|1/30/2008 Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick by Dave Price|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Wednesday, 30 January 2008 08:55|
The Denver Nuggets travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies Wednesday night and Dave Price suggests putting 1 unit on the Nuggets to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting line at Denver –3.
Price writes: 1 Unit on Denver -3 The Denver Nuggets are a solid 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. That's almost enough to have me making a small wager on them already. Memphis' lack of production in this spot makes our side even a little bit stronger. The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog period. The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Lay the points on Denver.
Public betting information shows that of the 452 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 77% of bettors like the Nuggets to cover the 3-point spread. AccuScore agrees and has the Nuggets as a 62% favorite to beat the Grizzlies.
Denver’s top three scorers are Carmelo Anthony (28.0 points per game, 3.0 assists, 6.0 rebounds), Allen Iverson (25.8 points per game, 7.5 assists, 3.0 rebounds) and Limax Kietra (11.3 points per game, 1.1 assists, 4.9 rebounds). Memphis’ top three scorers are Paul Gasol (23.2 points per game, 4.8 assists, 10.6 rebounds), Mike Miller (21.3 points per game, 5.1 assists and 7.5 rebounds) and Rudy Gay (21.0 points per game, 2.6 assists and 7.2 rebounds).
Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:
-Denver is 4-3 against the spread versus Memphis over the last three seasons
-Denver is 4-3 straight up against Memphis over the last three seasons
-4 of 6 games in this series have gone over the total over the last three seasons
The Nuggets currently have a 26-18 record on the season, while the Grizzlies are 13-32.
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