Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

DOC'S NCAA

4 Unit Play. Take Wake Forest +12 over Clemson
The Demon Deacons look for a winning conference record tonight when the head on the road to Death Valley to take on the Tigers. After a hot start to the season the Tigers have fallen on harder times having lost three of their last five games including one against Charlotte. They are coming off a loss against Duke and much like earlier this month when they lost to UNC, the Tigers come out flat in their next game. Wake keeps this close throughout and we collect big in the process.


4 Unit Play. Take Creighton -5½ over Drake
A key game in the MVC takes place tonight in Ohama, NE, as the Creighton Blue Jays try and get back into the MVC Conference race. Drake sits atop the standing and is an impressive 16-1 on the season. That being said, the Blue Jays have a big lead in the all-time series and have won sixth straight games against the Bulldogs. After a slow start, Creighton has come on of late having won five straight games and is coming off an 86-point in their last meeting. They will win this game by double-digits and move within one game of first place in the MVC.


4 Unit Play.Take Ohio State -6½ over Illinois
This is more a play against Illinois, who with each loss become more and more frustrated with how the season is going. They dominated early against Purdue, yet still came of short and that is starting to take its toll on them. The Illini have lost six of their last seven including five of six in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes have been a much better team at home this season winning nine of ten games with their only loss coming to North Carolina. Ohio State has already won in Illinois by 16 points and expect a similar type of game tonight. I can see the Fighting Illini coming in really flat and down for the count early.

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

2-Unit Play (4-point Teaser) Take Drake +9.5 over Creighton,Tennessee -.5 over Kentucky

Still perfect in MVC play, Drake will stay inside of double figures of the Blue Jays, if not again find a way to win this one on the road. News suggests that the Bulldogs' top scorer Josh Young will be back tonight, but still, Drake has stepped up big without him. They knocked of Bradley on the road and then handed Illinois State its first conference loss last Saturday. This is a balanced offense that has two others scoring in double figures, and more that gives them a lot of supplemental producitvity in the starting lineup and off the bench. This number will be good here.

The Vols will come through with enough to leave Lexington with the victory. They have one of the more balanced offenses in the country, and a high-paced scoring attack that has found itself over 80 points per game on a consistent basis. Also, look for their full court press, the best I have seen this season, to create mistakes from Kentucky and again get them out of their game. This match-up goes to Tennessee.

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FERRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. First Half: Take Clemson (-6) over Wake Forest

1-Unit Play. Take Clemson (-11.5) over Wake Forest

Wake Forest has lost its last three road games by seven, 39, and 22 points. Because they’ve been playing well lately I think the books are trying to sucker you into a bet on the surprising Deacons. However, the Tigers have the style and personnel to handle these big numbers. Wake doesn’t have anyone on the inside to stop the Tigers’ frontcourt power and they shoot 24.1 percent from 3-point land on the road. In fact, over its last six games the Deacons are 33-for-122 (27 percent) from deep. If they can’t get to the basket, can’t shoot from long range, and can’t rebound then they can’t cover. You’d think. Of course, there’s always Clemson’s free throw shooting issues. Only thing keeping this play so low. Here’s to hoping for 60 percent. Wake is 12-26-3 ATS after a win so look for a mini-letdown and a blowout loss.

1-Unit Play. Take Colorado State (+9) over Air Force

Kind of a lot of points for a rivalry game here. Lots of freshmen on both sides so I’m expecting an up-and-down game. Air Force did tattoo UNLV at home awhile ago but beyond that the Falcons have played the sorriest collection of fringe D-I teams you can find. Norfolk State, Prairie View A&M, Radford, and Mississippi Valley State have all fell victim to mighty Air Force. Road team is 11-3 ATS in this series, the dog is 12-4 ATS, Air Force outscores teams by just two points per game on the year, and CSU gets outscored by just five points per this season. Also, the Falcons are getting over 70 percent of the action but the line hasn't moved. Could be an indicator.

1-Unit Play. Take Ball State (+2) over Northern Illinois

We're playing the line movement in this one. Nearly 85 percent of all action in this game is going on NIU but we've actually seen a reverse line movement as the number has dropped from -3.0 at the open. Ball State is a better shooting team from the field and from the free throw line and they've taken the last two in this series. They are 5-2 ATS in the series and NIU is 4-12 ATS as a home favorite.

I also have a solid (1-Unit) lean on New Mexico (-5) over Utah tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

double-dime bet Creighton / Drake Over 133.5 
Analysis Drake Bulldogs at Creighton Bluejays - Over 133.5 Unit Value: 2 DIMES

Note: These two teams play very different styles of play but they both do 2 things very well. They both have outstanding offensive efficiency and they both play oustanding defense. So that should cancel out everything right? Perhaps so, and perhaps not. Trend-wise we they are butting heads as well with all 7 Creighton home games over OVER the posted mark, 10-3 OVER this year regardless of where they play, Drake 5-1 Under on the road, and 11-2 Under in all games. It looks like, based on these facts, that we should leave this one alone. But there are plenty of reasons to believe that we will see enough scoring activity to push this one over. Certainly one of those is the fact that we have a much lower total line than we would normally have for a Home Bluejay contest. That is because of the Bulldogs being dubbed an Under team. These two squads have played a lot of slow scoring games when they have played, but all of them have been on the Bulldog's Floor. Here in Creighton we have seen 135, 151, 149, 145, and 147 over the last 5 years and those games also had a posted total in the mid to high 130's. The Bluejays control the pace here and that is just a simple fact. They do not want to get into the halfcourt type play that Drake brings to the table and they are going to push the action in order to avoid that. They have the shooting capacity to score often and they have done so at 47.5% here at home and right at 40% from beyond the arc. They have proven that they can make a team play their style as they did with slow paced Ark Little, Nebraska and Indiana State. This is the biggest game to date for the Jays as they absolutely must win to keep pace with the visitors and a highly motivated team tonight should be clicking on all cylanders. These teams rebound very well, they also shoot free throws very well. We should see a lot of physical board crashing tonight and more than our share of free throw attempts. That is going to help our cause and so is the fact that we are likely to see a close enough affair to give us some bonus Free Shots toward the end. These two will play at Drake later this year but this is a Bluejay Game and we will see the Bluejay style of play tonight. That is going to give us what we want.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Special K Comp

KENTUCKY  +5


Big Al McMordie's Comp

Northern Illinois -3


Mr. A's

Sacramento Kings -5½

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Phoenix Suns (29-12) at Milwaukee Bucks (16-25)

The Suns go for their fourth straight win and have taken seven of the last eight against the Bucks. The last time these teams met on January 12 at US Airways Center, Phoenix grabbed a 122-114 victory over Milwaukee. Expect the Bucks to step up on offense tonight at the Bradley Center to stay with the high power Suns. Phoenix is averaging 110 points per game and the total has gone over in 7 of the last 8 clashes. Take the points. The Suns are just 4-6 away from home in its last ten games, going 4-5-1 ATS. The dog has been profitable in this series. Underdog is 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings versus Phoenix.

Milwaukee Bucks + 8

Over - 214½

CBB

Wake Forest + 11½

New Mexico - 5½

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GINA-SPORTS RUMBLE

New Jersey Nets (18-22) at Sacramento Kings (17-22)

The struggling Nets continue to play awful, the worst offensive team in the league. New Jersey is 0-5 both straight-up and ATS in its last 5 games and has lost eight straight and 10 of its last 11 at Sacramento. Go with the Kings. Sacramento is an ugly 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, but has covered the spread in six of their last 8 against Eastern Conference teams.

Kings - 5½

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

ATS Lock Club

CBB
4* Western Michigan
4* Ohio State
3* Kentucky


ATS Financial

CBB
3* Clemson
3* New Mexico

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rocketman Sports

Play On: 3* Creighton -5.5

Creighton is 31-16 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 years. Creighton is 19-8 ATS last 3 years and 5-1 ATS this year in January. Creighton is 5-1 ATS this year after a conference game. Creighton is scoring 81.8 points per game at home this year. Creighton is allowing only 62.6 points per game overall this year and 63.8 points per game at home this season. Creighton is 4-0 SU and ATS overall vs Drake last 3 years. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Bluejays are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. Bluejays are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bluejays are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 vs. Missouri Valley. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll play Creighton for 3 units tonight!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Pac Star

Kentucky +5



Mike Rose

Illinois / Ohio St. UNDER 126


JB Sports

Milwaukee Bucks +8


Ethan Law

Opinion: Illinois +6.5


Bob Balfe

Sacramento Kings -5.5

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THE MOOSE'S NHL "TOTAL OF THE MONTH" NO BRAINER

Detroit Red Wings vs. Los Angeles Kings - Detroit's defence has been solid all year but has been slumping of late allowing 3.6 goals/game in their last 5. Wings 8-1 over in their last 9 games vs. Pacific division opponents. The Kings have been horrible defensively all season have played over the total in 9 of their 10 overall. The over is a profitable 13-3-1 in the Kings last 17 home games played. Look for a high scoring affair tonight. Play the Over.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

NCAA Basketball:

5 Unit Black Magic CBB Dog of the Week on Colorado State +9

Colorado State is the play tonight as the strongest underdog Tuesday. Air Force has no chance of winning this game by double-digits, let alone winning the game at all. With just 1 returning starter this year, Air Force isn’t the same dominant team they were a year ago. Colorado State is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Air Force. Colorado State is 6-2 ATS in their eight lined road games this season. Colorado State is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Air Force is 6-15 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 season. Cash in with Colorado State as the underdog.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Drake +5.5

The Drake Bulldogs are 16-1 on the season and own the MVC’s best record after beating Illinois State last Saturday. Creighton used to be the powerhouse in this conference, but that is no longer and it’s time for the Bulldogs to put the Blue Jays in their place tonight. Drake is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Drake is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing less than 64 points a game this season. Cash in with Drake as the underdog.

NBA:

3 Unit Sharp Play on Sacramento Kings -6

The Sacramento Kings go for their 4th victory in their last 5 games. The Kings have beaten the Mavs, Pacers and Pistons over the last week, each game being the underdog. The Kings have their 3 best players at full strength with Mike Bibby, Kevin Martin and Ron Artest playing inspired basketball to try and make a playoff push as we near the All-Star break. The New Jersey Nets are 0-5 straight up and ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday night games. Cash in with Sacramento as the favorite.

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  Rocketman Sports

Play On: 3* Creighton -5.5
Creighton is 31-16 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 years. Creighton is 19-8 ATS last 3 years and 5-1 ATS this year in January. Creighton is 5-1 ATS this year after a conference game. Creighton is scoring 81.8 points per game at home this year. Creighton is allowing only 62.6 points per game overall this year and 63.8 points per game at home this season. Creighton is 4-0 SU and ATS overall vs Drake last 3 years. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bluejays are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Bluejays are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Bluejays are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. Bluejays are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bluejays are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 vs. Missouri Valley. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll play Creighton for 3 units tonight

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Sebass 10* New Mexico

10* Clemson
10*Kentucky 1st half
20*Wisconsin

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - Clemson
Millionaire - New Mexico
Money Maker - Kentucky

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Matty O'Shea NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet

SAC -5.5 vs NJN

Analysis: The Nets are starting to fall apart on this West Coast road trip, which means you will likely start hearing Jason Kidd's name in trade rumors again over the next month. They have dropped their last 5 games both SU & ATS by an average of nearly 16 points, including the first 2 games of this trip against the Clippers and Suns. Meanwhile, the Kings are starting to come together with their full lineup intact at home for the first time this season. Mike Bibby is back running the show for Sacramento and is expected to make his first start after coming off the bench the last 3 games. The Kings are 8-2 ATS this season when playing on one day of rest, and they return home after closing out a 3-game road trip with wins at Detroit and Indiana. Look for them to return to early-season form at home - where they covered their first 7 games - and bet Sacramento as my Double Dime NBA Mismatch Play O' the Week.

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Frank Rosenthal

NBA
504 KINGS-5

COLLEGE HOOPS
506 WISKEY-17
UNDER 128.5
509 WAKE FOREST+12
513 CREIGHTON+6
518 KY+5
UNDER 148.5

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Dr. Bob

Tuesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
Wake Forest (+11 ½) over CLEMSON
Wake Forest is coming off an impressive 74-57 win over Florida State and the Demon Deacons apply to a solid 166-83-2 ATS big road underdog momentum situation. My ratings favor Clemson by 12 points and I’d prefer not to give up any line value. I’ll lean with Wake Forest at +11 ½ or +11 points and I’ll take Wake Forest in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more and for 3-Stars at +13 or more.

Tennessee (-4 ½) over KENTUCKY
Kentucky looks like they could be getting a bit better, as a home win over a pretty good Vanderbilt team was followed a close loss a Miss State and an overtime loss at Florida. However, Tennessee is as good as any team in the nation and that’s with star player Chris Lofton in a season long shooting slump (34.5% FG and 33.8% 3-pointers). If Lofton starts to play like he’s played the last 3 years (47.5% FG and 43.8% 3-pointers) then Tennessee could become the best team in the nation. My ratings favor Tennessee by 6.2 points even after factoring in the normal letdown for road favorites and it’s certainly possible that the Vols won’t let down against tonight’s inferior foe because of Kentucky’s tradition of being a good team. Tennessee is a 55% play at -4 ½ points if the line should be 6 points and I’ll lean with the Vols tonight based on the line value and the match-up of their pressure defense (forcing 21 turnovers per game) against the Wildcats’ sloppy ball-handling (17 turnover per game).

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INDIAN COWBOY

Nets/Kings Over 201.5 (POD)

Promo: Winning 15 of 21 Days in January (71%), 16 of 22 days (73%) and 19 of 25 POD Winners (71%) with a 15-6 (71%) POD Run in January doing 1 POD per day. Still the only handicapper in America with over a 60% clip in Basketball 2007 with over 160 plays registered.I have said time and time again for roughly 4 weeks that when indeed the Kings get healthy, they will go on an ATS run similar to what the Warriors did. I explained this in detail in the blog today in detail:

If you read this blog every day, there should be little to no surprise given how much I love the Kings given the return of their starters and the likelihood of an ATS run. I have commented relentlessly on the fact that if indeed the Kings get healthy, similar to when Stephen Jackson came back for the Warriors, I stated that this team will go on a ridiculous ATS run. When Jackson came back, I believe the Warriors went on to cover nearly 10 games in a row as they desperately were looking to get back into the Western Conference playoff picture after losing around 6 to 8 ballgames in a row. Well, the Kings are the same way looking to get back into the playoff mix. Having said that, the Nets do have revenge as the Kings won outright on the road at New Jersey earlier this year, a game that I called outright for the Kings successfully. The Nets however have lost their last 5 ballgames and consequently their last 5 covers as well. I typically do not favor the over in Nets ballgames but after their terrible performance on the road against the Suns, I wouldn't be surprised if the Nets have a better showing today and this game goes over - after all, the Kings dropped 100 at Detroit and typically they score about 8 points better at home. I have this game pegged more for the over and wouldn't be surprised if the Nets ATS slide continues.

The bottom line here is I do expect the Nets to have a better showing today as after all, they have revenge and come off 5 straight losses and a terrible road game in Phoenix. Thus, they should do better against Sac and likely top a 100 points and considering that scored 100 and 110 in Detroit and Indiana, I certainly expect them to score over a 100 points today in ARCO - a stadium where they were scoring a 100 points a game when they didn't have Bibby, Artest and even Kevin Martin. I wouldn't be surprised if the Kings cover as well, but I do like the over as well. The over is 6-1 between these 2 teams in Sacramento and the over is 5-0 in Sac's last 5 home ballgames.

Tennessee -4.5

Folks, Tennessee is getting no respect with this line. Irrelevant if they cover this spread or not, they should be getting far more respect given their splits and results thus far this year. Make no mistake about it, the Vols are good this year and frankly, I think good enough to win it all. I have said this repeatedly, I think Wildcats are terrible this year and it will take some time for this team to get better under Billy, they will be decent eventually, but once again, it will take some time. I can't explain this play better than I did today in my research blog:

I love the SEC and am looking forward to this game but was surprised to see the line - is Kentucky really getting this much respect because they beat Vandy at home? They sure are. If they had not beaten Vandy at home, make no mistake about it, this team would have been dogged by 8 points for this game but because their last home game was a success and the fact they come off 2 road losses in conference play, the line is where it is today. Regardless, what do the Vols need to do get some respect? I personally have them winning by roughly 9 points in this game as I love Bruce Pearl in an ATS standpoint as he is not afraid to lay the wood on teams in conference. [Here me closely, Bruce Pearl is your Steve Spurrier of College Basketball. I'll say it again, Bruce Pearl is your Steve Spurrier of college basketball[/b]. This man took his team into South Carolina and pounded them by a score of 80-56 (24 points). This team beat a top 25 Xavier team by a greater margin than the spread today and Kentucky is no top 25 team. Kentucky could play spirited basketball today but I wouldn't be surprised if the Vols pull away in the second half and hit the cover today. I do dislike the fact that 2/3rds of the public is on the Vols.

I'll take public fav here as the numbers are far too appealing as the Vols were a public fav at South Carolina and won by essentially 30 points and I think they do well here on the road today again. The Vols are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and the Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 ballgames against teams that have a winning % of over 60% - meaning that they do not step up to the plate against the better teams in the league and they have inflated lines typically because of the name "Kentucky" - as compared to what their true performance has been this year.

Drake +5.5

As I said on the research thread today, if I ever find a team that I believe can win a game outright by above 30% and they are catching 5 points or more, I will take the dog without a doubt. This is the basis of my handicapping and what I firmly stand on and frankly, has led to the success that I have had for 4 years in handicapping college basketball. If I believe an underdog can win outright, such as Weber State the other day, I will take that dog as well as the points. I have Drake as a top 20 team in the power rankings and I they have revenge from last year's tight loss to conference foe and rival Creighton. Drake has proven their worth on the road so far as they have lost just 1 game this year - their first game - which was a road game against St. Mary's who is a top 20 power ranking team and have won against the likes of Iowa, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Bradley and Wichita State on the road this year. Now, they face a Creighton team that is very good, but a top 50 team that has yet to beat a top 50 team all year. Granted, they could lose this cover by free throws late, but I will take my chances here with Drake as they are 6-0 ATS against teams that have a winning % better than 60% meaning that they are undervalued and show up against the "better" teams in the nation and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 ballgames overall.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Pure Profit

Money Move...Nets OVER
Consensus...Milwaukee Bucks
High Roller...Western Michigan

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