|2/25/2008 Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets Free Picks by Dave Price|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Monday, 25 February 2008 08:53|
The Detroit Pistons travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets Monday night and Dave Price says that the Nuggets will cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting at Denver –1.5, but the line has since dropped to Denver -1.
Price writes: After embarrassing the Suns last night, I look for the Pistons to experience a letdown against one of the best home squads in the NBA. Denver has lost back-to-back games on the road to lesser opponents and will be hungry tonight with the opportunity to prove themselves against one of the best teams in the league. Denver is 22-6 at home this season and 17-11 ATS in those games. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Central, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Take the Nuggets at home.
Public betting information currently shows that of the 1,640 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 64% of bettors like Detroit +1. Accuscore disagrees with the public and has the Nuggets as a 58% favorite.
Detroit’s top three scorers are Chauncey Billups (18.7 points per game, 8.2 assists, 3.8 rebounds), Richard Hamilton (16.5 points per game, 4.0 assists, 4.4 rebounds) and Rasheed Wallace (14.0 points per game, 2.8 assists and 8.7 rebounds). Denver’s top three scorers are Allen Iverson (26.7 points per game, 8.0 assists and 3.2 rebounds), Carmelo Anthony (25.7 points per game, 3.0 assists and 7.2 rebounds) and Kenyon Martin (10.7 points per game, 1.3 assists and 7.6 rebounds).
Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:
-DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
-DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
-2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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