Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

Mr. A's

Detroit Pistons +4

Phoenix Suns +5


Johnny Guild

Georgia State Panthers +17

Wisconsin Badgers -11.5

Oregon Ducks -6.5

USC Trojans -1

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BLACK MAGIC SPORTS

NCAA Basketball:

5 Unit Black Magic CBB Upset of the Week Detroit +2.5

Detroit will pull off the upset tonight as just a small home underdog. They play Cleveland State, a team that will fall victim to their weak schedule thus far. Detroit has had a very tough schedule and it’s only going to make them better in the long haul. They have played Texas A&M, Butler, Depaul and Valparaiso in their last 7 games. This will be a cakewalk for Detroit, believe it or not. Detroit is 13-0 in their last 13 home meetings with Cleveland State. Yet they are an underdog tonight? Give me a break. Cash in with Detroit as the underdog.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Morehead State -1

Eastern Kentucky is just 1-5 on the road this year. Morehead State will defend their home court in a big way tonight. Morehead is unbeaten at 4-0 in home games this season. Morehead won 2 home games before losing 3 straight road games to tough opponents. Now Morehead returns to home where they are the most comfortable. Eastern Kentucky is 1-8 ATS versus terrible teams outscored by their opponents by 8 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Morehead State is 13-8 straight up in their last 21 meetings with Eastern Kentucky. Cash in with Morehead State as the favorite.

NBA:

3 Unit Sharp Play on Sacramento Kings -4

This is a crazy series that goes against the Memphis Grizzlies tremendously. The Memphis Grizzlies aim for just their second win in franchise history at Arco Arena on Thursday when they visit the Sacramento Kings. Memphis has lost 17 straight games in Sacramento dating to a 112-108 overtime triumph on April 19, 1998. It was just the franchise's third season, and its leading scorer was Shareef Abdur-Rahim, who is now with the Kings. Memphis has lost seven of nine and owns the third-worst record in the Western Conference. On Tuesday, the Grizzlies endured a 117-101 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Sacramento is 12-4 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. The Kings will continue their home dominance over Memphis tonight. Cash in with Sacramento as the favorite

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Gina-Sports Rumble

Phoenix Suns (25-10) at Utah Jazz (19-17)

Should be an explosive battle tonight between these two hot teams in Utah, but the total set at 220½ is a bit steep. Phoenix and Utah have gone over in four of the last five meeting in Utah, but the total has average 215 points per games in the last six meetings and went over a combined 213 points just once and that was an overtime contest on November 18 2006 in Salt Lake City. Take the under.

Under - 220½

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ALEX SMART COMP

Idaho -6.5

The Idaho Vandals have looked very inconsistent so far this season, but tonight against a Louisiana Tech has lost all five of its road games by double digits , they look like a good bet. Final notes & Key Trends: Idaho is 16-6 ATS vs Western Athletic Conference teams.


NORTHCOAST COMPS

3*LOUISVILLE

4*...PACIFIC


John Fina

Pistons

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BeatYourBookie

NCAA Basketball

100* Play Furman (+9) over West Carolina.

W. Carolina is 4-12 ATS coming off 2 or more conference games
W. Carolina is 5-19 ATS when revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent

50* Play Eastern Washington (+1) over Idaho State.

Idaho State is 11-26 ATS as a favorite since 1997
Idaho State is 7-19 ATS in January home games
Idaho State is 1-7 ATS coming off a road game

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Windy City Sports Consultants

George Wash 10*
Cal-Irvine 10*
USC 10*
Weber St 5*
Tenn St 5*


Paul Leiner

25* NBA Over 203 Mem/Sac
10* CBB Oregon -6
5* CBB West Virginia +2.5

Free Play 5* CBB Illinois +12


Bobby Bo

5* Memphis / Sacramento over 203.5
3* George Washington -2
3* Long Beach St +5
1* Free Play Washington St +1

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Drew Gordon:

1. 200,000* Saint Louis
2. 50,000* Wisconsin
3. 50,000* Oregon

1. Saint Louis- The public may remember the days when George Washington was a competitive A-10 team, but sharp bettors know those days are over, at least for the time being. The Colonials have lost 6 of their last 8 (0-3-1 ATS over that span), including a 36-point blowout loss at Alabama in their last one. Tonight they face-off against an underrated Saint Louis squad with a score a settle, and the outlook isn't good for the Colonials.

Saint Louis remembers well their 60-40 embrassment at the hands of George Washington in last year's A-10 conference. In that game both of the Bilikens guards, Lisch and Lidell, struggled mightily, shooting a combined 5 for 15 and commiting 11 turnovers between them. Now both are upperclassmen, and I expect a huge bounce back effort from the more mature backcourt duo tonight.

Another huge difference between these two teams is their effort on the defensive end, as the Bilikens D is rock-solid, allowing 54 ppg on 41% shooting over their last 5 games. Saint Louis plays a more methodical style of game, slowing the pace and trusting their defense to get the stops they need. The fact freshman F Eberhardt is finally starting to live up to his potential, and 7-footer Husak is contributing in regular minutes this season, gives the Bilikens two frontcourt options, on both ends of the court, they did not have last season (Husak played only sparingly last season).

Finally, this George Washington team just isn't as talented as we're used to seeing. Clearly their in rebuilding mode, but they weren't counting on losing PG Travis King either. His absence is the reason this George Washington team is struggling mightily to score points, averaging just 64 ppg on 41% shooting this season. They have some decent frontcourt players, but with no one to penetrate and dish effectively, this team can only go so far. Note F Witherspoon is their leading assist guy with just 26 asissts on the season!

Bottom line, the Bilikens have a score to settle, and tonight, they get their redemption by taking advantage of a rebuilding George Washington team in this one. Bilikens are led by their backcourt, who've had this game circled since their March 9th loss last season (due in a large part to their poor play) and tonight its payback time!

Take Saint Louis plus the points over George Washington as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Wisconsin- What's up with Illinois? Well, besides the fact they've lost 3 straight home game for the first time in almost 9 years, and now have to travel to the Kohl Center to battle a rock-solid Wisconsin team in this one... Everything is fine!

Sarcasm aside, this Illini team is in big trouble, as the Badgers are no joke at home, and it'll show tonight.

While the Illini give trememdous effort on the defensive end, its their offensive futility which has doomed them, averaging 63 ppg on 42% shooting (25% from 3-point) over their last 5 games... And 4 of those 5 games were at Assmebly Hall, so there's no excuse. With offensive numbers like those, teams are free and clear to play zone defense all game long (essentially giving them the 3-point line), because they know the Illini cannot shoot them out of the zone.

That's a scary thought when you consider how well the Badgers defense plays at home, allowing 51 ppg on an outstanding 36% shooting (29% from 3-point). Just ask Iowa, another offensively challenged squad, how good this Wisky defense is, as the Badgers locked them down to 51 points in their last game!

Besides the fact the Illini are just 2-7-1 ATS over their last 10 games, there's some serious match up issues to consider, including the fact the Illini really don't have a go to player. Sure, their frontcourt of Pruitt and Randle are their scoring leaders, but going up against Wisky's Butch and Landry is no easy task, especially on the road. Also, the Badgers trio of guards, Hughes, Flowers and Krabbenhoft are head and shoulders better than the Illini backcourt.

Bottom line, look for a dominating effort from the Badgers in this one, as they protect their house by locking down an already struggling Illinois team in this one. 3 straight home losses is bad enough for their confidence, but as soon as they get down big tonight, you'll see whatever little confidence this Illini team has left disappear. Wisky rolls!

Take Wisconsin at home BIG over Illinois in this Big Ten match up.

3. Oregon- While both these teams sit right next to eachother in the PAC-10 standings, several conclusions have to be made after their most recent efforts.

First, the fact the Bears got thrashed by a solid UCLA team at home was disappointing. They were only 4-point dogs, but despite an overall average effort from the Bruins, they lost 70-58. The Bears got dominated at almost every postion, and the separation between these two teams couldn't have been more evident. Cal's lackadasical defensive effort was unimpressive, and going on the road agaisnt a surging Oregon offense isn't going to help.

Oregon, on the other hand, is coming off a huge confidence building win at Arizona. They shot a blazing 56% from the floor, beating Arizona at their own game, winning handily 84-74 as 7-point road dogs. What's scary is that offensive effort came on the road, where typically the Ducks aren't as nasty. But now, building off that win and returning home, where they average a blistering 93 ppg on 53% shooting (42% from 3-point), the sky is the limit for this Ducks offense.

Granted, the argument against the Ducks usually comes down to the fact they aren't your typical inside/out team. While its true the Bears will have the edge down-low, the Ducks eliminate that edge by running-and-gunning all game long, making for a tough night for anyone not used to that pace, like most bigmen for example.

Finally, while Cal may have the edge down-low, its the Ducks guards, led by Malik Hairston, which will control the tempo of this game. The Ducks offense at home is outstanding, and try as they might to slow the game down, the Bears will eventually be forced to run the basketball... Which is exactly what Oregon wants. In the end, the Ducks get the solid home win and cover, as Cal simply cannot keep up.
Take Oregon at home comfortably over California in this PAC-10 match up.

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Mike Lineback COMP

4* San Antonio Spurs 10-January-2008 5:05 PM PST
Spread -3 for Game -110 (@ the greek; still like @ -3.5 -120, buy down if necessary; strong opinion @ -4)

Detroit have played at a high level for so long are primed to give a few games back. Hard to maintain the mentally energy required to sustain such a long run, especially after coming off two consecutive losses to Boston & Dallas & now facing a rested Spurs team (off a loss) in a b2b situation. Tough spot for Detroit. We’ll side with the defending champions (now healthy) laying a small number in the AT&T Center. Play on SAN ANTONIO.

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Rocketman COMP

CBB

West Virginia @ Louisville 7:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* Louisville -2

West Virginia is 2-8 ATS since 1997 as a road underdog of 3 points or less. Louisville is 41-11 SU as a favorite last 3 years and 42-9 SU last 3 years at home. Louisville is allowing only 60 points per game overall this year and 57.7 points per game at home this season. Cardinals are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. Big East. Cardinals are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. We'll play Louisville for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Wayne ALLEN ROOT

Chairman - Stanford
Millionaire - Boise St
Money Maker - Washington U
No Limit - USC

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Marco D' Angelo

CBB Sides
double-dime bet Louisiana Tech 8.0 vs Idaho
Analysis: OK tonight we have Louisiana Tech battling Idaho and both teams are struggling so who do we take well I'm a firm believer that you look to the Dog here as that's where the Value is. Vegas knows that John Q Public will look at the favorite and this is the one they are suppose to win. Wrong this is a Bad team that is laying points. Expect this one to go to the wire and I'm taking the Dog who has a real shot at winning this game outright. TAKE LOUISIANA TECH as MARCO'S 5* COLLEGE KEY RELEASE and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY

CBB Sides

double-dime bet N. Texas -1.5 vs Arkansas St.
Analysis: Tonight N.Texas travels to Arkansas St. This is a great sport as they catch Arkansas St fresh off of their Upset Win against rival Arkansas Little Rock. Expect N. Texas to roll tonight as they see them Winning this by 9-12 points. TAKE N. TEXAS and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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Alatex

15* USC


Jason Bell

FOUR 2000* HOOPS LOCKS

West Virginia +2 over Louisville
Oregon -5.5 over California
Illinois +11 over Wisconsin
Washington State +2 over USC


THE STRALEY GROUP

FURMAN vs WESTERN CAROLINA
Play: FURMAN +9

PITTSBURGH vs TAMPA BAY
Play: PITTSBURGH (NHL)

PITTSBURGH vs TAMPA BAY
Play: PITTSBURGH / TAMPA BAY UNDER 6 (NHL)


WISE OWL SYNDICATE

DETROIT vs SAN ANTONIO
Play: SAN ANTONIO (NBA) -3

AUSTIN PEAY vs MURRAY STATE
Play: AUSTIN PEAY +2 (CBB)

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KELSO STURGON (NEWSLETTER)

NC-WILMINGTON by 10 over Hofstra - No one is about to proclaim NC-Wilmington a world-beater but the Seahawks appear to have all the edges in this Colonial Athletic Conference game against a Hofstra team that is 0-5 SU on the road this season.

LOUISVILLE by 8 over West Virginia - Louisville is healthy for the first time this season and that should position the host Cardinals to live up to pre-
season expectations and get the win against a good West Virginia team that plays much better at home that on the road.

BOISE STATE by 11 over New Mexico State - Boise State is not be to confused with North Carolina or Duke but the Broncos have put together one of the better teams in the WAC, and all while flying below the radar. Boise State has legitimate big-time scorers this season - three of them to be exact - and my money says New Mexico State can't keep up.

WISCONSIN by 27 over Illinois - One has to wonder what has happened at Illinois. The Fighting Illini have been national contenders in recent years but already this season have lost at home to such teams as Tennessee State and Miami-OH, not to mention getting crushed at home last Saturday by Ohio State by 16. Wisconsin never takes prisoners and you can bet they won't hesitate to run it up here.

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RAS:

Boise -4'... 1

ID -7.... 1

N. AZ -4..... 1/2

ID St. -1.... 1/2

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three2won

West Virginia OVER 137

2-UNITS

Louisville is a sleeping Giant.

West Virginia can score at will.

Palacios and Padgett are back from injury and they are beginning to find their rhythm, when rhythm is fully established then Louisville switches to a post team that wants to out muscle you.

Character is a power forward that tends to thrive in this BIG environment, so we should see more activity in the paint than we normally see in Cardinal games.

I want you to pay attention to a wonderful stat from the Kentucky game.

Personal fouls and foul shots:

There were 53 personal fouls in that game!

Louisville was remarkable from the line, going 33-46.

Kentucky was 22-27 from the line.

That's a definite sign of a Louisville team that has regained focus! You see, I believe that the Cards want to focus on the BIGS, and it usually takes about 5 games to get back into the swing of things, so they waited to spring this attack on Kentucky, since Palacios and Padgett were getting into better shape.

Palacios, Padgett, and Character shot 25 free throws.

The big talk in Louisville (summer) was that they may have to shift focus toward the post, and run less pressure packages. I think they are interested in doing this when Padgett and Palacios are strong enough.

I think the time is now.

Both men have been back for around 5 games (remember this), and you can see a general focus toward getting the ball inside. This is evident by the amount of attention the Forwards and Centers are getting now.

Louisville is ready for the high percentage looks.

Last Game: Shots from the frontcourt beat shots from the perimeter 28-24 with foul shots going 29-17 in favor of the Frontcourt.

Go back 5 games to the Marshall victory:

Backcourt shots outpaced frontcourt 42-21 and the perimeter guys shot more free throws at 13-10.

This is a clear demarkation of a shift to the inside!!!! It's right in front of us!

There is a possible shift, and we are going to ride it!

Look for a greater focus on the interior as WVU is not deep in this regard, and they cannot withstand a frontcourt war.

I think this will force WVU to attempt the 3-pointer, so we need them to hit their shots. (40% shooters essentially).

If Louisville tries to go big on WVU then they may have a few open looks.

On top of this, Total wagers hinge on Assists and Turnovers:

West Virginia, like Tennessee, has a 17/11 Assist to turnover ratio! This translates into points in transition, and points in the paint, and that leads to fouls on the other side!

West Virginia can score on almost anyone with this ratio!

With an RPI of #25 they have managed to score an average of 83 points per game. So it's no fluke!

They foul a bunch too (20 times per game!)

There is a bunch to write in this game, but I love the OVER!!!!!!

1 UNIT CLEVELAND ST - 2.5

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Larry Ness

20* WAC GOY- Boise St


Spritzer revenge game

Geo Southern


Kelso

10 units Nevada -6 @ San Jose St
5 units Louisville -2 v WVU
4 units N Ariz -4.5 v Montana
3 units Boise St -5.5 v. N Mex St

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JB Sports

Detroit Pistons +4


LT Profits

West Virginia / Louisville UNDER 137


Pac Star

Louisville -2


Alex Smart

Pacific -5


Frontline Sports Wire,

NHL

Toronto over 6 (5units)

NCAA

Lou-2 (5)
Cle St -2.5 (5)
Wisc Mil +11.5 (5)
Northern Arz-4.5 (5)
UC Irvine o 139 (5)

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INDIAN COWBOY

YESTERDAY: 1-0 SWEEP PLAY OF THE DAY WINNER
Winning 9 of 12 Days
20-10 RUN

Jazz -5 (POD)

Now winning 9 of 12 days, 4 days in a row and 7 of 9 days in January. Essentially, we are up a shit load of money. Let's roll yet again today. This play seem crazy? Well, I have alwys said that if a considerable amount of the public is riding the underdog, that is never good news as the line continues to remain seady or even rise. The Jazz are infamous of not showing up against teams that are terrible but showing up big against the better teams in the league - especially at home. Utah is one of the toughest places to play in the league and that is no different today as this team lost to Phoenix by 5 points earlier this year and make no mistake about it, the Suns should have lost to the Pacers at home without the full guard play of Nash who has been hampered by the flu and that affects them heavily today on the raod as they visit the Jazz who will be looking for revenge and will not let the Jazz off the hook like the Pacers did with a double-digit lead. The public gets buried here in my opinion as the Jazz likely end up winning by double-digits. The Jazz are 7-1-1 ATS as home favorites by this margin.

West Virginia +2.5

I've talked about this in the research on thread and although I believe my fraternity bother has a good team in Louisville - speaking of Petino - the Cardinals are still a top 100 ranked team in the power rankings and they face a West Virginia team that is top 25. I believe West Virginia should have won on the road at Notre Dame who is a top 40 team and they fell short, so why not beat a top 100 team on the road after being a top 20 Marquette team at home. West Virginia has lost just trice all year - on the road or at home - and they were all to teams in the top 30 in the nation and Louisville has already lost to a similar ranked Dayton team who is a top 25 team outright at home, and they failed to cover against a top 75 Miami of Ohio team at home as they won by just 3 and they face a West Virginia team that is top 25. Why not the Moutaineers who are well coached and looked to redeem themselves on the road today. Here is my key stat for this play - the Moutaineers show up against the better teams in the nation as they are 8-2 ATS against teams that have a winning percentage of 60% while Louisville continues to get overvalued as they are 0-4 ATS against teams that have won 60% of their games or more.

Cleveland State -2

This is a game of revenge as Cleveland State lost to Detroit in a very dissappointing game last year as I remember it very vividly as Cleveland State did not pop 50 points in a game that was with a very young State team. Well, this team gets to return the favor on the road and this State is more experienced and much better. Cleveland State already has 8 wins this year and they face a Detroit team that is getting a lot of respect for just 3 wins thus far this year. Cleveland State is a top 100 squad facing a Detroit team that is a top 200 squad. Cleveland State has lost on the road, but those were to top ranked teams such as Kent, Ohio State, Southern and CS Northridge - all teams within the top 100. This team won on the road at South Florida and Chicago State and has the talent to win this game by 8 points on the road today according to my numbers. The favorite typically wins this rivalry as the fav is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 times these 2 teams have met.

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Dr. Bob

Thursday College Opinions
Cleveland State (-2 ½) over DETROIT

Detroit has lost 8 consecutive games and head coach Perry Watson decided to take a leave of absence following Saturday’s heart-breaking loss to Wisconsin-Milwaukee. Detroit applies to a 47-101 ATS negative momentum situation, but Cleveland State is coming off their best game of the year (a 68-51 win over Illinois Chicago) and the Vikings are just 1-6 ATS after a double-digit win under coach Gary Waters. That team trend is not that significant, but it’s enough to get me off of this game as a Best Bet. I’ll lean with Cleveland State at -3 points or less.

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Spritzer

southern confrnc revenge goy..............ga south
ko..............................pacific
tko............................new mex st,oregon
5 star hammer..............west virg
direct line release.................jazz
ko..................................pistons


Cokin

fat man releases..............wiscon, oregon
late slammer.....................ca fullerton
big shot...........................montana st
window...........................tenn st
under the hat..................west virg
3 star action......................tenn martin, saint louis
new mex st

Feist

personal best........................ga southern
steam play.....................west virg, st louis
platiunum........................clev st
inner circle...........................usc
5 star executive tv gow................wisconsin
inner circle......................suns
5 star excecutivedog of week........pistons

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