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Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Iceman (Karpinsky) GOY- paid

Pick on Dallas as my NHL GAME OF THE YEAR I am perfect in all Edmonton games this year- either fading (which I have done a lot) or playing on them. The big reason I like to fade them is their defense. They are ranked near the bottom in almost every important defensive stat. For Example- Edmonton has allowed a whopping 1,032 shots-on-goal this season while the Stars have allowed only 880. Only the LA Kings have allowed more goals and have a worse GAA than Edmonton in the Western Conference. They are playing better but have gotten some good luck in the process. Edmonton has matched a season high with three straight wins - all via the shootout. Edmonton has 10 victories in its 11 shootouts, two shy of the NHL record set by Dallas in 2005-06. Dallas has a fast team and those teams play very well at Edmonton. It's the Ice! I believe the Oilers are one of the slower teams in the league. They are below .500 at home this season, which is very telling to me. I doubt this team will make the playoffs! I will take the team with the better offense, much better defense, and flat out better team. Dallas has won 11 of their last 15 games. In their last 8 games vs. Western Conference opponents the Stars are 7-1. Dallas is 8-2 in their last 10 games following a victory. The Stars have won 5 of their last 7 road games. The Oilers are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a team with a winning record. In their last 10 games playing with 2-days rest the Oilers are 2-8. The Stars are 42-12-3 in their last 56 games vs. the Oilers. Dallas is 19-7-2 in their last 28 trips to Edmonton.

HIs other 2 picks are Florida and Columbus

The Hog
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Kelso Sturgeon Basketball

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Home Team In CAPS

All Starting Times Eastern


10 Units

New Orleans (+7) over Southern Mississippi

Prediction: New Orleans by 4-5

Starting Time: 9:20

Played as part of the Gulf Coast Classic

Played at Gulf Coast Coliseum (8,700, a neutral floor) in Biloxi, Mississippi

The Hog
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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:



Mississippi Gulf Coast Classic
Round Robin
at Biloxi, MS
Louisiana Tech 69, Alcorn State 60
Southern Miss 73, New Orleans 70

Ohio Valley Conference
Murray State 79, JACKSONVILLE STATE 72
SAMFORD 75, Southeast Missouri State 71
Southern Conference

Sun Belt Conference
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 79, Florida International 71

ARIZONA STATE 77, Montana State 63
CAMPBELL 79, Norfolk State 70
Central Arkansas 61, IDAHO 58
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 71, North Florida 53
FLORIDA STATE 84, College of Charleston 68
HIGH POINT 68, Savannah State 55
HOUSTON 69, Kentucky 66
Kansas 87, GEORGIA TECH 76
LONG BEACH STATE 75, San Francisco 65
LOUISVILLE 74, Marshall 55
MIAMI (OHIO) 76, Chicago State 52
Ohio State 72, Cleveland State 54
SMU 74, USC Upstate 65
Southern Illinois 67, WESTERN MICHIGAN 58
SYRACUSE 93, Colgate 71
TEXAS 80, Oral Roberts 63
TEXAS STATE 93, Kennesaw State 87
TULSA 66, Charlotte 65
UALR 76, Pepperdine 72
UCLA 82, Western Illinois 41
WASHINGTON 77, Portland State 70
WEBER STATE 81, Cal State Bakersfield 64
WESTERN KENTUCKY 91, North Carolina Central 55
Winthrop 67, MOUNT ST. MARY'S 56
WRIGHT STATE 70, St. Bonaventure 53

The Hog
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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Brandon Lang

5 DIME - Houston, Lakers, Tennessee-Chattanooga

5 Dime – Houston

Bring on the big-name 'Cats, so says Houston coach Tom Penders. Despite playing tonight's game without 6-foot-11 center Marcus Cousin, who has a stress fracture in his right ankle, I expect the Cougars' run-and-gun, full-court pressure game to thwart Kentucky's effort in front of a nationally televised offense. The Wildcats (4-4), in their first year under coach Billy Gillispie, have lost three straight games, and though I believe he has the talent to make a run in a few months, Gillispie needs more time with this bunch.
Put it this way, the Wildcats' early wins have come against the likes of Central Arkansas, Liberty, Texas Southern and Stony Brook – all in Lexington. In the other column, two of the 'Cats losses came at the hands of Gardner Webb and UAB – both in Kentucky (the UAB loss was in Louisville). The Cougars are the team to beat in this clash, they're certainly the right side, but as you can tell it's because we're siding against a Wildcats team that has yet to come together.

5 Dime - Lakers

Take the Lakers here, as there's no reason to believe they should be catching points from a disappointing Bulls team that may have won six of nine, but that was only after losing 10 of its first 12. Chicago may have found a groove recently, but it'll have to deal with a Lakers team that has won five of six – both SU and ATS - while averaging 111.8 points over those games.
You give me points with a Lakers team that won by 28 in the first meetings, and I'll be glad to take them. The Lakers are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games installed as an underdog, while they've covered 11 of 16 on the road. Take the points here.

5 Dime - Tenn-Chatt

It's early in the season, I know, but we're already talking about a division race in the Southern Conference, and it's the reason we side with the Mocs in this one. Tennessee-Chattanooga is laying relatively low chalk to the Phoenix tonight, and with a battle of unbeatens in the North Division taking place, I'll lay it with Chattanooga. Coach John Shulman has already put it out there to his troops that this is the most important game of the season thus far, as it's a conference home game preceding the holiday break.
The Mocs roll in on a 3-1 run, and the lone loss may have been the most impressive performance of them all, as they lost a tough 76-70 decision to then-10th-ranked Tennessee. That's been motivation enough to see this team outscore its guests by an average margin of 17 points this season. The Mocs swept both games last season, including a 10-point win at McKenzie Arena, and with Elon hunched over from a 5-13 ATS road skid against teams sporting winning home marks, I'll lay this easy number.

The Hog
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Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
716 Mid. Tenn -5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 715 Fla. Internatnl
Analysis: Both teams have bad records the difference is Florida International has played a weaker schedule and is still losing. Middle Tennessee St take advantage of a Big Drop in Class today. I see Middle Tennessee St winning by 10-13 Points. Take MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST as my COLLEGE PLAY OF THE DAY and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Single-Dime Bet
712 Wright St -12.0 (-110) BetUS vs 711 St. Bonaventure
Analysis: Wright St. plays some serious defense and should hold St. Bonaventure to 50 here. Look for Wright St. to pull away in the Second half for an easy 16-20 Point Win. TAKE WRIGHT ST. and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Single-Dime Bet
722 Ark.-Little Rock -8.0 (-110) SportBet vs 721 Pepperdine
Analysis: My Power Ratings have Arkansas Little Rock Winning this Game by 12-15 Points. Vegas has set this line too low based on Little Rock's close game on Saturday. Take ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.

The Hog
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4 Unit Play. #709 Take Southern Illinois -3 over Western Michigan (7:00 pm)

4 Unit Play. #720 Take Tulsa -2 over Charlotte (8:00 pm)

4 Uunit Play. #741 Take Portland State +12 ½ over Washington (10:30 pm FSN)

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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:


Chairman - Wright St
Millionaire - Long Beach St

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C & P Experts 12/18/07

Se Missouri St. +4
Long Beach St. -1.5

(20-7-1 Run )

2-0 Friday
2-1 Sat
3-0 Sunday
1-1 Monday

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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kentucky Wildcats @ Houston U Cougars - Tuesday December 18, 2007 9:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Houston U Cougars -3.5 (-108)

#1 NBA Handicapper in America Basketball 2007: 58-29 (66%) 33-9 NBA Run (76%) & (24-7 NBA Run) NBA 2007: 46-21 (68%) 15-4 Run with NBA Totals Total of 3 plays today. Folks, Kentucky is not good. This team is even worse with Gillespie as the head. Kentucky fans so passionately wanted to get rid of Tubby, yet they sit with losses against Gardner Webb and a 4-4 record and after tonight, they are likely to be 4-5. Where's the hatred for Tubby now? After all, he did lead them to a National Title which many seem to forget. Regardless, the Wildcats will get better once Gillespie is able to recruit a bit more, but currently, this team lacks offensive prowess. This team is young, and they are still very inexperienced on the road losing by nearly 20 to Indiana and scoring just 51 points away from home. This is a huge deal for the University of Houston who currently sits at 9-1, granted, their competition is against poor squads, but nevertheless, still sit at 9-1 and they did play very well against VCU who is a top 75 team on neutral footing. I think Kentucky will struggle in yet another road game, their 2nd of the s eason, and after a few more underneath their belt, I expect this team to do much better when conference play rolls around. I have Houston winning this ballgame by 8. Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road ballgames and Houston is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 contests against the SEC.

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: College of Charleston Cougars @ Florida State Seminoles - Tuesday December 18, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Florida State Seminoles -17 (-110)

#1 NBA Handicapper in America Basketball 2007: 58-29 (66%) NBA 2007: 46-21 (68%) 33-9 NBA Run (76%) & (24-7 NBA Run) 15-4 Run with NBA Totals Total of 3 plays today. The bottom line in this game is that I beleive FSU is one of the better teams in College Basketball, and frankly, I feel that this team should be ranked in the top 25. This team will do whatever it takes to get that ranking and what better way to do that than beat up on Bobby C's team in the College of Charleston. Folks, C of C is ranked outside the top 200 in my power rankings and they play a Seminole team that has already beat Florida at Florida, is a top 30 ranked team that defeated Minnesota by 14 points and the Gophers led by Tubby Smith are a top 75 team and now C of C is supposed to hang in below 20 on the road? I think not. I will take my chances here with the Seminoles as I have them winning this game by 24 and considering that College of Charleston is expected to do some damage within their own conference, that will lead to a higher point rating for FSU if they can blow this team out. This is exactly why Duke blows out Wisconsin and the o ther better teams at home because after defeating them, than they can root for them as they will increase their respective power rankings and poll numbers. Charleston is 1-7-1 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60% and the Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Los Angeles Lakers @ Chicago Bulls - Tuesday December 18, 2007 8:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 202 (-109)

There is a lot of elements working in this game. Keep in mind the Bulls have revenge from having gotten destroyed on the road as bluntly stated, the Bulls are a bad road team and the fact that the Lakers were upset that Kobe would accept a trade to Chicago believing he can play with a better supporting cast their. Kobe will want to show up in front of the Chicago fans as the rumor mill still is working that the Bulls might make an offer for Kobe. The Bulls on top of that would love to get revenge against the Lakers and sit at 8 wins not too far behind from making a move as if they are to make a move this season - it is now before they get even further behind. The Bulls have won their last 4 of 6 after a horrible start and that is in large pa rt due to a better offeense. I love the fact that 65% of the public is on the Lakers because that favors the over as I think the Bulls will be very competitive tonight and this is why the line has not shifted too much. It reminds me of the Bulls vs. Pistons earlier this season in Chicago when the Bulls ended up winning while the public hounded Detroit. The bottom line here is that the Bulls are good at home against the better teams in the league and the Lakers are Good in scoring points both at home and on the road due to their lack of defense having topped a 100 in essentially 8 of their last 10 games. There are many, many trends that favor the under including that the under is 8-0 between these 2 teams, however, the 2 trends that I believe are important are the fact that the over is 4-1 of late in Chicago home games as they are playing better on offense and the over is 9-3 for the Bulls against the Western Conference as they play with revenge tonight.

The Hog
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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

ko....................clev st
5 star hammer rd warrior gow.............kansas
3 star hammer..................port st

tko matchup mismatch...........lakers

inner circle................clev st
5 star executive...............g tech

total........................nets over 88.5
inner circle.................nets
3 star executive..............lakers

big shot..............fla int
window..................fla st
under the hat...........kansas
3 star miss
3 star action..............murray st

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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Drew Gordon
Tuesday Plays:

1. 200,000♦ Georgia Tech
2. 50,000♦ Houston
3. 50,000♦ Bulls

1. Georgia Tech- It’s easy to overlook Georgia Tech in this spot because their 4-4 record is ugly, but sharp bettors know two things:
First, the Yellow Jackets are returning home for the first time since their season opener, expect both the team and their fans to be fired up for this match up. And second, you know damn well all the public’s money is on the big name Jayhawks, while we, on the other hand, know underestimating this Georgia Tech squad in this spot would be a huge mistake.
Let’s examine match ups, as the Yellow Jackets not only have the balance, but also the depth necessary to keep this game within the number. Kansas is big and talented, no doubt, but don’t sleep on G-Tech’s Morrow and Clinch, who lead the team in both scoring and minutes. On the frontline, the Yellow Jackets rotate 4 forwards, three of which average 10 ppg or more. Also, remember the Yellow Jackets have played only one true home game this season, so expect to see one of their best and most focused efforts tonight in Atlanta.
Finally, past history tells us that Georgia Tech will keep this game competitive, as they've covered the last two meetings with ease. Yellow Jackets aren't afraid of Kansas, and getting back home is exactly what they need after a rough stretch on the highway.
After watching Georgia Tech stumble through their last couple games, and Kansas whip up on teams like Eastern Washington, Depaul, and Ohio over their last 3, public perception is all wrong in this match up. Yellow Jackets are better than their record, while Jayhawks are good, but not quite good enough to cover a bloated number tonight on the road.
Take Georgia Tech plus the points over Kansas as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Houston- Talk about two teams headed in opposite directions, as the Wildcats can't seem to do anything right, while the Cougars, depsite playing inferior competition are playing rock-solid basketball. I'll be the first to admit that Houston has played very few quality opponents, but Kentcuky's schedule is also littered with garbag, and the only tough opponents they've played have crushed them.
More of the same tonight, as the Cougars pounce on the Wildcats, who are clearly tail-spinning. I've been unimpressed with the effort on both ends of the floor, and with only one real road game under their belt (a blowout loss at Indiana) look for another disappointing effort in hostile territory tonight. If you saw the Indiana game, you saw an extremely flawed Kentucky squad (no depth, not a lot of experience).
Finally consider the Cougars play at home, which has been excellent, averaging 80 ppg, while limiting opponents to just 60 ppg on 38% shooting. Again, temper your expectations as they've played weaker competition, but they're still worthy of a solid 50K release in this spot.
Bottom line, the Wildcats continue their decent, as the Cougars protect their house and grab the cash in this match up. Shoddy effort and a lack of depth contribute to their loss here, but overall Houston is just playing better ball and it'll show tonight.
Take Houston over Kentucky in this college hoops match up.

3. Bulls- Lakers are a much different team on the road, where they've gone 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS, and I say more of the same difficulties arise tonight in Chicago and here's why:
First, while still nowhere near the level they were playing last season, this Bulls team has shown signs of life. They've won two straight at the United Center, scoring 123 and 101 points in those contests (both against beatable defense, but still an encouraging sign from this offense). The Lakers play little defense on the road, allowing an ugly 105 ppg, which should translate into a nice night for the Bulls.
Second, the Bulls offense might not be there at times, but their defense has been rock-solid, allowing 94 ppg at home this season. They're athletic in the frontcourt, and have one of the best defensive backcourts in the NBA to deal with Bryant. Also, the fact the Bulls haven't played in 4 days means they've had time to fully prepare and rest up for this match up.
Finally, while the Lakers have played well, a match up with Lebron and his Cavs looms next on the schedule. Its entirely possible the Lakers, including Kobe, come out a little flat against an 8-13 Chicago team tonight. If they allow the Bulls offense to get comfortable, then Chicago's defense can take care of the rest en route to the win and our payday.
Take the Bulls over the LA Lakers in this NBA match up.

The Hog
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Re: Tuesday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

4 Houston -3 1/2
3 Cleve St. +7

3 Ark L R -8 1/2
3 L A Lakers +2

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