2/2/2008 Miami Florida at Duke Free Pick by Dave Price Print
Written by Anthony Rome   
Saturday, 02 February 2008 05:20

Miami Florida takes on the Duke Blue Devils Saturday and Dave Price suggests putting 1 unit on the Dukies to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting line at Duke –15.

Price writes:  Miami is having a solid season, but the Blue Devils are clearly playing at another level. Duke has the big edge on its home floor today and we'll take the Devils to win in the 18-21 points range. The Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the Blue Devils Saturday.

Public betting information shows that of the 1,521 wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 63% of bettors like Duke to cover the 15-point spread. AccuScore agrees and has Duke as an 80% favorite.

Miami’s top three scorers are Jack McClinton (16.4 points per game, 3.0 assists and 3.2 rebounds), Brain Asbury (9.3 points per game, 1.7 assists and 5.0 rebounds) and James Dews (9.3 points pre games, 2.1 assists, 3.1 rebounds). Duke’s top three scorers are DeMarcus Nelson (16.0 ponits per game, 3.2 assists and 7.5 rebounds), Gerald Henderson (14.8 points per game, 2.2 assists and 7.1 rebounds) and Kyle Singler (12.7 points per game, 1.4 assists and 6.8 rebounds).

Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:

- DUKE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

- DUKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all home games this season.

- DUKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games this season.

- DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

- DUKE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

- DUKE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

- MIAMI is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

- MIAMI is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games since 1997.

- MIAMI is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.

- MIAMI is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

- MIAMI is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

- MIAMI is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

- MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

- MIAMI is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Odds Provided by Bodog - Bet NCAAB Basketball Games at Bodog

For NBA Odds and Picks visit www.spreadexperts.com

 

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