|1/29/2008 Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns Free Pick by Jimmy Boyd|
|Written by Anthony Rome|
|Tuesday, 29 January 2008 08:45|
The Atlanta Hawks travel to Phoenix to take on the Suns Tuesday night and Jimmy Boyd notes to put 1 unit on the Suns to cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the betting line at Phoenix –9.5, but the line has since dropped to Phoenix –9.
Boyd writes: The Hawks have lost 5 of their last 6 games SU and 4 of 6 ATS and I don't anticipate them bounce back well from a 1-point loss at Portland in a game they should have won. In fact, Atlanta is 1-11 ATS in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and 2-12 ATS in road games off a cover where they lost the game straight up as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Suns comes in having won 6 of 7 SU and ATS. They are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS versus the Hawks at home the last 10 meetings. Atlanta actually beat the Suns earlier this season, way back in November, but you better believe that Phoenix has not forgotten. The Suns are 16-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points here.
Public betting information shows that of the 2,418 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 77% of bettors like the Suns to cover the 9-point spread. AccuScore agrees and has the Suns as a 77% favorite to beat the Hawks.
Atlanta’s top three scorers are Joe Johnson (19.9 points, 5.9 assists, 4.0 rebounds), Josh Smith (17.3 points, 4.2 assists, 7.9 rebounds) and Marvin Williams (15.1 points, 1.8 assists, 5.9 rebounds). Phoenix’s top three scores are Amare Stoudemire (21.9 points, 1.3 assists, 10.2 rebounds), Steve Nash (18.5 points, 11.2 assists, 3.9 rebounds) and Leandro Barbosa (17.3 points, 3.9 assists and 3.1 rebounds).
Some trends to consider for tonight’s game:
- Phoenix is 25-12 ATS revenging a loss vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons
- Phoenix is 172-217 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
- Phoenix is 3-2 straight up against Atlanta over the last three seasons
- Atlanta is 3-2 ATS vs. Phoenix over the last three seasons
- 4 of 5 games in this series have gone over the total over the last three seasons
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