Football Service Picks-Saturday

Football Service Picks-Saturday

RAS "Early Looks" - Week 2 - Four Plays

Buffalo at Temple (-3) - 10:00am Pacific - Game #319-320
Popular second year head coach Al Golden has Temple going in the right direction. Most power ratings have Temple just a few points better than where they ended last season, but I am convinced they have improved by at least a touchdown. They showed many signs of life in season opener vs Navy losing 30-19 after losing 42-7 to them at the end of last season. Owl junior QB Adam DiMichele completed 21 of 29 and showed good leadership qualities. Speedster Travis Shelton is one of the best all purpose talents in the MAC and may single handedly be the difference maker in this game. Buffalo also has a second year coach in Turner Gill who is also trying to turn around a longtime doormat program. Gill has much less to work with in terms of location and facilities, and is taking more of a long term approach by mostly avoiding JC transfers. Buffalo did not show many positive signs in 45-3 loss to Rutgers in week one. Bulls top receiver Terrance Breaux (knee) missed the game and remains a reserve on the team depth chart as of this writing. Temple lost in overtime at Buffalo last season but has gained much more ground since then and gets to play host this time. Give the points.

RAS Early Look: Temple -3 1/2 UNIT


California at Colorado State (+15) - 11:00am Pacific - Game #337-338
The Rams played very well vs Colorado in season opener but let a likely win slip away in the second half before losing in overtime. Despite the loss this is clearly going to be one of Sonny Lubick's better Colorado State teams. Senior QB Caleb Hanie was very impressive in the opener going 20-of-27 with 3 touchdowns. Senior TE/HB Kory Sperry emerged as an impact player with 100+ receiving yards and 3 touchdown catches. Sperry's career has been disappointing but he appears ready for a break out season. RB Kyle Bell returned from a one year absence due to injury to rush for 135 yards. The Rams defense was very respectable allowing 330 total yards despite being caught off guard by some new formations early on. Cal is coming off an emotional revenge win over Tennessee on national television. The Bears capitalized on fumble and punt returns for touchdowns in the first half of a 14 point win. Cal features a formidable offense but their defense is still very suspect. Expect Colorado State to move the ball consistently and score enough points to keep this game competitive. This will be CSU's biggest non-conference home game in years and they are 9-4 ATS as a home dog under Lubick. Take the points..

RAS Early Look: Colorado State +15 1/2 UNIT


North Carolina at East Carolina (-3.5) - 3:00pm Pacific - Game #359-360
East Carolina was so bad in 2003-04 that oddsmakers are still having a tough time catching up. The Pirates have come a long way under third year head coach Skip Holtz. They faced an almost unwinnable situation at Virginia Tech last week but if not for throwing an interception runback for a touchdown, they would have taken the Hokies down to the wire as a +28 dog. East Carolina actually outrushed Virginia Tech 142 to 33, demonstrating their much improved size and strength. Junior QB Patrick Pinkney has been plagued by injuries throughout his career and was 3rd string prior to the season opener, but was impressive off the bench vs an outstanding Hokie defense. He completed 56% of his passes for 115 yards with no turnovers while rushing for another 48. Holtz was so pleased with his play that on Sunday he named Pinkney the starter for next week over projected starter Rob Kaas who was suspended for the opener. UNC is very young and in rebuilding mode under new head coach Butch Davis following a hapless 3-9 season (wins vs Furman, NC State, and Duke). The Tar Heels had twelve players (all underclassmen) make their first start in win over 1-AA James Madison last week. UNC has a redshirt freshman at QB and was held to 2.9ypc (no sacks) on the ground. UNC starting center Lenahan (calf) and starting LB Rice (high ankle sprain) left the game with injuries. East Carolina cherishes the rare opportunity to host ACC rivals and went 2-0 SU and ATS vs Virginia and at NC State last season. The Pirates are 19-5 ATS overall under Holtz. Give the points.

RAS Early Look: East Carolina -3.5 1/2 UNIT


BYU (+8.5) at UCLA - 3:30pm Pacific - Game #361-362
The Cougars are not getting due respect for the current run they are on. They have won eleven games in a row, with the last two being dominating wins over Pac-10 teams, 38-8 vs Oregon in the Las Vegas Bowl, and 20-7 over Arizona to open the season last week. The win over the Wildcats was much more impressive than the final score indicates. BYU had twice as many first downs and 140 more total yards despite finishing -1 in turnover ratio. Arizona's only points came with under a minute to play. BYU QB Max Hall had a solid debut (26 for 39, 288 yards, no INT) vs an excellent Arizona defense. Meanwhile, BYU's unheralded defense has picked off right where they left off last year. They were physically dominant in holding Arizona to just 32 rushing yards and came just shy of a shutout. This is a game that many people have overlooked on UCLA's schedule. The Bruins went 7-6 last year and did not have to do much in easy win over rebuilding Stanford last week. UCLA still has some question marks on offense. They will have their hands full here with a very good and underrated BYU team. The Rose Bowl is rarely an intimidating venue for visitors, and BYU is sure to bring plenty of their own fans. Take the points.

RAS Early Look: BYU +8.5 1/2 UNIT

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Northcoast Infomercial

Monday

Early Bird POW - Arizona St.

Tuesday

Underdog POW - Kent St.

Power Plays - 4* Oklahoma

Wednesday

Economy Club - Kansas St.

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PPP


5% NORTHWESTERN (-9.5) over Nevada

Nevada got Steamrolled 52-10 by Nebraska LW allowing 625 TY and 413 RY on 5.9 YPR. Their “pistol” offense had no pop as they are breaking in a new QB and have just 5 returning offensive starters. Northwestern recorded a rare shutout, 27-0 vs. Northeastern holding the Huskies to just 260 TY. 8 returning starters to each side of the ball with veteran leadership from QB Bacher figures to have great success against a Wolfpack team who plays much better in their home den. Wildcat’s RB Sutton goes wild as the Wildcats STEAMROLL the Wolfpack.



3% KANSAS ST (-16.5) over San Jose

The Spartans were Steamrolled at my command LW as they were drubbed 45-3 at Arizona St. The Sundevils put up a balanced 520 TY including 250 RY while controlling the clock 37-23 against the Spartans. The Spartans, LY’s spread darlings, were able to total just 115 TY. Meanwhile, the reborn Wildcats were experiencing a hard fought opening day loss, but cover at Auburn. They actually led in the 4th Q before letting the game slip away. With 15 returning starters, including their QB and the majority of their OL, expect the Wildcats to be an early season play on. They have a history of early season excellence in Manhattan where they have won 17 straight openers, are on a 10-3 ATS run including 3-0 ATS LY under then first year HC Prince, winning by an average of 33-6. Wildcat QB Freeman will lead a balanced Wildcat attack that will enjoy stepping down in class against the outmanned Spartan defense.



3% IOWA (-21.5) over Syracuse

It’s addition by subtraction as the Hawkeyes will return to prosperity without prima donna QB Tate in their lineup. LW they return to the MO that had made them so successful in previous years. They dominated a solid Northern Illinois team as they controlled the point of attack out rushing the Huskies 250-21. With a game of experience under his belt and returning home where the Hawkeyes stand 19-8 ATS HF, expect a more confident, explosive performance. A solid running game will thrive against a Syracuse team that was out rushed 302-8 in a home opening loss to Washington, 42-12. Expect even less success as they travel to one of the most underrated venues in CFB. Adding fuel to our fire is the line value we get, not only from the Hawkeyes poor 2-10 ATS performance LY but also the fact they were challenged by the Orangemen in the Carrier Dome LY. Today, the Hawkeyes put them away in the first half and continue to STEAMROLL them until games end.

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Larry Ness

Ohio -2.0 (-110) vs La.-Lafayette

Analysis: Ohio U is my alma mater and the school's "heyday" was from 1924 through 1946 with Don Peden as its head coach (121-46-11, .711). His teams went undefeated three times and his only losing season was in 1945. There hasn't been much to talk about since. Ohio's only two bowl appearances (prior to 2006) came in 1962 and 1968 (both losses). However, Frank Solich (player, assistant coach and head coach at Nebraska for decades) has brought new life to Athens. He went 4-7 in his first season ('05) but last year went 9-3 to win the MAC-East. Ohio was overmatched in the MAC title game by Central Michigan (31-10) and in the GMAC Bowl by Southern Miss (28-7), as Ohio finished 9-5, but the Bobcats have "turned the corner." RB Kalvin McRae has two straight 1,000-yard seasons and opened with 142 yards (two TDs) in the team's season-opening win over Gardner-Webb (36-14). QB Brad Bower went 12-of-25 for 180 yards with one TD and no interceptions. Ohio's strength is its defense and while just six starters return, it will be a strength again this year. Despite allowing 31 and 28 points in its final two games, the Bobcats allowed just 18.1 PPG in '06. Against Gardner-Webb, they allowed only 68 yards rushing (2.8 YPC) and 14 points. UL-Lafayette had NINE straight losing seasons from 1996 through 2004, before going 6-5 in '05 (went 6-6 LY). This Sun Belt school opened by losing at South Carolina 28-14, with QB Desormeaux providing almost all the highlights. He ran for 163 yards (one TD) and completed 10-of-17 passes (but for only 59 yards). RB Fenroy (1,197 YR in '06) had 97 yards on 15 carries. However, running effectively against Ohio will NOT be easy. The Bobcats have Va Tech next but how can there be a "look-ahead" for a game the team can't possibly win? The Bobactas CAN win this game.

Take Ohio.

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Ethan Law

1* RICE/BAYLOR OVER 44

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Burns Saturday CFB

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Ben Burns' EARLY (11:00 am) Afternoon ANNIHILATOR!
Ben Burns has gotten off to an AWESOME START to his '07 college campaign. He SWEPT THE BOARD last Saturday, going a PERFECT 5-0, including his 'Annihilator' on Miami, a 31-3 winner over Marshall. The Thundering Herd are back in action VERY EARLY (11:00 am EST!) this afternoon. Is this Documented Champion "taking" or "laying" the points?

Marshall

Burns' Non-Conference MAIN EVENT *EARLY TV WINNER
Last week, Ben Burns won his "Non-Conference Main Event" on California, part of a PERFECT 5-0 Saturday card. That was no surprise though as Ben's "Main Events" have been MONEY IN THE BANK for years. This week's Non-conf. MAIN EVENT is another NATIONALLY TELEVISED MONSTER. Its Nebraska at Wake Forest and it kicks-off at noon!


Wake Forest

Burns' Conference GAME OF THE YEAR *14-3 L17 GOYs!
BIG GAME DOMINANCE! Big Game Expert Ben Burns BLUDGEONED THE BOOKS with his "ACC Game of the Year" on Boston College last Saturday, part of a PERFECT 5-0 CARD. Now an AMAZING 14-3 his L17 "GOY" releases, Burns returns with another ABSOLUTE BLOCKBUSTER that qualifies as his second CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!

Lousiana Tech

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RAS "Official Plays" - Week 2 - Three PlaysMiami Ohio at Minnesota (Under 50) - 9:00am Pacific - Game #317-318
First year head coach Tim Brewster is attempting to transform the Gopher offense from a ground oriented attack into a combination spread/west coast style offense. After getting shutout in the first half of the season opener vs Bowling Green, Brewster changed his strategy and kept the ball on the ground 34 of 45 plays after halftime saying afterwards "We're going to be a physical, running football team." Only 48 points were scored in regulation despite facing a defensively challenged Bowling Green team that likes to line up with five wideouts and throw the ball around. That type of attack was a bad matchup for Minnesota's suspect secondary, but this week Minnesota's strong front seven will be on display against a team who's offensive strength is running the football, not passing it. Gopher starting QB Adam Weber, a redshirt freshman, finished just 15 of 31 with 2 interceptions in an unimpressive debut and at one point in the first half was close to getting replaced. Earlier this week, head coach Brewster announced some reshuffling on an unsettled offensive line which may further hinder the offense's progress. Miami Ohio scored a touchdown with 17 seconds left to beat Ball State 14-13 in a low scoring affair last week. Redhawk starting QB Mike Kokal completed 14 of 24 passes for just 118 yards and threw 2 interceptions. Kokal seldom threw downfield in the game with his longest pass going to RB Brandon Murphy for 17 yards. This versus a Ball State team not known for strong defense. The return of a healthy Murphy was the bright spot for Miami, as he rushed for 135 yards as the focal point of the offense. The Redhawks will also be shuffling their offensive line this week, as starting guard Matt McKeown left last game with injury and is listed as doubtful. Miami fans are high on their defense this year and they had a solid outing in their debut holding Ball State to just 13 points despite several three and outs by the offense and a -2 turnover ratio. They figure to do a much better job defending the Gophers ground game than smallish Bowling Green did last week. Expect this game to have a difficult time getting out of the 40's. Play the under.

RAS Official Play: Under 50 1 UNIT
UAB at Florida State (-34.5) - 2:00pm Pacific - Game #351-352
Longtime FSU head coach Bobby Bowden said his team has never played as bad as they did in the first half vs Clemson last week. They did perform much better in the second half but could not overcome a 24-3 halftime deficit. The Seminoles cannot wait to get back on the field as they feel they have much to prove on both sides of the ball. New high profile offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher is already under heat from fans but will look to showcase his new offense this week vs a horrible UAB defense in the team's home opener. Junior QB Drew Weatherford should also be inclined to pad his stats after a disappointing opener. Talented backup QB Xavier Lee, who was not far from winning the starting job, will likely join the party as well once the game is out of hand. Meanwhile, the vaunted Seminole defense, who shutout Clemson in the second half last week, has been quoted as saying they will not be satisfied with anything but a shutout this week. They are more than capable of accomplishing that goal with 8 returning starters and plenty of quality depth. UAB might just be the worst team in Division 1-A this year. Due to injuries and nearly 20 defections the Blazers are playing with just 67 scholarship players, 18 under the NCAA limit. As mentioned last week, first year players are riddled throughout their 2-deep (six freshmen started last week) and they are learning new systems on both offense and defense. Michigan State led UAB 45-3 at halftime and that was without the help of any fluke plays. They were just simply dominated. The Spartans began playing reserves midway through the second quarter and still coasted to a 55-18 win. The Blazers will get another nice paycheck for this trip but not much else. Florida State is 36-22 ATS after a straight up loss under Bowden. Look for the Seminoles to dominate throughout and win by 40+. Give the big number.

RAS Official Play: Florida State -34.5 1 UNIT
North Texas at SMU (Over 44.5) - 5:00pm Pacific - Game #403-404
SMU has all the makings of an "over" team. Last year their games averaged 51.6ppg (no overtimes) despite playing a freshman QB. This year they have 8 returning starters on offense and a defense that is struggling to overcome key losses. SMU executed very poorly in opener vs Texas Tech with several dropped passes, penalties, and other miscues leading to just a 9 point output after averaging 31.6ppg in last 10 outings a year ago. Dual threat sophomore QB Justin Willis (C-USA freshman of year) will be looking to make amends against his hometown (Denton, TX) school who beat him 24-6 last year. SMU's defense suffered a major blow when starting MLB and leading returning tackler Reggie Carrington opted to leave the team before the season. The defensive line only returned one starter, senior Cory Muse, (played a handful of plays last week, probable Saturday) but he has been slowed by injury. Starting DT Charlie Berry (stinger) is doubtful to play this week. SMU only returned six starters on defense to begin with and have never been anything special. SMU kick returner Jesse Henderson averaged 32 yards a return last week and will be a positive factor in their scoring output. North Texas first year coach Todd Dodge is implementing a mostly no-huddle spread offense with four wide receivers and a dual threat quarterback. The system figures to extend games and give both teams more plays. In opener vs Oklahoma there were 142 total plays (79 in first half) despite the Sooners running 61% of the time and only throwing three incomplete passes. UNT meanwhile passed on 45 of their 69 plays. The Mean Green's offense was not very effective against OU's stellar defense, but they did show signs of potential and should be more productive against a softer opponent. UNT's defense has experience, but is switching to a new 4-3 scheme for a new defensive coordinator, and were absolutely shredded by Oklahoma in the season opener. The secondary looked particularly vulnerable as they did not break up a single pass in opener. Junior CB Dominique Green, a 10 game starter last year, has disappeared from the depth chart, and Dodge announced more personnel shuffling in the secondary for Saturday. Expect a high scoring affair.

RAS Official Play: Over 44.5 1 UNIT

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Colin Cowherd

HERD: ( 3-0 )

VIRGINIA TECH
MICHIGAN
U C L A
PENN STATE
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Dave M@linsky--free play

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4* KENT STATE/KENTUCKY Over 51.5

Kentucky played three lined regular season games outside of the S.E.C. last autumn, and they were among the wildest games in Division I all season – there were a combined 87 points scored against Louisville; 81 vs. Central Michigan; and 82 vs. UL-Monroe. They all shattered the closing Total by at least 25 points. That is what happens when you have an explosive offense that not only has the personnel to make plays, but excellent designs to get a talented corps of skill people into the open field. The flip side is what happens when your defense is awful. And not only does 2007 look like more of the same, but the rules have been changed to open things up even more, and this week brings its own set of particulars that call for another explosion.

Now we have a Kentucky offense that returns all of the key runners and receivers from LY, led by QB Andre Woodson, and a quick OL that excels at the downfield blocking called for in many of their spread plays. And note that it was not just a case of them exploding vs. some patsies outside of the S.E.C. in 2006; in their bowl win over Clemson they rang up 409 yards against a quality defense. Now a Kent State defense that lacks experience at facing this kind of speed finds itself vulnerable to big plays, especially with the challenging package of the screens, draws, and bootlegs that are a part of the Kentucky playbook. More on that in a moment.

The Golden Flashes can counter, however, with QB Julian Edleman and RB Eugene Jarvis operating behind a big, deep and talented OL (from coach Doug Martin - ”We have nine (offensive linemen) that we can win games with.”), which presents a weak Wildcat defense with their worst nightmare – having to stop a running QB and an option package. Not only were they helpless against such schemes LY (like when UL-Monroe piled up 40 points, 28 first downs and 501 yards with similar tactics on this field last November), but they are hampered in some key areas – starting MLB Micah Johnson is unlikely to play, and definitely will not start, while free safety Marcus McClinton is also sidelined. Those two positions really matter in terms of the reads needed to stop what Kent is going to do. And with E. J. Adams also missing in the secondary, there are real depth issues.

So will these teams maximize the scoring potential? We certainly believe that to be the case, because this is hardly another meaningless non-conference affair. Martin was a four-year letter winner and part-time starting QB for Kentucky from 1981-84, although injuries kept him from even bigger things. This return home means an awful lot to him (his wife Vicki is also from Lexington), especially since Kentucky offensive coordinator Joker Phillips just happened to be his teammate during those seasons. We expect these two old friends to dig deeply into their playbooks for one of those little “ego battles” that we can take advantage of, with nothing being held back from their bag of tricks. The fact that neither side really has to dig all that deeply to make things happen anyway gives us an easy ride in this one.

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Tim Sullivan

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September 6, 2007 -- THERE are commercials and highlight shows still showing the nightmare. It's on the cover of a video game. Heck, there's even going to be a documentary about it coming to a screen near you.

Yes, that unforgettable, miraculous, 43-42 Fiesta Bowl win was the greatest thing to happen to Boise State. And the worst to happen to Oklahoma.

All of a sudden, a Big 12-winning season was washed away. The comeback of Adrian Peterson, the perseverance of Bob Stoops through an injury-riddled, referee-challenged season, all buried by the Broncos.

Nine months later, the Sooners can get off the mat. No, Boise State won't stroll into Norman Saturday. But the new-look Miami Hurricanes (1-0) will.

And with them comes a national-television audience. In other words, a perfect opportunity for the Sooners to show and tell everyone: "We'll be OK."

"We are really excited," Stoops said. "(Miami is) another tradition-rich program who we have a good history with. Miami is a program we have great respect for."

All the more reason to get up for a game that could ignite another stellar season. With apologies to North Texas - and the 79-10 beating it took in Norman - this is the kind of tilt that can solidify the Sooners' No. 5 ranking and catapult them into those early national-title talks.

"It's just a game. Every game is big," Miami coach Randy Shannon said. "Don't ever look too far forward."

The Sooners won't. Oklahoma (-101/2) is the pick.

TOMORROW

RUTGERS (-161/2) over Navy: The Knights won't allow themselves to stumble in prime-time. RU has won the past two in the series by a combined 44.

SATURDAY

West Virginia (-24) over MARSHALL: High number on the road, but the Mountaineers are playing instate against a team that can't stop anyone.

Nebraska (-8) over WAKE FOREST: You think Nebraska coach Bill Callahan and QB Sam Keller watched Boston College's aerial show vs. the Deacons?

Alabama (-31/2) over VANDERBILT: Word out of Tuscaloosa is that Nashville will be surrounded by so much Crimson, it'll seem like a 'Bama home game.

Cal (-14) over COLORADO STATE: The Rams can move the ball, but this is a perfect chance for the Bears to dodge a letdown and prove their legitimacy.

BC (-14) over N.C. State: The return of Tom O'Brien is a nice, little revenge story. But, when you get down to it, BC is a better team and probably doesn't even need the extra motivation.

MICHIGAN (-8) over Oregon: Coach Lloyd Carr may be on the hottest of seats, but here's thinking a guy with a national title can figure out a way to turn this group of wounded Wolverines around, for one week at least.
GEORGIA (-5) over South Carolina: Steve Spurrier pulled out his "Maybe I overstated our team" routine. We don't buy it. The Gamecocks are good, he knows it. That said, we like the Bulldogs to win the SEC East and they need this one to get there.

PENN STATE (-171/2) over Notre Dame: The number is a little rich with teams of this caliber. But the revenge factor on the home side and the quarterback quandary on the road side makes the decision easier.

Brigham Young (+7) over UCLA: We don't see the Cougars on the Heroes grid often, but we lean toward one of the best spread teams around when they do make it.

TEXAS (-7) over Texas Christian: The Frogs' defense is one of the toughest, but Texas' subpar effort vs. Arkansas State has given the Longhorns - and this line - far too much value. Jump on it.

Southern Miss (+101/2) over TENNESSEE: The Volunteers are hungry to greet their Orange-clad fans with a win. Not saying they won't get it, but the Eagles should make it tough.

AUBURN (-7) over South Florida: Another value play here for a ranked home team that, like Texas, stumbled in Week 1. The rise of the Bulls is a nice tale, but jump on this line.

LSU (-121/2) over Virginia Tech: Hokies QB Sean Glennon struggled against East Carolina at home. LSU snared six interceptions last week and the Tigers have nine days to prepare.

OFF THE GRID

BAYLOR (-6) over Rice: Two bad Texas teams, but we love the home one, the Big 12 one, and the one that didn't lose to a Division I-AA team (Nicholls State) last week.

LAST WEEK: 10-5 Overall; 2-1 Best Bets; 1-0 Off The Grid.

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Strike Point Sports from Docs Sports

Week Two College Football Plays

3-Unit Play. #347 Take Boise State -3 over Washington (3:30 pm - Saturday)

3-Unit Play. #339 Take Missouri -6 over Mississippi (6 pm - Saturday)

3-Unit Play. #359 Take North Carolina +5 over East Carolina (6 pm - Saturday)


3-Unit Play. #328 Take Central Michigan -3 over Toledo (7 pm - Saturday)


3-Unit Play. #396 Take Oklahoma State -23.5 over Florida Atlantic (7 pm - Saturday)
2-Unit Play. #397 Take Ohio -1.5 over Louisiana-Lafayette (7 pm - Saturday)

6-Unit Game of the Week. #379 Take Indiana PK over Western Michigan (8 pm - Saturday)

2-Unit Play. #385 Take New Mexico State +7 over New Mexico (9:30 pm - Saturday)

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Strike Point Sports from Docs Sports

Week Two College Football Plays

3-Unit Play. #347 Take Boise State -3 over Washington (3:30 pm - Saturday)

3-Unit Play. #339 Take Missouri -6 over Mississippi (6 pm - Saturday)

3-Unit Play. #359 Take North Carolina +5 over East Carolina (6 pm - Saturday)


3-Unit Play. #328 Take Central Michigan -3 over Toledo (7 pm - Saturday)


3-Unit Play. #396 Take Oklahoma State -23.5 over Florida Atlantic (7 pm - Saturday)
2-Unit Play. #397 Take Ohio -1.5 over Louisiana-Lafayette (7 pm - Saturday)

6-Unit Game of the Week. #379 Take Indiana PK over Western Michigan (8 pm - Saturday)

2-Unit Play. #385 Take New Mexico State +7 over New Mexico (9:30 pm - Saturday)

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doc sports


3 Unit Play. #20 Take Penn State -17 ½ over Notre Dame (Saturday 6:00 pm ESPN) We stated last week that Georgia Tech over Notre Dame might be the real gift of the weekend and Christmas it was, as the Irish were destroyed. Things will not get any better here, as Notre Dame will pay for that 41-17 win in South Bend last season. Reports are freshman QB Clausen will start and this is not the best spot for the youngster against a swarming defense. I predicted the Irish would lose their first four, loss No. 2 comes Saturday. Would pull more money out of my wallet, but the inflated line make me a bit cautious, but not enough to worry. Penn State 35, Notre Dame 10.

4 Unit Play. #43 Take South Carolina +4 ½ over Georgia (Saturday 5:45 pm ESPN 2) Big conference game with two of the heavyweight coaches in Richt and Spurrier. QB Mitchell should be back for the Gamecocks after being suspended for the opener. South Carolina has now lost five straight to the Bulldogs, but this is the best team that Spurrier has had to end this losing streak. Talent edge, motivation, plus getting points in what should be a low scoring affair, spells trouble. Gamecocks finally take this game by a field goal. South Carolina 20, Georgia 17.

5 Unit Play. #49 Take California -14 over Colorado State (Saturday 2:00 pm CSTV) Normally would not rate a game this high, since the favorite is playing on the road; however, the Bears are loaded with talent and have one of the top college coaches in the country. A college coach told me this week that this Bear team has as much speed as any team he has seen in the past ten years. What really caught my eye was their win over Tennessee was the balance. Cal rushed 37 times for 230 yards and completed 19 passes for 241 yards against a good Volunteer team. As I looked at this game, my first impression was letdown after such an emotional victory, but the letdown will occur by the Rams. CSU lost a tough game last weekend to Colorado and will not be able to bounce back in this affair. 14 points is tough to lay on the road, but have not doubts about this game, as California explodes against a weak club. Cal 42, Colorado St 14.

3 Unit Play. #59 Take South Florida +7 over Auburn (Saturday 9:00 pm ESPN 2) The Bulls toyed with Elon last week, but look for them to pull out all the stops this week. This team has scheduled difficult games the last couple of years and is accustomed to playing the big boys in hostile environments. The Bulls offensive line was injured and a couple were held out in the opener but most will be back for this contest. Last year’s 9-4 record was no fluke; they have the talent to play against anyone in the country. As I look at Auburn, not the team of the past couple of years. They have a questionable running attack, gaining only 62 yards in 37 carries last week. The defense is solid but will have to carry this team all season. There is no talent gap between the programs and will call the upset here. South Florida 21, Auburn 17.

4 Unit Play. #64 Take East Carolina -5 over North Carolina (Saturday 6:00 pm CSTV) The Pirates always get up for this in-state game, see no let up here. Coach Holtz has a good nucleus of players returning and put a good showing in a narrow loss to Virginia Tech. The Pirates held the Hokies ground game in check, as they could only muster 33 yards. The stats alone could spell trouble for North Carolina, as they managed only 14 first downs against James Madison. Coach Butch Davis may get the Tar Heels program turned around, but help has not arrived yet. The talent gap is bigger then the posted line and there is never a problem with a mid-major program getting up for facing a BCS team, especially when both teams lie in the same state. Homer gets the call. East Carolina 27, North Carolina 14.

6 Unit Play. #65 Take Troy +26 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN Gameplan) Underdog Game of the Year. Spotted this one several weeks ago. Certainly respect Florida and Coach Meyer; however, this team has lost heavy to graduation and will show in the early going. Defense may be the real question mark on this team with only two starters back. The Trojans did have difficulty with Arkansas stopping the run; however, McFadden will not be lining up in the backfield against them. QB Haugabook is in his second year as a starter and he is able to run a wide open offense that utilizes his legs and his arm. The Trojans always get up to play SEC teams and as a 29-point underdog, they almost beat Florida State last year (lost 24-17). With Tennessee up next, young Gators take this one lightly and vision of Appalachian State/Michigan come to mind. A nail bitter for the Gators and an easy cash for us. Florida 28, Troy 21.

4 Unit Play. #104 Take UNLV +25 over Wisconsin (Saturday 10:00 pm Versus) Saw the Badgers play Washington State last week and was impressed, but not so impressed to give them the call here. Will make this statement and will be right, “Wisconsin is not the number 5 team in the country.” The passing attack looked good, but did not have to worry about the Cougar running attack and this is a team that can be run on. Can the Badgers be upset? Little chance of that, but feel line is much too steep and inflated since Bucky fans will be packing the sportsbooks in Vegas. Injuries hit the Rebels hard last year and much of their personnel is back this season. Nice win last week on the road in Logan (Utah State) and that will give them confidence for this home opener. The Rebels are much strong then in 2006 and the 95 degree heat will make it tough on Bucky, no lights out here, Badgers win, but no blowout. Wisconsin 35, UNLV 17.

4 Unit Play. #106 Take Washington State -14 over San Diego State (Saturday 7:00 pm) A big day in the state of Washington, when the Cougars and Huskies will both be playing games in Seattle. I was able to watch the Cougars in person last week against Wisconsin and their secondary looked overmatched, but the offense moved the ball and they appear to have a nice ball club. QB Brink should be able to exploit a young Aztec defense. In 2006, Washington State opened the season in Auburn and lost 40-14, yet rebounded the next week by beating Idaho 56-10. Defense steps up and Brink has a big day. Washington State 42, San Diego State 17.

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Gold Sheet -Phone Plays

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1 1/2 * Kent

1* Hawaii-Ucla-Colorado State-Vt

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Psychic Sports Picks

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9/8

NCAAF

1 unit Michigan -6.5
2 units Northwestern -10
2 units Alabama -3.5
2 units Mississippi +6
3 units Miami Fl +11
3 units South Carolina +3.5
3 units BYU +7

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Special K
20* S Carolina

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Special K
20* S Carolina

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ace-ace / alan eastman +14.15 units ncaa fb

3 PENN ST -17
4 NORTWEST -10
2 LSU -12 1/2
3 MICH -8 1/2
2 Hawaii -28

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Gator Report for Week of Sept 6-10

Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report

Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.

SEC GOW (Saturday): South Carolina +5

Steamroller GOW (Saturday): Michigan State -18

Underdog GOW (Saturday): pass

__________________________________________________ ____________________
System Game of the Week:

Game: Nevada vs. Northwestern

System: Play On a College home favorite of 1+ points with less than 11 days rest seeking revenge for a non-Saturday road underdog SU loss in the previous match up last season and not off a SU loss. 18-1-1 ATS since 1991 averages covering the spread by 11.7 points per game.

Selection: Northwestern -8

__________________________________________________ ____________________


NFL Technical Game of the Week Selection:

Game: Philadelphia vs. Green Bay

Technical Set: Play Under NFL teams when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a team that had a winning record last season, 23-4 Under last three seasons. Play Under on Game One NFL home teams with a line of +3 to -3 and a total more than 40.5, 17-1 Under since 2001.

Selection: UNDER 44

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