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Saturday Service Picks:
Saturday Service Picks:
NCAAF Chicks clients = -36.00 units (12-20)
NCAAF Chicks fade = +22.60 units (20-12)
Saturday lines are after the 1/2 point buy
(9 units) Game Of The Month 150 Nebraska -4
(9 units) Game Of The Month 156 Notre Dame +14 [-120 buy 1/2 point]
(8 units) Game Of The Month 186 Oklahoma -10 [-120 buy 1/2 point]
(5 units) 134 Wyoming -3 [-120 buy 1/2 point]
(4 units) 108 Michigan -5.5
(3 units) 116 Ohio State -30
Since this service is buying points I will post the faded pick lines I get. At 1:57 PM Eastern I got these lines at Bet Jamaica.
149 Oklahoma St +4
155 Boston College -13.5
185 Missouri +10.5
133 New Mexico +3.5
107 Purdue +5.5
115 Kent St +30
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Mike Linebacker
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5* South Carolina -6.5 for -120 (1/2 pt. buy)
Without going into much detail at this time (more analysis later), South Carolina should/will dominate North Carolina on both sides of the ball Sat. afternoon. If NC had problems in South Florida (couldn’t handle D pressure, tackle, stop run, anything), wait until Spurrier brings his D & running game to Chapel Hill. Forget about interstate rivalry, recruiting implications for Carolina's etc. SC have superior team & coach (not even close). Not to mention, Tar Heels, coming off big upset vs. h.c. Davis’ former team, the Miami Hurricanes. Not gunna happen again. Gamecocks in a blowout, hence the 5* tag
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Bob
6 Best Bets and 3 Strong Opinions.
Rotation #144 Houston (-21) 4-Stars at -21 or less, 3-Stars from -21 1/2 to -24, 2-Stars up to -25.
Rotation #186 Oklahoma (-10 1/2) 4-Stars at -11 or less, 3-Stars from -11 1/2 to -13, 2- Stars at -13 1/2 or -14.
Rotation #184 Texas Tech (-8 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars at -10 1/2 or -11.
Rotation #130 Buffalo (-3) 3-Stars at -3 (-115 odds or better) or less, 2-Stars from -3 1/2 to -5 points.
Rotation #153 Illinois (-3 1/2) 2-Stars at -4 or less.
Rotation #165 Air Force (+3 1/2) 2-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars at +4 or more.
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Sat, 10/13/07 - 12:30 PMLarry Ness | CFB Side
free pick126 Mississippi 7.0 (-110) Bodog vs 125 Alabama
Analysis:
Alabama opened the season with three straight victories before dropping back-to-back decisions in narrow fashion. The Tide beat Houston 30-24 last weekend but the Cougars were threatening in the final minutes. That's four very tightly contested games for Alabama in a row and the Tide seems to be wearing down, especially defensively. Through the first two games of the season, Alabama had surrendered a grand total of 16 points. However, the team has yielded more than 20 points in all four outings since that point. Alabama is averaging 30.7 PPG and 403.5 total YPG., with the offense moving the ball effectively both on the ground and through the air. Terry Grant leads the ground attack with 531 rushing yards (6.2 per) and the team averages 183.3 YPG (4.7 per). John Parker Wilson has started all six games under center and he has completed 54 percent of his passes for 1,248 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Ole Miss has fallen flat in its three SEC games this year, allowing 252.3 YPG on the ground (5.4 YPC). However, despite their limitations, the Rebels have covered their last four SEC games in Oxford as underdogs, including against Florida on September 22. Alabama has beaten Ole Miss in 11 of the last 13 meetings but has won each of the last two years, on the game's final play. As mentioned earlier, the Tide's D seems to be wearing down and the points look inviting. Take Ole Miss.
> See Larry Ness's Premium Picks
Sat, 10/13/07 - 7:00 PMLenny Del Genio | CFB Side
free pick123 Louisville 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 124 Cincinnati
Analysis:
Play on Louisville at 7:00 ET. Can Louisville really be this bad and can Cincinnati really be this good? Maybe, but if this game had been played in the season's first week, Louisville would have been the 10-point favorite! Remember, Cincinnati was a three-point home dog on September 6, to Oregon State! There's no denying the great job Brain Kelly has done at Cincinnati in his first year. The Bearcats are now 6-0 and ranked No. 15 in the AP poll, the school's best start since going 8-0 in 1954! The Bearcats opened against fairly weak non-conference opposition, outscoring those opponents 232-53, in a 5-0 start. However, last Saturday's 28-23 win at Rutgers was impressive! Kelly's opened up the offense at Cincinnati, as Wake transfer QB Ben Mauck has completed 65.0 percent with 12 TDs and three INTs. The running game adds nice balance at 185.8 ypg and the defense is top-notch. It's No. 5 in ppg (12.7) and the rush D allows just 85.0 ypg (2.8). The Bearcats lead the nation in takeaways with 25 and are tied with Florida Atlantic at plus-15 in TO margin. On the other hand, Louisville enters this game 3-3. QB Brian Brohm is having his anticipated great season, completing 66.8% and averaging 402.5 ypg with a 20-4 ratio, but the defense ranks 99th in ypg (444.5) and 89th in ppg (30.7). Still, this number seems way off to me and I'm taking the points with Louisville.
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Gator Report (from another site)
Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report
Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.
SEC GOW (1-2 -1.2)(Saturday): Alabama -6
Big 12 GOW (0-2 -2.2)(Saturday): Colorado +5.5
Big 10 GOW (1-0 +1.00)(Saturday): Penn State -6.5
Steamroller GOW (1-2 -1.2)(Saturday): pass
Underdog GOW (1-1 -0.1)(Saturday): Oregon State +13.5
Gator's NFL "Tech" Game of the Week
Each week Gator releases his Top "Technical" Game of the Week, in football, basketball and baseball.
NFL Technical Game of the Week Selection (1-4 -3.40):
Game: Washington Redskins vs. Green Bay Packers
Technical Set: Washington and Tennessee are the only two teams left in the NFL that have not posted an "Over" this season. The Titans are using defense to win games and so are the Skins, in fact the Skins are in the Top 3 in both total defense and scoring defense this season. We know that conference home favorites of 3 or more coming in off a straight up home loss as a favorite have gone under the total at a rate of 1-8-1 Under. Conference underdogs during the month of October who are coming off a SU win of more than 30 points have gone under the total in 15 of their last 18 contests. The Skins are 0-12 Under as a short when facing a team that has completed at least 65% of their passes on the season. Skins are 0-7 Under the week after a win in which they allowed fewer than 100 yards passing. The Skins are 0-6 Under as a short when coming off a straight up win of at least 21 points last week. We also have a situation that tells us to Play Under with an NFL team after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, a team with a winning percentage of 60% to 75% facing a team with a winning record. 27-5 UNDER the last 10 years. The last four in this series played at Green Bay have gone Under the posted total.
Selection: WASHINGTON / GREEN BAY UNDER 40.5
Gator's Super System Selections
Each week during the football, basketball and baseball season's we will post our Top Rated System Selections along with the qualifying system.
NCAA System GOW (1-4 -3.40)
Game: Indiana vs. Michigan State
System:
Play AGAINST a favorite of 2-13½ points with less than 7 days rest off an OT SU loss and not before a home game vs. a +.500% opponent, 0-15 ATS since 1998
Selection: INDIANA +5
Gator's 70% Situational Report
NCAA (Saturday):
Game: Virginia Tech vs. Duke
Play On NCAA home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games, with 8 or more offensive starters including their Quarterback. 35-9 ATS the last five years PLAY: DUKE +13
__________________________________________________ ___________
Game: Oklahoma State vs. Nebraska
Play On NCAA road team off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival now facing an opponent off a blowout loss by 35 points or more to a conference rival. 25-3 ATS the last ten seasons. PLAY: Oklahoma State +4
__________________________________________________ ____
NFL (Sunday Night Football):
Game: New Orleans vs. Seattle
Play Under NFL home teams when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points coming off a road loss, a team with a season win percentage of 51% to 60% facing a team with a losing record. 25-4 UNDER since 1983 PLAY: New Orleans / Seattle UNDER 42.5
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Norm Hitzges
NCAA
Double Play-- Indiana +3.5 vs Michigan State
Double Play--VaTech -14 vs Duke
BYU -10.5 vs UNLV
SMU +9 vs So. Miss
Virginia -3 vs UConn
Colorado +5.5 vs Kansas State
Rutgers -17.5 vs Syracuse
So. Carolina -7 vs North Carolina
Georgia -7 vs Vandy
Kansas -27 vs Baylor
New Mexico +3.5 vs Wyoming
Central Michigan -13 vs Army
Oregon -18.5 vs Washington St.
Penn State -7 vs Wisconsin
UCF +12 vs South Florida
Auburn +3 vs Arkansas
Tulane +3.5 vs UAB
Boise -26 vs Nevada
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
HQ Report Newsletter--
5* GOW UTAH over SAN DIEGO ST by 28 Saturday October 13th
3* RUTGERS over SYRACUSE by 31 Saturday October 13th
3* VIRGINIA TECH over DUKE by 27 Saturday October 13th
3* BUFFALO over TOLEDO by 10 Saturday October 13th
HQ UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK---Stanford + over TCU
A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems)
Free Play-- Ohio U over Eastern Michigan
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Pointwise Newsletter
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Rating:1 Georgia 38 Vanderbilt 13
Rating:1 Penn St 31 Wisconsin 13
Rating:2 Texas Tech 51 Texas AM 24
Rating:3 Kansas 54 Baylor 17
Rating:4 Colorado 27 Kansas St 26
Rating:4 Wake Forest 23 Florida St 17(winner)
Rating:5 Cincinnatti 41 Louisiville 24
Rating:5 Central Michigan 44 Army 24
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
TOM SCOTT'S BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR!
Texas A&M at TEXAS TECH - 13:30 PM EST
Play ON: #184 - TEXAS TECH minus the points
In addition to the sweet angles on the Red Raiders, consider these astounding numbers: Tech has won 29 of its last 34 games here (17-6 ATS when laying more than three points) and has averaged 47 points per game in those 34 games. The Raiders have won and covered six in a row against the Aggies on this field, including blowouts by 39 and 31 points in the last two here. Texas A&M is 4-36 ATS in its last 40 road games in which the Aggies allowed at least 28 points. Here's the motivation. Jorvorskie Lane, A&M's oversized FB, guaranteed a victory for his team. Old navy adage - Loose lips sink ships and Aggies. PREDICTION: TEXAS TECH 47 - Texas A&M 16
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Rocketman Sports
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COLORADO ST. -3.5
- Air Force is only scoring 15.3 points per game on the road this year. Colorado State is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home vs Air Force since 1992. Colorado State is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings with Air Force. Air Force is 2-10 ATS last 12 on grass. This is one of those games where you say why in the world would Vegas put an 0-5 team as a favorite against a 4-2 team. We'll play Colorado State for 1 unit today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Tom Luicci
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Pretty good capper only does tv games
Illinois over IOWA, giving 3 1/2 (ESPN, noon)Did you notice how Penn State rushed for 256 yards against the reeling Hawkeyes last week? Juice Williams and Rashard Mendenhall did.
Texas over IOWA STATE, giving 16 1/2 (FSN, 12:30)Losing WR Limas Sweed for the year won't help Colt McCoy, but this is exactly the kind of punchless opponent Texas usually steamrolls.
Boston College over NOTRE DAME, giving 14 (Ch. 4, 3:30)Irish beat a team with no QB last week. That won't be the case here. Matt Ryan is having a Heisman year that ND can't keep pace with
. KENTUCKY over LSU, taking 10 (Ch. 2, 3:30)Tigers play their first real road game and should face adversity for the first time. QB Andre Woodson can keep Kentucky in this with his feet
. Wisconsin over PENN STATE, taking 7 (Ch. 7, 3:30)Badgers had been begging to get beat, and finally were, but Penn State's team is a mess. This has all the makings of a drab, low-scoring game.
Louisville over CINCINNATI, taking 10 (ESPNU, 7)As good as Cincy's defense is, it does give up a lot of yardage -- something Brian Brohm can exploit, especially if WR Harry Douglas is back.
Auburn over ARKANSAS, taking 3 (ESPN, 7:45)Tigers are now playing up to expectations, with QB Brandon Cox finally avoiding errors. Hogs can run but can't pass and their defense is suspect.
KANSAS STATE over Colorado, giving 5 (ESPN2, 9:15)Someone tell KSU coach Ron Prince that playing not to lose isn't the same as playing to win. Wildcats produce a big bounce-back effort at home.
Re: Saturday Service Picks:
Northcoast comp lines this week:
Early bird 4-2 YTD is on ASU -11
Underdog POW 3-3 YTD is on Toledo +3
PowerPlays 4* POW 4-2 YTD is on Penn St-6
Economy POW 4-2 YTD is on Miami Florida -2
NFL Total POW 4-2 YTD is on over 44 Browns/Dolphins
BIG 10 POW is 4-2 YTD is also on Penn St -6
Big 12 POW 5-1 YTD is on Oaklahoma -12
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