11/13/08 NFL Week 12 Free Pick: Jets at Patriots Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Thursday, 13 November 2008 08:44

Week 11 in the NFL kicks off tonight when the New York Jets head to Foxboro to take on the New England Patriots. Let’s check out the trends, injuries, odds, over under total and hand out a prediction on tonight’s game.

Bet the Jets at Patriots

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (6-3)

Oddsmakers from online sports book SBG Global has established New England as a 3-point favorite. The over/under total has also been set at 41.5.

Public Betting Trends:

All games in this series since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 17-15 against the spread versus NY JETS since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 21-13 straight up against NY JETS since 1992

17 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

NEW ENGLAND is 4-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons 

NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons 

3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992

NY JETS is 10-6 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 10-7 straight up against NY JETS since 1992

9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.

NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons 

NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Key Player Injuries

NY JETS

[LB] Brad Kassell IR - Knee - 08/10/08

[LB] David Harris expected to miss 2-3 weeks - Groin - 11/05/08

[RB] Jesse Chatman expected to miss rest of season - Knee - 10/27/08

[PK] Mike Nugent missed last game, "?" - Thigh - 11/02/08

[S] Eric Smith is downgraded to doubtful - Concussion - 11/07/08

[S] Cameron Worrell IR - Knee - 09/04/08

[TE] Bubba Franks is downgraded to doubtful - Hip - 11/07/08

NEW ENGLAND

[LB] Shawn Crable IR - Shin - 11/05/08

[CB] Terence Wheatley injured last game %27?%27 - Hand - 11/02/08

[RB] Laurence Maroney IR - Shoulder - 10/17/08

[RB] Sammy Morris expected to miss 2-3 weeks - Knee - 10/20/08

(!) [QB] Tom Brady IR - Knee - 09/07/08

[S] Rodney Harrison IR - Knee - 10/21/08

[RB] LaMont Jordan missed last game %27?%27 - Calf - 11/02/08

[LB] Eric Alexander missed last game %27?%27 - Hamstring - 11/02/08

[CB] Lewis Sanders missed last game %27?%27 - Hamstring - 11/02/08

[S] Tank Williams IR. - Knee - 08/09/08

(!) [WR] Randy Moss is probable - Foot - 11/05/08

[WR] Matthew Slater missed last game %27?%27 - Ankle - 11/02/08

Prediction:

This is a pretty even matchup while looking at the trends, but New England is 4-2 against the spread over the past three seasons vs. New York, including a 19-10 win over the Jets when they were the underdogs in Week 2. Given that Bill Belichick has a hard on for beating Eric Mangini and often makes it a personal mission, we like the Pats in a close, low-scoring game. We’ll take the chalk on this one and predict the Patriots over the Jets 20-13.

Bet the Jets at Patriots

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Posted: 11/13/08 1:30 PM ET

 

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