Wednesday Service Plays
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Motor City Bowl
OVERVIEW: Central Michigan has the privilege of representing the MAC in the Motor City Bowl for the second straight season, but will be facing a much higher caliber opponent this time around in Purdue. It will be a big step up from the ’06 matchup vs. Sun Belt foe MTSU, a game the Chippewas won easily, 31-14. This will actually be the second time they’ve faced the Boilermakers this season, and CMU will be looking for a different result from the 45-22 pasting that Purdue put on them at East Lafayette in September. In fact, overall in this series, Purdue has won and covered the L3 meetings, with an average point margin of 37.7 PPG. However, HC Joe Tiller’s team backs into this game off three straight season ending losses and has struggled in bowl games, going just 1-6 SU & 1-5-1 ATS in its L7.
StatFox Forecaster: PURDUE 38, C MICHIGAN 27
StatFox Bryan says: These two teams battled early in the regular season in a game taken by the Boilermakers at home, 45-22. Since then, Purdue has gone 4-5 SU (3-5-1 ATS) including three consecutive losses to end the season on a down note. Meanwhile the mighty Chippewas have gone 7-3 SU (5-3-1 ATS) including wins in four of their last five. QB Dan LeFevour has used that time to become one of the most versatile offensive weapons in the game, averaging 278 passing and 101 rushing yards per game over Central Michigan’s last eight regular-season matchups. Three losses to BCS squads by a combined score of 43-167 is certainly reason for worry, but it is Purdue’s inability to stop either facet of the offense (giving up 149 rushing and 234 passing yards per game), a trend that has grown progressively worse, that gives Central Michigan hope. The numbers suggest these two teams are closely matched and the (-9) line seems bloated due to the Big Ten dollar. LeFevour has the heart, Central Michigan will have the crowd in Detroit, and, as is often the case, the team that wants it more will persevere.
PREDICTION: Central Michigan by 1
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
MATT RIVERS comps
For Wednesday take the Bulls in San Antonio
If I've seen it once I've seen it a million times, a coach gets fired and then the team comes out in their first game after the episode and seems to play with a lot of heart and fire and overachieve to the max. I can totally see this scenario occurring here as the Bulls are still a team with a ton of talent and the Spurs are expected to be without one of their main guns in Manu Ginobili.
Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and the rest of the champs are great and should pull this game out as they usually do but Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Ben Wallace, Kirk Hinrich, Andres Nocioni, Tyrus Thomas and da Bulls have too much of an upside to continue to flounder as they have and quite possibly getting rid of Scott Skiles will prove to be a spark lit under the players' butts and the turning point in which the whole beginning of the season trade talk regarding Kobe Bryant will officially be a thing of the past as the page is now somewhat turned.
The Spurs will try and grind this thing out as they like to do with the defense but in this spot plus around double digits I'm all about the visiting Bulls
No doubt that Minnesota is complete crap this year ? maybe the worst team in the entire NBA. A At the same time, there?s no denying that the Warriors are playing tremendous basketball, especially at home where they?ve won seven of their last eight, the only misstep being a six-point overtime loss to Orlando. Finally, I know that it was just a week ago that Golden State hammered the TWolves 111-98 as a seven-point road favorite
However, that final score was a bit misleading, as the TWolves led by eight points at the break before completely self-destructing in the third quarter, when they got outscored 37-17. Take away that 12-minute stretch, and Minnesota outscored the Warriors 81-74.
Also, as bad as the TWolves have been this year, including going 1-12 on the road, they?ve been a very decent bet as a visitor at 8-5 ATS, including 7-3 ATS in the last 10. In fact, they?re 10-5 ATS as an underdog of eight points or more all season.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are just 6-6 ATS at home, 9-8 ATS as a favorite and 1-5 ATS when playing after more than one day of rest.
In the end, this is just too many points for Golden State, which is coming off a five-game road trip, to be laying in this post-holiday position. Look for Minnesota to find away to cover this spread, be it from the get-go or by sneaking in for the backdoor cover.
(based on a 1 to a 10 * Rating)
2* MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Selection: Boston/Sacramento Over 189 (-110)
Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Boston Celtics do battle with the Sacramento Kings. Both these teams have very strong offenses. The Boston Celtics (on the road) are scoring an average of 100.3 points per game, while the Sacramento Kings (at home) are scoring an average of 103.2 points per game. These teams also tend to score many points when playing in Sacramento. In fact, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams (when playing in Sacramento). We expect to see another high-scoring game tonight! Take the Boston Celtics/Sacramento Kings Over 189!
Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
Selection: Golden State Warriors -12.5 (-110)
Explanation: We will side with the Golden State Warriors as they face-off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Wednesday's NBA contest.
The Golden State Warriors have the superior offense when compared with the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves (on the road) are scoring an average of 91.1 points per game, while the Golden State Warriors (at home) are scoring an average of 112 points per game. This means that the Golden State Warriors offense is scoring an average of 20.9 points per game more then the Minnesota Timberwolves offense.
The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these teams, and we see the Golden State Warriors (as favorites) getting another win tonight.
Take the Golden State Warriors -12.5
The T'Wolves have really struggled so far this year, out to a 3-17 SU mark and 8-11 ATS record. So it isn't a far stretch to say this team will not win many road games. In fact, just one so far this year. Now they get to play a very fast paced Warriors club. Golden State is 14-6 SU and 11-8 ATS on the season. They have averaged 112 points at home this season and while they do give up a good many points also - this is the kind of team they should dominate. We hate laying double digits with any NBA team, but we do so knowing our club is going to score lots of points like the Warriors will do tonight.
Big Al McMordie comp
At 7:35 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over New Jersey. The Nets have won back to back games (both as an underdog), but will be hard-pressed to repeat that feat here at home vs. Detroit. The Pistons are rested, and off a win, and such teams are 115-57 ATS priced from -13 to +6 points, if their W/L percentage is .334 or better, and they're matched up against a non-division foe off back-to-back upset wins. This system has had three plays so far this season, and has gone 2-1, with its winners being New Orleans over the Lakers on Nov 6 and Houston over Milw on Nov 9. Take Detroit to rout New Jersey. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
The Jazz finally get home after a long month on the road - at least it must seem like they haven't been home in a month. Utah has played 18 of its first 29 games on the road and just concluded a stretch of 12 of 16 games on the highway. They are just 2-9 SU in its last 11 and 3-9 ATS in its last 12.
Utah isn't ready to face this suddenly red-hot Mavericks team and will drop this one tonight.
Dallas has won five straight games and blew out the Clippers 102-89 on Friday as 11 1/2-point favorites. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight. The Mavericks beat the Jazz 125-117 back on Dec. 8 as a 5 1/2-point home chalk.
Dallas is 13-4 against the Western Conference this season and playing a rare game as an underdog. Utah is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight as a favorite.
Let's play the team going better right now. Utah just hasn't been itself lately and Dallas will go in there and rack up some points. With the Mavs as dogs, we're going to grab the points but we expec to see Dallas win this one.
USA Sports Consulting - Earl Morgan
TOTALS 4 U
MAVERICKS/JAZZ UNDER 204 1/2
CHICAGO/SAN ANTONIO UNDER the total of 186.5
INDIANA PACERS + 2
Boston -7 over Sacramento
Phoenix/LA Lakers UNDER 220
BIG TIME SPORTS
SHARKS /KINGS OVER 5.5
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
Nuggets have dominated the Bucks in this series, going 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings. With Milwaukee off a 13-point win, look for more of the same this evening.
Play on: Denver
Take the Detroit Pistons -6 over New Jersey
Jimmy The Moose
Game: San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings
Prediction: San Jose Sharks
Reason: The Sharks are struggling having lost 3 straight games but a date with the Kings is just what the doctor ordered. San Jose has won 6 straight on the road. In their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Sharks are 21-5. The Kings have lost 7 of their last 9 home games. LA has lost 7 straight games. In their last 53 games vs. Western Conference team's the Kings are 16-37. SJ has won 6 of their last 7 meetings to Los Angeles. Play on the Sharks -.
florida bookie busters
Indiana at Atlanta
James Patrick Sports
Mavericks vs. Jazz
In Wednesday action on the NBA hardwood the Dallas Mavericks travel to Salt Lake City to take on the Jazz. Utah returns home off the NBA road and with the Christmas Holiday yesterday don't see the Jazz all that focused for this game and our Wednesday selection is on #517 Dallas Mavericks in NBA action
521 Timberwolves @ 522 Warriors
Play: Warriors -12.5
Golden State should have a big night tonight as they entertain the hapless T-Wolves. Minnesota is generally unable to control tempo, and if the Warriors are able to get this game going fast, it's likely to turn into a major blowout. It's a big number, but one I'll give in what ought to be a Warriors rout.
521 Minnesota at 522 Golden St (16-12)
TV NBA: The TWolves head west to take on Golden St.
Minnesota finding life without Kevin Garnett
very difficult. Golden St just a few games back of
the Suns. The number is high tonight, but GS needs
to start well after the short break with some big games coming
up Denver twice Houston New Years Eve and Dallas.
The Warriors roll up some big numbers tonight.
Take Golden St
Game: Detroit/New Jersey
Prediction: 5* Pistons -6
The struggling and banged up Washington Wizards take their show to Charlotte tonight when they battle the Bobcats.
The Wizards enter tonight?s contest losers of their last three, failing to cover any of the three with their only shining light possibly being the play of Antawn Jamison who is averaging 27.7 points and has grabbed an average of 11 rebounds over the span. This Washington club that is one of the highest scoring in the league at 99.9 points per game have been held to 87.0 points per game during their three game slide.
Despite the Wizards being 10-3 all-time versus the Cats, Charlotte has put together wins in two of the last three between these two clubs. Charlotte who has won two of their last three overall enter tonight?s match up after they were beaten by the Bucks 103-99 Saturday in Milwaukee.
I feel tonight the better playing team right now will get the win, and feel that team is the Bobcats.
Well rested after a couple days off and their long trip (thanks to weather) to Milwaukee, Charlotte is the play.
Critics will argue that the Jazz are a much better team at home, which is true, but the fact of the matter is Utah is playing garbage basketball right now, and just because they're back in Salt Lake, doesn't mean they can simply flip the switch from "mediocre" to "good." Losers of 9 of their last 11 games (3-8 ATS), the Jazz are in trouble once again tonight, and here's why:
Its no secret that the injury to Memhet Okur has thrown this Utah team for a loop, as his ability to stretch the defense and force the opposing team's bigmen to play outside the paint is a necessary component of their offense. This Jazz team is playing without confidence right now, averaging 102 ppg over their last 5, which is low for this West Coast juggernaut.
Dallas meanwhile, is playing rock-solid basketball, winners of 5 straight, they appear to finally have shaken some of the trouble they had in late November/early December. Over their last 5 games, not only are they shooting over 50%, but they're also limiting opponents to just 93 ppg on 44% shooting! The Mavericks win games when they commit themselves on the defensive end, and that's exactly what they're doing of late.
Finally, while there's some trends in Utah's favor, Dallas is catching them at their most vulnerable spot in some time. Jazz are just 1-7 ATS over their last 8 games as a favorite, and on top of that, are just 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games overall. Like I said: They're playing garbage basketball right now, and it'll show tonight. Wouldn't surprise me in the least if Dallas wins outright, but we'll take the points as an added bonus.
Take Dallas plus the points over Utah in this marquee West Coast showdown.
Matchup: Detroit at New Jersey
Prediction: New Jersey Nets +6
Matchup: Boston at Sacramento
Prediction: Under 188.5 Points
Match up: Dallas at Utah
Prediction: Utah Jazz -3
Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs
Change and effort for the Bulls will show up on the defensive end. Bulls lost their last two of the Skiles' era 107-82 at Boston and 116-98 to Houston in the home dog role. San Antonio has lost four of six and two of its last three, getting a win/non-cover over the depleted Clippers in its last. That game went over the total after a run of eight straight unders. SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons while CHICAGO is 26-15 UNDER in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Under
1* (regular play) Nashville Predators Money Line +130 @ Chicago @ 8:30 ET - Each team comes into this match-up on a mini-winning streak that started before the Christmas break. The key here though is the revenge angle. The Predators were embarrassed at Chicago last Wednesday when they lost 5-2. Goalie Chris Mason was pulled for Nashville after he allowed goals on each of the first two shots he faced. Mason and the Predators are looking to avenge that loss tonight.
Keep in mind that when the Preds lost at Chicago last week it was a tough scheduling spot as they were coming off of a tight 3-2 loss at Minnesota the night before. This situation is much more favorable for the Preds as they have been off since Sunday's win at Columbus. The Predators are eager to catch one of the teams they are currently trailing in the Central Division and they can make inroads toward that by upsetting the Blackhawks tonight. Chicago has been playing better but another injury to Martin Havlat could begin to take it's toll here.
Havlat had three assists in the win over Nashville last week but now he's hurting with a groin injury he suffered in the Hawks upset win of Ottawa last week. Despite what happened last week in Chicago, Mason has a history of success in his starts at Chicago and he and the Predators will bounce back tonight. The Preds are tired of looking up in the standings to see the Blackhawks and they are highly motivated for tonight's rematch as a result. Play Nashville on the money line as a regular selection.
The Spurs are 61-53 when playing at home the last three years including 10-5 ATS when playing at home this year. The Spurs are also 12-6 ATS when playing on three or more days of rest the last three years, and 4-1 ATS vs non conference opponents this year. We look for the San Antonio Spurs to roll over the Chicago Bulls for the home ATS Win & cover tonight.
Tom Freese Blue Line Club
Minnesota at Golden St
Golden St is 6-1-1 UNDER their last 8 games overall and they are 9-2-1 UNDER off an ATS Win. The Warriors are 11-4-1 UNDER after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 4-1-1 UNDER their last 6 games as favorites. Double digit favorites are 36-24 UNDER this year. Minnesota is 6-1 UNDER their last 7 games as road dogs and they are 11-4-1 UNDER vs. an opponent that scored 100 or more points in their last game. The Timberwolves are 7-3-1 UNDER off a double digit loss.
PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Atlanta - over Indiana
The Hawks have won and covered in four consecutive games and should be in great position to keep the streak rolling with four days off for the holidays and returning to play back at home. Atlanta?s defense averages about ten points fewer per game than Indiana and the Hawks are far more productive on offense in home games. Although the Pacers have put together a solid recent run this game comes in a tough spot having to face additional travel for the holidays and already having played three of the last five games away from home.
Pure Lock's FREE NBA play Wednesday
PLAY ON: DETROIT (-) PTS
R&R Totals FREE NBA Over-Under Wednesday
Washington @ Charlotte 7:05 PM EST
Play On: UNDER THE TOTAL
Game: Boston Celtics at Sacramento Kings Dec 26 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Sacramento Kings
Reason: Same reasoning applies as when we took the Kings in recent loss but cover in Boston. Artest will guard Pierce and Salmons will guard Allen, leaving Garnett to get the win and cover himself. But he's more facilitator than scorer so if the other two are covered the Kings three-point shooting and ability to get to the line will keep them in this one. Take Sacramento!
Play: New Orleans Hornets
New Orleans is 17-10 and 9-5 on the road. Memphis is 8-19 with a 5-9 home record. New Orleans is in 3rd place and just 2.5 games back of first place San Antonio as they have won each of their last two games. Memphis has lost their last two games and has fallen all the way to 11.5 games and are in last place. Look for New Orleans to get their 10th road win in Memphis and make it three wins in a row. Play New Orleans
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Gamblers World TIP OF THE DAY
Prediction: Purdue Boilermakers Current Line: -9 Over/Under: 74
Reason: A rare season rematch is featured on Boxing Day when the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Purdue Boilermakers battle at Ford Field in the Motor City Bowl. Purdue destroyed the Chippewas 45-22 in September, barely covering the 22.5-point spread. Oddsmakers currently have the Boilermakers listed as 9-point favorites versus the Chippewas, while the game's total is sitting at 74. Central Michigan picked up a 35-10 win over the Miami-Ohio RedHawks last time out in the MAC Championship Game. Miami-Ohio had been pegged as a 3-point favorite in that contest, while the combined score fell UNDER the posted total of 64 points. The Boilermakers were defeated 27-24 by the Indiana Hoosiers last time out, as 2-point favorites. The combined score fell UNDER the posted total of 62. Kory Sheets carried the ball 12 times for the Boilermakers with two touchdowns in a losing effort. Team records: Central Michigan: 8-5 SU, 6-4-2 ATS Purdue: 7-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS Central Michigan most recently: When playing in December are 2-0 When playing on turf are 7-3 After outgaining opponent are 8-2 When playing outside the conference are 3-7 Purdue most recently: When playing in December are 3-4 When playing on turf are 4-6 After being outgained are 4-6 When playing outside the conference are 7-3 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 8 games Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Central Michigan is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games Purdue is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games Purdue is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Purdue -8 over Central Michigan
This is the Super Bowl for MAC Conference teams as usually they never get to a bowl higher than this, but CMU played Purdue earlier this season and I just cannot get over the 31-0 halftime lead Purdue had. You have to ask yourself has much changed since then? Purdue did go 0-3 down the stretch so its not like they should feel bad about playing is less of a bowl game for a Big 10. Purdue is lucky to even be in a bowl game so this team should be grateful and I think they are coming into this game focused. This game is about class and Purdue is just a step above the CMU in terms of football players. Both teams run similar offenses which will make it easier for the Purdue defense to read and harder for CMU's defense because they just don't have the talent to cover four or five wide receivers. Again, Purdue crushed CMU earlier this year and not much has changed. Take Purdue.
(All hoops wagers should be 1/3 of your average football wager)
Heat +2.5 over Sixers
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Wednesday NBA Opinion
Detroit (-5 ½) over NEW JERSEY
New Jersey is coming off consecutive upset wins over Miami and Golden State, but Detroit comes into this game having covered in 12 of their last 14 games. Detroit is also 36-19 ATS in regular season road games since the beginning of last season while New Jersey is only 4-12 ATS as home this season and 4-10 ATS as a home dog since last season. My ratings favor Detroit by 8 points in this game and I’ll lean with the Pistons based on the line value.
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
10* Toronto/Islanders Under
7* Chicago Bulls + 9 1/2
10* Boston -7, Golden State - 12 1/2, Detroit - 5 1/2
Chicago +9' over San Antonio
Dallas +3 over Utah
Atlanta +115 over Columbus
Carolina/NY Rangers UNDER 5' -130
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides Single-Dime Bet
NJN 6.0 vs DET
Analysis: New Jersey has posted back to back WINS and look like a live dog here against the Red Hot Pistons. Feeling here is line has been over adjusted due to recent streak of Detroit. Take the Home side as they keep it close and don't be surprised if they pull out the outright win. TAKE NEW JERSEY and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
UTA / DAL Under 203.0 Bodog
Analysis: OK this one is real simple as Vegas has told me all I need to know here. Dallas & Utah has already played this year with Dallas Winning 125-117. The total in that game was 209' easily going over the total. So I ask you why did Vegas set the Total at 203' today. Simple because the right side is the Under and that's what I'm playing. TAKE DALLAS/UTAH UNDER as MARCO'S NBA PLAY OF THE DAY and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
REASON FOR PICK: 4* MINNESOTA/GOLDEN STATE Over
Every once in a while so far this season we have been able to see Don Nelson’s Warriors playing the kind of explosive open-court basketball that they showed in last spring’s outstanding playoff run. And in truth, to even see it on occasion has been a major positive, considering what they have had to deal with. Not only have injuries taken a toll, but the schedule maker has also been most unkind – only once in the last 23 games have they had more than a single day to prepare for their opponent. That is not the case tonight. Now all hands are on deck, and they have been off since Sunday, which means a chance to see a real burst of energy. It also means an easy Over in this matchup.
Randy Wittman will not give Nelson much sympathy; injuries have wrecked any chance to develop a chemistry with his already limited roster. But that also changes in a major way tonight. While the individual pieces are still nothing special, Wittman gets a lot more to work with, as Marko Jaric, Rashad McCants and Greg Buckner have all returned to practice. Of that group only McCants played in last week’s 109-98 Golden State win in Minneapolis, and Antoine Walker also sat that one out. As a result what had been a loose and free flowing game completely bogged down in the latter stages, with a 39-point fourth quarter not reflecting at all that pace at which most of the evening was played. That works fully to our advantage from a value standpoint here – now two fresh teams begin the game at an even faster tempo, and with the underdog having the depth to do some chasing it never does slow down.
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
3 Units - CMU/Purdue Under 71 ½
2 Units - Purdue -8
5 Units - Washington Wizards +4 ½
3 Units - Golden State Warriors -12 ½
2 Units - Philadelphia 76ers -2 ½
5 Units - San Jose Sharks
1 Units - Carolina Hurricanes
2 Units - Louisville -23
Re: Wednesday Service Plays
Black Magic Sports
5 Unit Black Magic NBA Total of the Day on Nuggets OVER 208
This game will go way over the total tonight. The Nuggets score points at will but play little defense. Milwaukee is 18-8 OVER off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 25-12 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Denver is 18-5 OVER after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with the OVER 208 points.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Dallas Mavericks +3
The Dallas Mavericks are a great pick tonight at Utah . Utah has lost 9 out of their last 11 games overall. The Mavs beat the Jazz by 8 points earlier in December. Dallas is 53-29 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days since 1996. Dallas 51-30 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1996. Cash in with the Mavericks as the favorite.