Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

NBA

501 Bulls+7
504 Hawks-2
505 Raptors+9
516 Clippers+8.5

College Hoops

520 Michigan St-7.5 & Under 136
523 Cincy+12.5
528 Baylor-5.5
533 Miami Fl+2.5
537 Wf+7.5
545 Byu+2

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Seabass

All 10*'s

NHL
Montreal
Anaheim
Tampa Bay

College Ball
Miami
N. Iowa
Nebraska
New Mex

NBA
Det

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Rocketman Sports

Play On: 3* Colorado +100

Colorado is 6-1 this year in non-conference games. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Avalanche are 9-3 in their last 12 Tuesday games. Avalanche are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference. Avalanche are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Southeast. Avalanche are 256-126-38 in their last 420 vs. a team with a losing record. Lightning are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Lightning are 2-5 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. Lightning are 7-19 in their last 26 overall. Lightning are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Lightning are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. Avalanche are 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. We'll play Colorado for 3 units tonight!

Ohio State @ Michigan State

Play On: 1* Michigan State -8

Michigan State is 24-4 ATS since 1997 and 10-0 ATS last 3 years as a home favorite of 6 1/2 to 9 points. Michigan State is scoring 80.5 points per game at home this year. Michigan State is allowing only 62.3 points per game overall this year and 60.9 points per game at home this season. Buckeyes are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss. Spartans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. Spartans are 39-13-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Spartans are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Michigan State tonight!

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Bryan Leonard Comp

GAME: Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks

PICK: Washington Wizards

With lines of -2 now hitting the board it's time to jump in with the far superior team. Many are expecting a letdown after the Wizards defeated the Celtics yesterday, but that didn't seem to bother them after beating Boston on Saturday. This is a team that is 5-3 in the second game of a back to back this season, they are also 9-3 ATS visiting New York. Keep in mind that these same Knicks are also coming off a huge upset, beating Detroit by 24 points on Sunday. If any team is to feel the letdown effects it will be the Knicks. We are getting supreme line value here as well. Washington is laying just 2 1/2 points here while in the past few games Houston laid 5 1/2 and Toronto gave the Knicks the same 5 1/2 points. Yet todays opponent Washington has a better year to date record than either the Rockets or the Raptors. Granted the Wizards are playing without rest but so were the Rockets. Simply put we are getting 3 to 3 1/2 points of value we simply can't afford to pass up.

PLAY WASHINGTON

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WAYNE ROOT:

Chairman - Mississippi St
Millionaire - Colorado
Money Maker - Pistons
No Limit - Miami Fl
Insider Circle - Wake Forest
Billionaire - UNLV

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Vernon Croy

San Jose Sharks vs. Phoenix Coyotes (NHL)  Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -139 San Jose Sharks Play Title: 20 Unit NHL Game of the Week

20 Units, Take San Jose ML -139, The Sharks are the better overall team here tonight and they are 6-1 SU after allowing 4 or more goals this season. The Sharks are also 11-3 on the road this season when the posted total is 5 or less while Phoenix is just 2-6 at home when the total is 5 or less this season. The Sharks penalty kill has been solid on the road with opponents converting just 7.8% against them and their powerplay has been on fire converting at 30% over their last 5 games. This pick falls into one of my NHL systems and the Sharks have won 7 of their last 9 games including 4 straight on the road.

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RAS Total

Ohio St/Michigan St Over 135 1 Unit


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Indian Cowboy

Michigan vs. Ohio State

I have both of these teams ranked in the top 25 in the power rankings and I would not be surprised if Ohio State falls within the cover here. Keep in mind that Ohio State did not win at Purdue dissappointingly, but at the same time Michigan State comes off a loss - and they haven't necessarily dominated at home. Michigan State only beat Minny and Purdue by 6 and 3 points and I think Ohio State will have something to say about losing back to back games on the road in conference play - they are likely to lose - but I think they fall within the spread in a tight ballgame.

Miami of Florida vs. Boston College

This is Miami of Florida's just 3rd true road game, but do not sleep on this team as this team went on the road to defeat Mississippi State outright, a game that I had pegged out and I would not be surprised if they went on the road to defeat BC outright as well. This team is 13-1 and has only lost to to
Winthrop on neutral footing while Boston College is 9-4 at home and have lost to Providence and Umass, 2 top 50 teams and Miami of Florida is a top 25 team in the power rankings. Once again, I wouldn't be surprised if Miami of Florida wins this game outright here.

Indiana State vs. Missouri State

Missouri State is a hit or miss type of team, but I have Indiana State losing by less than the cover here as they are still a top 100 team that can play competitive ball and even defeated Southen Illinois at home while Missouri State relies heavily on its outside shot - this is the same team that destroyed Wichita State but fell short to Creighton at home. I have Indiana State losing by 5 here according to my spreadsheets.

Southern Illinois vs. Evansville

There is no reason an 0-6 team should be laying 5 on the road against an Evansville team. Southern Illinios is not the team of old as they have continued to struggle on the road as they are outside the top 250 when they are on the road did lose to Drake by just 3 points at home so I wouldn't be surprised at all with an Evansville outright win here or falling within the cover as well.

NBA Tuesday Research

NBA Notes

I want you to note that out of the 7 basketball games yesterday - 6 of the underdogs covered and it if it wasn't for the 27 to 15, 4th quarter for the Jazz, the Bucks too would have covered last night as the Jazz ended up covering by a 0.5 to 1 point. Also, note the return of Kevin Martin to the lineup and it is obviously significant given that he dropped nearly 40 points upon his return and will be a huge offensive boost for the Kings - and the Kings are likely to be Giant killers at ARCO once again.

Denver vs. Atlanta

The Nuggets come off that tough loss on the road and look to bounce-back today and to their credit, they have won some tough road games including at Dallas. Atlanta is a decent team at home as they are 12-8 but do have some tough home loss including Washington and are 0-3 against teams ranked in the early teens which is what Denver is ranked. However, I would not be surprised if the Hawks ended up winning this game here as they are still a very tough team to beat at home despite Denver coming off the tough loss to the Bobcats.

Chicago vs. Orlando

Chicago comes off an ugly loss to Atlanta, but Atlanta was also playing with a chip on its shoulder due to the fact that they were accused of cheating from teh Miami Heat foul-keeping incident. Orlando comes off a terrible road trip where they have lost 3 of 4 straight up and they have lost back to back home games as well to both Houston and New Jersey. Thus, both teams look to rebound here. The total took a dip offshore upon opening and I would not be surprised to see an under here or a Bulls cover. The Bulls also have revenge from the last time they played as they lost in 108 to 110 on their home floor against Orlando.

Washington vs. New York

I typically dislike huge public favorites, but with over 70% of the public on Washington, yet, with Washington playing such solid basketball right now and the Knicks getting some respect ove the big win over the Pistons, it is tough to ignore washington despite them being a huge public favorite. Washington has won their last 5 of 6 ballgames including road wins at Atlanta and Boston but are playing a back to back against a more rested Knicks team.

Toronto vs. Detroit

How will Detroit respond to their offensive output and showing in quite some time? Well we'll see if Flip Saunders gets his boys to play today against a very good Raps team. Detroit beat this team 101-85 on the road earlier this year and I would not be surprised one bit if they simply blow out the Raptors as although the Raps are solid and have won 3 in a row, they did lose on the road to Houston by 11, Seattle by 8 and Phoenix by 19 on the road.

Memphis vs. Cleveland

Memphis comes off 4 straight losses while Cleveland has won 7 of their last 9 ballgames, but keep in mind most of those wins was during their home stretch. Cleveland has lost on the road to New York, New Jersey and Charlotte and Memphis comes off a tough road loss to the Lakers where they were double-digit underdogs that fell short by just 1 point. I would not be surprised to see Memphis win this game possibly outright over the Cavs who are relatively weak on the road as compared to home.

Phoenix v.s L.A. Clippers

Keep in mind that these 2 teams met earlier this year twice and although Phoenix blew out L.A. the firs time, they met again and L.A. lost by just 6 points on the road at Phoenix. Now, they are 7 point dogs at home. Phoenix has lost their last 3 covers and the Clippers continue to struggle as they have lost their last 9 of 10 striaght up - but to their credit, did cover against the Spurs at home with a similar spread. This team does have Mobley, Maggette, Kaman and Thomas that are carrying the load and I wouldn't be surprised if they put up yet another big fight at home today similar to what the Sonics did to the Lakers last night.

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JK free play: San Jose -140

The San Jose Sharks travel to Phoenix to take on the Coyotes after a disappointing loss in their last game against the Anaheim Ducks. The loss did not sit well with the Sharks after the game despite them getting a point out of the overtime contest. "We had them tonight," Sharks forward Jeremy Roenick was quoted as saying. "They had no business getting a point, but give them a lot of credit. They kept coming and coming like the champions they are. Give them credit for that - but those are games we can't let go." The Sharks take on a Coyotes team that has traveled about 3,800 miles since Friday that had them in Vancouver and Minnesota before returning home either late Sunday night or early Monday morning. The Sharks crushed the Coyotes in the first three meetings they played this season, winning by a collective 15-2 score. San Jose also won the fourth game 1-0 before finally losing to them in their last meeting 3-2. The Sharks are the best road team in the league with a record of 16-6 while the Coyotes are the worst home team in the league at 8-11. Look for San Jose to tire out an exhausted Phoenix team tonight with their size. Take the Sharks.

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Special K Comp Mich St -7

Special K

20* Baylor

Gold Medal Club

10* NBA Denver ML/over 208

CBB:
25*Ohio State +8.5

10*
Oklahoma State +6.5
Evansville +6.5
Penn State ML

NHL:10*
Montreal
Tampa Bay

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Black Magic Sports

NCAA Basketball

5 Unit Black Magic MWC Game of the Year on UNLV -1.5

UNLV is one of the best home teams in the nation. The Rebels are 9-2 at home this year and face a BYU team that has really struggled on the road. All 4 of BYU's losses have come away from home. BYU has lost 3 straight road games to this point. One of UNLV's home losses came against a very tough Arizona Wildcats team by just 3 points. UNLV will have no problem dismantling a much lesser BYU at home tonight. UNLV is 9-1 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite since 1997. The Rebels bounce back in a big way tonight with this 90% winning ratio on their side. Cash in with UNLV as the favorite.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Boston College -2

Boston College will put the Miami Hurricanes in their place tonight. Miami has had a very weak schedule to this point and it's only going to hurt them now that they have reached ACC play. Boston College won their first SEC test on Saturday with a 39-point crushing of Wake Forest. Back-to-back home wins to start ACC play for the Golden Eagles can be expected tonight. Boston College is 14-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Boston College is 15-4 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Golden Eagles will win the free throw battle, thus winning this home game over Miami. Cash in with Boston College as the favorite.

NBA

4 Unit NBA Shocker of the Week on New York Knicks +3

The Washington Wizards are in for a serious letdown tonight. Washington just beat the Boston Celtics on Saturday and then again last night to pull off two of the biggest upsets of the season. Now the public is all over Washington tonight and we will go the opposite way of these morons. The Knicks are coming off a 24-point home win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. We will play on the home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less. This is a 30-6 System with an 83% winning ratio over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Knicks as the underdog in a shocker.

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Wolkosky Milan

10* ATLANTA -1½
10* PHO/LAC UNDER 208
10* TOR/DET OVER 182


atslocks

10 unit under 192 Was/NYK
8 unit under 207.5 Den/Atl
5 unit under 183 Hou/Philly
5 unit Missouri State -8.5 vs Indiana State


John Ryan

Carolina, Vancouver, Edmonton


Bradon Lovell

NCAA Hoops
Miami
Creighton
Penn


Banker

3* San Jose Sharks


Prophet

4 * Tampa Bay Lightning


Bobby Bo

3* La Salle -4

3* Wake Forest +7

3* Atlanta Hawks -2.5

1* Free Play N. Iowa -1

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Drew Gordon

1. 200,000* Miami-Florida
2. 50,000* Cavaliers
3. 50,000* Wisconsin

1. Miami-Florida- Several reasons to like the Hurricanes in this spot, but let's start with their overall play, which has been excellent thus far this season, going 14-1 SU and 8-0 ATS... You can't argue with those numbers. They're doing it with a more "team-first" attitude this season, as coach Haith has his kids, including the one time ball-hog turned team-leader Jack McClinton, buying into his system.

Besides their overall play, the 'Canes have the all-important "double-revenge" angle going for them in this one. The Eagles beat a much different Miami team twice last season, and don't think for second that they've forgotten about it. Now its payback time, as the Eagles are vulnerable, as witnessed by their 57-51 home loss to Robert Morris a week ago Monday. Sure, they destroyed Wake Forest in their last home game, but that was to be expected coming off the ugly upset loss to Robert Morris... Don't expect the same kind of energy this time around.

No question Miami's bread is buttered by its defense, which allows 60 ppg on a lockdown 38% shooting this season. Anchored by bruiser Anthony King down-low, this 'Canes defense is athletic enough to limit a solid Eagles' frontcourt. While in the backcourt, McClinton and Dews make up a blanced duo, that at the very least can contain Tyrese Rice. Rice dominated his match up against Wake Forest, but don't expect him to shoot 9 for 15 and score 32 points against this Miami defense.

Finally, as mentioned above the 'Canes have been nothing but a money-machine this season, going 8-0 ATS! They proved in their outright upset at Mississippi State that they can win on the road. However, because the Eagles crushed Wake Forest a couple days ago, there's the misperception that these two teams are about equal, but that's simply not the case. Miami is a much better team, with a much better defense, playing for payback against a Boston College team that just lost to Robert Morris at home last week!

Take Miami-Florida plus the points over Boston College as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Cavaliers- Two teams going in separate directions, as the Cavs have won 7 of their last 9 games, while the Grizzlies are tailspinning, losers of 10 of their last 12 games overall. More of the same tonight, as the Griz have no answer for Lebron in this one.

Problem with Memphis starts and ends with defense, as they're allowing a mind-boggling 108 ppg on 48% shooting over their last 5 games! Its not like Cleveland is a strong offensive team, but when Memphis gives ZERO effort on the defensive end, even the Cavs look good. Don't believe me? Pop in the tape of their last meeting in Memphis, when the Cavs won 118-96 as 2'-point favorites!

Unlike the Grizzlies, Cleveland actually cares about defense, surrendering just 91 ppg over their last 5 games. That's a problem for the Memphis backcourt, which features an inexperienced PG in Conley Jr. and a turnover-machine in Mike Miller (leads team with 105 turnovers). Hughes, Gibson, and of course Lebron are all solid defenders and quick with their hands, making for a tough match up tonight.

Finally, let's look at the numbers as the favorite in this series is 8-3 ATS over their last 11 meetings. While this is their first meeting this season, its clear Memphis is one of the worst teams in the NBA and playing like it. Expect the Cavs, and especially Lebron, to take advantage of a paper mache Grizzlies defense in a solid road win and cover tonight.

Take the Cavaliers over the Grizzlies in this NBA match up.

3. Wisconsin- Oddsmakers are clearly underestimating the Badgers in this spot, as despite being on the road, its hard to ignore the edge in overall talent Wisconsin has in this match up, especially in the frontcourt.

Its important to note that the Lions leading rebounder is G Geary Claxton, which should immediately tell you something about Penn State's frontline. He also happens to lead them in blocked shots (12), so don't expect much resistance from the Lions bigmen either. Both Butch and Landry should have a field day in this match up, as Wisconsin is at its most dangerous when they can work inside/out, opening up the defense for G Trevon Hughes.

While defensively Penn State has some convincing stats at home, clearly the better defense lies with Wisconsin, which is allowing opponents just 54 ppg on 38% shooting, against better competition no less. While you expect Claxton to score, the rest of the Lions backcourt isn't nearly as talented and will struggle against the superior perimter defense of the Badgers.

Bottom line, while Penn State is coming off its first home loss of the season, don't put too much stock in a bounce back effort against this Wisconsin team tonight. This is clearly their toughest home contest to date, and with the match up issues mentioned above, look for the Lions to get handed their second home loss of the season in this one. Butch and Landry open up it up for Hughes, while the Wisky defense takes care of the rest!

Take Wisconsin comfortably over Penn State in this Big Ten match up.

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Yankee Capper Comp

2 Units - Ohio State +8 ½


Cal Spts

4* Cleveland Cavs
4* Mizz St
3* New Mex

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The real animal comp play

Pick title: 2* Evansville +6

Southern Illinois is 7-9. That’s big news in the Missouri Valley Conference for a team that was 29-7 a year ago. I’m not buying them as a 6-point road chalk in a game where the total has fallen from 123 to 120 and figures to be low scoring. The Salukis are 0-6 ATS on the road this year and Evansville only allows 57.5 points a game at home. But here’s the problem for the Purple Aces. Their last four wins (out of five this year) were against Norfolk State, Hanover, Austin Peay, and Princeton. But Evansville has won outright each of the past two years against Southern Illinois in this gymnasium. I’ll take the +6 points and watch Evansville go to 13-2 ATS the last three years when facing an opponent with a losing record.

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AAA

NCAAB: Brigham Young Cougars at UNLV Runnin' Rebels - UNLV -1.5 -110

Note: I am going to be brief with this play. These two Schools are very similar in one respect and that is that they both play much better than average defense. In fact both are ranked within the Top 40 of all 341 NCAA Teams in D efficiency this year. While the Cougars set a much higher pace than their counterparts and there have a "More Points Per Game" Team, they are not any better at scoring per possession that the home team with offensive efficiency being just about equal. What the Rebels have that the visitors do not, is a team that works together to accomplish their goal and their number of assists prove that, as they have 3 of the top 12 assists leader in this conference. At just over 15 assists per game, they easily lead all of the teams in the WAC and we will see a lot of ball movement tonight. The Rebels ended a 5 game win streak last game at Air Force shooting just 17 of 47 from the court. UNLV guard Curtis Terry summed it up best. "We're very disappointed. We didn't come out and have a lot of energy, enthusiasm and excitement about this game. We played lackadaisical somewhat. Our focus and intensity just wasn't there." We can expect that to change as UNLV is back at home where they have been dominent, losing only to Arizona and Louisville, and where they turn on the D to a higher level, limited all comers to just 37% shooting, and allowing just 60 points per game. They do matchup well with BYU in their style of play and one reason why they are 6-2 ATS verses this team here in Las Vegas. The Home team has won the last 5 times they have played and with BYU playing just their 5th road affair, I am not sure if they are ready for what they will face tonight. This team does have experience with their starting 5, but they do not have that with players they bring in, including 2 freshman guards. They are going to have to work the bench tonight with what UNLV will bring to the table. Those substitution minutes are not going to be a good situation for the Cougars. With these teams being very similar in talent and D, I am playing the one at home, following a loss, and with better bench strength.

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OC DOOLEY

"1 UNIT" Sixers at Rockets OVER 183


Balfe

NBA Basketball
Wizard -3 over Knicks

College Basketball
Michigan State -8 over Ohio State


Selective Sports

Over 197 Cleveland/Memphis 10 units

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INDAIAN COWBOY

Mississippi State -8.5 (POD)

Promos: Winning 8 of 9 days (coming off the Golden week of 7 winning days in a row). Winning 11 of 14 days in January and 13 of 17 days. 10-5 Last Week. Only Handicapper in the nation to have over a 100 plays (140 total plays ((85-55)) and still remain 60% in Basketball 2007 - college and pro. 14 of 20 POD Winners. Kentucky won outright at home against Vanderbilt so they are going to go on the road and dominate today right? I don't believe so. Listen, I have followed Kentucky from the beginning of the year, and although this team got the much needed win at home against Vandy, this team is simply not as talented as the rest of the SEC. Kentucky continues to struggle on the road as they have only played 2 road games this year - on the road at Indiana a top 20 school and lost by 19 points and on the road at Houston a top 100 school and losing by 14 points - a game in which was my POD. Today is no different as this school now faces a Bulldog team that is top 80 in the power rankings and a team that has already defeated better teams such as Missouri (a top 75 team) and UGA (a top 125 team) at home by double-digits. Heck, this team held LSU to 39 points on the on the road and won by 20+ and faces a Kentucky team that they do have bad blood against as they won in overtime last year in Lexington and this year they have even a better team. Sure, Kentucky can sneak in for the cover here, but this team has lost both of its road games by roughly 20 points, I believe they are in for a let down here and Mississippi State will not hesitate to run up the score on a team that struggles to score away from home. Much like Hawaii yesterday, I think the public is in for a bit of a burial with the appealing underdog here as the wildcats are 0-5 ATS on the road, 0-7 ATS following a straight up win which shows their inconsistency and the Bulldogs have covered their last 4 ballgames.

Memphis +2

As wild as this play sounds, I like the Grizzlies in this spot here. Look, this team gave their heart out on the road and they came up short including that 1 point loss to the Lakers and I feel that will come out fired up today at home to face a Cavs team that they measure up well against. The Cavs have won 7 of 9 games - this is true, but this team also struggles on the road - remember, they did lose on the road to New York, New Jersey and Charlotte. Cleveland ha an odd way of not showing up for certain road games and I believe this game will be one such game as they get caught in a bad spot here. Memphis has lost 4 straight and if you are wondering why a 10 win team is dogged by just a bucket here, understand that Memphis is due for a big win at home - remember, this team did take down the Spurs at home (albeit without Paker) but this team is capable of wins as 6 of their 10 wins do come at home. The line is relatively short for good reason here are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 ballgames as a favorite, the Grizzlies will likely get rewarded for their hard play with a win at home here and the Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 ballgames following a straight up loss.

Miami of Florida +2

I tell people that college basketball is not for the faint at heart and this pick certainly fits that bill similar to San Jose State on the road yesterday. Boston college by just a bucket at home - easy right! wrong. Miami of Florida is a top 25 power ranking team according to my spreadsheets and frankly one of the best teams in the country that no one speaks of. Tell me which team in the country has done the following: gone on the road to beat a top 75 Mississippi State team, has just 1 loss this year coming out of the ACC and 13 wins, defeated Marist by 25 who is a sound team, beat St. Johns by nearly 20 at home and recently beat Georgia Tech at home by double-digits. You can't name many - and I think Boston College will chalk up their fifth home loss today. I like this play in part because it is a let down for this team after a big win over Wake Forrest at home - similar to Kentucky's let down today against Mississippi State. Wheneve Boston College faces a top 50 team, they do not fare well. After all, BC lost to Providence and Umass both top 50 teams at home and of course they got easily handled by Kansas - as the only game they won earlier this year against a top 50 team was Rhode Island -a game they never should have won and a game they were down big at half time. If Miami of Florida can beat one of the elite teams in the SEC on the road, I believe they can beat a mediocre team in ACC Basketball as I have this game at 64% chance of a straight up win for Miami of Florida according ot my math models and I will take my chances. The public likely gets buried again here as the Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage of over 60% and 6-0 ATS against a team with a winning home record. This is not your daddy's Miami Hurricanes basketball team as the Basketball in Miami is considerably better than the football these days.

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Dr Bob

Tuesday Free Best Bet
**CLEMSON (-11 ½) over NC State
NC State is 3-9 ATS this season and the Wolfpack are still overrated. In fact, NC State has gotten even worse with starting pointguard Farnold Degand out for the season (he’s missed the last 5 games) and Clemson is better now than their season rating with James Mays healthy again (he missed 5 games). My ratings favor Clemson by 16 ½ points and the Tigers apply to a solid 195-91-7 ATS situation tonight. Only a look ahead to the Duke game this weekend would keep the Tigers from winning big in this game and that possibility will keep me from making this a 3-Star Best Bet. I’ll take Clemson in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.

Tuesday Free Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Golden State (-7 ½) over MINNESOTA
Minnesota is just 2-11 ATS as a home dog of 10 points or less this season and the Timberwolves have lost 12 of their 17 home games by 8 points or more. Golden State, meanwhile, is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite of 2 points or more and they’re 4-0 ATS visiting one of the bottom teams in the league – beating Minnesota by 13 points, Seattle by 13 points, New York by 26 points, and Memphis by 8 points. My ratings favor the Warriors by 9 ½ points in this game and I’ll lean with Golden State at -8 or less.

Cincinnati (+12) over NOTRE DAME
Cincinnati started the season 0-5 ATS, but the Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS with pointguard Jamuel Warren in the starting lineup (Warren missed the first part of the season). Notre Dame is coming off a blowout loss at Marquette, but the Irish are only 8-28-2 ATS under coach Mike Brey as a favorite of 4 points or more after a loss, including 0-2 ATS this season. My ratings favor Notre Dame by just 11 points and I’ll lean with Cincinnati at +12 points or more.

BAYLOR (-6 ½) over Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 0-10 straight up and 1-9 ATS as a visiting team under coach Sean Sutton while Baylor is 51-33-3 ATS in all games under coach Scott Drew, including 21-10-2 ATS in conference home games (4-1 ATS as a favorite). Baylor is still not getting the respect that they deserve, as my ratings favor Baylor by 8 points using a standard home court advantage. I’d get Baylor by 9 ½ points after adjusting for Oklahoma’s poor history on the road, which actually goes back to the days when Sutton’s father was coaching the team before he took over last year. I’ll consider Baylor an opinion at -6 ½ or -7 points and I’d take Baylor in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less. Free Best Bet and 3 opinions available after 3 pm Pacific

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

AAA

Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves - Over 212 -110 | Unit Value: 2

Note: Super brief as I am whooped. The Wolves are coming off two games with 2 very good defensive teams. Howver, they did shoot well in those games and their shooting skills have improved very much in recent play. They will get their chance to strut their stuff tonight with the Warriors who have just one thing on their mind. SCORE. The first two contests ended at 206 and 209 but that was when the Wolves were seriously having trouble trying to put the ball in the net. They are not now and with the pace we will see tonight, 220+ is a great possibility.

Brigham Young Cougars at UNLV Runnin' Rebels - UNLV -1.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2

Note: I am going to be brief with this play. These two Schools are very similar in one respect and that is that they both play much better than average defense. In fact both are ranked within the Top 40 of all 341 NCAA Teams in D efficiency this year. While the Cougars set a much higher pace than their counterparts and there have a "More Points Per Game" Team, they are not any better at scoring per possession that the home team with offensive efficiency being just about equal. What the Rebels have that the visitors do not, is a team that works together to accomplish their goal and their number of assists prove that, as they have 3 of the top 12 assists leader in this conference. At just over 15 assists per game, they easily lead all of the teams in the WAC and we will see a lot of ball movement tonight. The Rebels ended a 5 game win streak last game at Air Force shooting just 17 of 47 from the court. UNLV guard Curtis Terry summed it up best. "We're very disappointed. We didn't come out and have a lot of energy, enthusiasm and excitement about this game. We played lackadaisical somewhat. Our focus and intensity just wasn't there." We can expect that to change as UNLV is back at home where they have been dominent, losing only to Arizona and Louisville, and where they turn on the D to a higher level, limited all comers to just 37% shooting, and allowing just 60 points per game. They do matchup well with BYU in their style of play and one reason why they are 6-2 ATS verses this team here in Las Vegas. The Home team has won the last 5 times they have played and with BYU playing just their 5th road affair, I am not sure if they are ready for what they will face tonight. This team does have experience with their starting 5, but they do not have that with players they bring in, including 2 freshman guards. They are going to have to work the bench tonight with what UNLV will bring to the table. Those substitution minutes are not going to be a good situation for the Cougars. With these teams being very similar in talent and D, I am playing the one at home, following a loss, and with better bench strength.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Maryland Terraphins - Over 139 (Heavy Hitter)Unit Value: 3

Note: Make no mistake about it. We are going to see some action in this contest and we have seen just that, the last 12 times these schools have met on the court. The Fact is, in those games, the lowest point total we have seen was 147 2 years ago, and the rest have pretty topped the 150 mark and more. These teams are doing the same thing this year as in the past, and that is setting a very high amount of activity toward the basket, ranked #41 and #27 in the country with tempo. They also both have a better than average offensive efficiency, with both in the top 1/3 in that department. That is actually a change for the Demon Deacons, as in recent years they have not been a very good shooting squad. While they are still in the marginal category in that phase of their game, they are seeing improvement lately that has allowed them to top the 70 mark the last 7 and 9 of 10 times on the court. Wake does play a good brand of D overall, but no so much when they travel, as they have allowed 48% shooting away from their homecourt and 75 points per game. That will probably get them in trouble tonight with a good shooting Terraphin squad and one that has had better than average success from beyond the arc. The lowest total set for a Wake Forest/Maryland game the last 12, was 152 back in 2004. This is a new low and in my best opinion offers great value, considering how these two teams run the court. The Total is as low as it is, due to the brand of D these two play, the probable absense of Maryland Guard Eric Hayes from tonight's lineup, and recent play by the home team here at home. But Wake brings a much better squad to town than Holy Cross, Savannah State, Delaware, American, and Ohio. They also bring a much higher tempo of action. Play up to 143.

North Carolina State Wolfpack at Clemson Tigers - Over 138.5 (Heavy Hitter) -110 | Unit Value: 3

Note: Most teams that demostrate a slower than usual pace have a better than average D and that is the case with the Wolfpack. But that has only been when they have played to the home crowd and not when they hit the road. The numbers for this ACC School have been like night and day depending on where they are dribbling and they have dribbled poorly on the road, allowing over 47% shooting and 81 points per contest. All true Road games have gone OVER the posted mark and the average final score has seen 148 points. North Carolina certainly had their way verses NC State and the liklihood of Clemson doing the same is very good. The Tigers have both outstanding offensive and defensive numbers and have been tough to beat here, even losing just by two to the Tarheels. They do push the ball, ranked #51 in the country and with great success as well, ranked #24 in offensive efficiency. The visitors are going to try to slow the action down, and they might have some success early in this game, but eventually they are going to have to play the Tiger way, as most teams coming here have to to do. That is one reason why OVER is 13-3 last 16 played by Clemson and that is why Clemson played games have averaged 151 this year. With the exception of games with very slow tempo Samford and Puudue, home games for this team have been a scoring bonanza as has the last two between these two here and the last 3 regardless of where they have played. A good combination of home and away trends, and Tigers being able to control the tempo gives us what I think is a very nice

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