Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Mike Stone

1000 unit CFB Neveda +2.5 or better

500 unit CBB Western Kentucky +4

What an ugly couple of days. We started the week in expected fashion as Sunday the Panthers +7.5 dogs won straight up in my 500 unit play. Monday, we rolled to another Winner of 300 units making it 4 straight. Since, it has not gone well. I take responsibility for that. That all doesn't matter after today. A huge card, with my ultra rare 1000 unit play as the sharp money is clearly on Neveda.

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Neri Sports

NBA

2* Dallas

CFB

3* So Miss
1* Nevada
1* UCLA

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Real Animal

4* Southern Miss +11 1/2

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NFL Week 16 Sports Marketwatch

Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panther

This is an interesting play for the Sports Marketwatch. We typically like to take underdogs. In this case, however, we see big value on a double-digit favorite. We want to “buy” the Dallas Cowboys off of their loss last week (losing to the lowly, last-place, Eagles). In addition, we want to cash in on Carolina’s positive showing during their victory over first-place Seattle last week.

This is a unique opportunity to receive “value” on one of this year’s Superbowl contenders – against one of the league’s lowest-scoring teams. Our readers know we like to “buy low” (Dallas after a bad loss) and “sell high” (Carolina after a big win). In addition, the line opened at Dallas -13 but has traded down to Dallas -10.5. Take Dallas and the huge 2.5 point value – and look for the Cowboys to bounce back strongly.

Dallas Cowboys -10.5

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Preferred Picks

4* SOUTHERN MISS

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Mike Davis


Tennessee vs. Xavier (NCAAB) - 2:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -3/-112 Xavier Play Title: NCAAB Winner

There is no doubt in my mind that Tennessee has more talent than Xavier. Don't get me wrong -- Xavier has talent but the Vols are a little more talented. However, the Musketeers are a beast when they play at home and Tennessee is the opposite on the road. Xavier has won 14 straight at home and they have won 50 of 55 non conference games at the Cintas Center overall. Tennessee is averaging over 14 points per game less on the road than at home. That is a huge difference. The Vols are only shooting 39.1 percent on the road compared to 50.8 percent at Thompson-Boiling Arena -- WOW! It's safe to say that both teams play with emotion and their emotion is fueled by the home crowd. One team has the home crowd today and one does not! Don't over think this situation. TAKE XAVIER

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T. Striker's 4* Non-Conference CBB Wire-to-Wire Roast - 35-10 ATS Angle Applies!

#792 BRADLEY (-) over VCU at 8 PM EST
After getting clocked at Butler on Wednesday night, Bradley will be elated to be back in the friendly confines of Carver Arena. The Braves haven't been home for 18 days and still haven't forgotten about their last contest in Peoria when No. 9 Michigan State came to town and upset them 66-61.

With a 31-4 SU record, Bradley head Coach Jim Les has done is taken care of business at home in non-conference play. The Braves seem to elevate their play in their own backyard too. At Carver Arena priced as a favorite or an underdog of +2 or less, Bradley is a sensational 41-16 ATS. Wait, that's not the best part. If Bradley owns a won/loss percentage of .425 or better in this set, the Braves improve to a mind-boggling 35-10-1 ATS!

Led by guards Eric Maynar and Jamal Shuler, VCU has cruised to a 7-3 SU record this season. Unfortunately, this is going to be a tough spot for the Rams. As a road dog matched up against an opponent that enters off a straight up loss, VCU is a soft 5-35 SU and 12-24-4 ATS. Even worse, in this role running with four or more days rest, the Rams drop to a nasty 3-16-2 ATS!

The Braves haven't lost two straight since dropping a pair to Missouri State and Creighton in late January of last season. They won't lose this one either. Take Bradley. Thank you and best of luck, T. Striker

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Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (4-1 last 10 days with CBB Insiders!)-Day

My Las Vegas Insider is on Cleveland St at 1:00 ET. Las Vegas Insider on Cleveland St.

Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (7-2 in CBB this year!)

My Oddsmaker's Error Play is on Missouri at 8:30 ET

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Gameday:

4* DALLAS.

Opinions Southern Miss and Nevada


4* MISSOURI.
3*'s on Cal-State Fullerton.
2*'s on Tennessee and Bradley

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DOC

4 Unit Play. #729 Take Miami +19 over Kansas (1:00 pm ESPN fullcourt) The Jayhawks are off to another fast stat this year and it will be interesting to see if Coach Self can actually get a team to the finally four and live up to expectations come March. The Redhawks are just 6-4 on the season, but already have some outstanding wins against Xavier, Illinois, and Mississippi State. Parley that with the fact that their four losses have come by a combined nine points, less then half of today’s posted number. The Hawks win the game but it will be much closer then what the experts think.


4 Unit Play. #744 Take Northern Iowa -4 ½ over Nevada (2:00 pm ESPN fullcourt) On paper this appears to be a solid mid-major match-up between two program that flirt with NCAA tournament bids each season. The Panthers are off to another outstanding start this season currently at 7-2 and already have road wins at Milwaukee, Kansas City, & Ames. The Wolf Pack lost much of their scoring punch from last season with the loss of Nick Fazekas and without him, the Panthers do not have to worry too much about an inside presence. They have just won victory on the road and have never fared that well when they cross the Rockies to play a regular season affair. The Panthers pull away late to win this game early and often.


4 Unit Play. #747 Take Arkansas Little Rock +13 ½ over Creighton (3:05 pm) Way too many points to be laying considering these teams are a combined 17-2 on the season. The Trojans are 2-0 on the road this season and will stay in this contest from start to finish.


4 Unit Play. #758 Take Green Bay -13 over Northern Illinois (3:00 pm) All the stats point to an easy victory by the home team evident by the fact they have won 23 of the 28 lifetime meetings. Green Bay has played a tough schedule that included Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Chicago, whereas NIU is just 2-8 on the season.


4 Unit Play. #760 Take Ohio State -6 over Florida (4:00 pm CBS) Revenge is best served on the field and that will be the case when the Buckeyes welcome in the 2-time defending champion Florida Gators. The Gators have played one true opponent this season and have yet to play a true road game. Florida State pounded them in Gainesville and this team starts five guys you probably have never heard of. The Buckeyes have won seven of their first ten games, but everybody is off of them since they lost an exhibition game to open the season. Their three losses have been to A & M, UNC, and Butler, all of which are currently ranked. The Buckeyes want to blow out Florida and they will get their revenge.


4 Unit Play. #776 Take Fullerton -7 over Wright State (6:00 pm) A nice mid afternoon start time is what awaits this mid-major tilt in California. The Raiders have played a home heavy schedule and suffered a 15-point loss in their only true road game this season against Marist. Fullerton will make it three straight home victories, this one coming by double digits.


4 Unit Play. #779 Take Texas +4 over Michigan State (6:30 pm ESPN 2) The Horns have been one of the most surprising teams this season and will head into Michigan looking for their 12th victory on the season. They already have the most impressive victory on the season of any team, winning at UCLA and this will be close throughout but the Horns will find a way to get the job done.


5 Unit Play. #816 Take Alabama -1 ½ over Missouri State (8:00 pm) This will be the third time we have gone against the Bears this season and this will be the third time we collect in a big way. Both teams have not beaten anybody this season but Alabama has already played Georgetown and Texas A & M that will prepare them for this neutral site match-up. Bama can shoot the ball well making over 53% of their shots in their last outings. Just a classic game with a mid-major program where the big boys have the edge in talent, depth, and experience.

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FERRINGO

6-Unit Play. Take #760 Ohio State (-5) over Florida (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Note: I like this play up to -6.0, meaning it is a play at 5.0, 5.5, or 6.0. Anything over that you have to bump it down one or two Units, at your discretion. At -6.5 or above I wouldn't play it for more than four Units.

Wow. I like this one a LOT. Do you know the two teams with the highest RPI’s that Florida has beaten this year? North Dakota State (121) and Georgia Southern (70). They won those games, at home, by 10 and 3 points, respectively. The only RPI Top-100 team they’ve faced this year is Florida State and the Seminoles beat the Gators by 14 points in Gainesville. This is also Florida’s first true road game and their first game outside of the state of Florida. Oh, and then there’s that little thing about revenge for the national championship game (in basketball and in football). The Gators are 2-5 ATS against the Big 10 and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. This one should be a bloodbath.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #729 Miami, OH (+19.5) over Kansas (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Note: This line is now at 18.5. I still like it for the same amount. If it drops any more you can think about dropping the half-Unit off the end.

Over their last four-plus years – that’s a span of 131 games – do you know how many times that Miami, OH has been beaten by 20 or more points? Twice. In fact, since 1997 – that’s around 300 games – the Redhawks have been beaten by 15 or more points just 25 times. That’s 8.3 percent. In those 300 games they’ve lost by 20 or more points just eight times. That’s just 2.7 percent. I will play a 97.3-percent trend over 300 trials. The Redhawks have already covered in Louisville and in Champagne. They’ve played just three of their 10 games against teams outside of the RPI top 85. They can hang.

2-Unit Play. Take #719 Georgetown (+5) over Memphis (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 22)
You want to give Georgetown five points? Let’s put it this way: would you be shocked if the Hoyas won this game? I wouldn’t. And as we saw with Pitt earlier in the week, this is simply too much of a cushion in a game that a dominant Big East team could win outright. I could talk matchups on this one all day, but trust me, this is the right side in a game that I do not see the Tigers running away with by double-digits. G-Town is 11-3-1 ATS on the road, 21-7-1 as a road dog of 1.0 to 6.5 points, and 10-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a favorite and 2-6 ATS in nonconference games.

2-Unit Play. Take #753 Oregon State (+14) over Louisiana State (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #810 Clemson (-2.5) over Mississippi (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take #843 Appalachian State (+17) over Arkansas (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
This is a special group of plays I like to call, The SEC Sucks. That’s right boys and girls, I’m going to apologize to you for not betting blindly against every SEC team this year – especially SEC West teams. The SEC is just 30-46 ATS this season (39.4 percent) and the SEC West is just 12-25 ATS as a group (32.4 percent). These teams stink, and LSU and Arkansas are laying way, way too many points.

4-Unit Play. Take #816 Alabama (-130) over Missouri State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Oh, so why are we backing Alabama? Because as bad as they are they still have hung with teams like Georgetown and Texas A&M. They are at home and facing a Bears team that has been less than stellar on the road.

4-Unit Play. Take #779 Texas (+4.5) over Michigan State (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
I think this is too many points to give the better team here. If Texas can win at UCLA, they can certainly win at Michigan State in the Palace. I love Texas’ guards and I don’t see them not either winning this game or at least taking it to the wire.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #755 San Diego State (+11.5) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Possible let down spot here for the Wildcats. That, and I just don’t see where Arizona has that extra offensive gear to blow a visitor out of the gym. SDSU has not played a challenging schedule to this point but you know they’re going to be up for this one.

2-Unit Play. Take #799 Valparaiso (+13) over Wisconsin (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
I think that Valpo has the size and experience to hang with the Buckeyes. Wisconsin-Green Bay only trailed by about 12 or 14 points for most the second half before letting it get to 18 late. I think Valpo is better equipped and I think they can hang within 10 here.

2-Unit Play. Take #786 East Carolina (Pk) over UNC-Wilmington (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
The Pirates have recently beaten N.C. State and George Mason. UNC-W has been poor on the road, most recently dropping a game at Coastal Carolina this week. I like the line movement and I like the home squad from the bigger conference.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #853 Eastern Kentucky (+9) over Austin Peay (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Only three of the last 10 meetings have been decided by 10 points or more. EKU has already won at Murray State and are 13-3 ATS in OVC play.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #721 UC-Santa Barbara (+21.5) over North Carolina (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Get used to seeing the words “over North Carolina” on this page. Over the next two weeks I think we are going to have some solid games to play against them, and it starts right here. This line is about six or seven points heavy. UC-SB has an RPI of 76. That makes them the second-best team that UNC has played. I think that the Guacho’s are looking at this one like it’s the NCAA Title Game, and that they are able to hang around and lose by about 16 or 18.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #763 Northeastern (+12) over Boston College (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Northeastern just kind of hangs around teams. They’ve been doing it for years, and this season they’ve lost at Connecticut, Maryland and Illinois by an average of 6.7 points. B.C. hasn’t played in 10 days and are a young team. Not sure if they have the maturity to dominate a regional opponent that you know will be way, way up for this game.

1-Unit Play. Take #793 UAB (+3) over Wichita State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
UAB won at Kentucky. If they can win at Kentucky, they can win against a pretty bad Wichita State team.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Magliosa
S Miss

Lenny Stevens
20 BYU
10 Cinc

Purelock
Nevada

Guaranteed
BYU

Cokin
Hat - S Miss
3 BYU

Directors
Cinc

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Yankee Capper

NFL
4 Units - Dallas Cowboys -10 ½

NCAA Football
3 Units - UCLA +6 ½
3 units - Southern Mississippi +11 ½
2 Units - Nevada +3 ½

NBA
2 Units - Chicago Bulls +1 ½

NHL
5 Units - Buffalo Sabres
5 Units - Nashville Predators
3 Units - Carolina Hurricanes
1 Units - Chicago Blackhawks

NCAA Basketball
5 Units - Georgetown +4
4 Units - Santa Clara +12 ½
4 units - Depaul -5 ½
3 Units - North Carolina -21 ½
3 Units - Creighton -13
3 Units - Florida +6
3 Units - Wright State +7
2 Units - Notre Dame -22 ½
2 Units - Southern Illinois -4 ½
2 Units - Michigan +14 ½

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

JEFFERSONSPORTS
4-1 last night (hit 8 of last 11)

updated records since october 6th

NHL 34-21
NCAA HOOPS 35-24
NBA 36-26
NFL 10-9
NCAA FOOTBALL 18-7

OVERALL RECORD 133-87 (61%) since oct 6th

NCAA HOOPS
GEORGETOWN+4.5
OHIO ST.-6
NCAA FOOTBALL
SOUTHERN MISS+11.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Alex smart

Georgetown +5

Ark LR +13.5

Canisius +28

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Larry Ness' 20* NFL Saturday GOY (won 8 of L10 NFL weeks / over 62% with all games!)

My 20* play is on the Dal Cowboys at 8:15 ET. Did Romo and the Cowboys get exposed last week in their 10-6 loss to the Eagles or was it just a wake-up call? I vote for the latter. Romo was DREADFUL, completing 13-of-36 with three INTs and a QB rating of 22.2. However, let's consider that he had led the Cowboys to seven straight wins after the New England loss, completing over 70 percent of his throws with a 20-5 ratio. His QB rating was 100.0 or better in EACH of the seven wins and it's 101.0 for the entire year (64.9 percent / 35-17 ratio). Dallas owns a balanced running attack with Barber and Jones, while T.O (74 catches / 14 TDs) and TE Witten (88 catches) lead the receiving corps. Carolina is barely holding on to its playoff hopes at 6-8 (real long shot), averaging about HALF (15.9 PPG) of what Dallas scores (30.6) on the season. Incredibly, the Panthers are their FOURTH starting QB (rookie Matt Moore) and seem hardly likely to trade points with Dallas. Last week, the Panthers caught a 'flat' Seattle team, escaping with an 'ugly' 13-10 win. Here, the Cowboys have left themselves little margin of error if they want homefield advantage (and they SURELY do!), after last week's loss. Philly was able to bother Romo by pressuring him all game, something Carolina does NOT figure to be able to do, as the Panthers rank dead-last in the NFL with just 19 sacks (DE Peppers is likely out, to boot!). Road favorites have done very well since Week 10 and like Pittsburgh on Thursday, we have a road favorite in this one with something to PROVE and GAIN, playing a home dog not capable of matching up. Saturday NFL Game of the Year 20* Dal Cowboys.

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Scott Spreitzer's 25* CBB Value Crusher! *56-22, 72% CBB Run!

I'm laying the points with the Vikings on Saturday. I must admit, I was surprised that CSU fell by as many points as they did against Ohio State earlier this week. But CSU was too jacked-up at the start and the Buckeyes were unstoppable and red-hot, hitting four treys in the first six minutes of the game. But the nature of the loss is much easier to get over than if it were a close, heartbreaking defeat. They'll have no trouble getting ready for CMU. As you'll recall if you were with me the last time I had CSU, coach Gary Waters empasizes strong guard play. Waters has been on his team since the moment the OSU loss was over. He brought in serious backcourt additions in the off-season, led by 6'2 guard Cedric Jackson. The junior transfer leads the Vikings in scoring. Jackson is also averaging over 5 assists per contest to go along with 3 steals! But he had a horrible shooting night in the loss to the Buckeyes. I believe he'll make up for it with an outstanding bounce-back performance today. CSU has played a decent early slate. They beat a good Florida State team on November 17, in Daytona. Jackson finished with 27 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, and 4 steals in that one! And along with Breyhon Watson and freshman D'Aundray Brown, CSU can really force teams out of their offensive game. Central Michigan's 4-6 start has been a little disappointing. Their only wins have come against Detroit, Robert Morris, CSUF, and Michigan. The job will be much tougher in this road venture. Look for the Vikings to bounce right back into the win column with a 10 point win. Cleveland State is my 25* release on Saturday

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Gold Sheet phone service:

1.5 So Miss
1 Nevada
1 UCLA

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Eddie Mush

Basketball
10 units on Tennessee +4.5 over Xavier
6 units on Northeastern +12.5 over Boston College
6 units on UAB +3 over Wichita State
5 units on Phoenix -10 over Toronto
4 units on Memphis -4 over Georgetown

Football
3 units on Carolina +11.5 over Cowboys

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Teddy June

College Basketball

15* Xavier Musketeers

15* Ohio State Buckeyes

10* Michigan State Spartans


College Football

10* Southern Miss Golden Eagles

10* New Mexico Lobos

10* BYU Cougars

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