Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

L. Ness Oddsmaker's Error-NBA total (1st TY!)

My Oddsmaker's Error is on Dal/Ut Over at 9:05 ET.

Dallas (19-9) is nearly two-thirds of the way to its total number of losses from all of last season when it finished an NBA-best 67-15. However, the Mavs will go for a season-high sixth straight win tonight when they visit the Jazz in a rematch of a high-scoring game from earlier this month. Utah (15-14) got off to a strong start before losing nine of its last 11 games to fall into third place in the Northwest Division, which it won last season. The Jazz completed a 1-3 road trip with a 104-102 loss at Miami on Saturday. This is the first meeting between the teams since Utah's Deron Williams and Dallas' Josh Howard engaged in a scoring duel in the Mavs' 125-117 victory on Dec 8. Both players had career highs as Williams scored 41 points but was bested by Howard's 47. Dirk Nowitzki scored 30 points on Friday in a 102-89 win over the Clippers, after he turned in back-to-back 31-point efforts. The reigning league MVP started a bit slowly this year, scoring at 30 points or more just four times in his first 25 games. However, he's "in the zone" these days, with those three straight 30-point games and FIVE in his last nine! Utah's Carlos Boozer (24.7-8.7) also creates a matchup problem for Dallas and I have no explanation for why this total opened about six points lower than the closing total of the previous game. Oddsmaker's Error on Dal/Utah Over.

L. Ness Weekly Wipeout Winner-NBA

My Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Den Nuggets at 9:05 ET.

In Saturday's 103-99 win over Charlotte, Yi was 14-of-17 from the field for Milwaukee, while compiling a career-high 29 points and 10 rebounds. He had averaged 10.3 points coming in but gave Milwaukee a glimpse of what they were hoping for when they drafted the 6-foot-11 Chinese forward sixth overall. Michael Redd (23.9-5.2-3.9) added 27 points while Mo Williams (15.3-3.8-6.9) had 22 and nine assists in the game. Yi, who is averaging just 9.2 PPG on the road, will try and help Milwaukee to a rare road win tonight in Denver. The Bucks have lost five straight away from home, as well as 12 of 14 this season (4-9-1 ATS). Milwaukee has also lost eight of nine to the Nuggets since the 2002-03 season! The Nuggets should be happy to get the Bucks tonight, as Denver has lost three of its last five, with the two wins coming at home over Houston in 2-OTs (112-111) and at Sacramento (106-105). A 'breather" might be nice and the Bucks should provide the perfect foil. Kenyon Martin may miss again (strained hamstring) but Marcus Camby (8.7-14.3) came back from a bruised back to score 19 points and grab 14 rebounds in the win over the Kings. The one-two punch of Iverson (26.4) and Carmelo (25.4) will be too much for the poor-traveling Bucks. Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Den Nuggets.

L. Ness Las Vegas Insider (Motor City Bowl)

My Las Vegas Insider is on Purdue at 7:30 ET.

Ford Field has been good to Central Michigan, as the Chippewas have won two straight MAC title games on this field, as well as LY's Motor City Bowl. In QB Dan LeFevour, CMU owns the only QB other than Vince Young (while at Texas) to pass for over 3,000 yards and rush for over 1,000 yards in the same season. CMU is also playing with revenge from a September 15 loss at West Lafayette to Purdue, 45-22. Now here's the rub. CMU has NOT been able to play outside the MAC this year and unlike in LY's Motor City Bowl, the opponent is a Big 10 team, not a SBC one (MTSU)! CMU's defense ranked 106th in total yards allowed (450.2) and 107th in PPG (35.8). Its pass D allowed 65.4% completions, an average of just about 285 YPG through the air plus allowed 31 TDPs with just 16 INTs. However, that just tells part of the story. CMU allowed an obscene 553.3 YPG and 52.8 PPG in its four non-MAC games TY (excluding Army)! As for the "talented Mr. LeFevour," he topped 204 yards passing in just ONE of those four games (twice held under 200), had a modest 6-4 ratio and averaged just 33 YPG on the ground (compared to 97 YPG in his other nine games). Purdue finished on a three-game losing streak and was just 7-5 on the year but all FIVE of the Boilermakers' losses came against teams which are in bowls (41-19 combined record). QB Curtis Painter threw for 3,985 yards LY and while he's down some TY (3,300), his TDPs are up from 22 to 26 and his INTs are down from 19 to 9! In his two games vs MAC opponents in '07 (Toledo and CMU), he's led Purdue to 52 and 45 points, averaging 302 YPG in the air and posting a 9-0 ratio. Las Vegas Insider on Purdue.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Cash & Profit Experts

Dallas +3
Boston -7.5


Kruger

Bulls un 186

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

B Lang

10 DIME PURDUE
5 DIME SIXERS

10 DIME PURDUE ? An pair of offensive units takes Ford Feild by storm tonight, and while the Chippewas highly explosive scoring machine impresses everyone, let's not forget the Boilermakers put on CMU earlier this season.

And while the common agreement is that Central Michigan's youthful roster has matured and become battle-tested, it's only fair to make you aware Purdue has done the exact same thing in a much tougher conference and against superior opponents.

In fact, the Boilermakers have played eight games against bowl eligible teams, and though there outscored by an average final 27.1-26.6 in losing five of those games, but they out-gained those foes 397-388. Meanwhile, the Chippewas were 1-3 SU and ATS in that same situation, while being outscored 51-25 and out-gained 537-427.

Bottom line is, the Boilers are in a better position to win this game handedly and should have no trouble duplicating the performance they displayed in a 45-22 win on Sept. 15.

5 DIME SIXERS ? After last night's loss to Cleveland, the Heat are now the lone Eastern Conference team with 20 losses. Miami's now lost three of four overall and is clearly the worst team in the conference, and now it play a team that has improved dramatically the past couple of weeks.

The Sixers have won six of their last nine, and should have confidence since they won three of four from the Heat last season ? including both in Philly. This is a much worse Miami team, than last season's version, so getting the win and cover should be much easier this season.

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Spritzers Statement Game

I'm laying the points with the Celtics on Wednesday. Boston's off to a  great start, but they've heard it for weeks, that they have built their impressive record against a soft schedule. Tonight, they begin a lengthy west coast road journey, and against a decent Kings' team. This will just give Boston's outstanding veterans even more motivation to come out strong and prove their start to the season is no fluke. The Celtics are a perfect 4-0 (3-1 ATS) against the Western Conference this season, winning by an average of 19 PPG, including a 12-point win over Sacto two weeks ago. I believe they're even better now than they were at the start of the season thanks to the development of Rajon Rondo, who finished with NO points in that meeting. He's been on fire the last five games, taking at least 10 shots per game, scoring 15 points per game and taking away the double-teams off of other players. It's a statement game for the Celtics and they get the job done on Wednesday with a big win and cover.

Boston is my GOM. Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Wednesday's Plays...

20 Dime

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

Take the points with Central Michigan tonight in the Motor City Bowl over Purdue.

Now, these two teams met earlier this season and Purdue rolled to a 45-22 win as a 21 ½-point chalk. The Boilermakers were up 38-0 at the half before the Chippewas made any noise.

So why would I back Central Michigan if they couldn’t cover a 21 ½-point impost earlier this year against Purdue, especially if the line is single-digits tonight?

Simple. Central Michigan is going to have the motivational edge here, first of all having revenge, but mainly because they have picked up three decisive wins on this field over the past 12 months, a pair of MAC Championship games and last year’s 31-14 bowl romp over Middle Tennessee.

Purdue closed the regular season with three consecutive losses, stayed on campus through December, and takes a bus ride to Detroit over the Christmas Holiday.

Sounds more like a punishment than a reward, doesn’t it?

The Boilermakers will also be fighting to get the rust off tonight, as they last played on November 17, while the Chippewas played on December 1.

Look, I know Central Michigan doesn’t have much of a defense and it’s going to take everything they have just to keep Purdue from marching up and down the field, but Purdue’s secondary isn’t anything special either, ranking 73rd in the nation.

Central Michigan’s Dan LeFevour is an outstanding quarterback and can lead the Chippewas to several scores himself. He became just the second quarterback in college history to rush for over 1,000 yards and pass for more than 3,000 yards in one season.

The other one? Vince Young.

Pretty special company there for LeFevour.

Purdue is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in its last seven bowl games.

MAC bowlers are 10-3 ATS off a straight up win, and the Chippewas are 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS in games off a SU double-digit win (they beat Miami, OH by 25 in the league championship game).

Take the points as LeFevour leads the charge and keeps the Chippewas within the number tonight.


10 Dime

HORNETS

Take the Hornets as the small road chalk tonight over the Grizzlies.

Memphis isn’t good enough to stay this close at home against New Orleans, especially since the Hornets will welcome back Peja Stojakovic to the lineup.

The Grizzlies had to make some adjustments while Pau Gasol was sidelined with a toe injury. Hakim Warrick and Casey Jacobsen were getting more minutes, while Rudy Gay shifted to power forward.

Now that Gasol is back, they can get back to normal but Gay looked liked he was struggling, scoring 19 points before fouling out for the third time this year and second time in the last four.

If the Hornets make Gay a point of defensive emphasis, look for him to struggle again tonight.

The Grizzlies aren’t good enough to overcome that, even at home.

Lay the small number with the Hornets as they grab the road win and cover.


5 Dime

PISTONS

Take the Pistons as the road chalk over the Nets.

Detroit throttled New Jersey 118-95 earlier this month at Auburn Hills.

There’s not much that’s changed between these two since that game, except that the Nets will be at home tonight. That doesn’t really translate into an advantage, since the Nets have been a terrible spread team at home, going just 3-10-1 ATS in their first 14 games at East Rutherford.

Detroit is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last seven in New Jersey.

The Pistons are just a far superior team and should walk away with an easy win and cover.

Take Detroit minus the points.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

The Lock Line

NCAAF
Central Michigan (Top Opinion)

NBA
New York Knicks
Sacramento Kings
Minnesota Timberwolves
Under Memphis Grizzlies

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WILL SYKE'S FREE PLAYS ARE 25-15-1

11-4 NFL, 4-1 NCAAF, 9-9-1 NBA, 2-1 NCAAB

Minnesota VS Golden State

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: I can't believe how high this total has risen. I can't influence this enough on how inflated this total is. This is a big time psyche out folks. Vegas lines makers are making a HUGE mistake, why you ask? Let me break it down, this Minnesota team only averages 93 points overall and 91 points on the road. You say that those Warriors do give up alot of points due to their lack of defense, and that is true, but the thing is here, how will they give up points of the Wolves can't score? Here's another thing, the Wolves couldn't hold the Hornets their last time out which had the Hornets shooting 53% in their last game, look for the Wolves to play a little better defense this time out, especially when the Warriors were shooting well against the Cavs on the road shooting 52%, look for that to cool down just a bit. The Wolves are 3-9 UNDER simply because they cannot score on the road. The Warriors are a fun team to watch especially when they're at home because they like to jack up the score and run, but sorry folks this will be one of those boring games. Last thing, when these two squared off on the 19th this total pushed, but why did the odds makers start this line at 208? When we all know how the Warriors jack up the score at home. So don't get psyched out but those crazy lines makers just because the last time they played the Warriors put up 111 on the road against this team, when the Warriors average a little higher at home. Vegas is making a mistake tonight so lets jump on it. Tonight we'll show e'm who gets psyched out, and the only way to do that is to stick with Sykes.

Minnesota/Golden State UNDER 211.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

VEGAS RUNNER

VR's WED 2* (DEC PLAY of the DAY Now 71% 24-10)

Good afternoon Gentlemen...we were able to pick up with the NBA exactly where we left off and its really turning into a very Profitable Basketball Season in both the NBA and NCAABB...Tonight, I have completed the NBA/NCAAFB Card and we have a 2* in the Bowl Game Tonight..but some very Huge 3* FB wagers coming up this week...and in the NBA Tonight we have our 3* SIDE-TOTAL-TEASER of the DAY + a nice group of Strong 2*s going as we look to close out the month with some more Profit...we are coming to the end of the Year and I am really looking forward to be able to start the New Year here so that you all can have a full year of Wagers to look at and see how we do our thing each year...Also, the Card Tonight is Final and Updated with a Total of 9 NBA and 1 NCAAFB Wager for a Total of 10 Plays...Its already been a very long day fellas, so I am going to wrap up today's work and begin setting up the week ahead for us, so Please have a great night and I will talk to you all in the morning, Thanks and Best of Luck, Vegas-Runner...

1. NJ NETS +6 (2*)...off the Tonight's Card...

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Wolkosky Milan

15-4-1 last four days!
Monday (hit his rare 50* - now 14-2 run)

Today:

10* PURDUE -7½
10* CMU/PUR UNDER 71½

10* DETROIT -5½
10* NEW ORLEANS -2½
10* MIA/PHI UNDER 191½

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Hank Green...

5* Purdue
3* Over


Psychic

3 units Central Michigan +8


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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Alex Smart

New Orleans Hornets Memphis Grizzlies OV 201.0 / 4 units



Stan Sharp

double-dime bet MEM +2.5 vs NOH

Analysis: Tonight in the NBA Stan is Betting one Game and it's Memphis. Stan feels Vegas has the wrong team favored in this game. Stan expects Memphis to Outright by 3-6 Points. TAKE MEMPHIS as STAN'S NBA FALSE FAVORITE BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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