TheSpread.com

Greg Roberts

Roast of Week
LOUISVILLE

Dog of Week
TOLEDO

HUDDLE UP SPORTS

(Big 10 College Lock of the Month)
Illinois -3


Best Bets
Nebraska -22
Ohio State -22
Penn State -3'
Wake Forest -3

TOM SCOTT'S FIVE STAR PERFECT SYSTEM PLAY 29-0!

Kentucky at ARKANSAS - 6:00 PM EST

Play ON: #362 - ARKANSAS minus the points

Everyone who pays attention to college football knows that Houston Nutt's job is on the line this season and he HAS TO WIN this game to keep it. He can. Kentucky has lost 14 straight road games when it has been outrushed, a very distinct possibility here since the net rushing yardage differential between the two is 122 yards in favor of the Hogs. When Arkansas wins, it usually covers. The Pigs are 41-12 ATS in their last 53 SU wins off a loss, including a sterling 31-6 ATS in SEC play and a perfect 13-0 ATS when playing an opponent who is off back-to-back wins. Kentucky has covered just three times in 19 chances on the road off a win when favored or when an underdog of less than 10. One other point - How are the BlueGrass Cats going to get back up after that last second emotional win over their state rival?
PREDICTION: ARKANSAS 38 - Kentucky 23

Nationwide (goldsheet):

SUPER 7: IND, TOP: CONN, REG: ORE, SC UNDER, IOWA UNDER

Inside Info:

3-tx, Ala, Utah St

rossbenjaminsports
Utah @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET 9/22/2007
Play On: UNLV +8.5
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Utah comes off a stunning 44-6 home win over UCLA. The final score is a bit deceiving considering the fact that Utah was the beneficiary of 5 UCLA turnovers and the total yardage in the game was virtually even. In spite of the 44 points last week this is not a very good offensive team. UNLV had been very competitive early on until being whacked at home by a very good Hawaii team. I look for the Rebels to bounce back with a strong effort and the Utes to suffer a bit of a let down after their upset win a week ago over a nationally ranked team. Laying more than a touchdown on the road is just a reaction by the books to adhere to public perception based on the results of both squads from last week. Take the home underdog UNLV Rebels.
Any conference away favorite of 17.0 or less that is off a home underdog SU win in which they scored 34 or more points, versus a foe playing with revenge, and has a win percentage of .125 or better is 1-13 ATS since 1980.

Mike Neri
4* Nebraska
3* LSU

Dave Price

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Selection ID Matchup Selection Odds Result
7808186 Illinois vs. Indiana Illinois -2.5 / -110.0 NA
Reason:4* Illinois -2.5
Indiana is 0-7 ATS after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game since 1992, 8-20 ATS in home games after playing a game at home since 1992, and 5-17 ATS after outgaining opponents by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. Indiana is also 15-31 against the number as a home dog the last 15 seasons. We knew that the Illini were the better team heading in and we still feel that way after 3 weeks of the season. Take Illinois.


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Selection ID Matchup Selection Odds Result
7808184 Baylor vs. Buffalo Buffalo 3.5 / -105.0 NA
Reason:7* Buffalo +3.5
This play goes on Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in non-conference games, with 17 or more total starters returning, in the first month of the season. This system is 35-13 the last 15 years. Baylor is 0-6 ATS after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Bulls.


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Selection ID Matchup Selection Odds Result
7808187 SMU vs. TCU SMU 21.0 / -104.0 NA
Reason:4* SMU +21
The underdog role has treated SMU well. SMU has won 6 straight games over the last 3 seasons as a dog of 10.5 to 21 points. A terrible loss at Air Force leads us to believe that the books are giving TCU to much value this week. Take the points as this one stays within 2 TDs.


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Selection ID Matchup Selection Odds Result
7808185 Oregon vs. Stanford Stanford 17.0 / -107.0 NA
Reason:5* Stanford +17
This play goes against a road team (OREGON) who is an excellent rushing team - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games. This system is 27-6 the last 5 seasons. That’s an 81.8% win rate. Take the points.


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Selection ID Matchup Selection Odds Result
7808188 Utah vs. UNLV UNLV 9.0 / -110.0 NA
Reason:3* UNLV +9
Utah is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons. After playing a phenomenal game against UCLA, the Utes are in a primetime letdown spot. Playing the favorite has not been a winning role ATS for Utah. We’ll take the points with UNLV being jacked to take on Utah at home.

Wild Bill

He likes alot of action

Arkansas -6 1/2 (5 units)
UCLA -5 1/2 (5 units)
Penn St -2 (5 units)
Georgia +3 1/2 (2 units)
Indiana +3 (4 units)
Over 53 Buffalo-Baylor (3 units)
Akron +3 (1 unit)
Nebraska -22 1/2 (1 unit)
Florida -21 (1 unit)
Over 42 1/2 Mich St-Notre Dame (2 units)
Cal -16 (3 units)
Bowling Green -21 (1 unit)
Toledo +4 (2 units)
South Florida -13 (2 units)
NC State +7 (2 units)
Connecticut +9 1/2 (1 unit)
Washington State +24 1/2 (3 units)
South Carolina ML +670 (1 unit)
South Carolina +16 1/2 (3 units)
TCU -21 (1 unit)
Arizona State -12 (1 unit)
Over 54 Fla Int'l-Kansas (2 units)
UL-Lafayette +10 1/2 (2 units)
North Texas +6 1/2 (2 units)


5 unit..........................2-3, -6.5 units
4 unit..........................3-0, +12.0 units
3 unit..........................2-2, -0.6 units
2 unit..........................6-5-1, +1.0 units
1 unit..........................24-20, +2.0 units
Parlay........................
Money Line...............
WON 37 LOSS 30, +7.9 units as of 9/18/07
     

Dave M@linsky
5* Tennessee -18 over Arkansas St
5* Army +29 over Boston College
4* Florida -21 over Mississippi
4* Iowa/Wisconsin Under 44
4* Georgia / Alabama under 48 1/2
4* Illinois / Indiana Under 63