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Saturday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

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8 Oklahoma
6 Virginia Tech
4 Central Florida
4 Fla Atl.

6 St. Mary
6 Conn
4 N C Wilmington
3 Missouri

4 Pitts
3 C Mich
3 Arizona St.

4 Valparisio
4 St. Joe
3 N Iowa

The Hog
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California -13.5 vs Stanford Inside Information Marquee Play
BYU -16 vs San Diego St College 900 Marquee Play of the Day

Late Phone Selections:
4* Over 57 BYU/San Diego St @6:30 pm ET
3* Under 42.5 Oregon St/Oregon @4:30

2007 NCAA Small College Selections!

Late Phone Selections:
4* Florida Atlantic +15.5 vs Troy @ 2 pm ET

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Missouri as his 50 Dimer

UCF and Tennessee 5 dimes.

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Ted Sevransky

GAME: Oregon St. @ Oregon Dec 1, 2007 4:30PM
PICK: Oregon St.

REASON FOR PICK: Dennis Dixon has made quite a case for himself as the Heisman winner since he got hurt. Yes, you read that sentence correctly ? Dixon?s absence has proven what a difference maker he was for the Ducks. When Dixon got hurt, in the first quarter of the Arizona game, the Ducks had the most potent offense of any major conference team in the country. They?d put up 48+ in more than half of their games, gaining more than 250 yards on the ground and 225 through the air on average.

Brady Leaf got the nod when Dixon went down. Much like his maligned older brother Ryan, Brady struggled mightily when put in the spotlight. He, too, got hurt, leaving untested third and fourth string redshirt frosh QB?s Cody Kempt and Justin Roper to split time against UCLA last week. The results were predictable: Oregon got shut out. Now, a team that was thinking national championship only two games ago is in danger of finishing in sixth place in the PAC-10!
Mike Belotti?s teams have a long history of responding poorly to adversity. Last year, the Ducks were 7-2 when they got blasted by USC. They lost their final three games of the season to finish at 7-6. We saw a similar late season collapse in 2004, when three season ending losses turned a promising season into a 5-6 disaster. In ?02, the Ducks were 7-2 before closing out the campaign with four consecutive defeats. With no quarterback, and a track record like the one described above, it?s not hard to make a case for another Duck meltdown here in 2007.
Meanwhile, very quietly, underneath the radar, Oregon State has won five of their last six, the lone loss coming at USC. The Beavers have one of the strongest rushing defenses in all of college football, holding foes to 64 rushing yards per game (1.9 yards per carry) for the season! Mike Riley loves to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks, bad news for the Ducks young signal callers here. And, while the Beavers are playing without their starting QB as well, backup Lyle Moevao has rebounded nicely from some early season struggles, guiding the Beavers to victory in each of his two starts. Look for Moevao to make it three in a row with a win in Eugene on Saturday. (#313) Take Oregon State.

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Carlo Campanella

Game: Oklahoma at Missouri Dec 1 2007 8:00PM

Prediction: Oklahoma

Reason: The College Football game of the week is clearly the Big 12 Conference battle between Oklahoma (10-2) and Missouri (11-1). These squads meet almost every season, but Oklahoma has dominated the past 10 meetings with a 9-1 record. However, the point spread has been the great equalizer as these teams are 5-5 ATS during those ten meetings, with Oklahoma winning by ten points at home back on October 13, 41-31, but failing to cover the 13.5 point spread. Oklahoma also took last years meeting in Missouri, 26-10, as 1-point Dogs.

Oklahoma has lost just twice this season, the first loss as 22 point favorites to Colorado and the latter at Texas Tech back on November 17. The enter this Big 12 battle off a 49-17 blowout victory over interstate rival, Oklahoma State. They hit the road and head to Missouri averaging an incredible 43.8 points per game on offense, with their defense has held foes to a very stingy 18.3 points per game this year. Missouri opened the season with 5 straight wins before their only loss, 31-41, to this Oklahoma squad! Since that loss, theyve won 6 more straight games and enter off a 36-28 victory over Kansas, who was ranked # 2 in the Nation before that contest. Missouri is equally impressive on offense, averaging 41.9 points per game, however, their defensive unit is slightly worse than the Sooners, allowing opponents to score 23.4 points per game.

Missouri seeks revenge from that October loss, but we find Oklahoma at 34-27 ATS against foes seeking revenge and expect the Oklahoma defense to learn even more from the 10-point win and have little trouble stopping the Missouri offense this second meeting.

7* Play On Oklahoma

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8-Unit Play. Take #330 Central Florida (-7) over Tulsa (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 1)
Note: This is our College Football Game of the Year. I do endorse a play at -7.5 for 7 Units. Buy off the hook if you can.

Central Florida is a bigger, badder, better team than Tulsa and they are going to prove it again this weekend. UCF hammered the Hurricanes by 21 points in their October meeting and are playing even better now then they were then. Since a mid-season loss to South Florida, the Knights have run off six straight wins by an average of 21.8 points. Tulsa is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games and has not been the same explosive team on grass that they have been on turf. This is an incredibly young Tulsa team, with just five senior starters, and other than quarterback Paul Smith there isn?t much that I see that scares me on the Tulsa sideline. These are two of the top offenses in Conference USA but the difference will be that UCF can hit and control the line of scrimmage. They should dominate the time of possession, should keep Smith off the field, and will clearly have the home crowd behind them as they avenge a loss to the Hurricanes from two years ago.

4.5-Unit Play. Take Central Michigan (-3) over Miami, OH (11 a.m., Saturday, Dec. 1)
The defending MAC champions have 14 starters back from the team that hammered Ohio 31-10 last year in this very game. Central Michigan got off to a slow start this season due in part to injuries and a tricky schedule, but over the last month they have been the best team in the MAC. They have won three of their last four games away from home outright and have won six of eight games overall. We will be backing the No. 1 offense in the conference and we will be backing the best player on the field in CMU?s Dan LeFevour. Miami of Ohio has stumbled down the stretch, dropping three of four games and posting a 1-4 ATS mark. Central Michigan is 17-4-3 ATS in their last 24 conference games, 15-3-2 ATS as a favorite, and 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 to 10.0. The Redhawks do play solid defense and are a scrappy club, but I don?t trust their quarterback not to make a crippling mistake and I don?t think this team can put up enough points if they get behind early. I think the crowd will be on CMU?s side and I think luck will be as well, as the Chippewas make it back-to-back MAC titles.

3-Unit Play. Take Washington (+14) over Hawaii (11:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 1)
Hawaii is setup for a letdown here after winning a game against Boise State that they had built up to be the pinnacle of their season. Washington is coming off a tough loss in the Apple Cup, but this is a senior-laden team that is looking to play spoiler against a Hawaii team with stars in its eyes. Hawaii is just 2-6 ATS against the Pac-10 and the Huskies already dominated Boise State this year. I do not think they win this one, but it shouldn?t be decided by double-digits either.

2-Unit Play. Take #335 Oklahoma (-3) over Missouri (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 1)
No. 1 or No. 2 has not been a happy place for teams this year. I know everyone is excited about Missouri righ tnow but I still think that Oklahoma is a bigger, badder team than the Tigers. OU has owned the Tigers over the past two seasons and the key to this play comes down to one thing: is this Missouri team better than the one that got hammered at home by this Sooners team? I say no. In Stoops We Trust, and the Sooners are going to roll in this one.

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North Star Sports Service

Best Bet!

CFB - 12/1/2007 NEVADA -8.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 STANFORD 13
CFB - 12/1/2007 HAWAII -12.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 CENTRAL FLORIDA -6.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 BOSTON COLLEGE 4.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 TENNESSEE 7.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 TENNESSEE atLSU Under 60.5
CFB - 12/1/2007 OKLAHOMA -3
CFB - 12/1/2007 OKLAHOMA atMISSOURI Under 65

Best Bet!

CBB - 12/1/2007 CAL RIVERSIDE 20.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 NORTH CAROLINA -6.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 CLEMSON -7.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 NC WILMINGTON 4.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 PROVIDENCE 1.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 PENNSYLVANIA 21.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 OHIO STATE 5
CBB - 12/1/2007 MISSOURI 2.5
CBB - 12/1/2007 BALL STATE 14
CBB - 12/1/2007 UTAH STATE -3
CBB - 12/1/2007 INDIANA 2
CBB - 12/1/2007 DUKE -8
CBB - 12/1/2007 NC GREENSBORO 3.5

Best Bet

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stan sharp...

Sat, 12/01/07 - 7:00 PMStan Sharp | CBB Sides
double-dime bet554 St. Mary's (Cal.) -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 553 Seton Hall
Analysis: Vegas has totally missed the boat on the strength of this St. Mary's team look for them to run over Seton Hall today as Stan expects St. Mary's to win by at least 15-18 points. TAKE ST. MARY'S as STAN'S BOOKMAKER MISTAKE GAME OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY

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Ben Burns__________________UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR________________________Florida Atlantic
Ben Burns__________________december total of the month__________UNDER USC/UCLA (44 or better)
Ben Burns__________________ shocker GOM_______________________SAN DIEGO ST (+14 or better)
Ben Burns_________________________________________FLOR IDA INTERNATIONAL (pick'em or better)
Ben Burns_____________________________________________ _____________ARIZONA (+6 or better)

Gator Report (Cajun-Sports)___________________________________________ _____West Virginia -28.5

Gator Tech Report___________________________comp_____________ _____________________USC-20

ace-ace /allan Eastman________________________3__________________ _________________Byu -15.5
ace-ace /allan Eastman________________________3__________________ _________________Tenn+7.5
ace-ace /allan Eastman________________________3__________________ ____________Ucla Under 46.5
ace-ace /allan Eastman________________________3__________________ ________________Hawaii -14

Marc Lawrence______________________PERFECT PLEASURE_______________________________Hawaii

gary greene bluebook sports__________________big_______________________ __________virginia tech

Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:1__________ __________________USC 45 UCLA 17
Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:2__________ ____Virginia Tech 27 Boston College 17
Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:5__________ __________Arizona 31 Arizona State 30
Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:1__________ ___________________USC 45 UCLA 17
Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:2__________ _____Virginia Tech 27 Boston College 17
Pointwise Newsletter______________________Rating:5__________ __________Arizona 31 Arizona State 30

Redsheet______________________Rating:90(1st 90 rating of the year)_________________USC 45 UCLA 13
Redsheet_______________________________Rating:89__ ________________West Virginia 52 Pittsburgh 10
Redsheet_______________________________Rating:88__ __________________C. Michigan 47 Miami-Oh 34
Redsheet_______________________________Rating:88__ _____________Virginia Tech 27 Boston College 15
Redsheet_______________________________Rating:88__ _____________________Hawaii 54 Washington 27
Redsheet_______________________________Rating:87__ _____________________Fresno,Arizona,and Army

chuck luck-SUX___________________________(bigger play)________________________________oklahoma
chuck luck-SUX_______________________________________________ __________________________fl intl
chuck luck-SUX_______________________________________________ __________________________tenn

SPYLOCK__________________________________1________ ________________________________LSU -7.5

DOC'S SPORTS____________________________comp____________ ________________________Arizona +7

Wild Bill_________________________________ (1 unit)________________________________Nevada -8 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (1 unit)____________________________________Army +14
Wild Bill_________________________________ (2 units)_________________________________Pitt +28 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (1 unit)________________________________Hawaii -13 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (1 unit)__________________________________Troy -15 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (4 units)__________________________Central Florida -6 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (2 units)__________________________Boston College +5 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (1 unit)______________________________Tennessee +7 1/2
Wild Bill_________________________________ (5 units)_________________________Under 74 Arizona-ASU

Selective Sports Systems____________________7 units_____________________Arizona/Arizona St Over 57.5

Selective Sports Systems____________________5 units____________________________________Army +14

FERRINGIO___________________8-Unit College Football Game of the Year______Central Florida (-7) over Tulsa
FERRINGIO___________________4.5-Unit Play________________________Central Michigan (-3) over Miami, OH
FERRINGIO___________________3-Unit Play______________________________Washington (+14) over Hawaii
FERRINGIO___________________2-Unit Play________________________________Oklahoma (-3) over Missouri

COLIN COWHERD___________________________________________ ______________Oklahoma 33 Missouri 24
COLIN COWHERD___________________________________________ ______________________LSU 21 Tenn 28
COLIN COWHERD___________________________________________ ______________Arizona State 42 Arizona 17
COLIN COWHERD___________________________________________ _______Virginia Tech 28 Boston College 17
COLIN COWHERD___________________________________________ _______________________USC 31 UCLA 9

Larry Ness_________________________LEGEND Play________________________________________Oklaho ma

Spreitzer_______________________________big_______ _______________________________central michigan

John Ryan___________________________Ai Simulator 15*____________________________________Oklahoma

Antonwins_________________________________________ ____________________________________USC -20

Doc's_______________________________comp__________ ___________________Arizona +7 over Arizona State

Strike Points Sports____________________Comp____________________ ______Oregon State/Oregon Under 43.5

VSI___________________________________comp________ _______________Nevada -7 ½ over Louisiana Tech

ASA____________________________________4*_________ ________________________________________AZ
ASA____________________________________3*_________ ________________________________________OK

Nelly_____________________________________3*______ ____________________________________usc -20
Nelly_____________________________________2*______ __________________________________arizona +7
Nelly_____________________________________computer slam_______________________________hawaii-14

king creole______________________________3*** BEST BET____________________OVER TENNESSEE vs. LSU

Burns_________________________________December GOM________________________OREGON (-3 or better)

greg shaker________________________________3 DIME "Game of Year"____________________________________Army +14
jwhip___________________________________(3 Unit)____________________________________Oklahoma -3

Players of America__________________MAC Conference GOY-5*/50 units________________Central Michigan -2.5

Doc Sports________________________________
Doc Sports________________________________6___________ _________________________________V. Tech
Doc Sports________________________________4___________ _______________________________Central Fla
Doc Sports________________________________4___________ __________________________________Navy
Doc Sports________________________________4___________ ___________________________________Pgh

Strike Points_________________________________5__________ _________________________Central Mich ML
Strike Points_________________________________5__________ ____________________________Washington
Strike Points_________________________________5__________ ____________________________Tulsa under
Strike Points_________________________________3__________ ________________________________Missouri
Strike Points_________________________________2__________ __________________________________Tulsa
Strike Points_________________________________2__________ __________________________________Tenn

The Eck Man___________________________Best Bet_____________________________________pick Missouri

Wunderdogsports__________________________ 3 units______________________________Florida Atlantic +15.5
Wunderdogsports__________________________ 3 units_____________________________Louisiana Tech +7.5
Wunderdogsports__________________________ 3 units____________________________________Missouri +3
Wunderdogsports__________________________ 3 units________________________________Washington +14

Northcoast Infomercial________________Conference USA/Independent POW______________Central Florida -6.5
Northcoast Infomercial________________Underdog POW________________________________Florida Atlantic

Northcoast Infomercial________________Power Plays 4*__________________________________ Virginia Tech
Northcoast Infomercial________________Economy Club__________________________________Arizona St -6.5
Northcoast Infomercial________________Big 12 POW________________________________________Oklahom a

Totals 4 U_________________________________________________ ________________________Missouri +3

HQ Report newsletter_____________________10* GOY____________________________USC OVER UCLA BY 37
HQ Report newsletter_____________________3*_________________ ________ARIZONA (+) OVER ARIZONA ST
HQ Report newsletter_____________________3*_________________ ________VIRGINIA TECH OVER B.C. BY 20
HQ Report newsletter_____________________3*_________________ _________OREGON ST (+) OVER OREGON
HQ Report newsletter____________UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK________________TENNESSEE (+) OVER LSU
HQ Report newsletter____________TOTAL RECALL OVER / UNDER COMP__________________ARMY/NAVY OVER

Lem Banker__________________________comp______________ _______________________________ARMY
Lem Banker__________________________comp______________ _____________________________OREGON
Lem Banker__________________________comp______________ ___________________________TENNESSEE

Big Al______________NCAA Conference Championship Game of the Year__________________Oklahoma Sooners
Big Al______________Big Chalk Blowout of the Month______________________________________USC Trojans
Big Al________________________________________________ ___________________________________LSU
Big Al________________________________________________ ______________________________Miami-Ohio
Big Al________________________________________________ ____________________________Boston College
Big Al________________________________________________ ___________________________________Navy

Computer Sports__________________________comp______________ ______________Ore/Ore St under 46 1/2.

Tom Hatfield/Razor Sharp Sports______________comp__________________________ ____TENNESSEE/LSU OVER

Mike Wynn Sports_________________________comp_______________ __________________USC minus 20 points
Dark Horse Sports_________________________comp_______________ ______________________Central Michigan

Dr. Vegas________________________________comp_________ ___________________________UCF -7 over Tulsa

Carlo Campanella_________________________COMP 7*__________________________________________Oklaho ma

John Ryan_______________________________COMP___________ _______________________________West Virginia

JB________________________________________________ ___________________________________USC -19.5

Ultra Sports_______________________________comp_________ ____________________________________BYU

Alex Smart_____________________________________________ __________________________Pittsburgh +28.5

Boston Blackie_______________________________comp________ ___________OVER 64 Louisiana Tech vs Nevada

Valley Sports_______________________________comp ____________________________Florida Atlantic Over Troy

Bob Balfe_________________________________Comp________ ________________VTech -4.5 over Boston College

Ted Sevransky_____________________________comp________ ________________________________Oregon St.

Matt *****_________________________________1.5 units comp________________________________Oregon St.

Dave ********_____________________________3* comp__________________ARMY/NAVY First Half Under 32.5

Norm Hitzges___________________________Triple Play_______________________________USC -19.5 vs UCLA

Double Plays
Norm Hitzges______________________________ Double Play___________________Arizona +7 vs Arizona State
Norm Hitzges______________________________ Double Play__________________BYU -15.5 vs San Diego State

Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play______________________Oregon State pk vs Oregon
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play______________________Stanford +13.5 vs California
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play________________________Hawaii -14 vs Washington
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play_______________North Texas -2 vs Florida International
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play_______________________________UCF -7.5 vs Tulsa
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play_____________________VaTech -4.5 vs Boston College
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play__________________________Tennessee +7.5 vs LSU
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play_________________________Missouri +3 vs Oklahoma
Norm Hitzges____________________________Single Play______________________________UCF/Tulsa Over 75

Point Train _________________5 units CONFERENCE TITLE GOY______Virginia Tech (-4.5) over BOSTON COLLEGE


Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________Oklahoma -3
Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________Tenn. +7
Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________Va. Tech -4.5
Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________Cent Mich OV64
Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________N. Texas -3
Patrick Little____________________________________________ _____________________Oregon UN43
Patrick Little____________________________Best Bet_______________________________BYU -16

Jorge Gonzalez__________________________________________ ____________________Cent Mich -3.5

Jorge Gonzalez__________________________________________ ______________________Oregon UN43
Jorge Gonzalez___________________________Best Bet______________________________Nevada UN64

Adam Meyer_____________________________________________ _______________________Calif -13.5
Adam Meyer_____________________________________________ ____________________Bost. Coll. +4.5
Adam Meyer_____________________________________________ __________________________BYU -16

Sal from Maddox Sports____________________________________________ _____________La Tech. +7.5
Sal from Maddox Sports____________________________________________ _____________USC -20
Sal from Maddox Sports____________________________________________ _____________Pitt +29
Sal from Maddox Sports____________________________________________ _____________Arizona +7
Sal from Maddox Sports____________________________________________ _____________Miami-Ohio +3

Doc_______________________________________________ __________________________Cent. Fla -7.5
Doc_______________________________________________ __________________________Okla -3
Doc_______________________________________________ __________________________Pitt +29
Doc_______________________________________________ __________________________USC -20
Doc____________________________________Best Bet_______________________________Va Tech -4.5

Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________N. Texas -2
Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________Pitt +29
Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________Oregon St. PK
Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________BYU OV56
Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________USC -20
Bill Edler_____________________________________________ ________________________LSU -7
Bill Edler_______________________________Best Bet_______________________________Cent. Mich OV64

Gameday_______________________________3*__________ ___________________________USC
Gameday_______________________________2*__________ ___________________________California
Gameday_______________________________2*__________ ___________________________Arizona
Gameday_______________________________2*__________ ___________________________Washington

JIM ******____________________________________________ ____________


JIM ******____________________________________________ ____________Southern California -19 over UCLA

JIM ******____________________________________________ ____________Arizona +7 over Arizona State

JIM ******____________________________________________ ____________Central Florida -7.5 over Tulsa

JIM ******____________________________________________ ____________Louisiana Tech +7 over Nevada-Reno

ACEMANPICKS.COM_______________________3*__________ _______________NAVY -7 / BYU -8.5 (teaser)
ACEMANPICKS.COM_______________________3*__________ _______________OREG. ST +7 / LA TECH +14 (teaser)
ACEMANPICKS.COM_______________________5*__________ _______________NORTH TEXAS -2 (-120 if needed)

CONFIDENTIAL KICKOFF-CTO_______________10*________________________CENT. MICHIGAN over Miami-Ohio
CONFIDENTIAL KICKOFF-CTO_______________10 *______________________________HAWAII over Washington

Marc Lawrence__________________AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK____________________________Stanford

Pointwise Newsletter_______________________ Rating:1________________________________USC 45 UCLA 17

Pointwise Newsletter_______________________ Rating:2__________________Virginia Tech 27 Boston College 17

Pointwise Newsletter_______________________ Rating:5________________________Arizona 31 Arizona State 30

WINNING POINTS________________________****BEST BET______________SOUTHERN CAL* over U.C.L.A. by 35
WINNING POINTS_______________________**PREFERRED__________ ______CALIFORNIA over STANFORD* by 24

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Marc Lawrence College Championship Game of the Year


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  #61       12-01-2007, 05:19 AM 
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C MICHIGAN (7-5) at MIAMI OHIO (6-6)

The battle for MAC supremacy with the first conference championship game kicking off at 11:00 a.m. Miami of Ohio (6-6 SU & 5-6 ATS) has played very admirable this season and their 7-5 record is a bit deceiving considering their strength of schedule. Indeed, 4 of their 5 losses came against power conferences (on the road) as they suffered losses to Minnesota, Cincinnati, Colorado and Vanderbilt. The normally very dangerous offensive unit of Miami of Ohio has had a very up and down year as they suffered many injuries especially in their backfield where they are down to their fourth and fifth-string tailbacks (Cory Jones and Thomas Merriweather) as their stud Austin Sykes has an ankle injury. However, Miami’s defense is where their bread and butter is as they are allowing just 18 points per game. Meanwhile, similar to Miami (Ohio) the Central Michigan Chippewas (7-5 SU & 7-4 ATS) have also had an up and down year, but they have one of the most potent offenses in the nation. The offense is led by sophomore quarterback LeFevour who comes into this contest with 22 touchdowns. Indeed, this is a well balanced offense that is averaging an unbelievable 43 points, 221 yards rushing and 290 yards passing per game in MAC play! However, unlike their counterpart, the Chippewas defense has some problems as they are allowing opposing offenses to average 38 points per game against them on the season. Despite those rather gaudy numbers, it should be noted that those “on paper” stats are a bit misleading as CM did have to play some of the most powerful offenses in the country as Kansas put up 52, Purdue 45 and Clemson put up 70 as they were coming off a loss on their home coming day.

The line in this contest opened at Central Michigan -3.5 and has since been bet down to 3 despite a 64% public backing according to most betting tracking sites. Those who follow me know that I usually go against the public, but this particular situation really favors Central Michigan. I assume this line is rather “small” because Central Michigan faltered down the stretch as they barely defeated Western Michigan land lost to a lowly Eastern Michigan team at home. CM also needed to rally from a double digit deficit to beat Akron this past weekend (however they did have a 639-323 yard edge) However, those results are not all that surprising when you consider that the Chippewas already had the MAC West title locked up weeks ago, thus guaranteeing themselves for a spot in this game. In contrast, Miami (Ohio) needed to rally late in their season as they went an incredible 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Despite, the slide in the last few weeks of the season, there really is nothing to justify this small line in my opinion. Granted, Miami (Ohio) has the better defense on the field by about 13 points and 92 yards, Miami’s defense did have the benefit of playing some of the weaker offenses teams in the country. As such, despite the “on paper” defensive fundamental match-up advantage, the theory of this selection is that Miami (Ohio) simply does not have the firepower to compete with the CM offense. If the Chippewas get ahead early this game will be over before it started because Miami’s offense is not capable of coming back from a big deficit. For all their defensive flaws, Miami’s quarterback has thrown five interceptions in his last two games and he will be unable to exploit the defensive weaknesses of the CMU secondary. From a technical standpoint Central Michigan is on an impressive 15-2 ATS run against MAC opposition. CMU is also 6-1 SU & ATS in the MAC this season. In contrast, Miami is a poor 2-5 SU & 2-4 ATS away from home this season. Central won the MAC championship last season when they easily defeated Ohio 31-10 last season and should be in for an easy win again this season. Lay the small number as Central rolls!

Verdict: Cent Michigan 38, Miami Oh 24

OKLAHOMA (10-2) at MISSOURI (11-1)

Man oh man is this going to be a great game! I have received some criticism about many of my selections not being “televised” games but that is not the reason for this selection. Luckily, this is also one of the best value plays on the board this season. Most people did a second take when they saw this line came out as the No. 1 team in the nation was instill as an underdog again the ninth ranked opponent in Oklahoma. Oklahoma (10-2 SU & 6-6 ATS) comes into this contest with a very skilled and dangerous offense led by quarterback Sam Bradford (32 touchdowns, just 7 interceptions). Indeed, the Oklahoma offense averages a whopping 43 points per game on 193 yards rushing and 263 passing per game. The Sooner defense is equally as imposing as they are allowing just 18 points and just 91 yards rushing per contest. Meanwhile, their opponent the Missouri Tigers (11-1 SU & 10-1 ATS) come into this contest as the number 1 ranked team in the nation. Like Oklahoma, their offense is incredible averaging 42 points, 170 yards rushing and 336 yards passing per game. However, unlike Oklahoma, their defense can be exploited as they are actually 5 points and 57 yards worse the Sooners.

Going to back to the line in this contest, my theory is that the lines makers are trying to entice the public to take the No. 1 ranked underdog. We know from a motivation standpoint, Missouri has just about everything to lose. If they win this game, they would play for the national title. However, what Missouri doesn’t have is the experience. Indeed, Oklahoma has been here before and won last seasons Big 12 title game (a 21-7 win over Nebraska). Missouri, must also somehow try to find a way to erase the fact that their loan loss of their season came on October 13 when Oklahoma won 41-31 at home. Now traditionally, some will say that Missouri has the benefit since this classified as a “same season” revenge contest, however, I still cannot get off the fact that as good as Missouri has been, Oklahoma simply has more talented players virtually across the board and they have the experience to step up in a big setting. This will be Missouri’s first appearance in the Big 12 Championship game, while Oklahoma has been in this spot 6 times over the past nine seasons. Historically, the Tigers have lost 18 of the last 20 games in this series and I see no reason for that to change tonight. Lay the small number with the better defense and the more talented team.

Verdict: Oklahoma 31, Missouri 21
Syndicate play: After some considerable discussion the group decided to place a 35 dime wager on LSU -7.

Ethan’s thoughts: All three advisors flagged LSU early in the week including myself. When we made this selection we were aware that LSU QB Flynn was only probable and not going to play, as he was severely limited in practice. However, his replacement, Ryan Perrilloux is very capable and the group believes that they LSU is potentially more talented with Perrilloux under center. Nevertheless, the big difference in this contest will be the basic match-up advantage when LSU has the ball and decides to run the football. LSU (averages 4.9 rushing yards per carry) should be able to move the ball at will against a Tennessee rush defense that gives up well over 4 yards per carry. Look for LSU to control the game and clock with their powerful rushing attack and they should be able to name their score against an out-matched Tennessee team.


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Jim Hurley

Boston College +4.5
Tennessee +7
Missouri +3
NCAAB Okl St -3
NCAAB S. Ill -2

The Hog
3330 Posts
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Re: Saturday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

CAL SPORTS Saturday:
4 Chicago Bulls
4 SC
3 Butler

The Hog
3330 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

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