Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

PURE LOCK--

MOREHEAD ST @ AUSTIN PEAY 8:30 pm est
PLAY ON-- AUSTIN PEAY (-) pts

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

ATS LOCK
3 Over 38 Chicago

Hoops
3 Wisc G B

ATS FINANCIAL
3 Chicago

Hoops
3 Nuggets

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Lem Banker


Miami Heat

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Ppp

Nba

3% Mavs

College

3% Providence

3% N'eastern

4% N.colorado

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

matty o shea... Thu, 12/06/07 - 8:15 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Side
double-dime bet102 WAS -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 101 CHI
Analysis: The Redskins were sleep walking in their last game against Buffalo following the tragic death of safety Sean Taylor, as head coach Joe Gibbs gave the Bills a gift in calling back-to-back time-outs at the end of the game for an easy game-winning field-goal attempt. Taylor's teammates mourned at a memorial service on Monday and should be ready for an inspired performance in honor of him on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bears blew a great shot to get back into the playoff race last Sunday against the Giants. Chicago's defense remains a major disappointment, especially against the run. I simply see Washington RB Clinton Portis running all over the Bears, giving the Redskins some renewed hope for a strong finish. Portis has totaled 457 rushing yards in his last 3 meetings with Chicago, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. That's why I'm taking the Redskins as my Double Dime NFL TV Play O' the Week

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DR CHAD ALL SPORTS

NFL- 5 unit on WASHINGTON
NBA- 5 unit on DENVER.
College Hoops- 5 units on Butler and TENNESSEE ST.
3 units on WRIGHT ST.

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): CHICAGO BEARS vs WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Play: WASHINGTON REDSKINS -3
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: WASHINGTON REDSKINS -3 ^^^ Okay, lets take out the Sean Taylor equation here. Too many cappers using this tragedy as a device for handicapping this game. It's a tragedy and it deserves it's time in the spotlight but it's not the reason Washington will win and cover this evening. If you're about to be tackled by a 300 pound lineman running at you at full force with the only intention of causing you great bodily harm, the last thing you'll be thinking of is tributes and motivational speeches. Instinct takes over and ultimately it's the better team that wins tonight and that is what it's about. Chicago comes in with the a defense that is 27th in rush defense in the NFL. That's going to be a problem against Clinton Portis. Considering Joe Gibbs likes to grind games out. You can expect to see a full dose of Portis tonight. Chicago is also 25th against the pass. What s our point? Too much press and hype which is a nice way to say the Bears once feared defense is over rated. Washington has seen much tougher this season and held their own. As for Portis, he shines when he plays the Bears. He has run for 457 yards on 71 carries (6.4 yards per carry) in three career games against them. Washington did have an emotional week, but it's time to tighten the belt and get back to work, Both teams playing on a short week so we immediately would lean towards the home team here as they don't face travel time and have more time to prep. Chicago is 6-23 ATS away in December. Facing a short week, up against a weak rush defense, we'll side with the home team here.


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: LSU vs Villanova
Play: Villanova -8.5 (ncaab)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) LATE ADDITION SELECTION: Always check back by 7pm est week days and 6pm est on the Week ends. Always remember that plays posted early are always LVTR primary plays. Today's Late addition play is : Villanova -8.5 (ncaab)

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wunderdogsports(nba)


Game: Denver at Dallas (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 215 -110



Two very good offensive teams meet in Dallas tonight. Dallas has been similar to last year in one respect - their offense is ranked No. 9 in points per game, exactly where they were a year ago. The big difference is the commitment, or lack of commitment on the defensive end. Last year they were ranked fourth overall, this year they have sunk to ordinary at No. 15. Denver is all about offense. They are currently ranked No. 4 and their defense is down at No. 23. This will be back-to-back nights for both these teams. Denver has been 9-4 to the OVER in this situation and Dallas is 6-3. It isn't the offense that suffers on these back-to-backs it's the defense, which has been lacking from both sides anyway.



wunderdogsports(nhl)


Game: Carolina at Tampa Bay (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 goals +223 (risk 4 to win 8.9)


Tampa Bay is 10-4 at home this season, crushing all comers. They are averaging 3.8 goals per game while allowing just 2.2. Against division foes they are pouring in 4.1 goals per game. Carolina has played very little defense all season long and right now they are plyaing very poorly. Over their last five games they have allowed 3.8 goals per game while scoring just 2.4. When you give up 8 goals in a game, something is seriously wrong. They bounced back after that embarrassment last game but now that is done, and we expect them to return to their normal play. Tampa Bay has won 28 of 40 games at home the past three seasons when favored on the moneyline between -100 and -150 and we like them here on the puckline.


Game: Montreal at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -1.5 goals +240 (risk 3 to win 7.2)

Montreal is playing horrible right now, having dropped five of their last six. They have scored 2 goals or less in four of those games while allowing an average of 3.8 goals against. Boston is 7-3 at home this season, holding opponents to just 1.5 goals per game. Over their last five games - all on the road - they have poured in 3.4 goals per game. They return home off a 3-4 loss to New Jersey so they will be motivated to win here. They are 8-3 following a loss this season including 5-0 after giving up 4+ goals in their last game.


Game: Vancouver at Nashville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Nashville -1.5 goals +214 (risk 3 to win 6.4)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)


Vancouver can certainly play defense, but their offense is a bit more inconsistent. Mashville can't be stopped at home where they are averaging 3.6 goals per game on way to a 7-4 record. We think they can find the net tonight. This team is 39-15 at home as a favorite on the moneyline of -200 or less the past three seasons and we like their chances at a big win here. The Canucks are 7-4 UNDER at home but 5-4 OVER on the road. While 9-3 UNDER on the road, the Predators are 7-4 OVER at home. We'll back the Predators on the puckline and the OVER.

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MIKE LINEBACK

4* Teaser: NFL Same-Game 7-Point Teaser -120 Chicago Bears Spread +10 for Game / Total Points OVER 30.5 for Game

4* Chicago Bears Spread +3.5 for Game -135 (buy ½ pt)

4* MIAMI HEAT + Spread -2.5 for Game -120 ( ½ pt. buy)

4* Providence Spread -3.5 for Game -110

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vegas-runner | NFL Total
double-dime bet102 WAS / 101 CHI Under 37.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
Well I had hoped that we would be able to get this one at 38 or even higher, but the oddsmaker was well aware that sharps everywhere would have jumped all over it, so instead we will go Under 37.5...now many books will most likely push this to 37, and unless their is terrible weather, which would influence a total such as high winds or rain, I do not expect them to move off of such a key number, and of course, there is still the possibility that the recreational bettors begin to come in heavy on the Over, in which case we may see 38...but again, as long as we are able to get 37 or higher, we are just fine..
Both teams come in on short weeks, as well as off games that they really should have gotten a win in...and those losses have now made the Playoffs much more difficult to reach, and the loser of this game, will really be looking for more help than may be possible to extend their season...so in short, both clubs will be playing this game to win, and I don't expect a wide open, risky type of fun ballgame, but instead a typical NFC Defensive battle...Both clubs are 20th and 23rd respectively in points scored and in the bottom 1/3 in the league in yards per game..more importantly, they just have not been able to score points even when they are able to get into the Red-Zone...or at least not Touch Downs...in fact the Bears are only scoring 7 on 38% of their RZ Opportunities, while the Redskins are also almost as bad, converting TD's on only about 50% of there's...so that tells me that we have 2 clubs who routinely turn the ball over when they get close, get sacked, penalized, or even forced to punt..and at best, attempt a FG...
Not what you want when looking to play a game Over...Washington is 6th in the NFL in rushing attempts per game, and average 33 rushes at home, while the Bears, although not at all successful on the ground, do try to rush the football regardless and will give it to their backs about 27 times per game..Washington has had success on the ground and should do so again tomorrow, especially with the undersized Defensive-Ends for Chicago...
Now we also need to look at special teams because when you have Hester involved in a match-up you have to account for him...well fortunately for us Under Bettors, the Redskins have actually been very good in that department...in fact, they are ranked 2nd in punt coverage, and have allowed only 1 TD return, which was a Kick-off return by the Jets Leon Washington...but other than that, they have been stellar and rank at the top of the NFL on special teams coverage...
Finally, both these teams aren't able to convert on more than 40% of their 3rd down opportunities, which means that we will see a lot of drives stalling on Thursday for both teams, and when you look at the recent games these 2 have been involved in...4 of the last 6 have gone Under for Chicago, as well as the last 2 for Washington, and neither had a posted total above 38...Campbell has toosed only 12TD Passes, and Griese 9...while Portis and Betts have combined for only 7TD's and Benson and Peterson 6 TD's...and strangely enough, Randel El has almost 600 yrds receiving and has ZERO TD's, while the WR for the Bears, Clark and Berrian have a total of 6 combined...
So lets get to the bottom line, which is...with a posted total of 37.5...there is only one way that I can possibly see wagering on the Total...and thats the Under...lets see if we can continue to knock down these Prime-Time Games, and cash another 2* Wager.

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Strike Point Sports

Thursday's College Hoops Plays

2-Unit Play. #709 Take Valparaiso +1.5 over Wright State (7 pm)

The Crusaders are 6-1 on the season, and with wins already over Austin Peay and Western Michigan, not to mention a strong showing against Vanderbilt, they have shown a lot more than Wright State. With a balanced offensive attack, Valpo will extend its winning streak to five and improve to 5-1 ATS with the outright win.

2-Unit Play. #713 Take Butler -10.5 over Detroit (7 pm)

The Bulldogs are going to be too much here. Butler shoots the ball too well from three, not to mention they have the talent that makes this match-up one-sided. And it will be the three ball that is the difference here. Each of Butler's last four wins over Detroit have been by double digits, and this one meeting will too. Butler covers here.

2-Unit Play. #719 Take Wisconsin Green Bay +2 over Loyola Chicago (8 pm)

With three nice victories in a row, look for the Phoenix to continue their strong play of late with a nice victory over the Ramblers. Loyola is just 2-4 this season, so they aren't in any position to be handing out points as a favorite. Wisconsin Green Bay is a much more capable offense, scoring 75 points per game to Loyola's 60. Behind first team Horizon player Mike Schachtner, the Phoenix will make it four straight in Chicago.

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asa 4*


Pro Hockey Picks
12/6/2007
6:00:00 PM OVER 5.5 GOALS(5.5) BOSTON BRUINS
-vs- Montreal Canadiens
ASA 4* Over 5.5 goals in Boston vs Montreal @ 6 P.M.

We lost with the over in the Canadiens game on Tuesday but we come right back with it here after falling a half goal short in Montreal. The key here is the goaltending situation for both clubs. Also adding strong support to the Over here is some bad blood between these clubs! This has a tendency to result in plenty of extracirricular activities on the ice! That was exactly the case in the last meeting between these clubs as penalties and power plays were the story throughout a high-scoring game that saw 11 pucks find the back of the net! The Canadiens goaltending is an area of concern now due to the Cristobal Huet injury. The Habs have allowed too many goals in their recent games and that trend is likely to continue on the road tonight! The good news for Canadiens fans tonight is that the Montreal offense should strike early and often against a Bruins club playing the second night of a back to back. The Boston situation is made even tougher as Tim Thomas was hurt in last night's game. That means the Bruins may go with Finnish rookie Tuukka Rask in between the pipes tonight. It would be his first ever start at home in Boston and the Habs will certainly look to pressure him early and often. This game, with bad blood, extra intensity, back-up goalies, as well as two clubs each coming off of a loss has 'over' written all over it!

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asa 4*


Pro Hockey Picks
12/6/2007
6:00:00 PM OVER 5.5 GOALS(5.5) BOSTON BRUINS
-vs- Montreal Canadiens
ASA 4* Over 5.5 goals in Boston vs Montreal @ 6 P.M.

We lost with the over in the Canadiens game on Tuesday but we come right back with it here after falling a half goal short in Montreal. The key here is the goaltending situation for both clubs. Also adding strong support to the Over here is some bad blood between these clubs! This has a tendency to result in plenty of extracirricular activities on the ice! That was exactly the case in the last meeting between these clubs as penalties and power plays were the story throughout a high-scoring game that saw 11 pucks find the back of the net! The Canadiens goaltending is an area of concern now due to the Cristobal Huet injury. The Habs have allowed too many goals in their recent games and that trend is likely to continue on the road tonight! The good news for Canadiens fans tonight is that the Montreal offense should strike early and often against a Bruins club playing the second night of a back to back. The Boston situation is made even tougher as Tim Thomas was hurt in last night's game. That means the Bruins may go with Finnish rookie Tuukka Rask in between the pipes tonight. It would be his first ever start at home in Boston and the Habs will certainly look to pressure him early and often. This game, with bad blood, extra intensity, back-up goalies, as well as two clubs each coming off of a loss has 'over' written all over it!

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Kelso FB

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chairmans Club 10 units Washington -3 v. Bears

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DOC'S

3 Unit Play. #724 Take Niagara -3 over Rider (7:00 pm) Chalk Play of the Week. The Gallagher Center is the site for this affair as the MAAC Conference opens up in Niagara, New York. Both teams have winning records, but the Broncs live and die by one player, Jason Thompson, and the Purple Aces will not him beat them tonight. Carron Fisher has similar numbers and this team is used to winning, having made the NCAA tournament last season and expect them to open play with a winning on Thursday

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At 7 pm, our Horizon Conference Game of the Month is on the Detroit Mercy Titans plus the points over Butler. The Bulldogs come into this game ranked 13th in the country, and unbeaten at 7-0. But they fall into negative systems of mine that are 2-21 and 13-27 ATS which go against certain unbeated teams off back to back wins and covers who are matched up against an opponent off a SU loss. Also, Butler has a HUGE revenge game on Saturday at Wright State (who beat Butler three times last season to win the Conference Title), and could be caught looking ahead. On Saturday, even though Butler defeated Ohio State, it didn't play very well, as it shot just 41% from the field, and missed its first 15 attempts from 3-point land. Butler trailed by 10 points at halftime before rallying in the 2nd half. Detroit has won three of its last four (and six of its last eight) at home vs. Butler. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Chicago Bears @ Washington Redskins - Thursday December 6, 2007 8:15 pm
Pick: 2 units (Normal) ATS: Chicago Bears +3 (-106)

Its been a tough year for both of these teams, especially the Skins, with the loss/death of their Pro Bowl safety Sean Taylor just ten days ago. Both teams are coming off of draining and frustrating last minute losses last week (games they both needed to win and could have won, but didnt), and it will get even tougher for the loser of this game, as neither of these 5-7 teams can afford a loss here and continue to have any realistic playoff hopes. .While both of these teams have been inconsistent and undependable all year, and Chicago is certainly no bargain with its 4-8 ATS (against the spread) record this year and Rex Grossmans 4/7 ratio of TDs to INTs with just 55% completions, at least da Bears have shown one consistent good trend, and thats been their ability to bounce back from a defeat, going 5-1 SU (straight up) and 4-2 ATS after their first six losses this year, including 3-1 both SU and ATS on the road following a loss, with two of those wins (at Green Bay and at Philly) being upset wins as road dogs. Notice their recent pattern, in which they have alternated outright (and point spread) wins and losses in their last six games (they are due for a win this game). In fact, the situation the Bears face Thursday night is similar in many ways to their Oct 21 game in Philly, where they were coming off of another gut-wrenching last minute home loss, that one to the Vikings, and they faced a decent but beatable foe in the Eagles the result was that Chicago came through with not only a point spread cover as a 5 point dog, but an outright win as well. We think there is a good chance of history repeating itself in Washington for the Bears against a Redskin team that is about on a par with Philly in most respects and is not only beatable at home (3 wins, 3 losses so far this year) but is a lousy home favorite, not only this year (1-4 ATS as a home fave, all in this 3-6 point price range) but last year as well (3-5 W-L and 0-3 ATS as home faves). In addition, Skins are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games after a loss (0-2 this year), and 8-16 in the second of two consecutive home games (0-2 LY, none TY until this game), without an intervening bye week. While we realize Chicagos down sides (only three games TY with over 100 yards rushing, and choppy play on both sides of the ball, including having the NFLs 26th ranked defense and the ever present threat of turnovers by QB Rex Grossman), they are also ranked #1 in special teams, with game-breaking KO and punt return specialist Devin Hester as an omnipresent threat, as he showed in winning Bears recent game against Denver almost single handedly. Also, Grossman has started to make better decisions and take better care of the ball, in his second tour of duty TY after getting benched in mid-season. For example, Sundays loss to NY Giants certainly cannot be blamed on him, as he went 25-46 passing, for nearly 300 yards and NO INTS. Anyone who is having a hard time deciding which side to bet on in this game should simply ask themselves whether they would rather have a team (getting 3 points) which won 15 games last year and went to the Super Bowl, with the same head coach and basically the same players as this year, or a team which has been to the playoffs only once in the last three years, did not even qualify as a wild card last year, and is coached by someone who may have been a great coach in his previous life with the Redskins but isnt as sharp as he once was, as indicated by his gift wrapping the Skins last game for Buffalo by forgetting that it is a 15 yard penalty to call two consecutive time outs without an intervening play. Bottom line this is not our favorite match-up of the week -- in fact, we already have five other NFL picks posted for Sunday and Monday night NFL games which we like better than this one, including just our second five unit NFL pick this year (the first one won). But this is the only NFL game until Sunday, and we like it enough to actually have two picks on it (we dont make picks on games just because they are on national TV). Our first pick, for two units, is on Chicago at +3, but if you can get Bears at +3.5 without having to lay ridiculous juice like 125 or more, make it 3 units. We also like the Bears on the money line, at +135, to win the game outright. We base this money line pick on two factors first, in Bears two games TY as a road dog after a loss, they have won both games outright, and second, in 11 of Chicagos 12 games this year, including all six of Bears away games, the point spread winner has been the outright winner on the field as well. Good luck, bet smart, and Go Bears!!!

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vernon croy..

Vernon Croy
Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -110 Montreal Canadiens Play Title: 10 Unit NHL Smash of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
10 Units, Take Montreal ML -110, Montreal is the superior team here and this pick falls into one of my NHL systems. Montreal is 7-3 in their last 10 games when playing on the road and coming off a 3 game losing streak. Montreal is 4-1 in their last 5 games when coming off a loss by 3 goals and they are 15-4 in their last 19 games against Boston. Boston is averaging just 24.8 shots on goal per game at home this season and their penalty kill has been brutal over their last 5 games with opponents converting 38.9% against them. Great Value here with Montreal tonight as my NHL Smash of the Week.

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

WAYNE ROOT

Chairman - Redskins
Millionaire - Butler

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

tom freese

20 star burial

atlanta

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