|2/1/2008 New Jersey Nets at Miami Heat Free Pick by John Martin|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Friday, 01 February 2008 09:45|
The New Jersey Nets travel to Miami to take on the Heat Friday night and John Martin suggests putting 1 unit on the Heat to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting New Jersey –4.5, but the line has since dropped to –3.5.
Martin writes: The Miami Heat will win this home game outright over the New Jersey Nets. The New Jersey Nets seem to have given up on their season with Jason Kidd almost certainly to be traded in the upcoming days. Until he is gone, this ball club won’t be playing as a team. The Miami Heat may be without Dwayne Wade and Shaq, but this has given their players an opportunity to show what they can really do. They will be playing with much more effort than the Nets tonight and it will pay off. Miami had all five of their starters score in double figures against the Magic in their last game. New Jersey is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Cash in with Miami as the underdog.
Public betting information shows that of the 1244 wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 57% of bettors like the Nets to cover the 3.5-point spread. AccuScore agrees and has the Nets as a 66% favorite to beat the Heat.
New Jersey’s top three scorers are Richard Jefferson (23.5 points per game, 2.9 assists and 5.2 rebounds), Vince Carter (21.8 points per game, 5.3 assists and 6.2 rebounds) and Jason Kidd (12.5 points per game, 9.1 assists and 8.3 rebounds). Miami’s top three scorers are Ricky Davis (17.9 points per game, 5.2 assists and 5.1 rebounds), Mark Blount (17.3 points per game, 1.6 assists, 8.3 rebounds) and Jason Williams (12.4 points per game, 6.4 assists and 3.1 rebounds).
Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:
-New Jersey is 8-7 against the spread versus Miami over the last three seasons
-Miami is 9-6 straight up against New Jersey over the last three seasons
-8 of 15 games in this series have gone over the total over the last three seasons
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