2011 Boxing Odds & Picks: Manny Pacquiao -850 vs. Shane Mosley Print
Written by Drew Sharper   
Saturday, 07 May 2011 18:00

Pacquiao vs. Mosley Pick

2011 boxing picks and predictions manny pacquiao

LAS VEGAS, NV (TheSpread) – Manny Pacquiao is the favorite against Shane Mosley on Saturday night, but is the smart money on the champion, or the challenger?

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Pacquiao enters the fight as the heavy favorite according to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bodog.com, as he has odds of -850 to win while Mosley comes in with odds of +550. Saturday’s bout between Mosley and Pacquiao will be for the WBO Welterweight Championship and take place from the MGM Grand live on Pay-Per-View at 9PM ET.

Manny Pacquiao (52-3-2, 38 KO’s)
Strengths:
Pacquiao has the great combination of speed and power as his opponents have failed to have an answer for his hand speed. Pacquiao has shown he does have one-punch knockout power as he was able to cleanly dispose of Ricky Hatton in just the second round of their fight in May of 2009. His conditioning is also top level, as he is able to bring the fight for a full 12 rounds without showing much sign of fatigue.
Weaknesses: Pacquiao is still a guy that is fighting in bigger weight classes for the challenge, so typically he is at a disadvantage in that sense, but it hasn’t been a factor as of yet. Pac-man does have two knockout losses in his career, so he could be suspect to a KO if Mosley can land that one big punch.
Shane Mosley (48-6-1, 1NC, 39 KO’s)
Strengths:
Mosley has some serious power in his hands as he rarely goes to a decision in his victories. He was able to send Floyd Mayweather Jr. down with a punch in a fight last year, but just wasn’t able to follow up after that. Mosley can also take a punch, as he has never lost by anything other than a decision in his career.
Weaknesses: Mosley is a step slower at age 39 and that showed in the loss to Mayweather, as he tired throughout the bout. With a 2-2-1 record over his last five fights, it appears that Mosley lacks the ability to truly compete with the best in the world. His speed won’t be as solid at Pacquiao’s, especially as the fight drags on.

Who to pick: The betting odds are not exciting for the champion, but that is where my pick is going. Mosley has the one-punch knockout power, which makes this fight exciting, but Pacquiao is too talented to lose this one. He still has aspirations to fight Mayweather one day, but to do so, he needs to continue to win. He wouldn’t take this fight is he had any doubt in his ability to win. Look for Pacquiao to continue his dominant ways and outclass Mosley for 12 rounds en route to a decision.

BOXING FREE PICK: MANNY PACQUIAO -850

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