Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Re: Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

Brandon Lang
SUNDAY
50 DIME

PITTSBURGH STEELERS - (Only lay -10. If your man has 10 1/2 , you buy the hook and only lay -10. If your man has 11 when you call up, lay that no problem. You NEVER let that 1/2 point beat you. NEVER get beat by the hook.

free pick - Cowboys/Bears OVER - For analysis see daily video

analysis by 9 am eastern


SUNDAY LATE PLAYS
20 DIME

BEARS - (If your man has 3 1/2, you buy the hook and only lay -3. If your man has -4, it's ok to lay that. You just NEVER, I repeat, NEVER get beat by the 1/2 point. NEVER get beat by the hook.)

10 DIME

Seahawks - (If your man has 3 1/2, you buy the hook and only lay -3. If your man has -4, it's ok to lay that. You just NEVER, I repeat, NEVER get beat by the 1/2 point. NEVER get beat by the hook.)

5 DIME

Packers
Lions
Buccaneers
Falcons

Free Pick - Cowboys/Bears OVER - (For analysis see Daily video)

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Larry Ness' 20* NFL Total of the Month (12-4 or 75% ATS the last four seasons!)
My 20* is on Car/Atl Over at 4:15 ET. We are getting some great value in this over/under number, as Atlanta has opened the '07 season with just 10 points! Bobby Petrino was brought in from Louisville to "spice up the offense" but of course Mike Vick's off-field problems left the Atlanta offense with Joey Harrington at the controls. Harrington has been DREADFUL in the first two weeks with a QB rating of 74.1. He's been sacked 13 times and Petrino has been very critical of his "holding onto the ball too long." I mention this because I believe we will see a much different Harrington on Sunday. This is Atlanta's first home game and you may remember Atlanta's first home game in the preseason (Monday nighter vs the Bengals), in which an animated Harrington had two first-half TD passes. I believe Harrington will "look to force things" in this game, with both GOOD and BAD consequences. Carolina's 2ndy has yet to make an interception (70 attempts) plus has just one sack, so Harrington could do well. If not, he'll lengthen the game with incompletions plus remember, both of his INTs this year have been returned for TDs. Atlanta's once proud rushing attack has been held in check by two excellent run defenses (Minnesota and Jacksonville) the first two weeks but Carolina's D is no longer top-flight. Carolina's Delhomme has completed 66.2% through two games with six TDs and only one INT (QB rating of 112.2) and Atlanta's 2ndy allowed David Garrard to pass for 272 yards LW. Atlanta once had a fierce pass rush but most of those key players have either left or are injured. Carolina is 1-1 but plays three straight division games (Bucs and Saints follow), with a chance to take control of what figures to be a weak NFC South. Carolina will not hold back. The team's running game is not longer a major threat, so that leaves it up to the passing game. Steve Smith already has 15 catches and four TDs. With a weakened pass rush and a questionable 2ndy, the Falcons will have trouble slowing down the Panthers. This game figures to top 50 points. NFL Total of the Month 20* Car/Atl Over.

Good Luck...Larry

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Gator Report:

NFL "Tech" Total GOW: Jacksonville vs. Denver

Technical Set: Game 3 road teams off back to back "Unders" are 5-16 Under since 1996 and a perfect 0-8 Under as underdogs of 8 points or less. NFL Home Favorites off back to back SU wins but off back to back ATS losses are 1-9 Under since 1986. Game 3 road teams who began the year with two straight home games are 1-7 Under since 1999. Jacksonville is 1-4 Under in their first road game of the season and 0-2 Under versus Denver the last two meetings. Denver is 0-13-1 Under off a division home game and 3-10 Under after facing the Raiders. Play Under NFL teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after allowing 9 points or less last game facing an opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. 12-38 Under the last 10 years.

Selection: UNDER 35

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Jimmy the Moose:

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 23 2007 1:00PM

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

Reason: Both teams really looked bad last week. Minnesota's QB, Jackson, was horrible in week 2 and he's dinged up. The Vikings are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Minnesota is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games played on grass. In their last 7 games facing a team with a losing record they are 2-5 ATS. The Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games. In their last 11 home games as a favorite they are 8-3 ATS. KC is 3-0 SU and ATS the last 3 times the team's have played in Kansas. Play on the Chiefs.

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psychic sports

Ny Jets -3
The New York Jets are the much better 0-2 team here. The Jets lost to the Patriots and at Baltimore. Most experts including us had the Jets starting the season 0-2. Miami on the other hand is a terrible team and don't try and find a reason why they can win this game. They can't. The Dolphins offensive line is terrible which does not make it easier for a running back or backs by committee who are not that good either. This is not science here. When you look at the Miami wide receivers do they scare you? You have Trent Green running for his life behind a terrible line with no running game and not many wide receivers getting opened. This is a must win game for the Jets. If they lose this game it will be time for panic. Either quarterback will get the start but most likely Pennington will play. The Jets will be able to run on the Dolphins and Miami's secondary is not covering anyone. In the first two games the Dolphins corners are getting beat and beat bad. The Jets are better in every phase of the game, a better offense, defense and special teams. Add in that Mangini has learned from the best coach in the business and word is the Jets are a very relaxed and confident bunch this week. Miami is 2-10 ATS against the division and the Jets absolutely own the Miami Dolphins winning 21 of 20 overall and 11 of the last 15. Jets have covered 10 of 13 vs Miami and have won the last 4.

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Lenny Del Genio

Game: San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 23 2007 1:00PM

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers

Reason: Play on the Steelers at 1:00 ET. Mike Tomlin goes for a 3-0 start to open his first season as head coach of the Steelers (matching Bill Cowher's start). Pittsburgh hosts the 49ers, maybe the worst (and surely the luckiest) 2-0 team of '07. The 49ers are last in total offense through two games (190.0 ypg) and QB Alex Smith has averaged just 126 ypg through the air, without a TD pass in 48 attempts. Frank Gore, who led the NFC in rushing LY, has averaged just 68.0 ypg and only 3.6 ypc. The 49ers won in Week 1 on a FG with 22 seconds remaining and last week survived 17-16, when the Rams missed a FG with under one minute left. The Steelers are 2-0 after back-to-back blowout wins. Pittsburgh opened with a 34-7 win at Cleveland and then beat Buffalo at home, 26-3. Big Ben looks healthy (5 TDs and one INT / QB rating of 101.7), while RB Willie Parker has topped 100 yards in each game (235 YR / 4.7 ypc). Pittsburgh's D has allowed just 10 points in two games (best in the NFL) and ranks 3rd in ypg allowed (222.0). Lay the points with the Steelers.

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Bobby Maxwell:

MLB

Colorado has taken the first two games, 2-1 Friday and 6-2 Saturday to pull themselves to 2 1/2 games out of the NL wildcard. The Rockies have won seven straight and have lefty Jeff Francis (16-8, 4.25 ERA) on the hill for this one.
Francis has been a lock in day games, going 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA under the sun this season. Last time he saw the Padres was Sept. 8 when he gave up two runs on four hits in eight innings.
San Diego is struggling with the offense again, getting just three runs in its last 23 innings. Greg Maddux (13-10, 3.95) goes for the Padres and he just gave up three runs on seven hits in five innings to the Pirates on Tuesday.
The Rockies are doing everything right and getting wins. Play Colorado in this one.

2♦ COLORADO

NFL

Going to Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City today for a FREE play on the Chiefs as they host the Vikings in this matchup of struggling offenses today.
Minnesota's offense was struggling with starter Tavaris Jackson in the lineup at QB and now will go with Kelly Holcomb under center in this one. The Vikings lost at Detroit last week, falling 20-17 in OT as three-point underdogs.
Kansas City covered as 12-point road underdogs in Chicago, falling 20-10 at Soldier Field. QB Damon Huard threw for 175 yards and a TD and was only intercepted once by the Bears' defense. RB Larry Johnson has struggled for the Chiefs so far, running for just 98 yards on 25 carries.
But look for big things from Johnson and a well-managed game from Huard in this one. It won't be high scoring but he won't make mistakes to cost the Chiefs the win or cover.
Minnesota is just 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games, 1-8-1 ATS as a road underdog of three points or less and just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 road contests.
Kansas City enjoys playing in front of the home crowd, going 11-3 ATS in its last 14 and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 Week 3 games.
It's not going to be pretty, but the Chiefs will get a 10-point win today.

3♦ KANSAS CITY

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Scott Rickenbach

San Diego Chargers v/s Green Bay Packers 9/23/2007 1:00:00 pm

San Diego Chargers (-) @ Green Bay @ 1:00 ET - So far this season the Packers have snuck by an Eagles team and erupted past a Giants team. This has Green Bay sitting at 2-0 on the season but it also has masked some of their own deficiencies. That's because the Eagles and Giants are a combined 0-4 on the season. When you consider that then the Green Bay 2-0 start is much less impressive. The Giants stunk it up late in last week's game against the Pack as the final score ended up being a little deceiving. As for the Packers week 1 win over the Eagles, muffed punts and another turnover led to 13 Green Bay points. The Pack offense actually produced just one significant drive against Philly and that netted just 3 points. San Diego is in a bit of a tough scheduling spot here. After a home game in Week 1 they had to travel all the way to New England for Game 2. In addition to the wear and tear of facing the Bears and Pats the Chargers also have dealt with travel issues as they now head to the upper Midwest for this game. The fact that Norv Turner does not have a history of performing well as a head man at the NFL level is also a little concerning. However, the key here is that the Chargers off of a loss and are facing a Packers team who is off of back to back wins against struggling teams. The angry (and more talented) Chargers will be ready to bring their "A game" this week. With the Packers finally taking a big step up in class they are set for a fall this week. The couple of concerns noted above as well as the big line move upward this week ended up scratching this from our list as a star rated play for our service. However, this is still our strongest game that's not a star rated play and that's why it gets the call as our Free Pick for Sunday. Look for the Chargers to roll here and win this one by at least a TD at Lambeau Field.

Play San Diego minus the points

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Karl Garrett

I know that San Diego is in a difficult scheduling spot, as they played - if you want to call it that - last Sunday night at New England, and now must hit the road again against the 2-0 Green Bay Packers.
I am sorry, but I am just not buying this Green Bay resurgence, as I have a feeling the Chargers are going to paste them today in front of the home faithful at Lambeau.
LaDainian Tomlinson is way overdue for a break out game, and today looks like that day, as LT has been bottled up by 2 of the better defenses in the league in Chicago and New England.
The Chargers have been one of the better teams in the NFL at bouncing back after a straight up loss, as the Bolts are 9-1-2 against the line their last 12 after suffering a straight up loss.
Green Bay is a dismal 7-18-2 against the spread at Lambeau Field their last 27 games, and the G-Man is calling for their fradulent 2-0 start to come crashing down on them.
Take San Diego minus the number on the road today.

5♦ SAN DIEGO

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Sports Gambling Hotline

We are not sure why the linemakers continue to make the Eagles such big chalk, but we will glady take advantage of this bad number and take the undefeated Lions to come through plus the points in the City of Brotherly Love this Sunday afternoon.
Philly is off to an 0-2 straight up and against the spread start, and they are coming off that Monday night debacle in which they were unable to find the end zone. With Westbrook ailing, the Birds offense will continue to struggle, and even if they are able to put up a few touchdowns, it is doubtful it will be enough to pull away from a Detroit team that has some offensive pop.
The Lions are on a 3-1 spread run their last 4 road games, winning outright Week 1 at Oakland, while the Eagles are only 7-13-1 spread-wise their last 21 when favored.
Until Donavan McNabb shows us something, we will go against him and his mates, especially when laying points.
Play on the Lions.

3♦ DETROIT

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TOTALS 4 U

Detroit @ Philadelphia on Sunday, September 23rd

Detroit (2-0) opening the season with a 36-21 win at the Raiders and a 20-17 overtime victory over the Vikings to remain perfect heading into Week 3 isn’t a huge surprise, considering the caliber of offense talent this squad has amassed, but if they are to make a run at a playoff spot this season, the Lions’ defense - strong so far - must continue to improve to handle the better competition to come. As the former Defensive Coordinator at Tampa Bay, Head Coach Rod Marinelli brings a strong defensive background and is joined by Defensive Coordinator Joe Barry who is known in NFL circles for his unmatched preparation and energy. Defensive captain 6’4” 295 DT Cory Redding (7 T) seems reenergized in Barry’s system that stresses proper positioning and discipline to assignments over freelancing. So far Redding’s teammates are playing with greater trust for each other than this franchise has seen years with 6’2” 235 MLB Paris Lennon (22 T), 6’0” 225 WLB Ernie Sims (17 T), 5’11” 184 LCB Fernando Bryant (15 T), and free agency pick up 6’2” 273 LDE DeWayne White (10 T, S, INT) off to great starts. Remarkably the Lions have piled up 5 sacks, 6 interceptions, and 2 forced fumbles while holding opponents to a respectable 107.5 rushing and 236.5 yards per game. Offensive Coordinator Mike Martz certainly has been given all the tools to recreate his “Greatest Show on Turf” and is off to an electrifying start, racking up an NFL-best 321.5 yards per game through the air so far. 11-year QB John Kitna (49 of 69 for 534, 4 TD, 3 INT) again showed his toughness last week, returning to lead his team to an overtime win after missing 2 quarters to a suspected concussion. Kitna has never been one to take the safe route and is a perfect fit for a unit that will challenge defenses downfield all season. 42 of Detroit’s 62 pass completions have been to the wide receivers Shaun McDonald (13 for 161 and TD), Roy Williams (11 for 131 and 2 TD), Mike Furrey (10 for 112), and rookie Calvin Johnson (8 for 131 and 2 TD) for an average of 12.8 yards per grab. At some point the Lions are going to have to run the ball if they are to beat quality teams but haven’t show the inclination yet to do so. Running backs have carried the rock just 32 times through two games with 5’11” 214 RB Tatum Bell (24 for 101 yards and TD) what passes for a workhorse in the Motor City.

Philadelphia (0-2) has struggled offensively in a pair of heartbreakers to open the season, dropping a 13-16 game to the Packers and a 12-20 loss to the Redskins Monday night. 9th-year QB Donovan McNabb (43 of 79 for 424, TD, INT) is coming off a serious knee injury he suffered just 10 months ago and appears a little rusty and could use help in the forms of play selection and receiver toughness to get back on track. Both the Packers and the Redskins pushed around starters 5’11” 186 WR Kevin Curtis (6 for 81) and 6’1” 197 WR Reggie Brown (3 for 21) at the line of scrimmage, disrupting the timing of Philadelphia’s passing game, while the more physical backup WR 6’0” 212 Jason Avant (8 for 109 and TD) has been McNabb’s most productive target. The Eagles’ offense would also benefit from a better run/pass ratio to soften up defenses that have teed off for 4 sacks so far. Philadelphia’s O-Line is big and aggressive at 6’5 ½” and 330 pound per man and have been strong when given the opportunity to open holes for dual-threat RB Brain Westbrook (37 for 181 rushing, 12 for 112 receiving) but a play-calling ratio of 89 called passing plays to just 49 called rushing plays has left this formidable crew on the defensive in pass protection. Last season when Philadelphia found itself out of balance offensively and struggling, Head Coach Andy Reid handed over the play-calling duties to Offensive Coordinator Marty Mornhiweg and the results were immediate in both run/pass balance and on the scoreboard. Defensively, the Eagles have been rock solid allowing 176 yards and a TD on the ground along with 376 yards and a TD versus a pair of picks through the air in their first two contests. Philadelphia’s defensive line is as deep as they come with players the caliber of Juqua Thomas, Kimo von Oelhoffen, Montae Reagor, and Darren Howard not even cracking the starting lineup of their 8-man rotation. 6’1” 235 MLB Omar Gaither (13 T) gets help against the rushing game this season with the addition of 6’2” 263 SLB Chris Gocong (4 T) and 6’2” 242 WLB Takeo Spikes (14 T) adding a physical presence this unit lacked in 2006 while the Eagle defensive backfield will again likely be the best in the league. Overall, Philadelphia’s problems (other than a local media that thinks the NFL’s active leading quarterback in winning percentage should be benched!) can certainly be fixed but numerous injuries may hold up the improvement. TE L.J. Smith (4 for 26) is struggling with a lingering groin strain, CB Brian Dawkins suffered a neck stinger last week, Pro Bowl CB Lito Sheppard is out with an MCL strain, LT William Thomas left the last game with severe back spasms, and RB Brain Westbrook undergoes an MRI on Wednesday to take another look at the knee sprain he sustained in the Redskins game.

OK, so the Lions have a defense, the Eagles have no offense, and entering Week 3 these teams have combined for 2 wins - each belonging to the Lions. If we were wagering in the Bizzaro World that these crews have competed in so far, we would have to take the under. In the Real World, Andy Reid/Marty Mornhiweg and Mike Martz will be calling the plays on Sunday.

Take Philadelphia/Detroit over 44 ½

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Great Lakes Sports

NFL Selection:

Carolina at Atlanta 4:15PM EST Play on: Carolina Panthers

The Panthers are 3-1ATS the last three years vs the Falcons, 5-2ATS on artificial turf the last three years, and 4-2ATS in domes the last three years while the Falcons are 10-15ATS vs conference opponents the last three years. We look for the Carolina Panthers to grab the road ATS win & cover today.

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
Sunday, September 23rd, 4:00 P.M. EDT

Last meeting ended in a 20-7 Denver win in 2005. Jags are averaging 11.5 pts/game and allowing 10. Denver is averaging 19 and 17. Supporting angles Play Under - Any team against the total (DENVER) -marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games (213-142 since 1983, 60%) and Play Under - Any team against the total (DENVER) - off a home win, team that had a winning record last season (121-74 since 1983, 62.1%).

Play on: Under

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Stephen Nover

402 KAN -2.5 (-120) vs 401 MIN

Analysis:
Pick: Chiefs -2.5 hosting Vikings

Analysis: It seems hard to believe nowadays, but the Kansas City Chiefs actually were a playoff team last season.
Now they are a desperate 0-2 hosting the offensively-challenged Minnesota Vikings.
Sounds like a good spot for Kansas City. It's the Chiefs' first home game of the year. They've covered 19 of their past 26 home openers.
The Vikings are a dome team going to an outdoor, grass stadium at perhaps the toughest road venue, Arrowhead Stadium. Not only is the spot bad for Minnesota, but so is the situational aspect. Aside from the Chiefs desperately needing a victory, the Vikings are in a division sandwich off an overtime road loss to the Lions and with a home game looming next week against the Packers.
The Chiefs defense has forced six turnovers. They get back their best pass rusher with Jared Allen returning from suspension and face a rusty career backup quarterback in Kelly Holcomb. He lasted played in a regular-season game in 2005.
The Vikings' run defense still is strong, but it's not dominant like last year ranking sixth. Larry Johnson, behind an offensive line that should be fired-up, is ready to produce numbers in Week 3 after a prolonged holdout.
The Vikings have limited firepower and much of that firepower is ailing. Chester Taylor may miss a second straight week, while wide receiver Troy Williamson and fullback Tony Richardson also are less than 100 percent.

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JB Sports

NYJ -3.0 (-115) vs 407 MIA

Analysis:
Going back to last year, Dolphins have lost 7 of their last 9 away from home & have also lost 5 of last 6 in this series. Although both teams come in 0-2 & desperate for wins, I trust the Jets here at home in this situation against a struggling Dolphin offense that has already turned it over 6 times in the first 2 weeks.

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Paul Leiner
Sunday, September 23, 2007

Sport: NFL
Game: New York/Miami
Prediction: 5* Over 35.5 NYJ/Mia

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Tony George

Indianapolis Colts v/s Houston Texans 9/23/2007 1:00:00 pm
Houston +6
I am calling for the "Live Dog" in this one on Sunday. Houston has dominated in both games they have played this season. A beat down of the Panthers last week on the road, and they pounded KC into the ground in their opener. They were able to overcome WR Steve Smith of the Panthers last week and win big on the road at Carolina, many people's choice to get to the NFC championship this year. The first 2-0 start in franchise history for the Texans, they are fired up for this one in Houston. Indy is off a VERY tough game they could have easily lost last week at Tennessee, and back to back roadies are always tough no matter who you are. Houston allows 12 ppg and 69 yards rushing as a defense to date, very impressive numbers for a young and talented defense, maybe the best young defense in the NFL in terms of youth that is performing.
The big key is WR Andre Johnson being out for Houston and that they have no chance given to them by many writers and media types. I say higwash, they have enough talent to fill in. Indy has injury issues of their own. 2 OL are out, LB Morris is out this week, and TE Clark is doubtful. I'd say that is as much or more of an issue that Johnson being out with a MCL sprain.
Houston's ability to stop the run and RB Addia will enhance their chances of some man to man coverage and doubles on Harrison, which will make the sledding tough for Indy. I also like Houston's offense ran by ex- Atlanta back-up QB Matt Schaub right now (the Falcons would pay millions to have him back right now!) , and RB Ahman Green, while alittle banged up is playing against a run defense giving up 4.1 yards per carry. Houston has managed a nice 27 ppg average, saw a tough defense last week on the road and moved the chains at will, and Gary Kubiak has got this team on the same page and playing well.
I am calling for an outright win here, but a cover should be in order here in what many think is a push over game for the Colts. I can assure you, if overlooked by anyone, Houston can do some damage.

Play the Underdog in this one on Sunday

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JIM FEIST

Peyton Manning against Tom Brady? How about Damon Huard versus Tavaris Jackson in this one! Two very bad offenses matchup here. Minnesota (1-1 SU/1-0-1 ATS) isn't fancy, with young QB play, a talented young runner in Adrian Peterson, and a defense that is awesome against the run but suspect in the secondary. Rookie RB Adrian Peterson (5.4 ypc) had a dazzling debut, rushing for 103 yards and scoring on a 60-yard swing pass, and the defense supplied two touchdowns on interception returns by Kevin Williams and Antoine Winfield in a 24-3 rout of Atlanta. Kansas City (0-2 SU/1-1 ATS) is a mess on offense, off a 20-3 loss at Houston and a loss at Chicago, 20-10. Herm Edwards has no imagination on offense, and it hasn't helped that their two best offensive linemen (Willie Roaf, Will Shields) are gone the last two years, and Edwards shipped out WR Dante Hall and QB Trent Green. The offense had 219 total yards in the opener, 3 points and 4 turnovers in the opener and QB Damon Huard was 22-33 for 168 yards, no TDs, 2 picks, 3 sacks. RB Larry Johnson had 43 yards on 10 carries! On Sunday, Johnson had 55 yards, 3.4 ypc, in the loss at Chicago. After averaging just eight points in four preseason losses, Kansas City's offense got 3 points in the opener. Only one play went longer than 20 yards! This is the home opener for Kansas City, but how long before the fans start booing?

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Greg Daraban

409 San Francisco (2-0) at 410 Pittsburgh (2-0)

NFC vs AFC as two of the Leagues most historic franchises go head to head. The 49ers have beaten AZ and St.Louis. Pitsburgh has mauled Cleveland and Buffalo. Love the way HC Nolan has drilled a winning attitude into the Niner players. The Steelers probably win this game but by just a Field Goal.

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Scott Spreitzer's NFL Knockout Beatdown! *42-19, 69% ATS Run!

Denver has been quite possibly, the most fortunate team through the first two weeks of action. They followed a last-second win over Buffalo, with an OT victory over the hapless Raiders. The worst news for Denver is that they can't stop the run. The Broncos are allowing 156 rushing yards per game at 5.1 yards per pop and will now face a Jaguar offense that sports one of the best RB duos in the league. This is the week that the mammoth Jaguar offensive line puts it together for Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. Once the two RBs get it going, it should be lights-out! The Jaguar play-action offense is obviously predicated by a strong ground attack. Against this defense, I believe the Jaguars will finally bust out. Defensively, the aggressive Jaguar defense should be able to keep Denver's offense in check. Jay Cutler is an up-and-comer, but he doesn't yet possess the ability to make defenses pay downfield on a consistent basis. That will be Denver's offensive undoing in this one. The Broncos may be undefeated, but the Jags are the better team. We'll grab the points with Jacksonville on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott

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