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AAA~Sports

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NCAAF: Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams - Under 47.5 -110
Game Date: 10/13/2007
Note: Air Force comes into this contest with visions of Sugarplums dancing in their head and a clear chance of going Bowling after a 4-2 start. This team is being successful with a great ground game as usual, ranked eighth in the country in that department. They do, however have a serious problem passing and are in the bottom 10% of all Division 1A Schools. With Colorado State not too adepth at stopping the run, the Falcons are concentrating on doing exactly what they have done all year, and that is ball control, utilizing their great running game skills. I do think that they will have some success. What they do have as well is a defense that is #20 overall in this great land of ours and they have been able to accomplish that verses the likes of TCU, Navy, BYU, Utah, and UNLV. Certainly that is nothing to scoff at. The most impressive game as far as I am concerned is the one they had at BYU, holding the explosive Cougars to 31 points while have great difficulty scoring themselves. Thirty One points impressed me? It does, simply because despite that, we saw just 37 points overall in that game and the defense was asked to perform all game with little help from the Air Force offensive scheme. That has been the case all year with all but the last game going UNDER the total and that one was over by one point on a 17 point fourth quarter. Air Force games can be summed up very easily. They run the clock and they play very good D. That makes for a short game and we will more than likely have one of those Saturday. There is nothing impressive about the Rams when they have the ball, they have yet to hit the 30 mark this year, and they are consistantly being out-offensed. At just 360 total yards per game, they are not likely to hit their average Saturday against the aggressive AF defense. Playing Houston, Cal, and Colorado have skewed their numbers greatly both on offense and D with wide open type games in each of those contests. That has given us a very optimistic total for Saturday, and one that has been achieved just once in 6 Falcon games. Air Force does not want to, nor will they let this game get out of hand because they know that they are not a catchup team. Forty seven point five is going to be hard to reach considering the AF mindset in this one..

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ACE-ACE
record 14-11 +$447.00

C.MICH -13.5 +101.........................$500

S.CAR-7-105..................................$400

TULSA UNDER 71 -105......................$300

TEXAS AM OVER 70 -105...................$200

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Brandon Lang

SATURDAY

30 DIME



CINCINNATI BEARCATS



10 DIME



Boston College

Miami/Florida



5 DIME



Missouri

Indiana

Kentucky

Oregon





Free Pick - Colorado - (For analysis see Daily video)

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BIG Al

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4* Kentucky
3* Smu, Utep, Oregon St
Non Conf Favorite Of The Year: Tcu
Mac Goy: Akron
Big East Goy: Louisville

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

GoldSheet

Top: South Florida

Regular: Central Michigan, Wisconsin, Air Force, Missouri & Louisiana-Lafayette

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A-Play Chip Chrimbes

Chip Shot Best Bets
Kentucky
Arkansas

He has two other best bets on South Carolina/North Carolina and Georgia/Vanderbilt

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Maddux

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5 units on UTEP -2.5
4 units on Indiana +4.5
3 units on Central Michigan -13
3 units on Eastern Michigan +4.5
3 units on Georgia Tech +3 -120 (Buy 1/2 point)
3 units on Mississippi +7 -120 (Buy 1/2 point)
3 units on Colorado +5.5
3 units on Duke +14.5
3 units on Virginia -3

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Cappers Access--

(Sat) CFB Miami-Fla Georgia Tech 2- Georgia Tech
(Sat) CFB Penn St Wisconsin 7 Wisconsin
(Sat) CFB Boston College Notre Dame 13- Boston College
(Sat) CFB Kansas St Colorado 5 Colorado

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Strike Points

5 Illinios ( money line)
4 Virginia (money line)

3 Bay/Kan over 61
4 Wisc
2 Wash St
3 Stanford
3 Missouri
2 Indiana
3 Louisville
2 Aub
3 Colo

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LineCrusher

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3*Miami-Florida -2.5 over Georgia Tech (12:00 Eastern)
Have to go with Miami as short home chalk off of a road loss and playing with double revenge having lost the last two seasons vs Georgia Tech. Regardless of the state of the Miami program few teams beat the Hurricanes twice in a row let alone 3 straight games and few invaders beat Miami in the Orange Bowl. Over the last 8+ seasons Miami is 44-7 at home and you know this is a conference home game the Hurricanes want.

3*Georgia -7 over Vanderbilt (time change, 6:00 Eastern)
The Bulldogs will come to play off of last weeks ugly 14-35 loss at Tennessee, having already lost 2 games, going into a bye next week with Florida on deck and playing with revenge for a 2 point 22-24 home loss vs Vanderbilt last season. Vandy has a -0.8 net yards per play differential while Georgia has a 0.0 net yards per play differential giving the Bulldogs a +0.8 net yards per play edge in this match-up.

4*Oregon -19 over Washington State (3:30 Eastern)
Have to lay the wood with Oregon (4-1) off of a 24-31 home loss vs Cal, being home off of a home loss coming out of a bye week off that loss and playing with revenge for an 11 point 23-34 loss at Washington State last season. Washington State played their best game of the season last week losing 20-23 at home on a last minute field goal vs Arizona State which should leave the Cougars flat here. WSU is 0-3 on the road losing 21-42 at Wisconsin, 14-47 at USC and 20-48 at Arizona. Washington State has a -0.2 net yards per play differential while Oregon has a +2.8 net yards per play differential giving the Ducks a huge +3.0 net yards per play edge in this match-up which spells blowout.

4*TCU -6 over Stanford (5:00 Eastern)
This is basically a fade play fading Stanford who should be totally flat this week coming off of last weeks monster last second 24-23 win at USC as a +40 road underdog in what was arguably the biggest upset in college football history and the Cardinal have a conference revenge game at Arizona next week. Coming into this season TCU was 22-3 the last two seasons and TCU (3-3) is off a loss, has yet to win a road game (0-3) so will come to play knowing Stanford upset USC last week. TCU has a +0.1 net yards per play differential while Stanford has a -1.6 net yards per play differential giving the Horned Frogs a +1.7 net yards per play edge in this match-up. Stanford is 1-3 at home losing 17-45 vs UCLA, 31-55 vs Oregon and 3-41 vs Arizona State with their lone home win being vs San Jose State. Funny, Stanford plays 1 road game so far this season and it is a 24-23 win at USC last week as a +40 road underdog. Hmmm...

4*Michigan State -3.5 over Indiana (7:00 Eastern)
What a disastrous loss last week for Michigan State (now 4-2) losing 41-48 in OT at home vs Northwestern. You can only figure the Spartans were flat coming off of a road win at Notre Dame and then a disappointing hard fought 34-37 loss at Wisconsin. Have to go with Michigan State as short home chalk off of an immediate home loss and back to back losses playing with revenge for an embarrassing 25 point 21-46 loss at Indiana last season. Indiana has a +0.4 net yards per play differential while Michigan State has a +1.1 net yards per play differential giving the Spartans a +0.7 net yards per play edge in this match-up. 4-2, off of back to back losses this is a must win for Michigan State with Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan, Purdue and Penn State left on the schedule. It takes 6 wins to be bowl eligible so this is a huge game for the Spartans.

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Wayne Root

MoneyMaker Game of the Decade- Kentucky
Perfect Play- Arizona
No Limit- Vandy
Billionaire- Arkansas
Millionaire- N. Carolina
Insider Circle- New Mexico
Chairman- Iowa

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

ATS Financial Package

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Michigan -5.........4 Units

OK St. +4...........4 Units

Memphis -3.........4 Units

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Wayne Root

MoneyMaker Game of the Decade- Kentucky
Perfect Play- Arizona
No Limit- Vandy
Billionaire- Arkansas
Millionaire- N. Carolina
Insider Circle- New Mexico
Chairman- Iowa

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Cowtown

2 Tex Tech
1 Missori Georgia

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Dolphin

5 Illinois
3 Auburn S Car

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Paul Leiner:

100* CFB Tennessee -7
5* CFB Michigan State -3.5
5* CFB Over 61 Missouri/Oklahoma

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Coach Meyer

Dallas Sportsman- Indiana
Playbook- BC
Live Dog- UConn
Lockerroom Report- TCU
Coaches Consensus- Arizona
Chalkboard Game of the Year- Penn St

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Lem Banker

Virginia Tech

Iowa

LSU

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Re: Saturday Service Picks:

Ethan Law

CFB Side Double-Dime Bet

123 Louisville 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 124 Cincinnati
Analysis: BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR

LOUISVILLE (3-3) at CINCINNATI (6-0)

Projected Score: Cincinnati 24, Louisville 35
PLAY 2* UNITS ON LOUISVILLE +10;
PLAY 1/2 UNIT ON LOUISVILLE +$335

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Big Al

Big East GOY- Louisville
MAC GOY- Akron
Non-Conference Fav of Year- TCU
4* GOW- Kentucky
3* SMU, UTEP, Oregon St

Private Players Club
Computer Boy- Virginia
Offshore Steam- N. Carolina
10 Dimes- Iowa
Championship Club GOY- TCU

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