The Heat are currently a 3.5-point favorite over the Thunder as of Monday evening, while the over/under is sitting at 192 points. Miami opened a two-games-to-one lead in the Finals with its 91-85 victory on Sunday in which the Heat covered as a 4-point favorite. The combined score of 193 fell under the posted total of 193.
Of the last 12 NBA Finals that were tied at 1-1, the team that won Game 3 went on to capture a championship 11 times. Of course, the lone exception came in last year’s Finals when the Mavericks came back against the Heat when they were down two-games-to-one. Miami lost the finals three games of that series despite having a loaded top three of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh.
James continues to quiet detractors with an excellent series. He’s averaging 30.7 points, which bests a very impressive Kevin Durant, who is averaging 28.3 points through three games. Russell Westbrook is averaging 22.2 points, meanwhile, while Wade is averaging 22.9. One of the key role players for Miami has been Shane Battier, who has 11 3-pointers in the first three games of the series.
Thus far the Heat have only been favored once, which came in Game 3. They were a 5-point underdog when they fell to the Thunder 105-94 in Game 1 and were a 5.5-point dog when they beat Oklahoma City 100-96 in Game 3. Thus far, the over has hit once (Game 1), the under has hit once (Game 3) and the total has pushed once (Game 2). Game 4 will tip off at 9:00PM ET on Tuesday night.