Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Drew Gordon
Monday Play:

1. 200,000* Chargers

1. Chargers- While its true the Broncos should be highly motivated after getting their asses handed to them by the Chargers 41-3 in their worst home loss since 1966. The fact of the matter is the Chargers are that much better, and a little extra motivation isn't enough to overcome a superior San Diego squad with a mountain of trends in their favor.

First of all, Denver has been terrible on the road this season, going 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS. The Chargers on the other hand, have been a cash-machine in San Diego, going 6-1 SUATS! The scariest part about Denver is their pathetic defense on the road, allowing almost 30 ppg, surrendering 141 rushing yards per contest! Guys, we're talking about LaDainian Tomlinson, arguablly the best RB in the NFL, who's also been on an absolute tear over his last 3 games, rushing for 439 yards and 5 TDs. And don't worry too much if he gets some rest late, because speedy RB Sproles proved to be a viable option last week (122 rushing yards).

Second, let's talk motivation, as the Chargers have just as much reason to get the win here as the Broncos. True, the Broncos want some redemption, but is that really more motivation than playoff seeding? If you were a San Diego Charger, would you rather play the Colts or the undefeated Patriots in the divisional round? That was a rhetorical question, because obviously having the 3rd seed and playing the Colts would be a better than playing the best team we've seen in the modern era.

Finally, do you really believe Jay Cutler, Mr. 5-14 ATS as the Broncos starting QB, is going to come into San Diego and beat a now healthy Chargers defense? This is EXACTLY the kind of game Cutler struggles in, on the road, facing an aggressive stop-unit with a healthy Merriman (a true game-changer at the LB position), and solid secondary led by Cromartie and his 10 picks. This game has blowout written all over it, and I say that's exactly what we get tonight in San Diego.

Bottom line, expect LT to hand-deliver the cash in his home finale, against a road-weary Broncos defense that hasn't been able to stop anyone on the road (not named Kansas City) this season. While on the other side of the ball, Merriman and company give Cutler nightmares for the next 2 weeks! End result: Chargers get the lopsided home win and cover Monday night.

Take the Chargers BIG over the Broncos as your top-rated play of the day.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Dr Bob..

SAN DIEGO (-8.5) 26 Denver 19

San Diego would like to hold onto the #3 seed to avoid facing the Patriots until the Conference Championship game, but that doesn’t mean that they’ll have their way with a Broncos team that is pretty good and is still likely to play hard. Denver’s defense improved in over the last 6 games after changing their lineup and San Diego’s defense is not a full strength with star LB Shawne Merriman 50/50 to miss his second straight game, as I’m sure that Norv Turner would rather have Merriman healthy for the playoffs. I’ll assume Merriman plays and my math model still favors the Chargers by just 6½ points. I’ll lean with Denver plus the generous points.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

30 Dime –
CHARGERS

Lay the points with the Chargers tonight at home over the Broncos.

San Diego already waxed Denver in the first meeting this year, but I don’t think the Broncos have what it takes to exact any revenge here.

The Chargers are a team that is getting better as the season goes on, while the Broncos have been eliminated from the playoffs.

Denver’s run defense has been non-existent this year and I can’t see how they are going to slow LaDanian Tomlinson. The Chargers have been getting big early leads at home lately and making them stand up, so expect a full-out arsenal tonight as they try to break the Broncos’ spirit early.

San Diego still has something to play for, as they are in a battle with the Steelers for the No. 3 seed in the AFC. If the Chargers and Steelers both win out, San Diego will get the higher seed in the tiebreaker.

Don’t think for a minute that that doesn’t mean anything, because the No. 4 seed is going to have to play Jacksonville in the first round, a team that nobody wants to face right now.

The Chargers are 8-1 ATS as a December chalk against a losing team off a double-digit loss.

Lay the points with the Chargers as they roll to the home win and cover

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

5 Unit Black Magic AFC West Surefire on Denver Broncos +9

There is nothing like sweet revenge when these 300-pound animals go at one another. It is very difficult to beat the same team twice within as season and this is the case Monday. Denver obviously got killed by the Chargers at Mile High Stadium on October 7th. They won't just fold to San Diego like the Lions did last week. Denver will come out aggressive with nothing to lose. A 28-7 System with an 80% winning ratio fits into this game perfectly. It guides you to bet against the home favorites after a game where they forced 5 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. Denver is known for their ball control offense where they don't turn the ball over. San Diego feeds off turnovers and Mike Shanahan will make sure his team does everything under their power to hold onto the ball. With the Chargers already crowned AFC West Champions, this game is basically meaningless to San Diego . Cash in with the Broncos as the underdog

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Re: Monday Service Plays

LT'S LOCK

The LOCK: Over 47 in Denver/San Diego

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Handicapper: Daniel Perkins

Pick: 3 units (Free Play) ATS: San Diego Chargers -8.5 (-109)

Since the embarrassing start the Chargers have buckled down and found themselves headed to the post season clinching the AFC West Division last week. The Chargers have covered and won their past 4 straight games including that straight up win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 12. Philip Rivers have thrown for 613 yards in the last three games thanks to an offensive line that is playing fantastic football with their leader Nick Hardwick at centre back from injury. LaDainian Tomlinson will have a field day playing the 29th ranked run defense the Broncos bring to tonights game. The Chargers defense has picked it up as of late forcing at least 2 turnovers in 9 of the previous 10 games along side with a +19 turnover margin. Every time the Broncos have played a defense that can throw the offensive line off its rhythm they have struggled because all the pressure was put on Jay Cutler. The 21 points per game is an inflated stat and the inconsistency that Cutler possesses will shine through bright and clear tonight. The Broncos got blown out in week 5 41-3 at mile high by the Chargers. That was the turning point of the season for San Diego as the running game finally got back on track. The Broncos are 2-9ATS vs. AFC West opponents and are a disappointing 21-31 on Monday Nights. The Chargers have reported that starters will get plenty of playing time in order to keep the momentum building going into the playoffs. With a healthy offensive line playing outstanding football Tomlinson will run all over the Denver secondary. When he runs for more then 125 yards the Chargers are 22-9 ATS. With a win today the Chargers will get the easier wild card game, with a loss they will likely face Jacksonville in San Diego. There will be plenty of motivation to stomp the Broncos for fans on Christmas Eve and keep rolling into the post season. Take the Chargers in a double digit win Monday Night against the Broncos.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

KELSO STURGEON

CHAIRMANS CLUB

5* San Diego and under
5* parlay San Diego and under


SPORTS UNLIMITED

3* under


PRIVATE PLAYERS (gavazzi)

1* opinion san diego and under

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Sebastian

30* San Diego


Bob Akmens

10* Sd
10* Over


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Re: Monday Service Plays

Steven Budin-CEO

100 DIME MAX WAGER

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS


Lenny Del Genio's MNF Game of the Year (6-1 FB Sunday)

Play on San Diego


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Re: Monday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

344 CHARGERS-7.5 SB+
UNDER 47.5 SB

ACES RATING KEY FOR MEMBERS
SB = Single Bet. | SB+ = Bet & a 1/2 | SB++ = Bet 3/4 |
DB = Double Bet | DB+ = Double Bet & Dash of Juice |
TB = Triple Bet. Rare! | SW = An Ace Switch ?= Might Add More

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Re: Monday Service Plays

OC DOOLEY COMP

1 UNIT” MONDAY FOOTBALL TOTAL (Broncos at Chargers UNDER 47 in an 8:05 eastern kickoff on ESPN): I will admit that during their current 4-game winning streak, the San Diego offense has averaged 32 points per game, but also consider their DEFENSE has permitted just 17 points per pop in that span. One of the main reasons why Denver has just been knocked out of the playoff hunt for a second consecutive season surrounds the failures of their defense, which is currently ranked way down at #30 in the league. But note that the various defensive personell are going to be EVALUATED on an individual basis in the offseason, so a lot of jobs are at stake in these last two weeks. The lone Denver player who was elected to the Pro Bowl is defensive secondary star Champ Bailey. Also in the Denver secondary is accomplished 36-year old veteran John Lynch, who just happens to be the oldest safety in the entire NFL. It is not known if the final two games are going to be the last of what has been a glorious career, but I can tell you for a fact that Lynch grew up in the San Diego are, making this a “homecoming” for him. Denver’s defense also has some talented youngsters up front led by defensive end Elvis Dummerville who in the near future will also be playing in the Pro Bowl. I will also be keeping an eye on Tom Crowder and Marcus Thomas who have had there share of positive moments on defense. It comes as no shock that Broncos defensive coordinator (and guru) Bill Bates has struggled big time in his first year with the club, as the line play in particular has been a question mark dating all the way back to the preseason. The bottom line is that it has been extremely hard for Denver’s offense to get in synch this season, as they have been forced to watch too much action from the sidelines due to the aforementioned defensive failures. I have found out that Denver’s strategy tonight is to find a way to keep LaDanian Tomlinson and the Charger offense off-the-field for as long as possible, so that ailing defense which is now being evaluated closely, will finally show up and have a solid performance. You might want to call this the “due theory” lock as the Broncos have exceeded the posted total in all but THREE games so far. The big news is that last Thursday Denver was held to only 13 points and played UNDER the total, which finally snapped a 6-game run where they played above the spot each time. Tonight is the final shot for Denver’s defense to prove that they can contain the opposition on the road, where for the year they have surrendered a very high average of 29 points per game. Note that most Monday Night contests this season with relatively high posted totals such as this, have managed to stay UNDER the spot and I look for that trend to continue. It was just one week ago INDOORS at Minnesota where we had a game stay UNDER, despite perfect weather conditions. Tonight’s game is being played in a city that has the best year-round weather in America, but all that is going to do is inflate tonight’s spot. I already mentioned that Denver’s defensive personnel is going to undergo intense scrutiny in the final two games. I have found out that San Diego’s defense will get back the services of star lineman Shawn Merriman who suffered a knee injury two weeks ago. Merriman already has been credited with 11’ SACKS this campaign. There is also a possibility that the Chargers will get back defensive end Luis Castillo (ankle) who also was forced to watch from the sidelines a week ago. We have already had a pair of very high scoring games in primetime this week, including last night’s 32-21 shootout indoors at Minnesota. Back on Thursday the Steelers/Rams nearly made it above the total by HALFTIME. These factors are going to help further inflate tonight’s spot, so I am personally going to place my totals wager at the last possible minute.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MNF (10-2 run with NFL Insiders!)

My Las Vegas Insider is on the SD Chargers at 8:00 ET. Norv Turner came under heavy criticism when the Chargers opened 1-3 (averaging just 17 PPG), after going 14-2 LY with the league's highest scoring offense. However, SD has now won EIGHT of its last 10 (averaging 29.1 PPG), covering all eight of its SU wins. SD would love to edge Pitt for the No. 2 seed, thereby avoiding a "cold trip" to New England in the divisional round, in favor of a climate-controlled visit to Indy (SD ties Pitt at 11-4 with a win and owns the tie-breaker). The Broncos will surely be a motivated opponent tonight, having lost 41-3 to SD in Denver, back in Week 5. The loss was Denver's worst since 1988 and was the worst home loss for the franchise since 1966! While Denver will be motivated, I don't think it will matter. Jim Bates (DC) was bought in this year and his new schemes have been a disaster, as Denver ranks 29th vs the rush and 30th in points allowed! Offensively, the running game is not up to snuff (OL injuries haven't helped) plus Cutler has had trouble all season finishing off drives. Cutler is now 5-14 ATS in his 19 starts, which includes a 1-6 mark in seven road games TY. While he has 18 TDPs and a 90.8 QB rating on the season, he's has just six TDPs on the road (seven games!) and a road QB rating of 79.4. Since winning at Buffalo in Week 1 (15-14 non-cover), Denver is 1-5 SU and ATS on the road, winning only at KC (has now lost EIGHT straight!). In those five losses, the Denver D has allowed 36.8 PPG and this will be the team's SIXTH road game in its last eight . Meanwhile, SD is 6-1 SU and ATS at home, winning and covering its last FIVE ( 33.8-14.6). Las Vegas Insider on the SD Chargers.

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