Thursday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

Thursday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

Power - Sweep

3* over 65 navy

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CTO 11* Basketball

5-1 this year

December 20

MIAMI-OHIO over *Illinois...CTO scouts tell us Miami-Ohio fired-up to avenge LY’s 50-48 loss vs. Illinois in Chicago. Revenge works. In aftermath of disheartening come-from-ahead 78-72 OT loss vs. Arizona, Illini’s disgruntled HC Bruce Weber claims he seriously lacks a creator, and woeful foul shooting continues to be major issue (ugly 59% so far!). RedHawks possess one of the more underrated insideoutside duos around in fearless 6-5 swingman Bramos (20 ppg, 43% from arc) & 6-7 "throwback" F Pollitz (17 ppg, 7 rpg, 4 apg). And Coles’ methodical, defensively-sticky squad (just 57 ppg) is 8-1 last 9 as an underdog. Upset possible.

MIAMI-OHIO 63 - *Illinois 58 RATING - 11

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Dr Bob

2 Star Selection

**Navy 33 Utah (-8.0) 32 (at Poinsettia Bowl) 06:00 PM Pacific, 20-Dec-07 I’m not sure how fired up Utah will be for this game after losing their season finale to rival BYU, and the Utes’ very good defense (4.6 yards per play allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defense) isn’t so great defending the run, which is what they’ll have to do in this game. Utah allowed a mediocre 4.8 yards per rushing play this season to teams that would average 4.8 yprp against an average team and they allowed the Air Force option to ramble for 344 ground yards at 5.6 yprp in an early season loss. Navy has averaged 358 yards at 5.9 yprp on the ground this season and the running portion of their option attack should be as good as always in this game. Utah is amongst the best in the nation at defending the pass (4.4 yards per pass play allowed to teams that would average 6.4 yppp) but that does them little good against the Midshipmen.

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Scott Spreitzer

Take Navy

I'm taking the points with Navy in Thursday's Poinsettia Bowl. You'll hear a lot about Navy's secondary this week when talking heads analyze this game. But Utah QB Brian Johnson is banged-up and has not had a lot of serious reps in preparation. His backup, Tommy Grady, is no great shakes. I saw Utah in person, when they were shutout by UNLV, 27-0. Johnson wasn't 100-percent healthy and only played about half the game. Grady was downright horrible. The problem for Utah in this one is to get re-focused after the heartbreaking defeat in the "Holy War" to BYU. Word is, the Utes aren't exactly crazy about playing in this minor bowl game. Meanwhile, it's basically a home game away from home for the Midshipmen. There will be at least 20-thousand middies in the stands for this one. New HC Ken Niumatalolo has been the offensive coordinator for several seasons at Navy, which means there will be NO changes in preparation or in the game itself. The Midshipmen may miss the direction of Paul Johnson next season and in seasons to come, but this is a tough bunch with key coaches still on the sideline. Navy, as most service academies tend to be, will not only be sky high for this chance, but will also be very well prepared for the Utah game plan. I expect huge numbers from Navy's offense. Although Utah sees the Air Force option each season in MWC play, it's been a long time since they've seen it run this well, or this variation, for that matter. By the way, Utah lost to AFA earlier this season, and I believe they'll drop another to a service academy on Thursday. Navy, plus points in the Poinsettia Bowl. Thanks! GL! Scott

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MARC LAWRENCE'S CFB EARLY BOWL PHONE 

3* Navy +8

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Wild Bill

Under 65 1/2 Utah-Navy (1 unit) Utah very good Bowl record vs club with new HC. Defense for Utes will be difference

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SharkHandicapping

NCAA Football Poinsettia Bowl Navy vs. Utah

Play On: Utah -7½

First off we have waited on this release as the line continues to drop and is now 7 ? everywhere. We can wait a little longer on playing this one and if the line starts to creep back up, grab it then. We might even get a 7 out of it. These teams enter with the same records of 8 ? 4 but we like the 8 Utah wins lot better then Navy?s 8 wins. Utah had won 8 in row before losing their final game 10 ? 17 on the road at Utah and there is no shame in that. Before that they did some damage beating Wyoming 50 ? 0, UCLA 44 ? 7, TCU 27 ? 20, Colorado State 27 ? 3. Navy is well documented and as they rush for over 350 yards a game but their defense does not stop anyone. They allowed N. Illinois to put up 24, N. Texas 62, Notre Dame 44, Delaware 52 in a non lined game and Duke put up 43 points. Navy tries to outscore teams but they won?t be able to outscore Utah and very good Utah defense should make enough defensive stops to put this comfortable away. Take Utah

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ANDY ISKOE

3 Star Navy over Utah

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Jack Clayton 5-Star Blowout: Steelers/Rams!

5* Steelers at Rams: The Rams actually played the Packers relatively even, despite the final one-sided score. This is a healthy Rams team from earlier in the season, at 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS the last 6 games. Rams defensive coordinator Jim Haslett has an aggressive, high-risk attacking defense which has been successful in the second half of the season. They face a more conservative Pittsburgh offense that is in a rut. They managed just 16 points and 263 yards in an overtime loss to the NY Jets, gained 216 yards in a 3-0 win against the Dolphins, then got shut down by the Patriots and Jaguars. In fact, Jacksonville outgained the Steelers 421-217 Sunday! The Steelers are just 2-4 SU/ATS on the road allowing 20 ppg. An excellent spot for the big home dog. Play the Rams!

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EZ Winners

One play for Thursday.....


5 STAR: (709) PITTSBURGH (+5.5) over Duke

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Vegas-Runner | NFL Total

double-dime bet 302 STL / 301 PIT Under 44.0 

** 2* NFL TOTAL WAGER **

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Navy vs. UTAH (-7') - Poinsettia Bowl, at San Diego

Another comp winner last night on the Orlando Magic outright. Now 28-16 the last 44 days for free!

First Bowl game of the holiday season, and the first OVER of the holiday season!

Navy didn't do a very good job this season in stopping teams, as they allowed 34-points or more in 8 of their 12 games this season. The Middies were able to put up 30-points or better in 10 of their 12 games this season, and scored no less than 35-points in any of their last 5 games - closing with a 4-game winning streak.

We see no reason to buck the Naval Academy's trend of scoring a ton and giving up a ton in this game, even with former head coach Paul Johnson moving on to take the Georgia Tech head coaching job.

Utah's offensive numbers weren't as gaudy as the Midshipmen, and the Utes defense was much more stingy than that of the Middies, but with this being the first bowl game of the season, we believe the schools will let it all hang out, and this game will easily eclipse the posted price.

Play on Navy and Utah to sail OVER the total in San Diego tonight.

5* OVER

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CAPPERS ACCESS

NFL Steelers Rams 7- ......Pick: Rams

CFB Utah Navy 7- ...........Pick: Navy

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Arthur Ralph Superpick

Cal-St Fullerton


Arthur Ralph Regular Daily Play

Navy (CFB)

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): PITTSBURGH STEELERS vs SAINT LOUIS RAMS

Play: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -7 ( BUY HOOK IF NEEDED)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -7 ( BUY HOOK IF NEEDED) We are being very line specific in this selection. You may need to pay a little more as we are purchasing into a key number but will be well worth the insurance poilicy. WRITEUP TO FOLLOW SOON


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NAVY vs UTAH
Play: NAVY +8
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: NAVY +8

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DOCS - HOOPS

3 Unit Play. #710 Take Duke -5 over Pittsburgh (7:00 pm ESPN) The Panthers have made a living in recent years building up the record by playing cupcakes, but will get all that they can handle today against Duke at the Garden. Duke has a great record when playing at New York and has too much quickness for Pittsburgh on Thursday. Duke has won 15 of 20 games at the Garden including seven straight. Duke is better then Pittsburgh on both sides of the court and will be able to put up 80+ points thus allowing them to cover this small number. Take Duke and watch your money grow.

4 Unit Play. #733 Take SE Missouri State -4 over Jacksonville State (8:30 pm) Alabama, not Florida is the site of this Ohio Valley Conference match-up between the Redhawks and the Gamecocks. SE Missouri State already has to victories on the road this season and has yet to lose a game in OVC play. The Gamecocks are allowing over 80 points per game and they have yet to record a victory against a Division One team. Their two victories of the season have come against Tennessee Temple and Berry College. This will be a double-digit victory and we collect big in the process.

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Tony Mathew's Free College Basketball Selection for December 20, 2007.

Matchup: Citadel vs. Washington State

Selection: Washington State -32

Explanation: We will lay the points with Washington State as they face-off against Citadel in Thursday's College Basketball contest.

Washington State has a huge advantage on defense. Citadel is allowing opponents to score an average of 87.5 points per game, while Washington State is allowing opponents to score an average of only 52.4 points per game. That means that the Washington State defense is allowing opponents to score an average of 35.1 points per game less then the Citadel defense.

Washington State is 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS on the season, and should be able to get another win tonight against a poor Citadel team who is 0-4 on the road.

Take Washington State -32!

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Mike Rose - COMP
Navy @ Utah u65.5

The 2007-08 College Bowl season kicks off tonight when the Navy Midshipmen and Utah Utes square off in the Poinsettia Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California.

The Midshipmen are coming off another fantastic season that saw them win eight games under the watchful eye of Head Coach Paul Johnson and his staff for the fourth time in six years. Last we saw the Middies, they beat Army for the 6th straight season, which allowed them to capture the Commander in Chief Trophy for the fifth straight season. However, they’ll take the field without HC Johnson for the first time in six years since he accepted the Head Coaching job at Georgia Tech a couple weeks ago. The task of bouncing back from losing the Meineke Car Care Bowl to Boston College last season is now in the hands of Johnson ‘s longtime assistant Ken Niumatalolo.

As for the Utes, they got off to a very slow start this season only winning one of their first four games, but they scratched together eight straight wins before the “Holy War” with BYU in their final game of the season. They had the Cougars on the ropes, but allowed a game winning TD drive in the final 30 seconds and suffered their first loss since September in the process.

Utah opened up as 10-point favorites in this spot with the ‘Total’ set at 67.5. Navy money has lowered that spread to 8 and the ‘Total’ has been bet down to 65.

This is the highest posted 'Total' of the season for the Utes, but it's well warranted. Navy boasts an atrocious stop unit that's had problems keeping its opponent off the scoreboard (37 PPG), save for Army who they just flat out own right now. Utah runs a power brand of football offensively, much like the Middies, but they can pass the ball unlike the aforementioned Midshipmen. That being said, I'm expecting the final score of this game to come in on the low side of this 'Total'. Utah by no means wants to take part in a shoot-out with this Navy club. If it happens, they have a much better chance of losing this game outright. Instead, the Utes will look to pound the ball offensively with RB Mack and take what it can get from its passing game when the Middies adjust for the run. Defensively, they'll look to make amends after Air Force (another option/wishbone attack) gouged them way back in September. They’ve only allowed opponents to rush for 91 YPG their L/3 contests, and Navy’s offense will certainly start to press if the Utes force them to pass the ball (Navy offense ranked dead last in the country passing the ball). Look for P Louis Sakoda to play a major role in this game as well pinning the Midshipmen deep in their own territory all game long forcing them to go the length of the field on a number of occasions. This will simply wear the Middies offensive attack out, and play right into the hands of the Utes who want to be very physical tonight and control the tempo of the game from the opening kick.

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Ben Burns - COMP

Game: Navy at Utah Dec 20 2007 9:00PM

Prediction: over

Reason: Created in 2005, the Pointsetta Bowl is played annually at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego. It features a team from the Mountain West Conference and an "at-large team." Due to fact that there are several naval bases in and around San Diego and due to an agreement with the Pointsetta Bowl, if eligible, that at-large berth belongs to Navy. That's the case this season, as the Midshipmen will square off against the Utah Utes, this year's representative from the Mountain West Conference.

Both teams bring identical 8-4 records into this rather interesting matchup. Navy boasts a high-powered offense but has a weak defense. Utah has a strong defense but a mediocre offense. So, should we expect a high-scoring or a low-scoring contest? Well, an over/under line in the mid-60s tells us that the oddsmaker's are expecting some fireworks. I agree with them.

The last (and only) time that the Midshipmen were in the Pointsetta Bowl, they combined with Colorado State for a whopping 81 points. Naturally, that game finished well above the total, which was 59. Including that result, four of their last five bowl games have finished above the number. This year's Navy team has seen the "over" go 4-2 in six road games with an average combined score of 79 points. The Midshipmen have put up 35 or more points in five straight games, averaging 49 points all by themselves during that stretch. With the exception of Army, they haven't been able to stop anyone though, allowing 179 combined points to Delaware, Notre Dame and North Texas during a 3-game stretch last month. Note that the Midshipmen saw the "over" go 4-0 as underdogs this season, bringing the "over" to 10-3 the last 13 times they were getting points.

The Utes closed out their season with a loss vs. archrival BYU. That's noteworthy as we find the "over" at a highly profitable 17-4 the last 21 times (which had a total) they were coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Its also worth mentioning that the Utes have seen the "over" go 4-1 the last five times that they played with two week's rest in between games. The number has come down a couple of points from its opener, giving us some additional line value. Expect a high-scoring game. Consider a play on the OVER

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FREE PICK FROM ALLEN EASTMAN - Take ‘Over’ 65.5 Navy vs. Utah (Poinsettia Bowl)

Few teams can stop Navy’s rushing attack while the Midshipmen’s defense has been as bad as the offense is good. Utah has a much better balance than Navy, but I think this one will come down to the team that has the final possession.

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