|9/29/2008 Ravens at Steelers Preview, Trends, Injuries and Prediction|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Monday, 29 September 2008 08:52|
The Week 4 action concludes with a Monday Night Matchup in Pittsburgh tonight when the Steelers host the Ravens. Lets take a look at the matchup as well as key injuries, trends and hand out a prediction.
Kickoff: 8:40 PM ET
TV Coverage: ESPN
Odds: Steelers –5.5
Current public betting information shows that 61% of bettors favor the Steelers –5.5 over the Ravens.
Top Trends for this game:
BALTIMORE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 74-46 ATS (+23.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History:
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Key Player Injuries
[RB] P.J. Daniels IR - Shoulder - 08/12/08
[DT] Dwan Edwards IR. - Back - 08/26/08
[LB] Prescott Burgess IR - Wrist - 08/12/08
[NT] Kelly Talavou IR. - Shoulder - 08/26/08
[LB] Nick Greisen is "?" - Quad - 09/24/08
[CB] Samari Rolle is "?". - Shoulder - 09/24/08
[SS] Dawan Landry is out indefinitely - Neck - 09/22/08
[QB] Kyle Boller IR - Shoulder - 09/03/08
[DT] Kelly Gregg is expected to miss at least 2 weeks - Knee - 09/19/08
[TE] Quinn Sypniewski IR - Knee - 07/25/08
[LB] Donovan Woods expected to miss - Hamstring - 09/24/08
[DT] Casey Hampton expected to miss. - Groin - 09/22/08
[CB] Deshea Townsend missed last game %27?%27 - Heel - 09/21/08
[QB] Charlie Batch IR - Collarbone - 08/30/08
(!) [QB] Ben Roethlisberger left last game %27?%27 - Hand - 09/21/08
[DE] Brett Keisel expected to miss up to two months - Calf - 09/15/08
(!) [RB] Willie Parker is expected to miss - Knee - 09/23/08
[P] Daniel Sepulveda IR - Knee - 07/30/08
The Steelers are arguably the better team, but they’re awfully beat up. Not only is quarterback Ben Roethlisberger dealing with a shoulder injury, but running back Willie Parker is also out and one of Pittsburgh’s best run defenders, tackle Casey Hampton, also won’t play. The Steelers are going to make rookie quarterback Joe Flacco and running back Ray Rice wish they were still back playing in the college ranks, but Baltimore’s defense might do the same to Big Ben and the rest of Pittsburgh’s offense, too. The Steelers should come away with the victory at home, but that seems like a lot of points to give up when they’re so banged up. We predict Steelers over Ravens 17-13.
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