|2/23/2008 Iowa at Michigan State Free Picks by Dave Price|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Saturday, 23 February 2008 06:31|
The Iowa Hawkeyes takes on the Michigan State Spartans Saturday and Dave Price suggests putting 1 unit on Michigan State to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting line at Michigan State -15 but the line has since risen to Michigan State –15.5.
Price writes: The Hawkeyes have given the Spartans one of their 4 Big Ten losses, holding them to just 36 points in Iowa City. We saw a very similar situation last year when Iowa won by two points at home and then Michigan State got revenge on its home floor with a 81-49 victory. Don't expect the Spartans to forget about their worst performance of the year. We'll take Michigan State to bounce back big at home. Michigan State is a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS at home versus Iowa since 1997. The Spartans come into this one off a blowout win over Penn State and they are 11-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Spartans in this revenge spot.
Public betting information shows that of the 1,600 wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 72% of bettors like the Michigan State to cover the 15.5-point spread against Iowa. Accuscore has Michigan State as a 92% favorite.
Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:
-IOWA is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
-IOWA is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
-IOWA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
-MICHIGAN ST is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
-MICHIGAN ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
-MICHIGAN ST is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
-MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
-IOWA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
-IOWA is 4-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
-IOWA is 4-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
-4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
For NCAA Odds and Picks visit www.spreadexperts.com