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Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Marc Lawrence

West Virginia over LOUISVILLE by 10

It's early November and the high-powered Cardinals are on the outside looking in at the BIG EAST race. As disappointing as they've been, WVU coach Rich Rodriguez realizes a wounded dog bites hardest when his belly is aching. Picked by many to win conference honors in 2007, Louisville will rely on a week of rest and a staunch defensive effort in its last game (held Pitt to season low 270 yards) in hopes of springing a second double-digitdog upset win this year. The last three games in this series have witnessed scoreboard burnouts, playing to combined totals of 78, 90 and 70 points with the losing team tallying 34 or more points each game. With Rodriguez nothing special at home off back-to-back wins (4-9 ATS), and Louie 5-1 ATS (3-2 SU) taking doubles, we'll opt-in with the hungry dog.

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Vegas Sports Picks

LOUISVILLE +17

Louisville (5-4, 2-2) which ranks sixth in the nation in passing yardage is 12-4 ATS last 16 as an underdog. No.6 West Virginia (7-1, 2-1) which ranks sixth in the nation in rushing yardage is 3-5 ATS last eight home games. Teams have split past two meetings each winning at home, Louisville 44-34 last season, WVU 46-44 in triple OT the previous season.

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Jim Feist
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

There comes times when you just have to go with a trend on face value. Trends can be a good part of anyones overall handicapping, but usually it shouldn't be your sole handicapping tool. But, on Thursday we have one of those games where you just have to give in to the Trend. For whatever reason, the Golden State Warriors have just dominated the Dallas Mavericks during the regular season. The figures? How about the Warriors going 20-4 ATS the last 24 meetings!!! The Warriors have won four straight ATS and have covered 10 of the last 11 games. Even straight up the numbers are heavy on the Warriors side; 9-2 SU the last 11 meetings. Now, the Mavericks may even be without forward Josh Howard, who is questionable with an ankle injury. We'll just take this Trend on face value and stick with the Warriors here on Thursday.

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GOLD SHEET

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8

*WEST VIRGINIA 42 - Louisville 20?Visiting Cardinals need 1 more win to
be bowl eligible, and notching that victory at expense of rival WV would be
doubly satisfying. Easier said than done against Mountaineer squad that is still
lurking around BCS title picture, however. Speedy duo of QB White & RB
Slaton will strike early & often vs. poor-tackling Louisville stop unit. And
improved WV pass defense (11 ints., only 7 TDP) better equipped to deal with
dangerous Card sr. QB Brohm TY. CABLE TV?ESPN
(06-LVL. 44-W. Va. 34...W.24-22 W.50/318 L.32/114 L.19/26/0/354 W.13/21/0/222 L.1 W.3)
(06-LOUISVILLE -1' 44-34 05-WEST VIRGINIA +7 46-44 (OT)...SR: West Virginia 6-2)


*BYU 24 - Tcu 20?It?s almost as hard to beat BYU in Provo (where it?s won
10 straight) as it is to find Coca-Cola Classic at LaVell Edwards Stadium?s
concession stands. But it?s also difficult to extend margins vs. TCU, especially
with ?D? in ornery mood once more now that DE Blake has returned to lineup,
and Frogs jumping again after last week?s romp past New Mexico. Another
controlled effort by RS frosh QB Dalton (2 TDP vs. Lobos) should keep TCU close.
(06-Byu 31-TCU 17...T.29-20 T.32/141 B.34/72 B.23/37/0/321 T.26/50/1/296 B.1 T.1)
(06-Byu +5' 31-17 05-Tcu +3' 51-50 (OT)...SR: BYU 4-2)

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POINTWISE

THURSDAY

WEST VIRGINIA 55 - Louisville 27
(7:45 - ESPN) -- Barnburners are the norm
in this series, but can't see it recurring. Not only does the 'Ville own porous "D",
but formerly explosive "O" has reached 30 pts in just 1 of last 5 games. No
such shortcomings for Mounties, who average 41 ppg, along with 3rd best "D".


BYU 33 - Tcu 26 - (9:00)
Coogs missed cover LW, on INT runback in final 4:07.
Averaging 42 ppg in last 15 HGs, & Hall in off 355 PY effort. But complete
turnaround for Frogs LW, with 25-6 FD & >300 yd edge over always tuff NMex.

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Dave Cokin

DETROIT PISTONS

What's up with Chicago? The Bulls are 0-4 and look terrible. Tyrus Thomas has been very erratic, and for whatever reason key contributors Duhon and Nocioni are not seeing as many minutes as one would expect, leading me to believe there may be something physical with one or both players. The Bulls should straighten themselves out eventually, but until they do, they're a fade. Detroit owns the series to the tune of 19-6 SU, 17-8 ATS so no real reason to shy away here. I'll grab the Pistons.

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL football 4


Louisville (5-4, 2-6 ATS) at (6) West Virginia (7-1, 6-1-1 ATS)

West Virginia looks to continue its ascent up the BCS standings when it hosts Louisville in a Big East showdown that figures to be a high-scoring affair.
The Mountaineers come into this one riding a three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS), outscoring those three foes ? Syracuse, Mississippi State and Rutgers ? by a combined score of 124-30. In its most recent game at Rutgers on Oct. 27, West Virginia rolled 31-3 as a 6?-point road chalk
Louisville also has been idle since Oct. 27, when it struggled to beat Pitt 24-17 as a 10-point home favorite. The Cardinals, who like West Virginia began the year with BCS title hopes, have alternated wins and losses in their last six games.
These conference rivals have played two thrilling games the last two seasons, with the home team coming out on top each time. In 2005, West Virginia prevailed 46-44 in triple-overtime as a seven-point home underdog, but Louisville got revenge last year with a 44-34 win as a two-point favorite. Last year?s contest featured 1,008 yards of total offense.
Louisville is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 November contests and 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog, including 8-3 ATS as a road pup.
West Virginia is on ATS runs of 25-11-1 in Big East play, 8-3 following a bye and 4-1 on Thursday nights. On the downside, Rich Rodriguez?s club is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight home games.
Both teams feature high-octane offenses piloted by talented quarterbacks. Louisville puts up 37 points and 510.4 yards per game, with drop-back passer Brian Brohm completing 68.2 percent of his throws for 3,229 yards with 26 TDs and seven INTs. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers, who average 41 points and 471 total yards per game, are led by junior QB Pat White, who is connecting on 70 percent of his passes for 1,070 yards with nine TDs and two INTs. The mobile White also has 620 rushing yards (8.2 per carry) and nine rushing TDs.
The biggest difference between these squads is on the defensive side of the ball, where West Virginia gives up just 15 points and 262 (101.1 rushing yards per game) and Louisville yields 27.3 points and 411.3 yards per contest (154 rushing ypg). The Mountaineers have not given up more than 24 points in any game this year, holding six of their last seven foes to 14 points or less. On the flip side, the Cardinals have surrendered 24 points or more five times this year.
West Virginia has outgained all eight of its opponents, including seven by 124 yards or more.
The under is 5-1 in West Virginia?s last six, while the Cardinals have stayed low in five of their last seven, including the last three in a row. However, the over is 11-3 in West Virginia?s last 14 home games, 12-3 in its last 15 November contests and 2-0 in the last two series meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



TCU (5-4, 2-5-1 ATS) at BYU (6-2, 3-4 ATS)
BYU can move a step closer to clinching its second straight Mountain West Conference title when it welcomes league rival TCU to LaVell Edwards Stadium.
The Cougars carry a five-game winning streak into tonight?s game after topping Colorado State 35-16 on Saturday. BYU allowed two four-quarter touchdowns and failed to cash as a 21-point home chalk, dropping to 2-4 ATS in its last six games. The Cougars sit atop the Mountain West standings at 4-0 (2-2 ATS), and they?ve won 12 consecutive league games (8-4 ATS).
TCU is coming off its most dominating effort of the season, a 37-0 whitewash of New Mexico, covering as a four-point home chalk after going 1-5-1 ATS to start the season. The Horned Frogs, who were supposed to provide BYU its toughest challenge in the conference race, are just 2-3 in league play (2-2-1 ATS).
The visitor has taken the last two meetings. In 2005, TCU scored 21 fourth-quarter points and outlasted BYU 51-50 in overtime as a three-point underdog, while the Cougars rolled 31-17 as a seven-point road underdog last year, snapping the Horned Frogs? 13-game winning streak. BYU is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings
TCU is on a 6-2-1 ATS run in conference play. However, the Horned Frogs are 0-2 in MWC road games this year (0-1-1 ATS). For the season, TCU is averaging 22.2 points on the road, but giving up 28.5.
The Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, the only non-cover coming on Saturday against Colorado State. This year, BYU is 4-0 at home (3-1 ATS), outscoring its opponents by an average of 23 points per game (32-9).
Continuing BYU?s storied quarterback tradition is sophomore Max Hall, who is completing 60 percent of his tosses for 307 yards per game with 17 TDs and nine INTs.
The over is 9-4-1 in TCU?s last 14 November games and 7-2 in BYU?s last nine November contests. Also, the last two battles between these schools have hurdled the total. However, the Cougars are on a 6-2 ?under? roll (3-0 ?under? at home), while the Frogs are 5-2 ?under? in their last seven.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BYU

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Sports Gambling Hotline
3 LOUISVILLE / WEST VIRGINIA OVER

We expect the scoring to add up to an OVER tonight in Morgantown as both the Cardinals and the Mountaineers are capable of lighting up the scoreboard. The last two meetings between the schools have seen major points being rung up, as last year these teams combined for 78-points. Two years ago, they combined for 90-points! Louisville's offense may not be as prolific as it has been in the past, but Brian Brohm is an NFL-caliber QB, and past history in this series suggests a ton of points are certainly attainable. West Virginia has scored 31-points or more in 7 of their 8 games this season, and with Louisville's defense having a hard time when it comes to tackling, we say to take this Thursday night affair, and play it OVER the posted total. Play the HIGH!

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Rocco Spacamuro

100* TCU

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Brandon Lang

MONDAY
15 DIME

W.Virginia

Byu

Louisville/W.Virginia (OVER)

Free Pick - Dallas Mavs -

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Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Football
Game: Louisville Cardinals @ West Virginia - Thursday November 8, 2007 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: West Virginia -16 (-110)

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Handicapper: Nick Parsons
Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils - Thursday November 8, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 5 units (Free Play) MONEYLINE: New Jersey Devils -135

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Kelso

15 units Louisville +17 @ WVU

3 units TCU +7 @ BYU

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

BILL YOUNG / BLACK WIDOW

NCAAF

TCU vs. Brigham Young
Take Over
1* on TCU/BYU Over 46 TCU and BYU have really picked it up offensively over their last 3 games. The Horned Frogs are averaging 32 points a game while BYU is putting up a nice 34 points per game in their last 3 contests. The last 2 meetings between these schools have gone OVER the total. BYU is 10-2 OVER off a win against a conference rival the last 3 seasons. Patterson is 6-0 OVER the Total in road games off 2 or more consecutive UNDERS as the coach of TCU. These offenses are in their prime this season so get ready for a shootout boys and girls.

Take the OVER 48 points

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

John Fina
November 8, 2007

Selection: Washington Wizards +6.5 (-110)

Today the Washington Wizards will be on the road as they take on the New Jersey Nets. We will side with the Wizards plus the points. The Wizards have yet to win a game this season, however, we see them turning things around tonight against an overrated Nets team. We understand that the Wizards have struggled on offense this season (a part of which was their strength last season), but let's keep in mind that this team still has many key offensive players (Arenas, Butler and Jamison). All players/teams have bad runs (this is what is happening to the Wizards), but the bottom line is this Wizards offense is strong. In this case, the value is with the underrated Washington Wizards! Take the Washington Wizards +6.5

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COMPS:







TV HOTLINE

TODAY'S FREE PICK

NBA

DETROIT +1-






TOTALS 4U

THURSDAY'S FREE WINNER: PISTONS/BULLS OVER 183







BUDS WISER PICKS

YOUR COMPLIMENTARY WINNER FOR THURSDAY: GOLDEN STATE







#1 SPTS

THURSDAY'S FREE WINNER: WASHINGTON WIZARDS + 6 1/2







COMPUTER SPTS

THURSDAY FREE WINNER

WASHINGTON WIZARDS+6 1/2






HUDDLE UP SPTS

Thursday Free Winner

W Virginia -16





MIKE WYNN

Free Pick: Detroit/Chicago Under 183





Mike Rose comp

TCU +7.5 (-110)
Thu Nov 8 '07 9:00p








Marc Lawrence comp

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Nov 8 2007 10:35PM

Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Reason: Play On: Golden State Warriors
Note: Warriors host the Mavericks looking for their first win of the season. Sure, it's revenge for Dallas from being stunned in the playoffs last year, but the fact of the matter is Golden State is 20-4-1 ATS in the last 25 games in this series against the Mavs. Hungry teams playing with confidence are a lethal combination as underdogs. Grab the points here tonight.






Jimmy The Moose comp

Game: Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils Nov 8 2007 7:05PM

Prediction: New Jersey Devils

Reason: The Flyers will be playing on back-to-back night and there's a good chance their backup goalie starts this one. Philadelphia is 15-37 in their last 52 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents. In their last 8 games playing with 0 days rest the Flyers are 2-6. The Devils have struggled out of the gate but tonight's game is one they should win. They are the better rested team and are facing a Flyers team they have dominated recently. The Devils are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between the clubs. The Flyers are 7-20-4 in the last 31 visits to New Jersey. Play on the Devils.

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

LT Lock
TCU+7' bought the half

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Football
Game: Louisville Cardinals @ West Virginia - Thursday November 8, 2007 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: West Virginia -16 (-110)

Tonite the Louisville Cardinals visit Morgantown in a nationally televised game which many thought (in August) would be the decider for the Big East title and a guaranteed BCS bowl berth. However, Louisville lost two very important parts of the team that flogged West Va 44-34 last year (also in a Thurs night national TV game) – first, during the off-season they lost their dynamic head coach, Bobby Petrino, to the now “Vickless” Atlanta Falcons of the NFL, and second, they lost their defense, which was made evident in their first game of the year (vs a division 1-A team), when they gave up 42 points to Middle Tennessee State, as 38 point favorites. The Ville followed up that weak defensive effort with ones that were equally bad if not worse, yielding 40 to Kentucky, 44 to a Utah team which had been shut out two weeks before by UNLV, and the low point, 38 points in losing as a 37 point home favorite to a Syracuse team that has not cracked the 20 point “barrier” this year against any other team on its schedule, including “cupcakes” Buffalo and Miami, Ohio. Now they must face a West Virginia team which is not only averaging 41 PPG, as well as having the #3 rated defense and yielding an average of only 15 PPG, but is determined to avenge last year’s defeat which helped keep Mounties out of the BCS party. OK, enough bashing of Lousville’s suspect defense and discussion of the emotional revenge angle favoring West Virginia, except to say that revenge usually works best when the avenging team “has the horses” to do the job, which this year’s Mounties team certainly does.

Now for the “nuts and bolts” of why West Virginia should both win this game and cover the 16 point spread. Their “bread and butter” is running the ball, which they do to the tune of 300 YR per game for an average of 6.1 YPR, with QB White and RB Slaton doing most of the work behind an experienced, well coached and basically healthy offensive line. While Mounties prefer to run the ball and control the clock with time consuming drives, which will also keep the Ville’s high powered passing offense off of the field for large chunks of time, QB Slaton is enough of a passing threat to keep defenses honest, as he can “burn” them with all kinds of play action passes if they “load the box” and try to stop the run. Their offense is also ruthlessly efficient, with one of the best yards per point ratios (11.6) in college FB. For those not familiar with yards per point ratios, a YPP ratio of 11.6 means that this Mountie offense only has to gain 11.6 yards for every point it scores. So basically, we don’t see the Ville’s defense stopping or even slowing down the powerful and versatile Mountie attack very often during this game.

On the other side of the ball, even when Louisville QB Brohm and his offensive unit are on the field, we don’t see them doing too much “business” against a Mountie defensive unit that is much better than last year’s which gave up 44 points to Brohm & Company. This year West Va is holding opponents to 2.8 YPC and only 160 yards passing per game, while intercepting 11 passes and allowing only 7 TD passes. They also don’t give up many big plays, as evidenced by their yards per point ratio of 17.6 (meaning that a team has to gain 17.6 yards for every point scored against this Mountie defense), one of the best such ratings in college FB this year.

The vast difference between this year’s and last year’s West Va defenses can be illustrated by their comparative performances both years against a solid Rutgers offense which returned virtually all of its “core players” this year from last year’s 10-2 team. Last year, West Va beat Rutgers at home, 41-39 in overtime, but in doing so yielded 450 yards, including nearly 300 YP on 19-26 by Rutgers QB Teel. Fast forward to Mounties’ most recent game, at Rutgers on Oct 27, where in their 31- 3 win, they limited Knights’ strong offense to only 3 points and barely over 300 total yards, including just 128 passing yards on 14-30 passing with 2 INTs by Rutgers QB Teel. That really says it all about this year’s West Va defense. Another fact to be noted in this match-up of Louisville’s offense vs West Va’s defense is that Louisville has not been as productive on offense recently, scoring only 17 in its last road game at Connecticut, and just 24 at home vs an average Pitt offense in its most recent game.

Another factor of note is the coaches of the two teams, with Mounties’ Rich Rodriguez having a big edge over the Ville’s first year head coach Kragthorpe, former head man at Tulsa.

While many bettors will jump on the Over (64) in this game, based on some of the big scores put up this year by Louisville due to their strong passing offense and porous defense, and the high scores of the last two games between these two teams, I think that would be a mistake this year due to West Va’s strong defense. In fact, if you have access to individual team totals, we would even recommend a bet on under for the number of points to be scored by the Ville, as long as that number is 24 or higher, which is about what it should be, based on the game spread of West Va by 16 with a totals line of 64. While we expect West Va to score a lot of points, the individual team totals line for them will probably be about 40 points, which is just too high for an Over, especially for a team whose primary offensive weapon is the run.

The more that bettors analyze this game, the more apparent West Va’s strengths and Louisville’s weaknesses will be apparent. That, plus the fact that it is an ESPN national TV game, should result in a fair amount of “action” on the Mounties, pushing up the line to 17 or higher by game time. So, a word from the wise (nite) owl, get in your bets on West Va at your earliest opportunity, while the line is still a manageable 16 or 16.5, at least not more than the key number of 17.

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

North Star Sports Service--hockey

PHILADELPHIA +120
PITTSBURGH +154
PHOENIX +113
CALGARY -155

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Re: Thursday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

By Drew Gordon, Featured Handicapper

Take Washington plus the points over New Jersey in this NBA match up.

2♦ WASHINGTON

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