commonwealth at George Mason
Pick: 3 units on George Mason -4

George Mason enters this contest with six losses, all coming off of their home-court. They have been perfect at home riding a 9-0 mark into this contest. They have opened some eyes with a convincing win vs Dayton, and Horizon leader Cleveland State. They also have wins vs Kansas State and South Carolina. They shoot the ball well, hit their free throws, and play a sticky defense. The Rams have now won 12 of 13, and are playing great basketball. But road losses at James Madison and Hampton provides some room for doubt. The Rams success has been on the defensive end where they hold opponents to 38% shooting. George Mason won the two games played two years ago, but lost the two games played last year, and will have something to prove here. VCU is 8-1 in conference play, while GMU stands at 6-3. Mason really needs this one, and are playing at home where they have yet to be beaten, and we expect them to bring their "A" game and come away with the win and cover.

Game: Tennessee Tech at Morehead State
Pick: 4 units on Morehead State -1

Morehead State has won five of their last six games, with the lone loss coming by one point in overtime. They are a perfect 8-0 at home this season having dropped five league opponents here. They can do it to Tennessee Tech too. Tech is just 4-9 on the road this season. The big difference here is defense as Morehead allows just 58.1 per game at home vs. 72.4 per game given up by Tennessee Tech on the road. Under head coach Mike Sutton, this Tech team is just 13-23 ATS in expected close games (line at -3 to +3). They are also 23-37 ATS under Sutton as an underdog and 28-45 ATS on the road. This line is low as we see Morehead State winning this one easily.

Game: Jacksonville State at Tennessee State
Pick: 3 units on Tennessee State -13

It doesn't get much worse than Jacksonville State. The Gamecocks have lost 16 of 20 games including all eight on the road. Tennessee State in contrast, after starting the season 6-10 has won three of their last four games. The last win over Tennessee Tech on the road was a real confidence-booster. Blowouts in the making require domination on at least one side of the floor. We have that here as Tennessee State is averaging 78 ppg at home while Jacksonville State allows 77.8 per game on the road. The Gamecocks are allowing 49% shooting their last five games and are going to be eaten alive by this Tigers offense.

Game: Missouri State at Wichita State
Pick: 4 units on Wichita State -1

Wichita State has covered nine of the last ten games between these two teams here at home. They have lost six in a row and eight of nine but they are favored here for a reason. This is their best chance to nail a win. Missouri State is off a bitter loss to Evansville. The Bears lost by 19 points in a game they were supposed to win. We think they suffer a hangover of sorts here. They are 1-9 on the road this season and 0-7 ATS. The offenses here are pretty even (Bears scoring 61.9 per game on the road and Shockers getting 61.5 at home). But, the defensive difference is huge as Wichita averages 59.4 ppg allowed at home while Missouri State gives up 71.3 per game on the road - a 12 point difference. If there's one thing Wichita State does well, it's rebound. And, the Bears are 1-8 ATS this season vs. good rebounding teams (those that outrebound opponents by 4+ per game). This line should be MUCH higher and we like the home team as a result.

Game: Florida State at Virginia Tech
Pick: 3 units on Virginia Tech -4

Virginia Tech will get a lift tonight for two reasons. They just won a big game on the road at Boston College, and they will get Jeff Allen back after serving a two game suspension. Allen is their leading rebounder and second leading scorer. The Hokies have played very well on the road in the ACC, as they have already won at BC and Virginia, and their only blemish at home on the season has been to Duke. They play great defense, holding opponents to under 40% shooting. The road has never been kind to Florida State in ACC play. They have gone just 7-44 over the last 6+ years, and even in the past 2+ years where they won 20 and 22 games, they have won less than half their road games in the ACC. Florida State is alos not playing well right now as they have lost four of their last five and we like Va Tech in this spot at home.

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