Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Dave Malinsky

6* Cincinnati


Ben Burns

Bengals
49ers
Raiders/Jags under


Phenom (16-11-1)

Seattle
Indy
Tampa Bay
Tennessee


aAce-Ace / Allan Eastman

2 Atl +10'

2 NO -3

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SPORTS MEMO - BOWL GAME ( ** 3-0 YESTERDAY !!!)

Boise State vs. East Carolina +10.5 O/U 71 Recommendation: East Carolina

While the Boise State victory over Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl was nearly a season ago, the perceived value of the Broncos in the marketplace based on that incredible result remains inflated. This remains the case even though indications are that BoiseState is no where near as strong as a season ago. Consider that when Boise State went to Hawaii to battle for the WAC title, the two programs were ranked as having the two weakest schedules in all of college Football. The best team Boise State faced this season outside of its game against Hawaii was a 4-7 Washington Huskies team. Not coincidentally, Boise State’s two losses came in those two games. Their strongest win on the season was against an eight-win Fresno State team. Overall on the season Boise State feasted on weak competition and inflated its stat line against the absolute dregs of college football. In five games against BCS competition and bowl teams, Boise State outscored the competition by only eight points, posting a 178-170 cumulative score while going just 2-3 against the spread. In its other seven games, the Broncos outscored their opposition 335-73 for an average margin of 37.4 points and a 5-2 spread record. Because of this success against inferior competition the decline of this team has largely gone unnoticed. East Carolina had a non-descript 7-5 season that saw the Pirates struggle against a very strong non-conference slate that included four BCS opponents: Virginia Tech, West Virginia, North Carolina and NC State. In the conference season East Carolina put together a strong showing going 6-2 while winning six out of its last seven conference games. In those six wins they scored an average of 44 points per game. East Carolina used the two-headed quarterback system with quarterbacks Patrick Pinkney and Robert Kaas. The pair proved to be a quality tandem throwing for nearly 2,400 yards with 19 touchdowns and just eight interceptions. Running back Chris Johnson balanced the offense with 1,200 yards behind a stellar 5.8 yards per carry. The Boise offensive numbers are impressive, but I discount them significantly because of the schedule strength. Head coach Chris Petersen is regarded as a top big game coach because of his team’s great showing a season ago, but East Carolina head coach Skip Holtz has proved to be a strong tactician and has had his teams ready and prepared in both the role of the superior and inferior team. During his tenure at East Carolina, the Pirates are 25-10 overall against the spread and 6-1 in the role of a double-digit underdog. So while conventional wisdom might have Boise State rated as the better of these two teams, we are not convinced. The home field advantage and a tremendously weak schedule have been factors more than anything else in any Boise success this season. Those two factors are not issues in this match-up. The overall team speed and athleticism is equal in these programs as neither team is a pipeline to the NFL. With so much being equal we’d expect in a neutral site game that themore battle tested, equally talented, big underdog is the value play

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ANDY ISKOE

Hawaii Bowl

4 Star Boise State over East Carolina


WILD BILL

BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR:

Over 70 1/2 East Carolina-Boise St (10 units) ECU on the road can't stop anyone and Boise knows this field well and also very potent offense. Boise 49 ECU


JOHN CAMBELL FROM COVERS: 1-4 SO FAR

East Carolina vs. Boise State (-10 ½, 71)
Hope you liked your recent trip to Hawaii, Boise State. Now turn around and go back. I really like how tough East Carolina plays, but that is one long trip and the Pirates are probably going to want to enjoy it when they get there.

Pick: Boise State -10 ½

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TED SEVRANSKY

GAME: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Dec 23, 2007 1:00PM

REASON FOR PICK: Tony Dungy?s track record as the Colts head coach is remarkably consistent. This is Dungy?s sixth year on the job in Indianapolis. In his five previous seasons, the Colts have been just where they are now ? a team with double digit wins, tuning up and getting healthy for a playoff run. And in those five previous seasons, the Colts ATS mark is remarkably similar in their final two regular season games: 0-2 ATS every single year. That puts Dungy and his Colts on an 0-10 ATS run in the final two games of the season heading into their game against Houston on Sunday, a trend that I fully expect to continue.

Dungy has stated that he won?t be resting his starters this week. That most assuredly doesn?t mean that Indy is going to have a full team of starters in the game on either side of the football when the pointspread outcome is likely to be determined in the fourth quarter. While Dungy has said that he won?t be resting healthy starters, he?s also said that with the Colts locked into the #2 seed in the AFC, the myriad of banged up and injured Colts are not likely to see much playing time here. That list of banged up players is remarkably long, including defensive end Robert Mathis, defensive tackle Raheem Brock, offensive tackle Ryan Diem, cornerback Antoine Bethea, and many, many others. They?ll join Marvin Harrison, Dwight Freeney and many others on the sidelines for this game. And, should the Colts take a solid early lead, don?t be surprised to see Peyton Manning sit in favor of Jim Sorgi in the second half. Indy will not be playing with full intensity this week.

That most assuredly is not the case for the Houston Texans. Gary Kubiak?s squad is sitting at .500 in the toughest division in football, with a chance to earn the first winning record in the six year existence of the franchise. Yes, Houston was eliminated from playoff contention last week, but all signs point towards a concerted effort in Indy on Sunday. With the Sage Rosenfels/Andre Johnson QB/WR duo making big plays every week and Ron Dayne continuing to grind out tough yards on the ground, look for the Texans to keep this one close throughout, with a chance at the outright upset. Take the Texans.


Texans

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T. Striker's AFC Absolute Roast - 26-10 ATS Sweet Situation!

#320 INDIANAPOLIS (-) over Houston at 1 PM EST

With each team's 2007 fate already determined, look for Indianapolis to put a higher level of importance on this division contest than Houston. Back in 2005, the Colts rested a ton of starters in their last two regular season games and paid the price in the first round of the playoffs when Pittsburgh strolled into Indy and pulled off the upset. Colts head Coach Tony Dungy won't let his team do that again!

This is actually a great spot to fade Houston too. Since 1983, road teams are a soft 52-72 ATS provided they enter off back-to-back straight up underdog wins. If our guest is matched up against an opponent that enters off a straight up win, this situation dips to a dismal 21-40-1 ATS. With those two parameters applied and our visitor off a non-division game, this system crashes to a shocking 10-26 ATS. The Texans apply to all thee parameters of this angle.

On foreign soil coming off a straight up victory, Houston has struggled anyway notching a soft 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS mark including a nasty 0-7 SU and ATS in this set provided the Texans were priced as a pup of +1' or more last. Meanwhile, QB Peyton Manning and the Horseshoes have been at their best coming off a momentum building win of seven points or more posting a solid 34-20 ATS record in their next game.

Indy has posted a perfect 5-0 SU mark at home against Houston and has won those AFC South battles by an average of 18.6 points per game. The first playoff game for the Colts is still four weeks away. The Horseshoes can't take their foot off the gas now. Take Indianapolis! Thank you and best of luck, T. S.

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L. Ness' Las Vegas Insider-NFL Week 16 (9-2 run with NFL Insiders the L10 weeks!)

My Las Vegas Insider is on the Sea Seahawks at 4:15 ET.

It's been a long and hard fall for the Ravens this year, after going 13-3 in 2006. Neither McNair nor Boller could stay healthy at QB and neither played well when given the chance. The once-proud defense has been decimated by injuries and the Ravens enter this game on a seven-game losing streak. Baltimore is 4-10 on the year and owns an NFL-worst 2-12 ATS mark. The team gave its all in Week 13 on MNF, losing a controversial 27-24 game to the Pats. Seemingly, the Ravens are done, as they followed that game by getting pounded by the Colts in Week 14 and then losing to the previously winless Dolphins last week. heading into this game, Troy Smith gets his first-ever start at QB and the defensive injuries continue to mount. Baltimore has committed 36 turnovers and owns a league-worst minus-18 turnover ratio. The Seahawks must be embarrassed by last week's effort at Carolina, losing 13-10 and ending a 5-0 SU and ATS run. Granted the team had just clinched the NFC West the previous week but the team was a "no-show" against the Panthers. With Seattle still battling Tampa Bay for the NFC's 3rd seed (both are 9-5), expect a much better effort here, in the team's final home game. Hasselbeck has had an excellent season, posting an 11-3 ratio during the team's five-game winning streak. His ratio is 16-5 at home and 25-10 overall on the year. Baltimore's pass D held opposing QBs to a 63.4 rating LY (16-28 ratio) but this year opposing QBs have a 20-13 ratio and a collective rating of 89.5! Hasselbeck will have little trouble against this outfit and that may also open up some running lanes. Seattle's won its last four home games (4-0 ATS) by an average margin of almost 20 points and Sunday easily takes care of a Baltimore team which is "counting the days" until Dec 30! Las Vegas Insider on the Sea Seahawks. Good Luck...L

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S. Spritzer's 25* NFL Sunday Smackdown! *27-16, 63%!

I'm laying the points with the Titans on Sunday.
Tennessee continues to try and keep their playoff hopes alive. Good news this week, because the right matchup comes to town. The Jets' front seven has not fared too well against the run all season and the defense ranks 30th in the league against the run. This means Tennessee's offense should be at their best. They'll be able to run right at the Jets' defense effectively, which means Vince Young will be able to play-action and also use his legs to attack this defense. It will be David Harris' job to mirror Lendale White on Sunday, which means he'll get lost when Young does use play-action and also in the short passing game. Defensively, the Titans have been an absolute beast at home. They're allowing just 184 passing yards per game with 10 interceptions and just six TDs allowed. Tennessee has 31 sacks on the season, with a whopping 24 coming on their home turf. They'll take on a banged-up Jets' offense, and a team that put everything they had into last week's game against New England. We've seen how poorly teams have done the week after playing the Pats this season. I expect more of the same this week resulting in a three touchdown win by the Titans. I'm laying the points with Tennessee. Thanks! GL! S.

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Norm Hitzges

NFL

Triple Play

Seattle -10 vs Baltimore

Double Play

Tennessee -9 vs NY Jets
San Diego -8.5 vs Denver

Single Plays

Dallas -10.5 vs Carolina
Dallas/Carolina Under
Detroit -4.5 vs Kansas City
Cleveland -2 vs Cincinnati
New England -22 vs Miami
Buffalo +2 vs NY Giants
Jacksonville -13 vs Oakland
Tennessee/NY Jets Under
Buffalo/NY Giants Under

East Carolina +10.5 vs Boise State

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Point Train 2007 Football

10-UNIT NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR

OVER 47,NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -vs-Philadelphia Eagles

Rating: 10 units

OVER 47 Philadelphia at New Orleans at 1:00 pm EST The offensive explosions of teams like New England, Dallas, Green Bay and Cleveland have taken away from New Orleans being every bit as good on offense as it was last year. After averaging just 12.8 ppg in their first four games, the Saints have averaged 28 ppg in their last 10 games, scoring fewer than 23 points just once in their last eight games. Drew Brees has once again been the catalyst, rebounding from a slow start to complete 76% of his passes for 303.1 passing ypg, 20 touchdowns and just five interceptions in his last eight games. He looks no different than the Brees that was an MVP candidate last year. Helping Brees has been a rejuvenated running game led by Aaron Stecker. Since replacing Reggie Bush as the starter two games ago, Stecker has totaled 195 rushing yards and two scores. The Saints offense has needed to be great this year just to stay competitive as the defense has struggled all year to stop the opposition. New Orleans is 27th in the NFL in yards allowed per game and has allowed 23 or more points in eight of its 14 games. Philly’s offense hasn’t been great this year but it doesn’t need to be against New Orleans. The Eagles own one of the league’s most potent offensive weapons in Brian Westbrook, who has tallied nearly 2,000 yards of total offense this year. His production has played a big role in Philadelphia averaging 350.2 ypg this year, good for eighth in the NFL. This series has a history of high-scoring affairs with each of the last four meetings and six of the last eight going over the total. The last four games have averaged 49.8 total ppg and this game should exceed that. With no weather to disrupt offenses, this game will see plenty of points early and often. This game could easily go over by the end of the third quarter. Take the OVER between New Orleans and Philly.


INTERCONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-10.5) over Baltimore Ravens

Rating: 3 units

SEATTLE (-) over Baltimore at 4:15 pm EST The Seahawks laid an absolute clunker in their 13-10 loss at Carolina last week. But their clunker couldn’t even come close to comparing to Baltimore’s. The Ravens fell 22-16 at the previously winless Dolphins last week and look as though they’ve packed in for the season. Since blowing it in a loss to New England two weeks ago, Baltimore has looked completely flat in losing by 24 points at home to Indianapolis and at Miami a week ago. The Miami loss dropped Baltimore’s ATS record to 0-7 on the road for the year. The Ravens have lost through seven games by 11.6 ppg. Seattle, meanwhile, has its division sewn up but the third seed in the playoffs is still up in the air. The Seahawks are tied with Tampa Bay at 9-5 and need a win to secure the third seed. They are 6-1 (5-2 ATS) at home this year with those six wins coming by 16 ppg. Ride with Seattle.


TOTAL DOMINATION

UNDER 39,SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -vs-Baltimore Ravens

Rating: 3 units

UNDER 39 Baltimore at Seattle at 4:15 pm EST This total is based almost completely on Seattle shutting down a putrid Baltimore offense. Baltimore’s offense is awful as is but it will now have rookie Troy Smith making his first professional start under center. That doesn’t bode well when going up against a tough Seattle defense. The Seahawks are second in the NFL with 41 sacks on the year, led by Pro Bowl defensive end Patrick Kerney, who has 13.5 sacks. Everybody saw how Smith handles pressure in last season’s college football championship game: not well. That pass rush will be even more ferocious in this game, which will severely limit what an already limited Baltimore offense can do. Smith’s inexperience will allow the Seahawks to crowd the line of scrimmage to shut down running back Willis McGahee. McGahee has had a solid season but is slowing down with the season coming to a close. He has averaged just 3.7 ypc over his last four games and will find little running room with eight guys in the box in this game. The Seahawks might score their share of points but they won’t score enough for this total to overcome Baltimore’s complete lack of offense. This game stays well UNDER the total.

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Teddy Covers

20* East Carolina +11

NFL

Packers -
Texans +
Bills +
Titans -

all reg plays

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Michael Cannon

Sunday's Early Plays

30 Dime -
TITANS

15 Dime -
BROWNS

Sunday's Late Plays

15 Dime -
EAST CAROLINA

5 Dime -
REDSKINS

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Brandon Lang

SUNDAY'S PICKS

30 Dime - Jacksonville

15 Dime - Seattle

5 Dime - New Orleans

5 Dime - Cleveland

5 Dime - Arizona

Can't believe I only got a split with my 15 Dime releases yesterday, winning with Ohio State in hoops but losing with BYU in the Las Vegas Bowl. Never in a million years did I think the Cougars would struggle so much against the Bruins.

Time to get back to the drawing board.

There are step up days and there are step up days.

Today is as big a step up day as I have had all year long.

A big day today and it's a winning week. At the end of the day it will be a hard fought goal met.

I love the last few weeks of the NFL season because you can find some gems on the card and I have a few of those rolling out today.

There is not a whole lot left for me to say.

My selections today will do the rest of the talking for me. Enjoy the winning day.

30 Dime - Jacksonville

Question for you: The Jags ran over, around and through the Steelers defense in Pittsburgh last Sunday as Fred Taylor and the guys got 224 on the ground. If they could do that on the road against a decent Pitt defense, what are they going to do at home against an Oakland rushing defense ranked 31st in the league, a unit that allows 144 yards a game (4.7 yards per carry)?

The Raiders had their chance at a HUGE upset last Sunday when they should have and could have beaten the Colts. But they didn't and now they're back on the East Coast where they're 4-11 ATS the last 15 times they've crossed the country.

The Jags are red-hot; they've covered six straight and 10 of 12 and the offense is humming, averaging 28 points the past eight weeks.

The Raiders got crushed at Green Bay two Sundays ago in their last road game. Expect the same here.

15 Dime - Seattle

If you can't beat the Dolphins, how can you compete against the Seahawks in Seattle starting a rookie quarterback (Troy Smith)? The Ravens have lost 8 in a row straight-up and are 2-12 ATS on the year for good reason. They stink. Simple as that. And the defense? It stinks. 31 points allowed per game the last seven games. Look for the Seahawks to rebound from that piss-poor effort at Carolina last Sunday, and based on the Panthers' play last night against the Cowboys, perhaps that game last week wasn't as bad as Carolina is seemingly playing a lot better. Forget about the loss. I know the Seahawks will. They're back home and they're going to score a bunch of points on this bad Baltimore D and put lots of pressure on Troy Smith too.

5 Dime - New Orleans

The Eagles pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the NFL season last week, stunning the 12-1 Cowboys as a 10-point road underdog. But now I believe they’re emotionally spent for this game against the Saints. I just don’t see Philly bringing the same kind of intense, focused effort into the Superdome as it took into Dallas. It’s hard enough to play back-to-back road games in this league. It’s even more difficult to do so when you’re coming off your biggest victory of the season and you have nothing to play for, as the Eagles have officially been eliminated from playoff contention.

On the other hand, New Orleans is playing for its life and has to win out to keep its playoff hopes alive. Drew Brees is coming off a huge game against Arizona 26-for-30 for 315 yards, two TDs and no INTs) and I expect him to put up some nice numbers against an Eagles defense that has struggled on artificial surfaces this year (28 points, 385 total yards, 282 passing yards allowed per game).

5 Dime - Cleveland

I was going to use the Browns bigger today, but that weather report for Cincinnati really had be worried. Winds gusting up to 39 miles per hour and rain. That might be worse than playing in last week's blizzard against the Bills. Still like the Browns, though, just not as big. Jamal Lewis rushed for 215 yards in the first meeting in week 2 and he's coming off a big game in the snow last week. Look for him to keep it going against a Cincy defense ranked 24th in the league against the run. Plus, if the Bengals couldn't stop an awful San Fran offense last Saturday, why in the world would anyone think they could stop a Cleveland attack that put 51 points on the board against them in week 2? Ok, maybe the weather keeps the scoring down, but I'll back the better team in the Browns, who are also playing the better defense of late, allowing an average of just 16 points the past four weeks. Plus, hard to deny that Cleveland has made you money as a favorite going 13-3 ATS the last 16 times its being cast as a chalk.

5 Dime - Arizona

Both teams are eliminated, but at least Arizona is playing at home, has some talent at the skill positions, and has a real coach. That's worth 10 points right there. The Falcons have lost 5 in a row by an average of almost 22 points a game. Hey, if the Cards beat them and the Rams next weekend at home, they at least salvage an 8-8 season in Ken Whisenhunt's first in charge, and that alone is a huge step in the right direction for this long-struggling franchise. The Falcons lost 37-3 in Tampa last week. Now they cross the country for their 3rd road game in four weeks. Nothing but bad news all the way around

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ARMVIN SPORTS

CFB12/23/2007 EAST CAROLINA 10.5


NFL12/23/2007 CLEVELAND -3
NFL12/23/2007 DETROIT -5.5
NFL12/23/2007 PHILADELPHIA 3
NFL12/23/2007 ARIZONA -10.5


NHL12/23/2007 OTTAWA atNY RANGERS Over 5.5
NHL12/23/2007 COLORADO -140

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Mike Rose

CFB 12/23/2007 EAST CAROLINA at BOISE STATE Over 68

NFL12/23/2007 CHICAGO 8.5
NFL12/23/2007 BUFFALO 2.5
NFL12/23/2007 WASHINGTON 6.5

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Mike Lineback

Guys, this is what I’m playing today. I realize Bears First H OVER may be difficult to play for most (especially U.S. players). Note: I love this play but not @ -7 pts. In addition, decided to play Giants on the ML. However, if you have to pay more than -135, I would recommend playing @ -2.5 -110. As always, we highly recommend you buy off the 3 pts if necessary in either the Giants or Philly game.

No baskets or college football today.

Selection 1: NFL Team Totals (317-318)
5* Chicago Bears 23-December-2007 10:00 AM PST
Team Points FIRST HALF OVER 6.5 for Game -130 @ THE GREEK

Selection 2: NFL Football (325)
4* New York Giants 23-December-2007 10:00 AM PST
Money Line for Game -135 @ BOOKMAKER

Selection 3: NFL Football (329)
4* Philadelphia Eagles 23-December-2007 10:00 AM PST
Spread +3.5 for Game -125 @ THE GREEK

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Arthur Ralph

Super Pick Sunday: Tampa Bay NFL

Sunday : Double Jacksonville NFL
Green Bay & East Carolina in Hawaii Bowl

NOTE: He has lost 4 straight superpicks after winning 10 straight. His regular plays have sucked too. His record on the website for SP says 502-270 which is nice, BUT it said that 4 days ago as well.... before he lost 4 in a row.

Superpick: 10-4 last 14 posted with a 4 game losing streak

Regular: 3-6 last 9 posted going 2-2 yesterday

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Insider Sports Report

5* Detroit -4.5 over Kansas City (NFL)
Range -3 to -6.5

4* Arizona -10 over Atlanta (NFL)
Range -8.5 to -12

3* Cleveland -2.5 over Cincinnati (NFL)
Range -1 to -4.5

3* Boise St./E. Carolina (NCAAF) OVER 67.5
Range 66 to 69.5

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Elite Sports Picks

Philadelphia +3.5 over New Orleans


Discount Sports Picks

10* Philadelphia +3.5 over New Orleans

5* Tennessee -8.5 over N.Y. Jets


Red Zone Sports

Phila + 3

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ATS Financial

Football

3 units on the Green Bay Packers (-7 1/2) over the Chicago Bears, 1:00
3 units on the Washington Redskins (+6 1/2) over the Minnesota Vikings, 8:00
3 units on the Tampa Bay Bucs (-5 1/2) over the San Francisco 49'ers, 4:00

BASKETBALL

4 units on NC State (-11) over Cincinnati, 7:30

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PPP

Sunday Totals

5% Over 47 New Orleans/Phil

3% Over 43.5 Cinn/Cleveland

3% Under 38.5 Jacksonville/Oakland

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