Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

LeRoy's Contest:

Nick Bogdanovich

342 Boise St. -10.5
336 Seahawks -10
316 Bengals +3
328 Jaguars -13
322 Lions -5
326 Bills +3
Best Bet:
314 BYU -6.5

Jorge Gonzalez

318 Bears +8.5
316 Bengals +3
326 Bills +3
314 BYU -6.5
330 Saints -3
319 Texans +7
Best Bet:
324 Patriots -21.5


Doc

314 BYU -6.5
316 Bengals +3
331 Redskins +6.5
328 Jaguars -13
329 Eagles +3
340 49ers +6
Best Bet:
322 Lions OV43

Paul Sonner

311 Nevada +2.5
341 E. Car +10.5
319 Texans +7
322 Lions -5
326 Bills +3
331 Redskins UN41
Best Bet:
324 Patriots OV45

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Arthur Ralph:

Super Pick Saturday: Stanford (10-3 last 13, 3 game losing streak)

Saturday : Double UCLA FB
Shockers Georgetown College Hoop early game, Dallas NFL, New Mexico College FB

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Black Magic Sports for December 22nd

NCAA Football:

5 Unit Las Vegas Bowl BEST BET on UCLA +6

The UCLA Bruins handed BYU one of their two losses this season back in September in a 27-17 triumph. It just goes to show how the Pac-10 conference is much more superior than the Mountain West. UCLA has the more talented team and this line is an absolute joke Saturday. BYU is good within their conference, but they difference between the talent in these conferences will come pouring out in the Las Vegas Bowl. UCLA is 10-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. The Bruins put up a great fight against the USC Trojans to end the year but came up short. Players will be more hungry to finish off the season with a bang. BYU already won the Mountain West crown and a loss wouldn't hamper what they have already done this season. Cash in with UCLA as the underdog.

3 Unit Papa Johns.com Bowl BEST BET on Cincinnati -10.5

The Golden Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Cincinnati will show the linesmakers exactly why they listed Southern Miss as a double-digit underdog Saturday. The Bearcats win this one by at least 20 points. The Bearcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Cash in with Cincinnati as the favorite.

NFL:

4 Unit Black Magic Cowboys/Panthers Total on UNDER 43

This game won't finish anywhere near the posted 43 points Saturday. Carolina cannot score points with their 4 th string quarterback at the helm. The Panthers could only muster up 13 points last week in a career game for Matt Moore. They did hold the Seahawks to just 10 points to prove that their defensive effort is still there. Carolina has had one of the best defenses in the league for years now. Dallas will put up more than the 6 points they threw up against Philadelphia last weekend, but it won't be enough to push this game over the number. Dallas is 35-15 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Carolina is 11-3 UNDER i n home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with the UNDER 43 points.

NCAA Basketball:

3 Unit Sharp Play on Ohio State -6

Home court is huge in college hoops and it gives the Buckeyes the edge here. Ohio State is 15-6 ATS versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 3 seasons. The Buckeyes are also 10-1 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons and 17-6 ATS after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. This is the Gators' first true road test of the year and they'll fail miserably. Ohio State will get some revenge for last year's National Title defeat. Lay the points.

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BIG AL's PAPA JOHNS BOWL OUT OF 26-6, 17-3 SYSTEMS

BIG AL's 20-3 ATS NEW MEXICO/NEVADA WINNER.

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BIG AL

(3*)Southern Mississippi
(3*)New Mexico

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ATS LOCK CLUB

310 4-Cinncy -10 1/2
312 3-N Mexico -2 1/2

Hoops
780 7-Mich St. -3 1/2
801 6-Mizz -2 1/2
799 5-Valpo +13
766 5-Providence -3 1/2
794 4-Wichita St. -2 1/2

ATS FINANCIAL
307 3-Dallas -10

Hoops
792 4-Bradley -5
756 4-Arizona -11
788 3-Minnesota -11 1/2

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Glen Mcgrew comp LSU

Bob Donahue comp texas a&m

Jim Feist free play utah-miami over

Dave Cokin bowl comp nevada

Scott Spreitzer comp georgetown

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Robert Ferringo

6-Unit Play. Take #760 Ohio State (-5) over Florida (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Note: I will update this in the morning. I like this play up to -6.0, meaning it is a play at 5.0, 5.5, or 6.0. Anything over that you have to bump it down one or two Units, at your discretion. At -6.5 or above I wouldn't play it for more than four Units.

Wow. I like this one a LOT. Do you know the two teams with the highest RPI’s that Florida has beaten this year? North Dakota State (121) and Georgia Southern (70). They won those games, at home, by 10 and 3 points, respectively. The only RPI Top-100 team they’ve faced this year is Florida State and the Seminoles beat the Gators by 14 points in Gainesville. This is also Florida’s first true road game and their first game outside of the state of Florida. Oh, and then there’s that little thing about revenge for the national championship game (in basketball and in football). The Gators are 2-5 ATS against the Big 10 and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. This one should be a bloodbath.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #729 Miami, OH (+19.5) over Kansas (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 22)
Over their last four-plus years – that’s a span of 131 games – do you know how many times that Miami, OH has been beaten by 20 or more points? Twice. In fact, since 1997 – that’s around 300 games – the Redhawks have been beaten by 15 or more points just 25 times. That’s 8.3 percent. In those 300 games they’ve lost by 20 or more points just eight times. That’s just 2.7 percent. I will play a 97.3-percent trend over 300 trials. The Redhawks have already won in Louisville and in Champagne. They’ve played just three of their 10 games against teams outside of the RPI top 85. They can hang.

2-Unit Play. Take #719 Georgetown (+5) over Memphis (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 22)
You want to give Georgetown five points? Let’s put it this way: would you be shocked if the Hoyas won this game? I wouldn’t. And as we saw with Pitt earlier in the week, this is simply too much of a cushion in a game that a dominant Big East team could win outright. I could talk matchups on this one all day, but trust me, this is the right side in a game that I do not see the Tigers running away with by double-digits. G-Town is 11-3-1 ATS on the road, 21-7-1 as a road dog of 1.0 to 6.5 points, and 10-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a favorite and 2-6 ATS in nonconference games.

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Michael Cannon

40 Dime

BYU

Lay the points with Byu tonight over Ucla in the Las Vegas Bowl.

The Cougars should be excited about getting a second crack at a beat-up Ucla team that they dominated earlier in the season, but lost to on the scoreboard.

Byu had 199 more total yards of offense and eight more first downs but ended up losing 27-17 earlier in the year. The Bruins got all the bounces in that game, including an interception return for a touchdown that was a huge momentum swing.

Now the Bruins have to deal not only with several injuries to the skill positions on offense and defense, including quarterbacks Ben Olson and Patrick Cowan, but a coaching change as Karl Dorrell was let go after the loss to Usc at the end of the regular season.

Defensive coordinator DeWayne Walker will serve as the interim coach for the Bruins, but it could wind up being a flat spot for the team as the names of other candidates gets bandied about.

Byu is on positive spread runs of 22-10 in its last 33 overall, 4-1 against the Pac-10 and 17-6-1 as a favorite.

Lay the points as Byu gets its revenge with a win and cover.

20 Dime

CINCINNATI

Lay the points with Cincinnati over Southern Miss in the Papa John’s Bowl.

Southern Miss is being coached by Jeff Bower and a lame-duck staff, as they await the installation of Larry Fedora’s system in the spring. It could lead to a major distraction as Bower could wind up coaching against these very players as his name is being mentioned as a candidate for a few open jobs.

Cincinnati will treat this game as a genuine reward, as they won nine games for the first time since 1953, setting school records for points, touchdowns and passing touchdowns.

The Bearcats also have a ball-hawking defense (39 takeaways) that could help to stretch the lead as the game goes on and Southern Miss is forced to open it up once they fall behind.

Southern Miss is 0-7 ATS in its last seven as an underdog and 1-6 ATS in its last seven following a SU win.

Cincinnati went 5-1 ATS on the highway this year, 4-0 ATS in non-conference games, 5-0 ATS against teams with a winning record and 7-1 ATS following a SU win.

Cincinnati brings the higher emotion and intensity into this matchup and I expect them to grab the win and cover.

Take the Bearcats minus the points.

10 Dime

CLEVELAND STATE

Take Cleveland State as the small home chalk over Central Michigan.

Cleveland State went into Kalamazoo last year off an 8-day break and forced two overtimes before losing. If they had shot better than 50 percent from the free-throw line, they may have walked out of there with the win.

Central Michigan still absorbs a lot of fouls per game and Cleveland State does manage to shoot around 71 percent from the charity stripe, so if things play out like they did last year the outcome should favor the Vikings.

Cleveland State has raised its scoring average by 10 points per game from last year and they’ve been home since December 5. This is Central Michigan’s third straight road trip within a week, so fatigue could be a factor.

Take Cleveland State as the small home chalk as they grab the win and cover.

5 Dime

RHODE ISLAND

Take Rhode Island as the big home chalk over Hofstra.

It’s no secret Hofstra is a one-man show. Antoine Agudio is the nation’s leading scorer, but they don’t have anyone else who can compliment him on the offensive end.

Rhode Island guard Parfait Bitee is one of the best one-on-one defenders in the A-10 and will make Agudio work for everything he gets.

Rhode Island coach Jim Baron has a balanced and experienced team that should stretch the lead as the game goes on.

Take Rhode Island as the big home chalk as they grab the win and cover over Hofstra.

PANTHERS

Take the points with the Panthers tonight when they host the Cowboys.

Dallas is coming off a 10-6 home loss to the Eagles, in which Tony Romo had his worst game as a pro.

Romo was banged-up in that loss and I don’t know how effective he’ll be against a Panthers defense that has the potential to harass him tonight.

Carolina has followed up a seven-game SUATS home losing slide with back-to-back wins and covers, while Dallas has followed up a 5-1 ATS run with consecutive non-covers, both as a double-digit chalk.

The Panthers still have an outside shot at the playoffs, so they will play with desperation tonight.

The Cowboys are 2-4 ATS when laying double digits this season, including 0-2 ATS on the road.

Take the points with the Panthers as they keep it within the number at home.

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IndianCowboy

Sport: College Basketball
Game: NC Wilmington @ East Carolina Pirates

Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: East Carolina Pirates -1

3-0 Yesterday.#1 NBA Handicapper in America Basketball 2007: 63-34 (65%) 36-13 NBA Run (73%) & NBA 2007: 49-25 (66%). Total of 6 Plays today. 2 College Football Released earlier this week.

This is strictly a power ranking play similar to Rider outright yesterday. Don't get me wrong, NC Wilmington is a very good team, but I do question the fact that they are on the road and I have them as a top 175 team facing a top 140 team in East Carolina. Even that is not enough for me to ride the Pirates typically, but this team does come off a very good win against NC State at home which is very difficult to do and even were competitive against Clemson at certain points at home losing by 15 points. This t eam went 1-1 against 2 solid ACC teams of late and now hosts NC Wilmington - a team that beat them and covered the 8 point spread at home last year. This is a dangerous spot for NC Wilmington who comes off a road lost to Coastal Carolina who I have as one of the 10 worst teams in the nation and now face a East Carolina team that is one of he the top 140. Folks, Coastal Carolina is lousy and it is tough to ignore that NC Wilmington lost to them - a road game or not. East Carolina could be in for a let down here, but I'll take my chances with my power ranking of about 40 spots in benefit, the revenge factor and East Carolina is on a solid up tick after struggling early while I have NC Wilmington on a down turn in power ranking. The home team is 4-1-1 in the last 6 contests between these 2 squads


Game: Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos @ North Carolina Tar Heels
AFTERNOON COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY OF THE DAY!

Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos +22.5

3-0 Yesterday.#1 NBA Handicapper in America Basketball 2007: 63-34 (65%) 36-13 NBA Run (73%) & NBA 2007: 49-25 (66%). Total of 6 Plays today. 2 College Football Released earlier this week. This is a gutsy play but I love it. If you noticed, UNC had its problems with Nicholls State yesterday and I am fond of the Gauchos as don't forget, I have them as a top 90 team and they have played competitive ball against some very good teams. I have UNC as a top 20 power ranking team despite their #1 ranking in the nation simply because of the formulas that I use. UCSB is top 90 for several reasons including the fact that this team lost to Stanford by 19 earlier this season and I have Stanford as a top 15 team - better than UNC. It gets a bit better - UCSB has been on a strong up tick the last week as they beat Ball State by 27 on the road which is tough to do considering that they are a top 250 team and they were only supposed to beat them by 8-10 points on the road. Plus, this team beat UNLV at home who is a top 75 team and beat a top 150 Montana team by 15 at home. I have UCSB falling short by 15 this afternoon

Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat

Pick: 3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 203

Both of these teams are on a under tick according to my numbers and I think they both find it tough to top 100 points tonight. The Utah Jazz come off holding the Magic who have a potent offense to 94 points. In fact, even the game against the Phoenix Suns did not total 203 so this is an opportunity to take an under with a Miami team that although has played over in back to back games, it was primarily due to overtime. The last time these 2 teams met, 212 points were scored - however, that was because Miami was an active underdog and I don't see that necessarily today. At worst case, I see this game as a 98-96 type of ballgame as I have this game in the mid 190's. This will be a tight cover, but I do feel that it will fall under. The under is 5-1 for th e Jazz following a ATS win.


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Charlotte Bobcats @ Milwaukee Bucks Pick:

3 units TOTAL: Under 189.5

Very simple analysis here. I've been reporting consistently that the Bobcats when playing back to back ballgames have been hitting the under consistently. When there was a hit taken in the off shore books for the under, this is the principle they are following as well as the legs of this ballclub go under due to their lack of depth. Now, with Nazr in the Charlotte lineup, this helps, but Milwaukee has played solid defense as well of late. Charlotte played an over last night against the Knicks but have not played back to back overs in quite some time. Milwaukee and Sac simply totaled 191 and I look for a team like Charlotte that focuses a bit more on defense will push this game under as well. The under is 6-0 when the Bobcats are underdogs and the under is 4-1 for the Bucks following a striaght up loss.

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MADDUX SPORTS comp

Ucla / Byu

Under 46.5

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Triple Threat Sports

4* Las Vegas Bowl Winner!

(314) 4* BYU (-) over UCLA [8pm] (We rate our plays from 1* to 7*)

Lots of noise being made about BYU not being excited to be here since they were already here to play UNLV and were also at this game last season. That is just not the case, as not only are there BYU fans in droves in this town, the BYU administration decided to spend some serious money to motivate the team and the fans. This time the Cougars are staying at The Venetian on the Strip after usually staying at The Golden Nugget downtown. Now, we love the Nugget, really do, but it cannot compare to the Venetian in terms of amenities, etc. The new surroundings have the players excited and pumped up (we talked to one of them after a pep rally), and the fans enjoy being on the Strip as well, so motivation and support are not going to be a problem. As for UCLA, have not seen more than a few Bruins fans in town this week, and while BYU did play in this bowl last season, this will be UCLA's third trip here in six years, so it is not like they are thrilled to be here either. Bruins have lost four of five with the only win coming against the injury ravaged Oregon Ducks, and along with Duke and Stanford are the only teams to lose to Notre Dame this year. On the other hand BYU has won nine in a row and striving for first 11 win season in quite some time. They also have a large revenge motivation here as they lost 27-17 to UCLA in California earlier this season. However, not only did UCLA have a much healthier roster than they do now and a Head Coach not making his debut, BYU lost on the scoreboard but controlled the line of scrimmage with a 23-15 first down and 435-236 yardage edge in that game.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Payifyouwin

5000* PAPA JOHN'S BOWL
LOCK OF THE YEAR

Southern Mississippi


THREE 1000* FOOTBALL BEST BETS

Nevada Wolfpack

BYU Cougars

Carolina Panthers

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Locksmith Sports fabulous 5 pack.

NCAAB Georgetown Texas Illinois

CFB UCLA

NBA Charlotte Bobcats


Hammerin Hank:

DALLAS 27-13


Elite Sports Picks

New Mexico -2.5 over Nevada


Discount Sports Picks

10* B.Y.U. -6 over U.C.L.A. (NCAAF)
5* S. Mississippi/Cincinnati (NCAAF) OVER 55


Redzone Sports

Temple CBB , S Miss CFB


N C Free Phone

Double Play Under 46- In Las Vegas Bowl

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Insider Sports Report

4* New Mexico -2.5 over Nevada (NCAAF)

3* S. Mississippi +11 over Cincinnati (NCAAF)

3* B.Y.U. -6 over U.C.L.A. (NCAAF)

3* Minnesota/New Orleans (NBA) OVER 184

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PPP Full Card

4% MIAMI OHIO +18.5 (729)

4% XAVIER –4 (736)

3% CAL IRVINE +21.5 (741)

3% W. KENTUCKY +4.5 (749)

3% NORTHEASTERN +12.5 (763)

5% STANFORD –5 (769)

4% WICHITA ST –3 (794)

3% VALPO +12 (799)

3% MISSOURI ST +2 (815)

3% PORTLAND ST –5 (851)

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Mike Rose

CFB SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 11
CFB SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI atCINCINNATI Over 56
CFB NEVADA 2.5
CFB NEVADA atNEW MEXICO Under 57
CFB BYU -6.5
CFB UCLA / BYU Under 46.5


NFL DALLAS atCAROLINA Under 42.5

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MIKE LINEBACK

Lineback:

4.5* Utah -1 NBA
4* Toronto/Phoenix over 209 NBA

15-3 run

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Seabass


Hockey

10* San Jose

Football

7* Southern Miss + 11, UCLA +7

10* New Mexico -3

NFL

20* Dallas -10

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Karl Garrett

50 DIMER - DALLAS COWBOYS

I don't care that the pointspread in this game is at double-digits, I have to lay it with a Dallas team that now needs to win this game in order to hold on to 1st place overall in the NFC standings.

I know the 'Pokes have some injuries, and that Tony Romo's throwing thumb is not exactly 100%, but Dallas is soo much better than this Carolina team, they will eventually find a way to cover this impost. After 2 straight lack-luster showings, expect Dallas to serve notice that the report of the death has been greatly exaggerated.

Carolina is so inept on offense, it wouldn't be hard to imagine the Dallas defense holding the Panthers to a few field goals in this game. Let's say Matt Moore is able to get Carolina a few cracks in Dallas terriotory, the G-Man can see 9-points total from the Panthers tonight, as the Cowboys defense does force a key turnover or two, and helps the sore-thumbed Romo get some short field scoring chances.
Dallas wins this one 24-9 or somewhere there abouts.

Lay the points as the Pokes cover this number in a very meaningful game for Dallas.


30 DIMER - BYU COUGARS

I am all about the revenge-angle in tonight's meetings at Sam Boyd Stadium!
Way, way back on September 8th the Bruins were a 27-17 home field winner over BYU. Back then it seemed like UCLA was the team that was going places, while the Cougars followed that loss up with a loss at Tulsa, but have not lost since!

That is 9 straight wins for Bronco Mendehall's team and counting. UCLA meanwhile was only able to finish the year at 6-6, and you can yap all you want about their 5-0 dog mark this year with the points, it doesn't matter tonight, as the Bruins have been demoralized with the dismissal of Karl Dorrell. Yes, the Bruin faithful like the interim coach DeWayne Walker, but the G-Man just doesn't see the Uclans stepping up in this distracting Las Vegas locale, and covering this game.

The Cougars are here on a "mission" (no pun intended) of revenge, and the Bruins are a money-burning 1-3 both straight up and against the spread their last 4 bowl games over the last 4 years

Lay away in this one!


20 DIMER - NEVADA WOLFPACK....10 DIMERS - UCLA BRUINS, & ARIZONA WILDCATS

20 DIMER - NEVADA WOLFPACK

Late afternoon action from New Mexico, and the knee-jerk reaction in this game is to back the Lobos minus the small number on their home field, but the G-Man says; "not so fast!"

New Mexico has never fared well under Rocky Long in bowl games, as they are 0-4 both straight up and against the spread in his tenure. The fact they are playing this one on their home field has to have them in the mindset that this is just another home game, and not a true bowl game. At home, the Wolves are just 4-9 against the spread as a home favorite since the 2004 season.

Nevada can do damage scoring points, as they scored in the 30's in 8 of their 12 games this year, and they are coming off a tough bowl loss last season by one point to Miami-Florida, so you can expect Chris Ault's team to be raring to get a bowl "W" at any cost this afternoon.

I will take the 'Pack plus the points in this spot.


10 DIMER - UCLA BRUINS

They can't post a price high enough on this game to make me intrested in taking the Wolverines.

John Beilein is a great coach as he proved during his tenure at West Virginia, but thus far the results with his new charges leave a lot to be desired.

Michigan is just 4-7 this year, and off an embarrassing loss to Central Michigan last week in Ann Arbor. Last year the Wolverines were mauled by UCLA 92-55 in Westwood as the 10-point dogs. You can expect a similar final in this game today, as the Bruins sticky defense will mean the Maize and Blue will not get many easy looks in this 40-minute rout.

UCLA in the blowout of the day!


10 DIMER - ARIZONA WILDCATS

I will admit this price is a little more than I thought it would be when I posted my overnight numbers, but Kevin O'Neil has filled in for Lute Olsen quite well, and the Wildcats are out of the gate at 8-2 for the young season.

San Diego State is standing at 9-2 but they aren't really a team that is going to do damage against you inside the paint. That being the case, I am going to lay the points with 'Zona. Last year Arizona defeated the Aztecs 69-48 in San Diego, and I don't see much changing with the outcome of today's clash, especially in Tuscon.

Roll 'Cats, roll!

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