3/9/2008 Michigan at Purdue Free Picks by Dave Price Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Sunday, 09 March 2008 08:26

The Michigan Wolverines hit the road Sunday to take on the Purdue Boilmakers and Dave Price says that the Wolverines will cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the line at Purdue –5, but the line has since dropped to Purdue –4.5.

Cook writes: Michigan played Purdue to within 7 points on the road and we look for the Wolverines to give the Boilers a major scare, if not pull off the shocker, on senior day. Purdue has lost back-to-back road games in conference play and I'm expecting to see the Boilers struggle here as well. Michigan is 12-3 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons and 22-10 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Michigan has won 2 straight home games over Purdue. The Wolverines are an impressive 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Take Michigan here.

Public betting information currently shows that of the 8,372 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 81% of bettors like Purdue –4.5.

Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:

-PURDUE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

-PURDUE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

-PURDUE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

-PURDUE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.

-PURDUE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a conference game this season.

-MICHIGAN is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

-MICHIGAN is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

-MICHIGAN is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

-MICHIGAN is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

-PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

-PURDUE is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

-4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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