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Monday Service Plays
Re: Monday Service Plays
ATS Consultants Hoops
Newsletter Selections
LA Lakers over Denver 103-90 Best Bet
Utah jazz over LA Clippers 98-84 Preferred Selection
Indiana over Philadelphia 94-88 Preferred Selection
ATS Consultants Hockey
Newsletter Selection
St. Louis over Nashville - Preferred Pick
Re: Monday Service Plays
Stan Sharp
double-dime bet Santa Clara -8.0 vs Pepperdine
Analysis: Today all 3 of Stan's Top College Bettors have all bet Santa Clara today. Stan agrees with this play as he has Santa Clara Winning by 12-15 Points. TAKE SANTA CLARA as STAN'S BIG MONDAY BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY
Re: Monday Service Plays
EZ Winners
5 STAR: (709) INDIANA (+3) over Philadlephia
(Risking $550 to win $500)
3 STAR: (709) MILWAUKEE (+9) over New Orleans
(Risking $330 to win $300)
2 STAR: (722) ORLANDO (+3) over Detroit
(Risking $220 to win $200)
1 STAR: (701) SAN ANTONIO (-6) over Charlotte
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (725) DENVER (+4.5) over LA Lakers
(Risking $110 to win $100)
College
1 Star Okla State +3
Re: Monday Service Plays
ROCKETMAN COMP
Chicago @ Memphis 5:35 PM EST
Play On: 3* Memphis -1 1/2
Chicago is 24-49 ATS last 3 years and 2-11 ATS this year in non conference games. Memphis is scoring 101.4 points per game overall and 105.7 points per game at home this year. Memphis is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS at home vs Chicago since 1996 including 2-0 SU and ATS at home vs Chicago last 3 years. Bulls are 25-51-1 ATS in their last 77 vs. Western Conference. Bulls are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Home team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Bulls are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Memphis. We'll play Memphis for 3 units tonight!
Re: Monday Service Plays
Spritzer
direct line play.............gtown
direct line..................knicks over
tko blowout gow..........................davidson
tko...............................rider
dog shocker gom.......................wizzards
ko....................................bobcats
tko.............................port
3 star hammer................pacers
Cokin
big shot.....................san diego
3 star............................syracuse
window...........................cavs
under the hat.....................mavs
Feist
personal best.....................gtown
island source.....................okla st
platinum..........................san diego
inner circle..............................rider
5 star.............................pepperdine
totals...................ny over 86, milw over92
platinum.........................hawks
inner circle.......................bobcats
5 star...............................cavs
Re: Monday Service Plays
LT Profits
New York Knicks +8.0
The oft-maligned New York Knicks are playing their best ball of the season right now, and we luck for them the give the conference-leading Boston Celtics all that they can handle in this holiday afternoon affair at Madison Square Garden.
The Knicks are 4-1 both straight up and against the spread in their last five games, and they are back home after a 2-1 road trip. In their last two home contests, they embarrassed an excellent Detroit Pistons team 89-65, and they then beat the Washington Wizards by double-digits. Also, remember that they scored just 59 points at Boston in the first meeting between these clubs this season, so they will be looking for redemption here.
Now the Celtics are still 32-6, but they have been showing signs of coasting lately. Granted, they looked a lot better in their last two games while winning by double-digits, but both of those outings came at home. The last time they were on the road, they lost outright to the Wizards.
Now the Celtics obviously hold a huge talent disparity here, but with the Knicks in raging form right now, we look for an emotional effort in front of the home folks today, resulting in the staying inside this spread at the very least.
NBA Free Pick: Knicks +8
Niagara +3.5
This is a key MAAC battle between the Niagra Purple Eagles and the Marist Red Foxes, as these teams sit ties at 5-2 in the conference, one game behind the 6-1 Siena Saints.
Niagra put themselves in this position with a surprising loss at Canisius on Friday, but this is a very talented team and we look for them to bounce back strong here. The Purple Eagles have still been one of the better bets in the country despite that Friday upset, as they are an outstanding 11-4 against the spread. Furthermore, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up in this underdog role.
Conversely, Marist is just 8-8 ATS, and they come in off of a double-digit loss at Loyola-Maryland. Now they are 6-0 SU at home this season, but Niagra will be the best team they will have faced at home to date. Also, the Eagles already proved they can win here by upsetting the Foxes in this building last season.
In fact, the road team won both regular season meetings between these clubs last year, and we would not be surprised if Niagra carries on that tradition tonight.
CBB Free Pick: Niagra +3.5
Re: Monday Service Plays
King Creole
double-dime bet LAC / UTA Under 195.5
Analysis: 3:35pm ET / Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Clippers
2** Play on: UNDER THE TOTAL
These teams just played each other on Friday night, and the UNDER once again cashed (0-4 O/U last 4 meetings) as Utah won 106-88 (OU Line: 199.5). We'll continue to play the OU tendencies in this series with Monday afternoon's rematch on MLK day.
After the Friday game, the Clippers played the NJ Nets at home (Saturday), and came away with an upset dog win in OVERTIME. The OT aspect has them active in a great UNDER System this afternoon: NBA Teams are 1-8 O/U since February (and 0-4 O/U THIS season) when playing off a home dog OVERTIME win.
There's another System that's gone a PERFECT 0-5 O/U so far this season... and this game has all the necessary components to qualify: 0-5 O/U in 2007/2008 - NBA Road favorites with 2 days rest off a DD SU sin (Jazz) against any opponent that's playing off a SU DOG win (Clippers).
After a team shoots 50% or better from the field and 85% or better from the free-throw line.... you always want to play their next game UNDER the Total. This System has gone 3-20 O/U since December: NBA teams playing off a SU win w/ 50% > FG shooting and 85% > free throw shooting (UTAH). This one has gone 1-10 O/U since Christmas and ROAD teams are 1-10 O/U in this System in the selected time frame.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Ted Sevransky Comp
San Diego is a battle tested team, well prepared for the rigors of winning tough WCC road games. Bill Grier’s Toreros have played true road games at Hawaii, New Mexico, Boise, Nevada, Kentucky and Gonzaga, among others this year, The win over Hawaii in Honolulu stands out, as does the outright upset at Rupp Arena as 13 point underdogs to Kentucky. But the spread covering ten point loss at Gonzaga on Saturday was particularly impressive. San Diego was terrible early, allowing the Zags to open the game on a 15-0 run. Instead of collapsing, the Toreros fought tooth and nail, cutting a 22 point lead down to seven in the closing minutes of the game.
Tonight, San Diego faces an opponent with little homecourt edge and no matchup advantages whatsoever. The Pilots have already lost to San Francisco, BYU, Portland State and Oregon on this floor, failing to cover a pointspread in the process. Their home wins: Cascade, Northern Colorado, Idaho State and Liberty – aren’t exactly a who’s who of elite teams in the college basketball world. While many expected improvement from Portland this year, the bottom line is that this team looks very much like their 9-23 counterparts from last year, the type of team that we like to bet against at home in games where a straight up win equals a pointspread cover.
Recommendation: Take San Diego +1
Re: Monday Service Plays
Tony Karpinski
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks
Pick on the NY KNICKS.
I know this takes Balls, but the last time these 2 met up the Knicks lost by 45. The Knicks have been playing their guts out lately, and I think this team is much better without Marbury, no team has ever done anything with him on his previous teams. Knicks always play tough on MLK Day, so lets take the pts here this afternoon.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Dr. Bob
Monday Daytime NBA Best Bet
Minnesota (+12 ½) over GOLDEN STATE
The Warriors have a tendency to relax with big leads at home and they’ve only won 4 of their 18 home games this season by 13 points or more, which is below the league average of 23.6%. So, while the Warriors are a better than average team, they are not better than average when it comes to winning by a big margin at home. Golden State has also had a recent tendency to relax after a victory while playing very well after a loss and the Warriors are just 3-13 ATS following their last 16 wins, including 1-10 ATS if not an underdog of more than 2 points. Minnesota is the worst team in the league and the Warriors have blown huge leads against the Timberwolves twice this season in non-covering wins, including a 105-101 win as 12 ½ point favorite here in Oakland in late December. Minnesota was in a good situation when they covered in Denver a couple of nights ago and the Timberwolves apply to a very good 75-19 ATS big road underdog situation tonight. My ratings favor the Warriors by 13 points and my margin analysis favors Golden State by just 12 points (because the Warriors don’t tend to win by big margins at home). I’ll take Minnesota in a 2-Star Best Bet at +12 points or more and for 3-Stars at +13 points or more.
NBA Opinion/Possible Best Bet
San Antonio (-5 ½) over CHARLOTTE
The Spurs have a long history of success as a road favorite against losing teams, as they are now 140-85-2 ATS as a road favorite of 2 points or more against losing teams. That record is better if the Spurs didn’t play the previous night (101-53 ATS), including 26-10 ATS if they’re coming off a loss and 34-12 ATS if the home team is coming off a win. Both of those apply today and the Spurs also apply to a 73-30-2 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation while the Bobcats apply to a negative 19-51-2 ATS home underdog letdown situation. Charlotte is also just 18-33-2 ATS as an underdog or pick following a victory if facing a rested team. My ratings favor San Antonio by only 5 points and I’m not willing to give up any line value, so I’ll consider the Spurs an opinion at -6 or -5 ½ points. I’ll take San Antonio in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
NBA Opinion
WASHINGTON (+3 ½) over Dallas
Washington is an underrated team that is 20-9 ATS since Gilbert Arenas was hurt (excluding the game in which Caron Butler didn’t play) and the Wizards beat the Mavericks 110-98 in Dallas earlier this season. Washington also beat the Mavericks here in D.C. last season and road favorites with double-revenge are bad bets in the NBA. In fact, Dallas applies to a negative 13-43-1 ATS situation that is based on that premise. My only problem with this game is that Washington has a bad history as a home underdog against rested opponents (9-29 ATS, including 0-11 ATS recently), but they beat the Mavericks in that role last season. Balancing that out a bit is the fact that the Mavericks have struggled on the road against decent teams this season and are 0-7 ATS as a road favorite against teams with a win percentage of .400 or better. My ratings favor Dallas by only 1 point in this game, so there is certainly line value favoring the underrated Wizards in this game. Ultimately, I’ll pass this game because of Washington’s poor home dog record, but I’ll lean with the Wizards plus the points.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Sports Gambling Hotline
Portland at ATLANTA -1'
The road trek continues for the young Blazers, and it looks like now is the right time to fade Portland. Today marks the Trail Blazers 6th road game in their last 8 days, and we have to expect that their gas tank is running a little low on petrol right now.
Portland is just 2-3 both straight up and against the spread through their first 5 roadies, and just 10-10 against the spread overall on the road this year - 7-13 straight up.
The Hawks have done the majority of their winning at home this year, as Atlanta is 13-8 straight up at the Philips Arena, going 12-9 against the spread. The Hawks have been able to win and cover their last pair on their home hardwood, and 3 of their last 4 at the "Highlight Factory", and we see no reason they can't take advantage of a road-weary Portland squad this afternoon.
This will be the first meeting of the season between the teams, and the Hawks have held the upperhand against the spread, covering 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Play on the Hawks.
3* ATLANTA
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